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Kamala Harris’ 2024 fate could lie with unions in Nevada as Republicans gain ground in the battleground state

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Kamala Harris’ 2024 fate could lie with unions in Nevada as Republicans gain ground in the battleground state


On a Wednesday afternoon under a blazing sun and clear blue sky, Claudia Monreal and Artenasa Orocco pulled up on a neighborhood street in east Las Vegas.

Armed with political flyers and an app on a phone showing where to go, they began knocking on doors as the temperature in Nevada approached 100 degrees.

Election Day is quickly approaching in the battleground state, and for Democrats, victory there could all come down to voter turnout as Republicans have nearly wiped out Democrats’ voter registration advantage in the state.

That’s where the Culinary Workers Union comes into play. The union which represents 60,000 service workers in Las Vegas and Reno has been helping deliver wins for Democrats in Nevada for years. In August, it endorsed Harris for president.

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Both Monreal and Orocco are union members on leaves of absence from their Vegas casino jobs ahead of the looming election to help turn out voters and urge them to support Democrats in November.

Artenasa Orocco (left) and Claudia Monreal (right) out knocking on doors in Las Vegas. They are both members of the Culinary Workers Union out on leaves of absence from their work at casinos in Vegas to help get out the vote for Democrats ahead of the 2024 election

Monreal has been out knocking on doors for the last three weeks. She has not been counting just how many doors she personally has hit, but she plans to keep ramping up her canvassing before Election Day. 

Overall, the union’s 450 canvassers knocked on more than one million doors in the state in 2022, its largest program ever.

‘A lot of people are very welcoming. If they’re on the fence still, they ask for information. We’re able to give them factual information,’ Monreal said of her experience this year so far.

The union is targeting registered Democrats and Independent union members as well as the general public. First and foremost, Monreal make sure they are registered to vote and have a plan to vote before discussing the Democrats endorsed by the union.

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The mother of five said the biggest issues she comes across are the economy including skyrocketing rents and higher prices.

Orocco, the mother of three adult daughters, agreed the top issue when she engages with voters has also been the cost of living, but she has also found reproductive rights is another top issue.

‘Women’s rights are important,’ she said. ‘Nobody can come and tell us “you have to do this” when they don’t know the situation for every person, so that is a very big issue.’

At a stop with an older man sitting on his patio, they chat for several minutes in Spanish before leaving him some flyers.

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The union members are working to get out the vote for Kamala Harris, Senator Jacky Rosen, Democrats in the House and other candidates down-ballot. First they ask people about their voter registration and plans to vote before sharing information on why the union endorsed Harris. During the 2022 midterms, the Culinary Workers Union canvassers knocked on more than one million doors

The union members are working to get out the vote for Kamala Harris, Senator Jacky Rosen, Democrats in the House and other candidates down-ballot. First they ask people about their voter registration and plans to vote before sharing information on why the union endorsed Harris. During the 2022 midterms, the Culinary Workers Union canvassers knocked on more than one million doors

Monreal and Orocco speaking with a man about voting in Spanish

Monreal and Orocco speaking with a man about voting in Spanish

One of the flyers being left by Culinary Union Worker members out canvassing

Monreal hanging a flyer on a door

When canvassers do not get people at the door, they leave flyers about their endorsement and reminding people that election day is November 5

The women are urging voters to cast ballots for Vice President Kamala Harris as well as reelect Senator Jacky Rosen, Nevada’s Democratic House members and support other Democrats down-ballot.

Nevada is a deeply purple state. President Biden won it in 2020 by 35,000 votes. The latest polling shows a closer race between Harris and Trump with the Democratic nominee leading by one point in the Real Clear Politics average.

DailyMail.com and J.L. Partners’ election model has Trump as the favorite to win the state. 

The strategy by Democrats in Nevada is focused on voter turnout with work from labor groups, said Daniel Lee, a professor of political science at University of Nevada Las Vegas.

‘That was kind of the core part of the Harry Reid machine,’ Lee said, referring to the infrastructure of workers built by the late Senate Majority Leader in the state. ‘It’s something that’s kind of been chugging along even since his passing.’

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Harris recognizes the power the union still holds for helping turn out the vote. On a less than 24-hour campaign swing through the state this week, Harris stopped first to meet with Culinary Workers Union leaders and members Wednesday night before her town hall on Thursday. The Nevada Teamsters and SEIU are among other groups that have also endorsed the vice president.

