Midwest

New poll shows Harris surging in state thought to be safe for Trump

Published

1 year ago

September 16, 2024

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New poll shows Harris surging in state thought to be safe for Trump

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Vice President Kamala Harris has made up significant ground on former President Trump in Iowa, a state previously thought to be safely in the former president’s column.

Harris has narrowed Trump’s lead to four points, trailing the former president 47% to 43% in Iowa, according to the latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll released Sunday.

The poll represents a shocking reversal from where Trump stood in the state in spring, when the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll showed Trump leading President Biden by 18 points in Iowa, 50% to 32%.

“I wouldn’t say 4 points is comfortable” for Trump, pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., told the Des Moines Register in reaction to the poll, the first Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll to be released since Harris became the Democratic nominee. “The race has tightened significantly.”

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Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump (Getty Images)

Iowa has long been an afterthought in this year’s race, not typically included as a swing state along with the group of Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, with most analysts believing the state to be safely red. Trump won the state by nearly 10 percentage points in 2016 and a similar margin in 2020, a margin that would be seemingly difficult to overcome for Harris in 2024.

But Iowa has been a swing state in the past, going to Democratic Vice President Al Gore in 2000, Republican President George W. Bush in 2004, and former President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.

While one poll is unlikely to change the overall dynamic of the race, Harris’ ability to put former Midwestern swing states such as Iowa or Ohio in play could put her in a stronger position come November.

Former President Trump participates in a Fox News Town Hall with Sean Hannity at the New Holland Arena on Sept. 4, 2024, in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

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The Harris surge in Iowa can largely be attributed to female voters, with the poll finding the vice president leads Trump among women 53% to 36%. Meanwhile, Trump leads among men in the state 59% to 32%.

Women are also more likely to vote than they were in previous versions of the survey, with 8% more women indicating they will vote in this year’s election than in the June poll.

Other groups that showed an uptick in plans to vote included those younger than 45 (10% increase), those from cities (6%), and those with a college degree (9%).

Vice President Kamala Harris during the debate in Philadelphia on Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2024. (Doug Mills/The New York Times/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

“This poll may be catching newly energized voters who thought they would sit out the election at the time our June poll was taken,” Selzer said.

The poll was conducted between Sept. 8 and 11, surveying 811 Iowa residents 18-years of age and older and has a sampling error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

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Midwest

Steve Kerr says immigration should be addressed by Congress, claims feds ‘taking 5-year-old kindergartners’

Published

3 hours ago

January 30, 2026

Press Room

Steve Kerr says immigration should be addressed by Congress, claims feds ‘taking 5-year-old kindergartners’

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The Golden State Warriors spent the weekend in Minneapolis, playing two games against the Minnesota Timberwolves (they split the weekend series).

The first meeting between the two was postponed from Saturday to Sunday after a fatal shooting by a Border Patrol agent that killed 37-year-old Alex Pretti. The NBA cited the “safety and security of the Minneapolis community.”

It was the second death attributed to immigration enforcement in the city this month, as Renee Good, also 37, was killed.

Golden State Warriors head coach Steve Kerr reacts against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center. (Kevin Jairaj/Imagn Images)

Kerr called Good’s death “murder” earlier this month, and after Monday night’s game against the T-Wolves, Kerr was outspoken again amid the “really bizarre few days” in Minnesota.

“We have a lot of empathy for the people here. We’re really hopeful that the protests here and nationwide will lead to a much better solution for immigration,” Kerr said.

He then criticized the agents’ actions.

“It’s not like they’re rooting out violent criminals, they’re taking 5-year-old kindergartners and U.S. citizens and detaining people. Immigration is a problem that needs to be addressed, but it needs to be addressed by Congress legislatively, not by military force in the streets, pulling people from their homes,” Kerr said.

Golden State Warriors head coach Steve Kerr during the Orlando Magic game, Dec. 22, 2025, in San Francisco, California. (AP Photo/Justine Willard)

KNICKS PLAYERS CONDEMN DEADLY BORDER PATROL-INVOLVED SHOOTING IN MINNESOTA

The Timberwolves held moments of silence after both Good’s and Pretti’s deaths.

Anti-ICE protests occurred outside of Sunday’s game between Golden State and Minnesota.

The National Basketball Players Association released a statement on Sunday as well.

“Following the news of yet another fatal shooting in Minneapolis, a city that has been on the forefront of the fight against injustices, NBA players can no longer remain silent,” the union said. “Now more than ever, we must defend the right to freedom of speech and stand in solidarity with the people in Minnesota protesting and risking their lives to demand justice.

