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Senator flags Virginia governor race as “bellwether” for Trump admin

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Senator flags Virginia governor race as “bellwether” for Trump admin


Senator Tim Kaine, a Virginia Democrat, said on Sunday that his state’s gubernatorial race this fall will be the first “bellwether” test for the new Trump administration and a measure of a “Democratic comeback.”

Newsweek has reached out to the communications teams at the Democratic and Republican national committees for comment via email on Sunday.

Why It Matters

Virginia and New Jersey are the only states holding gubernatorial races this year and will be the first two major state elections held after President Donald Trump’s second term.

Virginia’s election may be seen as a “bellwether,” signaling political trends and voter sentiment. For Republicans, the elections will be a test of whether they can retain some of the voters they won back in 2024. Meanwhile, it will also be a key gauge for Democrats’ messaging as they seek to regain ground over the next few years.

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What To Know

On Sunday, Kaine told CNN’s State of the Union co-host Jake Tapper that Virginia’s upcoming gubernatorial race “will be the first bellwether test of a Democratic comeback and I’m feeling really, really good about that right now.”

His comments came after Tapper asked Kaine about the state of the Democratic Party and politics in Kaine’s home state, to which the senator said: “In Virginia, we have gone from one of the most ruby red states in the country to now having put electoral votes behind Democrats five elections in a row. I just won my reelection by a sizable margin against Donald Trump’s handpicked Republican opponent.” Kaine won a third term last November, beating out Trump-endorsed challenger Hung Cao.

Virginia’s gubernatorial elections tend to sway based on the party in the White House, with Democrats typically winning when a Republican is in office. Republican Glenn Youngkin became governor in 2021 under President Joe Biden, and Democrat Ralph Northam won during Trump’s first presidency.

Kaine said on Sunday that Youngkin won the race “by 1.8 percent—the last two Republicans that won the governorship in Virginia won by comfortable double digits. Our governor is Republican, he ran during a very good year to be a Republican, and he won barely.”

Republican governors Bob McDonnell and Jim Gilmore won their respective races by over 17 percent margin and 13 percent margin.

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Youngkin is term limited at the end of the year, so the race will be an open contest that could serve as a test of sentiment towards Trump and the Democratic Party. On Saturday, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) elected Ken Martin as its new chairperson.

Kaine, who served as Hillary Clinton’s running mate against Trump in the 2016 presidential election, said that he feels “really good about our chances” in the gubernatorial race, adding that “we just took both houses of the state legislature, we’ve got a great candidate for governor.” The Virginia State House and Senate are both controlled by slim Democratic majorities.

Who Are Virginia’s Gubernatorial Candidates?

While the party primaries on June 17 will determine the nominees, each party appears to have an early favorite: former Democratic U.S. Representative Abigail Spanberger and Republican Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears. If either of them wins, they would become the state’s first female governor.

An Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of 1,000 registered Virginia voters conducted from January 6 to 8 found Spanberger edging 1 percentage point ahead of Earle-Sears, 42 to 41 percent. The poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, found 13 percent of voters were undecided and 4 percent were supporting someone else.

Newsweek reached out to Spanberger and Earle-Sears for comment via email on Sunday.

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Currently, no other Democrats have publicly announced their campaigns, though Representative Bobby Scott has not ruled out a run, The Virginia Pilot reported in January. Former gubernatorial candidate Merle Rutledge is also running in the GOP primary, but Earle-Sears is viewed as the party’s frontrunner.

Senator Tim Kaine, a Virginia Democrat, is seen during a press conference at the U.S. Capitol on January 23. Inset: President Donald Trump speaks to reporters in the Oval Office of the White House on…


Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP Images) (AP Photo/Evan Vucci

What People Are Saying

John Feehery, partner at EFB Advocacy, previously told Newsweek in an email: “Virginia is going to be tough because it is really a blue state despite its purple state veneer, more so because Trump wants to dramatically reduce the government workforce…So I don’t think Republicans are going to do that well, but if they do, it means we had a true realignment election in 2024.”

Kevin Madden, a senior partner at Penta Group, told Newsweek in December: “Both the New Jersey and Virginia contests offer the Democrats a chance to reset their message as they look to rebuild their political coalition.”

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in part last month: “Ten months before the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election, the race is tight overall but with clear demographic differences standing out.”

What Happens Next

The deadlocked race will be determined on November 4, 2025.

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What will Virginia’s Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin do next? He’s not ready to tell

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What will Virginia’s Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin do next? He’s not ready to tell


RICHMOND, Va. — Almost from the moment that Glenn Youngkin became Virginia’s governor four years ago, the political world has wondered what’s next for a Republican who seemed to keep one foot in the MAGA movement and the other in the party’s traditional country club establishment.