Vice President Kamala Harris welcomed by U.S. Representatives Susie Lee and Steven Horsford on arrival in Las Vegas on October 20.  The Culinary Workers Union is canvassing for all three

Vice President Kamala Harris welcomed by U.S. Representatives Susie Lee and Steven Horsford on arrival in Las Vegas on October 20.  The Culinary Workers Union is canvassing for all three 

But when it comes to Nevada, Democrats are losing their edge at least in terms of voter registrations. In 2020, they had about a five point advantage. That’s now down to a one point advantage.

In the midterms, Democrats were able to hold on to the Senate seat in Nevada. But Democratic Governor Steve Sisolak was ousted by Republican Joe Lombardo.

One of the biggest challenges for Sisolak was the economy. Nevada with its heavy tourism and service industry led economy was decimated by the coronavirus pandemic.

While the unemployment rate nationally hovers near historic lows at 4.1 percent. Nevada has the highest unemployment rate of any state at 5.5 percent. During the pandemic in 2020 it hit 13.5 percent annually before edging back down.

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The tourism industry has largely recovered with most metrics hitting pre-pandemic levels in early 2023. But for some, the memories and some lingering financial impact remains as costs also went up.

Trump is also trying to draw support from workers in the industry. During a Las Vegas rally in June, he proposed ending taxes on tips in a pitch to the thousands of service workers at casinos, restaurants and hotels in the state.

Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Las Vegas on September 13. In June he pitched ending taxation on tips during another visit to the state. Republicans have gained grounds in Nevada when it comes to voter registrations in the state. They've gone from a roughly five point gap in 2020 to a one point gap in 2024

Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Las Vegas on September 13. In June he pitched ending taxation on tips during another visit to the state. Republicans have gained grounds in Nevada when it comes to voter registrations in the state. They’ve gone from a roughly five point gap in 2020 to a one point gap in 2024

The union dismissed the proposal with its secretary-treasurer saying relief is definitely needed but workers ‘are smart enough to know the difference between real solutions and wild campaign promises.’

Harris has also signaled support for end taxes on tips, which Trump has accused her of copying. Democrats have introduced a bill in Congress, but Nevada already has a ban on subminimum wage in the state.

The ex-president has also been gaining with Hispanic voters. A new Suffolk University poll shows Harris leading Trump 56 to 40 percent among Hispanic voters in the state. 

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While support for Democrats has not dropped as a percentage, Trump’s number have inching upward, denying the vice president the 24 to 26 point advantage Biden had with Hispanic voters in the state in 2020.

But for Monreal and Orocco, Hispanic support for Trump has not come up in their own conversations on the ground. Their union is the largest Latino organization in the state.

Overall, they’ve found their engagement with voters across the neighborhoods of Vegas to be positive as they make their case. On Wednesday, it was one of their better days to be outside. While temperatures neared triple digits, they’ve been out in temperatures nearing 110 before.

When they don’t meet voters at doors, they leave flyers reminding people about the upcoming elections and explaining why they’re backing the Democrats.

Monreal and Orocco with Harris supporter Darcy Gouveia who answered while they were out knocking on doors in Las Vegas

Monreal and Orocco with Harris supporter Darcy Gouveia who answered while they were out knocking on doors in Las Vegas

At a door an hour into their canvassing, Darcy Gouveia answers his door. After introducing themselves, the first set of questions is about whether Darcy is registered and has a plan to vote.

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Gouveia is all set on that front He also knows exactly who he will be voting for: Harris.

‘I think she’s very strong and would be good for president,’ he said.

The biggest issue he faces is high prices from the cost of rent to gas and food costs. While he does not love everything out of the Biden administration, he believes they are trying and have done ok with addressing the issue as they can.

As for Trump, he has not been impressed.

‘Oh please, not him,’ Gouveia said, rolling his eyes before he shut his front door.

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Gas prices climb in northern Nevada amid tensions in the Middle East

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Gas prices climb in northern Nevada amid tensions in the Middle East


$3.99 on Sunday, $4.09 just days later.

An extra dime for the same gallon of gas, but why?

Conflict in the Middle East has impacted prices at the pump for drivers here in northern Nevada and across the country.

According to AAA, the national average for a gallon of gas has jumped nearly 27 cents since last week, coming in at $3.25. In Reno, the average price is roughly $4.26.

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Experts say for every $5 to $10 increase in oil prices, drivers could pay 15 to 25 cents more per gallon.

The increase primarily comes down to the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, which controls roughly 20% of the world’s oil supplies. Amid the tensions, traffic through the area has recently ground to a halt.

