New Mexico
New Mexico oil, gas, 100 years after the big strike
By any standard, in the past decade oil production in New Mexico has attained world-class stature. In 2023, New Mexico produced about 1.8 million barrels per day (657 million barrels that year) of crude oil, 10 times more than 2010, thanks to investments in new fracking technologies. This quantity places New Mexico just about even with the oil-rich countries of Mexico, Kazakhstan and Norway, and slightly above Nigeria and Qatar. If New Mexico were a nation, it would rank 14th in the world in oil production, well above the OPEC countries of Libya, Algeria and Venezuela.
Visionary as they might have been, it seems unlikely Mary and Martin Yates, thrilled by the gushing black liquid at the Illinois #3 well in the spring of 1924, could have imagined exactly one century later their descendants would still be drilling in a New Mexico producing more oil than Qatar.
The New Mexico gross domestic product in 2023 totaled about $130 billion. About one-fifth — $26.1 billion — was generated by oil and gas. According to the New Mexico Tax Research Institute (NMTRI), total state and local government spending in 2023, including federal transfers, added up to $26.2 billion, out of which slightly more than half ($13.9 billion) came from direct and indirect taxes from the oil and gas industry.
Most taxes collected on oil and gas are placed into the General Fund, which also includes revenues from income, corporate and other taxes and fees. The General Fund funds the annual state government budget: schools and colleges, health care, public safety, etc. Other chunks of oil and gas taxes are placed into various funds to pay for roads; for local operating, and state and local capital expenses; to bolster state reserves; and to add to various permanent funds designed to accumulate state monies against the day when extractive industries have been depleted as significant sources for state revenues.
In 2023, the general fund contained $14.98 billion when the legislature convened. Fully half of this amount, $7.5 billion, was collected from oil and gas, according to NMTRI. The other funds received $6.4 billion in oil and gas taxes and fees. Those same taxes paid for nearly 58 percent of 2023 expenses for public and higher education. Twenty-seven percent of all state expenses for health and human services came out of oil and gas, and six percent of public safety expenses. Truly, in recent years, state government spending has dramatically increased its reliance on revenues from oil and gas. By contrast, between 1998 and 2008 energy-related revenues averaged only about 16 percent of the General Fund. From 2011 to 2021 they averaged about 33 percent. In 16 years, the proportion of the state budget reliant on oil and gas has more than tripled.
The oil boom will not last forever. Given that the state is hardly a paragon of excellent government management, there is an urgency to use these generous petrodollars to fix what needs fixing.
Most New Mexicans outside of the Oil Patch — San Juan County is included because of its huge production of natural gas and oil — appear not to have absorbed the full magnitude of the oil and gas bonanza. Most are vaguely aware of oil activity in the east side, but few have any idea of the massive scales or spreading impacts from this surging tide of cash. Consequently, citizens have largely left the management of these riches to the state Legislature and executive branch, with little discussion, much less public pressure about how to spend it. Likewise, the governor’s office and legislative leaders have made few serious remarks about what they might do with the most massive influx of tax dollars in state history. But if they hadn’t thought this through, they have not neglected to spend the money.
If NMTRI is correct, the $13.9 billion collected in taxes last year from oil and gas, if divided equally to every living person in the state, would amount to about $6,575 per person. The share for a family of four would be $26,300. A fair question is, does that family of four get that much value each year from the extra cash state government spends? Experience over the past century shows countries that rely heavily on oil revenues to fund government are highly prone to public corruption: look up corruption scores for Russia, Libya, Nigeria, Mexico, Venezuela, Iraq and Iran. They are also highly prone to neglecting investment in solid infrastructures for economic development when oil revenues have depleted.
The time is ripe for all of us to ask these questions of our governor and our legislators. Mary and Martin Yates, Tom Flynn, and Van S. Welch, if they were here, would surely join the crowd in asking.
Jose Z. Garcia taught politics at NMSU for more than three decades and served as Secretary of the NM Higher Education Department for four years.
New Mexico
Calm and warmer conditions move into New Mexico
Josh’s Saturday Night Forecast
NEW MEXICO (KRQE) – Calmer weather has moved back into the state this afternoon. Temperatures are slightly warmer across northwestern New Mexico, while southeastern areas are cooler thanks to the backdoor cold fronts that moved in on Friday. Breezier winds will return Sunday and will help kick off a warming trend across the state, along with an elevated fire threat in eastern New Mexico.
Warmer weather will continue building in across the state throughout the upcoming week. A few isolated rain chances will return Monday in parts of New Mexico, but some of that rain may evaporate before reaching the ground.
New Mexico
Below freezing temperatures to start the weekend
Good morning!
Heading out the door this morning? Bundle up! Cold air has settled into the Land of Enchantment after two cold fronts passed through New Mexico within the last 24 hours. Temperatures have fallen to the teens, 20s and 30s throughout northern New Mexico. The metro area is just as cold with Moriarty falling to the teens and several other cities bottoming out near the freezing point. The National Weather Service (NWS) has Freeze Warnings in place until 9 a.m. for several locations in northern and central New Mexico. However, one of the aforementioned cold fronts is still moving through eastern New Mexico this morning. That back door cold front has brought 30-45 mph wind gusts, or more, in southeastern New Mexico. The front will push west further west this morning bringing breezy winds to far south and southwestern New Mexico this afternoon. Otherwise, much calmer weather will be on tap for the state compared to the majority of this week.
The colder air this morning will bring cooler and seasonable weather to the Land of Enchantment later on Saturday. Afternoon highs will range from the high 50s, in sections of the northern mountains, to the 70s in southern New Mexico. Throughout the weekend into early next week a warming trend is expected as a ridge of high pressure builds on Sunday, which is forecasted to last through at least Tuesday. By next Tuesday, high temperatures will be 5 to 15 degrees above normal, and even warmer for some locations by next Wednesday with breezy conditions returning to the state.
Moisture does stream back into the state early next week across New Mexico. Tomorrow’s forecast is expected to have cloud coverage increase with warmer weather. On Monday sufficient moisture in the mid to upper levels of the atmosphere will bring the chance for showers; however, moisture levels toward the surface will be lower. That will also bring the chance for dry showers and thunderstorms throughout the state. Have a great weekend and stay warm this morning!
New Mexico
New Mexico man pleads no contest for his role in toddler’s death
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (KRQE) – A New Mexico man has taken a plea deal for his role in the death of a three-year-old girl more than two years ago. Police said that Kerri Santos brought her toddler to University of New Mexico Hospital, claiming that she fell and hurt herself. Medical staff determined the child was already dead when she arrived, and noticed signs of abuse, including evidence that she had been tied up. Police said that Santos and three others were staying at James Welch’s home when the abuse took place.
On Friday, Welch pleaded no contest to three counts of child abuse and tampering with evidence. He faces up to five years behind bars.
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