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Exit polls forecast decisive majority for Narendra Modi in India’s election

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Exit polls forecast decisive majority for Narendra Modi in India’s election

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Narendra Modi is poised to return for a third five-year term as India’s prime minister, according to four exit polls published on Saturday that projected a clear victory for his Bharatiya Janata party and its smaller allies.

Polls conducted by four Indian TV stations and agencies all showed the Modi-led National Democratic Alliance winning a comfortable majority of between 353 and 392 seats in India’s 543-seat Lok Sabha, or lower house.

That leaves Modi with a strong mandate to form the next government, taking him into a second decade as prime minister.

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In India’s last election in 2019 the NDA won 352 lower house seats. The Election Commission of India is due to report official results on 4 June.

The exit polls were released after a final round of voting in the marathon election ended on Saturday afternoon and a ban on the publication of opinion polls, imposed when voting in the seven-phase election started on 19 April, was lifted.

The election was held in stages because of the logistical challenges of casting and counting ballots and securing polling stations in a country with diverse geographies and nearly 1bn registered voters.

The results give the first indications of the shape of India’s next parliament after an election that many saw as a referendum on Modi’s decade in power. 

If the polls’ predictions are confirmed on Tuesday when official results are reported, the victory will bolster Modi’s image as one of the world’s strongest leaders at the helm of a fast-growing economy, at a time when its geopolitical clout is growing.

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Exit polls have in the past had a mixed record on predicting India’s elections, but in recent years proved to be a more reliable indicator of voters’ decisions. In 2014 and 2019 the exit polls correctly forecast victories for the BJP-led NDA, but were numerically inaccurate, projecting fewer seats than Modi’s bloc actually won. 

“I think this is exactly how things will pan out and we will see a resounding victory for Modi, for the BJP a third consecutive time around without any difficulty,” Shazia Ilmi, a national spokesperson for the BJP, told the Financial Times.

India’s 73-year-old leader campaigned on the slogan of “Modi’s guarantee”, a reference to government welfare programmes that benefit hundreds of millions of Indians, and his record on reducing poverty and developing the world’s fifth-biggest economy. India’s GDP grew at a better than expected rate of 7.8 per cent quarter-on-quarter in the three months to March, and its economy has been one of the world’s fastest-growing since the Covid-19 pandemic.

During the campaign the opposition INDIA alliance sought to attack the BJP on its economic record, including persistently high unemployment, and accused it of seeking to cripple the opposition by jailing two state leaders and freezing some Congress bank accounts on the eve of the election. 

Hours before the exit poll results were published, senior members of the opposition alliance, including Congress leaders Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi and Delhi chief minister Arvind Kejriwal, claimed that the opposition were themselves set to win. 

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Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge claimed that the INDIA alliance would get “at least 295+ seats” — winning the election. Kharge claimed the exit poll surveys were “government surveys because they have the means to manipulate data”. 

Madhavi Arora, lead economist at Emkay Global Financial Services in Mumbai, said in a note that the results “suggest a solid win for the NDA”, with “better traction for the BJP” in states like Maharashtra and southern India where opposition parties are strong. 

“While [the] final outcome may diverge from exit polls, a political continuity is likely to be good for risk assets in the immediate run and macro stability for the medium term,” she wrote.

This is a developing story . . .

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Winter storm brings heavy snow and ice to busy holiday travel weekend

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Winter storm brings heavy snow and ice to busy holiday travel weekend

A man cleans off his car of snow in Brooklyn after an overnight storm on Dec. 27, 2025 in New York City.

Spencer Platt/Getty Images


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A powerful winter storm is bringing extreme weather to the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and Northeast this weekend.

The National Weather Service (NWS) says the system will intensify over the next few days and conditions are expected through Tuesday.

“Arctic air will descend into the Plains beginning Sunday followed by a potent winter storm across the upper Midwest to the Great Lakes Sunday night to Monday,” according to a bulletin from the NWS posted on Saturday.

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Heavy snow and whiteout conditions are forecasted across parts of the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes region, causing “treacherous travel,” the NWS said. More than a foot of snow could fall along Michigan’s Upper Peninsula. Western New York and Northwest Pennsylvania are expected to receive lake-effect snow.

The storm has slammed the Northeast, dumping up to nearly 8 inches of snow on New York City and surrounding areas between Friday and Saturday. The weather snarled traffic along the I-95 corridor and disrupted air travel. Flight tracker, Flightaware.com, showed more than 1,000 delays across U.S. airports on Saturday evening. Nearly 1,000 flights were cancelled into, out of and within the U.S. as of Saturday evening.

The NWS is also warning of dangerous ice across parts of the Northeast, including ice accumulation of up to a quarter of an inch in eastern New York, parts of Connecticut and Massachusetts. Bitter wind chills as low as -35 degrees are expected in parts of North Dakota and up to -25 degrees in northern Minnesota.