Throngs flood Minneapolis to protest ICE after the Pretti shooting. (Roberto Schmidt/Getty Images)

“The fraternity of NBA players, like the United States itself, is a community enriched by its global citizens, and we refuse to let the flames of division threaten the civil liberties that are meant to protect us all. The NBPA and its members extend our deepest condolences to the families of Alex Pretti and Renee Good, just as our thoughts remain focused on the safety and well-being of all members of our community.”

Fox News’ Ryan Gaydos contributed to this report.

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Detroit, MI

Detroit area businesses, schools join general strike against ICE

Published

4 hours ago

January 30, 2026

Press Room

Detroit area businesses, schools join general strike against ICE

Small businesses throughout metro Detroit closed on Friday, Jan. 30, as part of a national shutdown general strike to protest Immigration and Customs Enforcement after a series of high-profile killings by the agency in Minneapolis and elsewhere.

The Museum of Contemporary Art Detroit, the City Bird and Nest shops in midtown, Drifter Coffee in Ferndale, and Sidetrack Bookshop in downtown Royal Oak are among those participating in the campaign encouraging participants to avoid school, work, and shopping.

“ICE has no place in our communities, and we stand with the people of Minnesota and everywhere who are being targeted by this terror,” Sidetrack Bookshop on Washington Avenue said in a Facebook post announcing its closure.

Protests are also scheduled Friday throughout Michigan, including in Detroit, Dearborn, Novi, and Ferndale.

Students at Rochester High School staged a walkout Friday morning; Cass Technical High School students in Detroit planned one for the afternoon.

The actions follow ICE officers’ killings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti in Minneapolis. The agency was involved in the killings of at least six others last year, according to a tally compiled by the liberal American Prospect magazine and based on news articles.

“Every day, ICE, Border Patrol and other enforcers of Trump’s racist agenda are going into our communities to kidnap our neighbors and sow fear,” the national shutdown organizing website reads. “It is time for us to all stand up together in a nationwide shutdown and say enough is enough!”

Other businesses that have announced closures in southeast Michigan include:

Lost and Found Vintage in Royal Oak
Full Measure Brewing Company in Detroit
Library Street Collective in Detroit
Beara Bakes in Ypsilanti
Gutman Gallery in Ann Arbor

Businesses are showing support through various means. Detroit café Trinosophes announced on social media that it would open for an evening concert with proceeds going toward the Immigrant Law Center of Minnesota.

Others said they would remain open but issued anti-ICE statements. Detroit and Oak Park pizzeria Pie Sci wrote on Facebook that it does not support “the harm caused by current immigration enforcement practices” but will remain open.

“As a small, independent business, closing our doors — even for a single day — would have consequences for only our people,” the post said. “We pay our team a living wage, offer health benefits, paid time off, earned sick time and 401k match. Staying open is what allows us to do that.”

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Milwaukee, WI

Updating the Milwaukee Brewers’ payroll projection for 2026

Published

5 hours ago

January 30, 2026

Press Room

Updating the Milwaukee Brewers’ payroll projection for 2026

At the start of the offseason, we looked at the initial payroll projection for 2026. While not much has changed to the roster since then, there have been some adjustments. As the end of January approaches, and pitchers and catchers are set to report in just 13 days, the starting payroll is getting closer to a set amount. Let’s take a look at what has changed since then. (If you want to review the original projection from the end of October, you can find that post here.)

Here are some reminders for the projection.

The majority of these numbers are from Spotrac, which has estimated payroll numbers for all MLB teams.
Per the CBA, the minimum salary for players in 2026 is $780,000. Any pre-arbitration player has this salary listed by default. These salaries can be slightly different for each player, but not by a significant amount.
This is not a roster projection for 2026. Some players on this list are currently in the organization but may be planned for a minor league role. This is just in place to show what a minimum commitment would be. Minimum salaries can be swapped out for any other minimum salary player that would be in the minors.
While I do not think the Brewers will break camp with 14 position players and 12 pitchers, that is how it is set up below due to current commitments. That will change before the season.
In the initial payroll for 2026, I included the declined options after the 2025 season. Spotrac has moved those numbers to the 2025 season, so I have also adjusted for that to keep the numbers consistent.
The final projected payroll for 2025 was $156,266,827, per Spotrac. That was 18th in MLB.

First, here are the projections for the initial roster.

