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How the NBA's next TV deal could disrupt the media landscape

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How the NBA's next TV deal could disrupt the media landscape

It’s a good time to be in the sports business, and no one knows that better than the NBA.

In the coming weeks, the league is expected to announce a new game-changing multiyear media rights pact that reportedly will more than double its annual fees from TV and streaming outlets to $6 billion annually after the 2024-25 National Basketball Assn. season.

The deal has the potential to shake up the future of the current media landscape, as two streaming platforms are said to be in the running for exclusive games. The ongoing talks also could result in the loss of an NBA TV package for Warner Bros. Discovery’s TNT, which has made the league a cornerstone of its programming for more than three decades.

Amazon Prime Video is expected to get an exclusive package of games. It would be the second major sports property for the tech giant, which has the rights to NFL “Thursday Night Football” and will stream its first exclusive playoff game next season.

While streaming services have drawn users with the lure of high-quality original programs and movies, live sports is the most efficient way to attract massive audiences and build scale. Amazon’s bid coincides with its aggressive push into the TV advertising marketplace.

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The deep-pocketed Amazon, buoyed by its online retail business, has been able to spend aggressively for sports (it’s paying $1 billion a year to the NFL for Thursday games). Meanwhile, legacy media companies are under pressure to deal with rising costs while managing the declining revenues and profits for their traditional TV businesses.

While Amazon is expected to come away with a significant package, Walt Disney Co. likely will retain the rights to the NBA Finals. One of the crown jewels of TV sports, it would continue to air on broadcast network ABC.

Disney’s ESPN also would continue to carry regular-season and playoff games. Disney reportedly would pay $2.6 billion a year, up from $1.5 billion in the current deal that runs through the 2024-25 season.

Retaining the NBA would further solidify ESPN’s future as it prepares to offer its channels through a new streaming service aimed at consumers without a pay TV subscription. The plan is to make the direct-to-consumer version of ESPN available in 2025.

The wild card in the NBA talks is the entry of Philadelphia-based cable giant Comcast Corp., which reportedly has made a $2.5-billion bid for a package of games for streaming service Peacock and broadcast network NBC.

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If Comcast succeeds at the expense of Turner, it would be a significant blow to the latter’s parent company, Warner Bros. Discovery, especially from a public image standpoint. Warner Bros. Discovery’s stock has declined by 40% during the last year.

The popular “Inside the NBA,” with co-hosts Charles Barkley, Shaquille O’Neal, Ernie Johnson and Kenny Smith, has helped define TNT’s identity over the years. (Barkley has already said he has the option to leave TNT if the network loses the NBA.)

Ernie Johnson, left, Charles Barkley and Shaquille O’Neal of “Inside the NBA” at the 2020 Basketball Hall of Fame awards gala.

(Associated Press)

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Representatives for the NBA and the media companies all declined to comment.

Comcast’s offer appears to be aimed at boosting Peacock, which has struggled to reach profitability despite steady subscriber growth. The streaming platform, which currently has 34 million subscribers, has proven its ability to handle large live audiences. Its presentation of an NFL playoff game in January peaked at 16.3 million concurrent viewers.

A Comcast deal also would return the NBA to NBC, which held the league rights from 1990 to 2002 and brought the championships of Michael Jordan’s Chicago Bulls to living rooms across the country. The network also carried the league’s games from 1954 to 1962.

NBC reportedly is offering to carry two prime-time NBA games a week, according to the Wall Street Journal, which first reported the bid. Such a commitment demonstrates just how much traditional TV networks desire live sports, which has been a bulwark in the battle to retain viewers and advertising dollars.

Network audiences for scripted comedies and dramas have greatly diminished, as viewers now prefer to watch them on demand through streaming platforms. Viewers still have to make an appointment to view live sports, enhancing their value in the streaming age.