Meanwhile, it will feel more like spring across parts of the South and into the Tennessee Valley, where temperatures could reach highs in the 70s for this time of year, according to forecasters.

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Roads could remain slick, icy Saturday morning in Philadelphia area, tracking another storm on the way

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Roads could remain slick, icy Saturday morning in Philadelphia area, tracking another storm on the way

Roads and sidewalks could be slick Saturday morning after the region saw a mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain overnight.

Thankfully, temperatures will get above freezing during the day, but there could be black ice overnight — and we’re tracking more precipitation still to come for your weekend.

Planning your Saturday

Slick roads and icy conditions continue into this afternoon, although we will see some good melting in many spots that hover above freezing. 

Tonight, everyone will dip below freezing again, so expect wet areas to become icy. Black ice will be a problem overnight and into early Sunday.  

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Saturday trends quieter overall, but travel remains an issue early. We’ve wrapped up our NEXT Weather Alert for this morning, with no additional wintry precipitation expected. Clouds lift through the day, though it stays seasonably cold and breezy.

Planning your Sunday

Sunday will start out cold but dry, a good time to get a run out to the store to get some groceries or return some gifts (the earlier, the better, as another weather maker arrives Sunday evening into Monday).

It’s a warmer system, so we’ll go from salting the driveway to needing the umbrellas, especially on Monday.

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The NEXT big weather change

Sunday turns milder as a warm front lifts north, bringing rain late in the day into Sunday night. Any brief freezing rain risk stays confined to the southern Poconos and far northwest New Jersey. 

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Monday is the highest-impact day, with temperatures surging into the 50s and low 60s ahead of a strong cold front, followed by showers, possibly a rumble of thunder, and very strong winds. Gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible, and wind advisories may be needed. 

Looking ahead, a fast-moving system late Thursday into Friday could bring a brief window of light snow, though confidence remains low. 

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Restrictions on the roadways

On Friday, PennDOT restricted speeds to 45 mph on these roads because of the weather: 

  • Interstates 76, 95, 295, 476, 676
  • U.S. Routes 1, 30, 202, 422
  • State Routes 63, 100 Spur and 309

PennDOT says restrictions will be lifted as soon as conditions are safe.

In New Jersey, acting Gov. Tahesha Way declared a state of emergency across the state because of the storm. 

The New Jersey Department of Transportation also enacted temporary restrictions starting Friday afternoon for tractor-trailers, empty CDL trucks, RVs, motorcycles, and passenger vehicles pulling trailers for I-78, I-80, I-280, I-287, and Route 440.

The state of emergency is in place until officials decide it’s no longer needed, an announcement from the governor’s office said.

Here’s your 7-day forecast:

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Saturday: NEXT Weather Alert for morning snow and ice. High 36, low 28.  

Sunday: Chance of rain late. High 40, low 26.

Monday: Mild with showers. High 56, low 36.

Tuesday: Windy and very cold. High 34, low 28.

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Wednesday/New Year’s Eve: Chilly end to 2025. High 37, low 27.

Thursday/New Year’s Day: Cold start to 2026. High 32, low 27.

Friday: Still cold but dry. High 36, low 23.

NEXT Weather Radars

Hourly Forecast 

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Marijuana rescheduling would bring some immediate changes, but others will take time

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Marijuana rescheduling would bring some immediate changes, but others will take time

Michael Stonebarger sorts young cannabis plants at a marijuana farm in Grandview, Mo., in 2022. President Trump set the process in motion to ease federal restrictions on marijuana. But his order doesn’t automatically revoke laws targeting marijuana, which remains illegal to transport over state lines.

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President Trump’s long-anticipated executive order to loosen U.S. restrictions on marijuana promises to bring immediate relief for cannabis businesses — but only in some respects. And although rescheduling it as a lower-risk drug is touted as opening a new era for cannabis research, experts say it’s not as simple as flipping a light switch.

“It’s hard to see the big headlines of, ‘Marijuana rescheduled to [Schedule] III; marijuana research will open,’” says Gillian Schauer, executive director of the nonpartisan Cannabis Regulators Association, which includes agencies from 46 states. “You know, those things are not true as of now.”

That’s because on its own, Trump’s Dec. 18 order isn’t enough to rewrite federal drug policy that has stood for more than 50 years.

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“The Controlled Substances Act [of 1970] does not grant any president the authority to unilaterally reschedule a drug,” Schauer says. Such changes are historically made through either a rulemaking process, or an act of Congress.

Many details will shape how the administration enacts Trump’s order, affecting the timeline and scope for easing marijuana restrictions. But when it does happen, rescheduling won’t automatically revoke federal laws targeting marijuana, and interstate marijuana commerce would remain illegal, Schauer says.

It’s not yet known how other policies might change.

“We don’t know what will happen to federal drug testing requirements,” Schauer says, until agencies issue guidance.