Michael Goldman, General Manager of Caru Containers North America, said many of the shippers who typically go through the Strait have changed course.

“We’re seeing the routes ships need to take be much longer, much more costly. Going around the Horn of Africa instead of going through the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea. And we’re definitely seeing cost increases to those carriers to make those journeys,” said Goldman.

Jayce Robinson from Sparks said he’s always looking for the best deal in town on gas.

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“I mostly fill up here for work, so it’s not my money, but when I do fill up, I definitely look for the cheapest place because money’s tight and gas is expensive,” Robinson said.



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10-month-old found safe, North Las Vegas police cancel AMBER Alert

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10-month-old found safe, North Las Vegas police cancel AMBER Alert


Authorities have canceled an AMBER Alert after they say a 10-month-old child taken by a non-custodial parent was found safe.

North Las Vegas Police said Thursday that Leilani Williams (aka Leilani Duke) was taken by her father, Roderick Duke.

Duke and Leilani were last seen at an apartment complex in the area of Martin L. King Boulevard and Cheyenne Avenue at 1:40 a.m.

“An AMBER Alert has been activated due to Roderick being in emotional crisis and making threats to harm himself and 10-month-old Leilani,” NLVPD said in a statement.

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By 10:05 a.m., NLVPD said that Leilani was located unharmed.

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Officers took Duke into custody without further incident, and the AMBER Alert has been canceled.



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California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks to Nevada Democrats in Las Vegas

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California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks to Nevada Democrats in Las Vegas


California Gov. Gavin Newsom addressed Nevada Democrats who packed a Las Vegas brewery Wednesday evening for a discussion about his upbringing, his political life and efforts his state has taken to combat the Trump administration agenda.

Newsom, who has been floated as a possible White House contender for 2028, sidestepped a quip from former Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak who introduced him as the next U.S. president amid cheers from the crowd.

“I’m very grateful for your friendship, and a friendship that’s only strengthened over the course of the last year or so,” Newsom told Sisolak.

Book tour stop

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The event, which served as a book tour stop for the California governor, was organized by the Nevada Democratic Party. It took place at Nevada Brew Works near Summerlin.

Nevada Assemblymember Daniele Monroe-Moreno, the state party chair running for North Las Vegas mayor, moderated the discussion.

It was part of the party’s Local Brews + National Views series that’s been bringing Democrats for similar discussions at intimate venues. Past speakers have included former President Joe Biden, Arizona U.S. Sen. Mark Kelly, and Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker.

Criticizing President Donald Trump, Newsom spoke about the immediate aftermath of the 2024 general election.

“We were handwringing, a lot of finger pointing, and a sense of weakness,” Newsom said. “And just incapable of dealing with this moment, this existential moment.”

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He said he is taking account for what he described as his own complicity.

“This happened on my watch. This is all happening on our watch,” Newsom said. “And so I realized that I needed to be better.”

That included his advocacy to redraw California’s Congressional map after Trump called for the same in Texas, he said.

“They’re not screwing around, nor are we,” he said about Trump and his administration. “All of us.”

‘You’re giving us a voice’

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Newsom spoke out against the surge of federal immigration enforcement operations in California and later Minnesota, calls from the Trump administration to nationalize elections, and cuts to government funding due to the One, Big, Beautiful Bill Act.

He said that pushback against Trump’s policies, including dozens of lawsuits filed by California, were making the president retreat on some of his proposals and policies.

“You’re filling the void, you’re giving us a voice, you’re giving us courage,” he told the crowd. “For things to change, we have to change. And it’s changing.”

The Republican National Committee reacted to Newsom’s Las Vegas visit. Earlier in the day, Newsom attended a private Boulder City event.

“Democrats are selling out to the spoiled, phony rich kid governor from California for years,” RNC spokesperson Nick Poche wrote in a statement. “President Donald Trump and Republicans are delivering major tax cuts and keeping Nevadans safe, unlike Democrats.”

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The national Republican Party also criticized California’s policies, and tied them back to Nevada Democrats.

Most of Newsom’s remarks weren’t specific to Nevada. He didn’t take any questions from media.

Polling shows Newsom and Vice President JD Vance leading in hypothetical races for their parties’ nomination. That includes a survey of likely Nevada voters conducted one by Emerson College Polling in November.

Contact Ricardo Torres-Cortez at rtorres@reviewjournal.com. The Associated Press contributed to this report.

 

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