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If Comcast lands the NBA, NBC could have live sports in prime time several nights a week, as it already carries “NFL Sunday Night Football” and Big Ten college football on Saturdays.

“It’s indicative of the fact that sports draws a major audience unlike any other programming,” said Lee Berke, president of LHB Sports, Media & Entertainment.

NBC is hardly alone. Companies with broadcast networks and TV stations are all looking at adding live sports to their lineups, as the habit of watching shows in real time becomes a relic of the past.

If Turner loses the NBA, questions likely would be raised over Warner Bros. Discovery’s role in a planned joint venture with Disney and Fox Corp. The three companies announced in January that they are launching a streaming platform, carrying linear channels such as ESPN, TNT and Fox Sports.

Turner has the NHL, Major League Baseball and the NCAA men’s basketball tournament. But the NBA was a significant piece of its offering. Without it, Warner Bros. Discovery could end up with a smaller stake in the venture, according to people familiar with the discussions.

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There also could be long-term ramifications for Warner Bros. Discovery’s carriage arrangements with cable and satellite operators, who pay fees to carry its channels. The company would have to negotiate its next round of deals without offering the NBA at a time when such talks are increasingly contentious. Pay TV operators are battling to keep costs down as their customer base continues to shrink every year.

“WBD’s management has disclosed that a decent number of network carriage agreements are up for renewal next year making this a key focus for investors in the days ahead,” wrote analysts from the New York firm MoffettNathanson in a research report for clients.

The report noted that TNT commands around $2.6 billion in subscriber fees, accounting for 30% of Warner Bros. Discovery’s revenue from pay TV providers in the U.S.

People familiar with the NBA discussions say there is a chance that the league could put together a fourth package of games to accommodate both Comcast and Turner. But that would complicate life for the consumer looking for the next tip-off in an already fragmented media environment.

“When you offer up your games on four or five national outlets, it makes it more difficult for the fans to find out where the games are on,” Berke said.

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Ole Miss staffer references Aaron Hernandez while discussing ‘chaotic’ coaching complications with LSU

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Ole Miss staffer references Aaron Hernandez while discussing ‘chaotic’ coaching complications with LSU

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The chaos between LSU coaches who left Ole Miss alongside Lane Kiffin but are still coaching the Rebels in the College Football Playoff is certainly a whirlwind.

Joe Judge, Ole Miss’ quarterbacks coach, has found himself in the thick of the drama — while he is not headed for Baton Rouge, he’s had to wonder who he will be working with on a weekly basis.

When asked this week about what it’s like to go through all the trials and tribulations, Judge turned heads with his answer that evoked his New England Patriots days.

 

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Aaron Hernandez sits in the courtroom of the Attleboro District Court during his hearing. Former New England Patriot Aaron Hernandez has been indicted on a first-degree murder charge in the death of Odin Lloyd in North Attleboro, Massachusetts, on Aug. 22, 2013. (Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

“My next-door neighbor was Aaron Hernandez,” Judge said, according to CBS Sports. “I know this is still more chaotic.”

Hernandez was found guilty of the 2013 murder of Odin Lloyd, which occurred just three years into his NFL career.

“If you watch those documentaries, my house is on the TV next door,” Judge added. “The detectives knocked on my door to find out where he was. I didn’t know. We just kind of talked to the organization. But it was obviously chaotic.”

Aaron Hernandez was convicted of the 2013 murder of semipro football player Odin Lloyd. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

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Judge, though, was able to compare the two situations to see how players can combat wild distractions.

“Those players that year handled that extremely well. Came out of that chaos, and we had some really good direction inside with some veterans and some different guys. You have something like that happen — how do you handle something like that? How do you deal with something like that? So you keep the focus on what you can handle, what you can control, which at that time was football for us, and we went through the stretch, and we were able to have success that year,” Judge said.

Judge also compared this scenario to the 2020 NFL season when he was head coach of the New York Giants, saying he would have “no idea” who would be available due to surprise positive COVID-19 tests.