He’s still not ready to say.

Does he want to be president? “I’m focused on Virginia,” he said.

Does he want to lead the Department of Homeland Security? “I don’t play that game.”

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What about another role in President Donald Trump’s administration? “I have been incredibly focused every day on what we need to do to transform Virginia.”

During an interview with The Associated Press, Youngkin insisted that he’s not looking ahead to after he’s replaced by Democrat Abigail Spanberger next month. But there’s little doubt that he’s been preparing for a post-Trump future that has not yet arrived, leaving someone long considered to be a potential Republican star without a clear next move.

This past summer, Youngkin headlined annual party dinners in Iowa and South Carolina, early primary states that would be natural launchpads for a presidential campaign. The ex-Carlyle Group executive has a personal fortune that could fuel a candidacy, if he chose to pursue one.

Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin gestures during an interview in his office at the Capitol Wednesday Dec. 10, 2025, in Richmond, Va. Credit: AP/Steve Helber

“If Glenn Youngkin runs for president, I’m 100% in,” said Republican Delegate Israel O’Quinn, a longtime Virginia lawmaker. “I think he would make a fantastic president — if that’s what he wants to do.”

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Others say he missed his opportunity.

“You can probably find some red sweater vests” — a sartorial signature of Youngkin — “on sale down at the thrift store for $1, and that’s on the record,” Democratic Virginia Sen. Scott Surovell said.

‘MAGA lite to full MAGA’

Youngkin quickly became a Republican to watch after defeating Democratic stalwart Terry McAuliffe in 2021. Trump was still lying low after the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol by a mob of his supporters, and some party leaders were eager to find another standard-bearer.

Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin gestures during an interview in his...

Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin gestures during an interview in his office at the Capitol Wednesday Dec. 10, 2025, in Richmond, Va. Credit: AP/Steve Helber

A politician who could energize the MAGA base and court swing voters in a purple state seemed like a promising possibility.

But by the time 2024 rolled around, Youngkin passed on jumping into the race. Trump steamrolled the competition on the way to the Republican nomination, then won a second term.

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With Trump back in the White House, Youngkin has been a stalwart supporter. He embraced the administration’s cuts to the federal workforce and other programs, despite its unpopularity among many Virginians who rely on neighboring Washington for their livelihoods.

Richmond-based political strategist Bob Holsworth described Youngkin as someone who went from “MAGA lite to full MAGA” in four years.

“He’s made this calculation: That’s where the Republican Party is, and that’s where it’s going,” Holsworth said. He added, “But at the same time, whether he can actually connect to the MAGA base, I think, is an open question.”

Alex Conant, a Republican strategist, was more confident about Youngkin’s ability to straddle party factions in the future.

“If Trump’s political stock falls, the MAGA movement will still be important,” he said. “Youngkin has shown an ability to appeal to both Trump supporters and Republicans who are the first to fall away from Trump.”

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Youngkin faced political promise and peril

Virginia governors aren’t allowed to serve consecutive terms, giving them only four years to make their mark before it’s time to decide what’s next.

Youngkin tried to demonstrate political finesse as governor. He charmed donors with his private equity background and suburban-dad polish. In his office at a Virginia government building, Youngkin had Legos on the coffee table and a basketball prominently on display. Shovels from business groundbreakings lined the wall.

“Virginia is as strong as she’s ever been,” Youngkin said in the interview, nearly identically repeating what he had said to lawmakers this year. “Financially, she’s stronger than she’s ever been. Economically, there’s more opportunity than we’ve ever had, and we’re growing.”

But there were challenges along the way, including legislative stalemate with Democrats who expanded their control of the state legislature during Youngkin’s term. The governor vetoed roughly 400 bills passed by the legislature, and Democratic lawmakers doomed many of his initiatives, such as building a new arena for the Washington Wizards and Capitals in Virginia.

Youngkin’s relationship with Trump ebbed and flowed, too. In 2022, Trump mocked the governor’s name on social media by saying it “sounds Chinese” and accused Youngkin of not appreciating MAGA support. They later appeared to reconcile, and this year the president described Youngkin as “a great governor, one of the great governors in our country.”

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Youngkin returned the favor, saying Trump was “making America great again, and along with that, making Virginia great as well.”

But the embrace did not pay off politically. Youngkin’s chosen successor, Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, lost by 15 points to Spanberger last month. Republicans also lost 13 seats in the House of Delegates.

Democrats notched similar victories in New Jersey, demonstrating momentum they hope will carry them to a blue wave in the midterms.