Position Players		Bench Players
C – William Contreras	$9,900,000*	C – Jeferson Quero	$780,000
1B – Andrew Vaughn	$7,650,000	1B – Jake Bauers	$2,700,000
2B – Brice Turang	$4,150,000	UT – Andruw Monasterio	$780,000
3B – Caleb Durbin	$780,000	OF – Garrett Mitchell	$950,000
SS – Joey Ortiz	$780,000	OF – Akil Baddoo	$1,250,000
LF – Jackson Chourio	$7,000,000
CF – Blake Perkins	$780,000
RF – Sal Frelick	$780,000
DH – Christian Yelich	$26,000,000
Total	$57,820,000	Total	$6,460,000

Starting Pitchers		Relief Pitchers
Brandon Woodruff	$22,025,000	Aaron Ashby	$5,700,000
Quinn Priester	$780,000	Trevor Megill	$4,700,000
Jacob Misiorowski	$780,000	Angel Zerpa	$1,095,000
Chad Patrick	$780,000	Abner Uribe	$780,000
Logan Henderson	$780,000	Jared Koenig	$780,000
		Grant Anderson	$780,000
		DL Hall	$780,000
Total	$25,145,000	Total	$14,615,000

Summary	Amount
Position Players	$57,820,000
Bench Players	$6,460,000
Starting Pitchers	$25,145,000
Relief Pitchers	$14,615,000
Initial Total for 2026	$104,040,000

Here’s a summary of what has changed since the original payroll:

Brandon Woodruff accepted his qualifying offer. That added his $22.025 million salary into the payroll. Even though Woodruff accepted the offer, he will also receive the buyout for his option being declined (that is factored into 2025 payroll).
William Contreras is the one player who still has a pending arbitration decision. Currently, he is estimated at $9.9 million, which is what he filed for. The Brewers filed for an $8.55 million salary. A deal could still happen before the hearing, but the salary will be somewhere between those two numbers.
Every other player that is in an arbitration year agreed to their salary. The contract amounts have been added above.
The following players have been removed: Freddy Peralta, Isaac Collins, Nick Mears
The following players have been added: Brandon Woodruff, Ángel Zerpa, Akil Baddoo

The total above is just the initial total based on the projected active roster. However, there’s still more money to factor in to the payroll. If you compare it to the active roster at the end of the season, the Brewers only had just over $84 million of their $156 million total on the active roster. Here’s where the rest of the payroll came from. (Some rounding is used in the table, so actual amounts will be slightly different.)

Source	Amount
Injured List (End of Season)	$15,800,000
Traded/Released Players (Not on roster at end of season)	$15,200,000
Declined Options	$16,600,000
Deferred Salaries	$2,800,000
Player Benefits	$18,000,000
Pre-Arbitration Bonus Pool	$1,666,666
Minor-League Contracts	$2,700,000
Total	$72,766,666

Some of those numbers will be in the 2026 payroll as well. Specifically, the last four numbers will be very similar to 2025. The first three will be different in 2026. For the moment, there will not be any options to consider after the 2026 season, so that number can be ignored.

As for the other two numbers, it’s difficult to include a solid projection. Those numbers can easily be inflated by circumstances during the season. For example, if we looked at the injured list at the end of 2024, that was highly inflated due to Yelich finishing the season on it. If we go back to 2022, the traded/release player number was significantly higher because Lorenzo Cain’s final year salary was included. That would also result in the active payroll having a lower figure due to the changes in players, but those numbers end up in the IL or traded/released categories instead.

There’s one other factor that Spotrac considers in their payroll estimate. Even though the initial projection factors in 26 players, Spotrac adds in the payroll for 12 additional pre-arbitration players. Considering the Brewers were paying for seven IL players and eight players not on the team anymore (not counting two who were paid under $10,000), adding in 12 more players is a reasonable estimate. Those 12 players would make $9.36 million total. (Spotrac uses a slightly higher $820,000 estimate for pre-arbitration players, but the CBA minimum is at $780,000.)

What we can expect for 2026 is similar to the 2025 payroll. In terms of cash payroll, the total will at most be around that $156 million mark. The Brewers have been in the $140-$156 million range in recent years and that likely will not change. With that in mind, here’s a comprehensive look at the estimated payroll for 2026.

Source	Amount
Initial Projected Roster	$104,040,000
Additional Roster Players	$9,360,000
Deferred Salaries	$2,800,000
Player Benefits	$18,000,000
Pre-Arbitration Bonus Pool	$1,666,666
Minor-League Contracts	$2,700,000
Initial Payroll Projection	$138,566,666

That leaves $17.4 million in potential additional payroll space. That extra space would be needed for the team to make in-season moves. It gives them the ability to take on money in contracts for players acquired by trade. It would also factor in contracts for players who make the team that are on minor league contracts (such as the recently signed Reese McGuire). It also gives them the opportunity to bring in a low-cost contract in spring training if the team has a sudden need.

With the overall quiet offseason for the Brewers, the payroll appears to be heading to a similar point in 2026. Any space remaining will be needed for in-season flexibility. There is potential for a smaller signing, since the team gained $7 million in space after trading Peralta. However, the team may be content to just save that money for now. If that’s the case, what we’re looking at will be close to the current spending plan for next season.

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