Here’s a rundown of other key questions raised by the rescheduling order:

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The time frame depends on which path the DOJ takes

Trump’s order directs Attorney General Pam Bondi to “take all necessary steps to complete the rulemaking process related to rescheduling marijuana to Schedule III” of the Controlled Substances Act “in the most expeditious manner in accordance with Federal law … “

The directive evokes the process that started under former President Joe Biden. Under his administration, both the Department of Health and Human Services and the Justice Department advanced a proposal to reclassify pot from Schedule I, meaning it has no medical use and a high potential for abuse, to the lower-risk Schedule III, which includes ketamine, Tylenol with codeine, and anabolic steroids.

The Trump administration could resume the process that was already underway under Biden. But the new executive order’s mention of the Controlled Substances Act’s Section 811 hints at a potential shortcut.

“That allows the attorney general to move a drug to whatever schedule they deem is best, without going through the usual steps that are needed to reschedule a drug,” Schauer says.

The streamlined process was meant to ensure the U.S. can do things such as complying with international drug treaty obligations. But a historic precedent also links it to cannabis: In 2018, it was used to schedule the CBD epilepsy drug Epidiolex, months after it became the first U.S.-authorized purified medicine derived from marijuana. The drug was placed in Schedule V, the least restrictive schedule.

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President Trump displays an executive order reclassifying marijuana as a less dangerous drug in the Oval Office on Dec. 18.

President Trump displays an executive order reclassifying marijuana as a less dangerous drug in the Oval Office on Dec. 18.

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Will the DOJ call for public comment?

The Trump administration’s approach to administrative hearings and public comment periods would also help determine the pace of rescheduling.

“I would anticipate, if they use that [expedited] option, that we would not see a comment period,” shortening the process, Schauer explains.

But rescheduling could take longer if the Justice Department follows the traditional, and lengthy, notice-and-comment process.

Again, Bondi has options that could speed things up. She could choose to issue a final rule after a public comment period, for instance, or do so without a comment period.

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“Some of the calculation for that may be on the legal end,” Schauer says. Noting that some anti-marijuana groups are vowing to file legal challenges to block rescheduling, she adds that the DOJ will likely have to balance Trump’s call for expedience with the need to defend its actions in court.

If the rule is published for comment, interest would likely be intense: In 2024, the DEA’s earlier proposed rescheduling rule for marijuana attracted more than 43,000 comments.

Cannabis firms would get tax relief, but credit cards remain forbidden

Sam Brill, CEO of Ascend Wellness Holdings, a multistate dispensary company, says rescheduling could bring a cascade of positive changes to his industry. But one benefit could come immediately, he says.

“The biggest thing that happens overnight is the 280E, the restrictive punitive tax code that is set on us,” would no longer apply to marijuana businesses, he says.

Like other businesses, Brill’s company is obligated to pay taxes on income. But because their core product is a Schedule I drug, the IRS says that under Internal Revenue Code Section 280E, they’re blocked from claiming common tax deductions, exposing them to a higher effective tax rate.

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Section 280E “does not allow us to basically deduct normal expenses that everyone else can deduct,” Brill says. “I can’t deduct the rent for my stores, the cost of my employees in those stores, my interest expense.”

Brill says that some cannabis companies, including his, say 280E should not apply to them — but the IRS disagrees. As a result, Brill says, his company sets aside a large reserve fund in case the IRS comes after them.

“For 2024 alone, the value of this reserve” was about $38 million, Brill says, “which includes interest and penalties.”

Brill hopes marijuana’s changing status might also eventually lead to other restrictions falling, especially the inability of cannabis operations to accept credit cards. Most financial institutions refuse to provide basic banking services to state-authorized marijuana businesses, due to potential liability.

“The lack of the use of a credit card is really one of the biggest challenges for customers,” he says. Citing the importance of payday, Brill says: “For us, Friday by far is the biggest day every single week because this is a cash business.”

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Medical research 

Scientists welcomed news in 2023 that the Biden administration was moving toward reclassifying marijuana, and Trump says his move will boost medical research. But both then and now, there are caveats.

One benefit of the new rules is that they wouldn’t require marijuana researchers to go through the onerous process of obtaining a Schedule I license, and they would also ease rigorous laboratory regulations.

“You have very stringent requirements, for example, for storage and security and reporting all of these things,” neuroscientist Staci Gruber, of McLean Hospital in Massachusetts and Harvard Medical School, told NPR last year.

But another obstacle promises to be more stubborn: finding marijuana to study. The U.S. requires researchers to obtain marijuana from a handful of sources, which is itself an improvement over decades in which they were compelled to use one facility based at the University of Mississippi.

And, as Schauer notes, federal rules about sourcing marijuana have been decided separately from the controlled substances schedule.

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“This does a little to make research easier,” Schauer says of the current rescheduling effort. “But there’s a lot that will still be challenging in researching cannabis unless we see a lot of agency policies change and adjust.”

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