Head coach Joe Judge of the New York Giants looks on during the second quarter against the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium. The game took place in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Dec. 19, 2021. (Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

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The Rebels face Miami in the Fiesta Bowl, the College Football Playoff Semifinal, on Thursday night.

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Prep talk: Calabasas basketball team is surging with 11 wins in last 12 games

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Prep talk: Calabasas basketball team is surging with 11 wins in last 12 games

Calabasas pulled off a huge win in high school basketball on Tuesday night, handing Thousand Oaks its first defeat after 16 victories in a Marmonte League opener.

The Coyotes (13-5) have quietly turned around their season after a 2-4 start, winning 11 of their last 12 games.

One of the major contributors has been 6-foot-3 junior guard Johnny Thyfault, who’s averaging 16 points and has become a fan favorite because of his dunking skills. He also leads the team in taking charging fouls.

He transferred to Calabasas after his freshman year at Viewpoint.

As for beating Thousand Oaks, coach Jon Palarz said, “We got to play them at home and had great effort.”

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This is a daily look at the positive happenings in high school sports. To submit any news, please email eric.sondheimer@latimes.com.

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Hawks trade 4-time All-Star Trae Young to Wizards in blockbuster deal: reports

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Hawks trade 4-time All-Star Trae Young to Wizards in blockbuster deal: reports

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The Atlanta Hawks have parted ways with four-time NBA All-Star point guard Trae Young, trading him to the Washington Wizards in a blockbuster move, according to ESPN.

The Hawks will reportedly be receiving veteran shooting guard CJ McCollum and forward Corey Kispert in the deal. 

Washington was Young’s preferred destination, and the two sides were working on a deal to get the 27-year-old point guard to the nation’s capital.

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Trae Young of the Atlanta Hawks looks on during the game against the Boston Celtics during Round 1 Game 6 of the 2023 NBA Playoffs on April 27, 2023 at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia.   ( Adam Hagy/NBAE via Getty Images)

Young’s agents were having conversations with the Hawks, who sit at 17-21 so far this season, about trading their client out of Atlanta.

There is a mutual connection in Washington, too, as executive Travis Schlenk drafted Young fifth overall in 2018 out of Oklahoma.

It marks the end of an era for the Hawks. Young has been the focal point of their offense since he was taken in that draft. He is the team’s career leader in three-pointers and assists, having led the team to the postseason in three of his eight seasons. The Hawks went the furthest in 2021, where they made the Eastern Conference Finals.

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However, the new era was brewing already in Atlanta, with forward Jalen Johnson taking the next step in his career, averaging 23.7 points per game this season. The pickup of Nickeil Alexander-Walker also helps, as he’s averaged 20.5 points per game in 36 appearances.

Meanwhile, Young has played just 10 games this season, as he’s been dealing with leg injuries, most notably a right MCL sprain.

Trae Young #11 of the Atlanta Hawks looks on after the game against the Boston Celtics during Round One Game Five of the 2023 NBA Playoffs on April 25, 2023 at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. (Brian Babineau/NBAE via Getty Images)

The Hawks also get some flexibility on their books, as they could make some more moves. Anthony Davis is reportedly available from the Dallas Mavericks, making him a good target for Atlanta.

Young has $95 million remaining on his deal that runs through the 2026-27 season, which includes a player option this offseason.

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Atlanta will be taking on McCollum’s contract, though the veteran guard has a $30.6 million expiring deal.

Through his 10 games this season, Young is averaging 19.2 points, 8.9 assists and 1.5 rebounds per game, while shooting 41.5% from the field.

Trae Young of the Atlanta Hawks drives down the court during the first half against the Philadelphia 76ers at State Farm Arena on April 7, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Todd Kirkland/Getty Images)

Over his career, Young has dropped 25.2 points and 9.8 assists per game, while leading the league in the latter category last season with 11.6 per contest.

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