Democrats have been gaining ground in Virginia

Youngkin pushed back on the idea that Trump’s agenda — and his support of it — contributed to the losses, arguing that the 43-day federal government shutdown “became a cacophony around everything” for voters.

He also rebuffed the idea that Trump’s absence on the campaign trail contributed to Virginia Republicans’ defeat. The president did not campaign in the state and didn’t endorse Earle-Sears by name.

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“He described her as an excellent candidate,” Youngkin said of Trump’s endorsement. “He described her opponent as a bad candidate. He did two tele-town halls, which is one more than he did for me when I was running.”

Youngkin may not blame Trump for Virginia’s losses, but some of Trump’s most loyal allies have faulted the governor.

“Glenn Youngkin, you just ended your political career last night,” Steve Bannon’s WarRoom posted on X following the November election. “You destroyed the Republican Party in Virginia for a GENERATION.”

He said Youngkin shouldn’t have backed Earle-Sears, who once described Trump as a liability to the party.

Meanwhile, Virginia Democrats also credit Youngkin for their November victories, arguing he leaned too hard to the right while leading a purple state.

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“I think he’s gonna look in the mirror and, and regret his embrace of all the MAGA nonsense,” said Surovell, the state Senate majority leader.



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DC, Maryland, Virginia closures & delays: Several school districts respond to winter weather

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DC, Maryland, Virginia closures & delays: Several school districts respond to winter weather


Several DMV-area school districts have announced delays in response to the latest winter storm that made its way through the area over the weekend. 

Snow fell across the Washington, D.C., region Sunday morning, and new snowfall reports from the National Weather Service (NWS) show a wide range of totals across Maryland, Virginia and the District.

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What will DMV-area weather be like Monday? 

What’s next:

The National Weather Service warns of wind chill values ranging from just above zero at lower elevations to negative teens at higher elevations. This extreme cold poses a risk to those exposed to the elements for prolonged periods.

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Road conditions remain hazardous as crews work to treat highways and secondary roads. Drivers are advised to proceed with caution, especially if traveling on Monday morning.

Check out the most up-to-date list of closings and delays above, or by clicking here.

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Snow totals across the DC, Maryland and Virginia region

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Snow totals across the DC, Maryland and Virginia region


Snow fell across the Washington, D.C., region this Sunday morning, and new snowfall reports from the National Weather Service show a wide range of totals across Maryland, Virginia and the District as the storm progresses.

Snowfall totals in the DMV area

The National Weather Service released spotter reports covering the past eight hours, showing steady accumulation across the mid-Atlantic.

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Slushy weather in Washington DC

Washington, D.C.

No official accumulation listed in the report, though snow is falling across the city.

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Maryland

Western Maryland:

  • Accident (Garrett County): 10.0 inches
  • Grantsville: 8.0 inches
  • Mount Savage: 2.8 inches

Baltimore region:

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  • Bentley Springs (Baltimore County): 4.0 inches
  • Woodstock: 3.3 inches
  • Glyndon: 3.0 inches
  • Rosedale: 2.5 inches
  • Owings Mills: 1.8 inches

Carroll County:

  • Westminster (various locations): 3.0–4.5 inches
  • Eldersburg: 4.0 inches
  • Montgomery County:
  • Damascus: 4.0 inches
  • Gaithersburg: 1.5 inches
  • Howard & Harford counties:
  • Dayton: 2.5 inches
  • Chrome Hill: 5.0 inches
  • Churchville: 2.5 inches
  • Cecil & Frederick counties:
  • Elkton: 2.5 inches
  • Ballenger Creek: 2.0 inches
  • New Market: 0.8 inches
  • Allegany County:
  • Potomac Park: 1.3 inches

Virginia

  • Winchester (Frederick County): 0.5 inches
  • Dulles International Airport: 0.5 inches
  • Leesburg: 0.1 inches
  • Elkton (Rockingham County): 0.5 inches

FOX Weather reports that millions along the I-95 corridor — including the D.C. metro — are experiencing accumulating snow and freezing temperatures as the storm continues to move through the region.

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By the numbers:

  • Highest snowfall so far: 10 inches in Accident, Maryland
  • Other significant totals: 8 inches in Grantsville, 5 inches in Chrome Hill, and 4–4.5 inches in Carroll and Montgomery counties
  • D.C. metro suburbs: Generally 1–4 inches depending on location
  • Northern Virginia: Mostly under an inch

What’s next:

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Snow continues across the region through the morning, with additional accumulation expected in some areas. Road conditions remain hazardous, and drivers are urged to use caution as crews continue treating highways and secondary roads.

The Source: This report is based on observed snowfall totals from the National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington Public Information Statement.

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