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Dramatic drop in Minnesota farm incomes

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Dramatic drop in Minnesota farm incomes


Last year was a rough year for Minnesota farmers, as lower prices for corn, soybeans and other commodities and challenging profitability for the dairy and hog sectors led to a drastic reduction in farm income.

Despite difficult growing conditions across much of the state, crop yields were close to average. But the prices for corn, soybeans, milk and pork fell during the year, causing an economic storm for many producers in Minnesota. On average, the farmers who submitted data to the analysis in 2023 averaged a net profit of 8 cents for every dollar in gross income, reflecting the high cost and thin margins of farming operations.

After three years of strong profits, the overall median net farm income for Minnesota farms fell to $44,719 in 2023, marking a return to the challenging levels faced from 2013 to 2019. This was down more than 76% from the previous year. The average Minnesota farm saw a reduction in working capital, stagnant retained earnings and limited profitability for the year.

“There was much uncertainty going into the 2023 production year for Minnesota farms. The sharp decline from 2022 profitability levels was not unexpected. Many farms were anticipating decreased commodity prices along with sticky input costs for the year,” says Pauline Van Nurden, Extension economist with the University of Minnesota’s Center for Farm Financial Management. “Most producers were in a good financial spot to handle a down year. The question now is how long these reduced profits will last.”

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This analysis includes 2,335 participants in the Minnesota State Farm Business Management programs and 113 members of the Southwest Farm Business Management Association. Participating farmers represent about 10% of Minnesota’s farms with gross incomes over $250,000 annually.

The data are collected by farm management educators and housed in the FINBIN database at U-MN.

Persistently high expenses hamper real gains

The median net income for crop farms was $45,760, more than an 80% drop from the previous year. Crop sale prices during the year were similar to those seen in 2022, but the lower profit stems from higher expenses and reduced inventory values at the end of the year. In other words, crops are likely to be sold in 2024 for a lower price. When considering cash flow projections for the coming year, the majority of farm operations anticipate negative margins.

Low prices and high costs also affected many Minnesota livestock producers. Milk prices declined by 21%; dairy farm profits were down 73% from the previous year. Pork prices declined 16%, with a median net pork farm income loss of more than $32,000.

Beef production was the bright spot last year. Beef producers experienced higher median net farm income as a group. These producers capitalized on the record beef prices offered in 2023.

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“Hog producers experienced the most challenging year on record, even worse than 1998. Thankfully, these producers had a strong financial foundation to lean on as they managed through the year. These producers lost nearly $30 per pig sold, which led to losing a half million dollars in working capital and a net worth loss year over year. Thankfully, pork prices have improved in early 2024, easing some challenges for these producers,” says Garen Paulson, lead field staff for the Southwest MN Farm Business Management Association.

“The Dairy Margin Coverage program provided needed support for dairy producers in 2023. This government program assisted producers as they managed through high feed costs and low milk prices,” says Nate Converse, farm business management instructor at Central Lakes College. “Without this program, dairy producers would have experienced a net farm income loss in 2023 as well. The coming year will be challenging too, given milk price futures and limited DMC program payments expected.”

Concern for 2024 prospects

There is much worry related to 2024 farm profitability in Minnesota. Farmers and consumers share many concerns, including inflation, rising interest rates and general economic uncertainty. The global market situation is also worrisome for Minnesota producers. Much of the future concern relates to decreased commodity prices, compressed margins and interest rate increases.

The latest USDA Farm Income Forecast echoes this concern. USDA’s February 2024 forecast predicts inflation adjusted net farm income will decrease more than 25% in 2024. If realized, this net farm income level would be well below the previous 20-year average.

“Input costs are typically ‘sticky’ for farmers. Commodity prices correct quickly, while input costs tend to stay high after they’ve increased. Over the last few years, machinery costs, land rent and fertilizer have all increased. These expenses don’t look like they will come down as fast as commodity prices falling,” Paulson says. “I encourage all farms to know their cost of production and focus on risk management planning for the coming year.”

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New programming

In addition to data for traditional commodity agriculture, several FINBIN initiatives added in recent years help address emerging questions in Minnesota agriculture.

New programming includes a beginning farmer program to help with farm transitions. Decision tools are being developed to help address questions related to climate and agriculture. Also added are analyses of value-added farm enterprises, which include secondary enterprises for the farm such as crop custom work operations, trucking enterprises and food sales.

“We are excited to dig into the information related to value-added farm enterprises. The reality today is many farms diversify their operations with ‘side-gig’ enterprises. Minnesota farmers are entrepreneurial, especially those just starting to farm. Value-added enterprises allow the farm to diversify income streams and tap into more niche markets. We hope to learn more about the impact of these value-added enterprises and how they add value to many farm operations,” says Tina LeBrun of the Minnesota State Southern Agricultural Center of Excellence.

Source: University of Minnesota Extension





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Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz on the defensive as fraud allegations mount after viral video uncovered Somali aid scheme

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Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz on the defensive as fraud allegations mount after viral video uncovered Somali aid scheme


Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz pushed back against the ever-growing fraud allegations levied against him in the disastrous aftermath of a viral video where an independent journalist cracked open a crucial part of the alleged Somali aid scheme.

A spokesperson for Walz, a Democrat who frequently provokes President Trump’s ire, addressed a bombshell video posted by conservative YouTuber Nick Shirley.

“The governor has worked for years to crack down on fraud and ask the state legislature for more authority to take aggressive action. He has strengthened oversight — including launching investigations into these specific facilities, one of which was already closed,” the spokesperson told Fox News.

Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz listens during a hearing with the House Oversight and Accountability Committee at the US Capitol on June 12, 2025 in Washington, DC. Getty Images

The spokesperson added that Walz has “hired an outside firm to audit payments to high-risk programs, shut down the Housing Stabilization Services program entirely, announced a new statewide program integrity director, and supported criminal prosecutions.”

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In the 43-minute video published on Friday, Shirley and a Minnesotan named David travel around Minneapolis and visit multiple childcare and learning centers allegedly owned by Somali immigrants.

Many were either shuttered entirely, despite signage indicating they were open, or helmed by staff who refused to participate in the video.

YouTuber Nick Shirley posted a mega-viral video on Friday uncovering new parts of the alleged Somali aid scheme. X / Nick Shirley

One of the buildings they visited displayed a misspelled sign reading “Quality Learing Center.” The ‘learning’ center is supposed to account for at least 99 children and funneled roughly $4 million in state funds, according to the video.

Shirley appeared on Fox News’ “The Big Weekend Show” on Sunday evening and boasted about his findings. He joked that the alleged scheme was “so obvious” that a “kindergartener could figure out there is fraud going on.”

“Fraud is fraud, and we work too hard simply just to be paying taxes and enabling fraud to be happening,” Shirley said.

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Shirley was kicked out for trespassing in one of the centers. X / Nick Shirley
Shirley joked that the alleged scheme was “so obvious” that a “kindergartener could figure out there is fraud going on. X / Nick Shirley

“There better be change. People are demanding it. The investigation have been launched just from that video alone. So there better be change, like I said we work way too hard to be paying taxes and not knowing where our money’s going,” he added.

Many officials have echoed Shirley’s calls for change, with FBI Director Kash Patel even announcing that the agency surged extra personnel to investigate the resources doled out to Minnesota. He said this is one of the first steps in a wide-reaching effort to “dismantle large-scale fraud schemes exploiting federal programs.”

FBI Director Kash Patel said the agency was fielding additional personnel to investigate fraud in Minnesota. FNTV

Federal investigators say half of the $18 billion granted to Minnesota since 2018 could have been stolen by fraudulent schemes — amounting to up to $9 billion in theft.

As of Saturday evening, 86 people have been charged in relation to these fraud scams, with 59 convicted so far.

Most of those accused of fraud come from Minnesota’s Somali community.

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Shirley’s mega-viral video cracked 100 million views Sunday night.



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FBI deploys more resources to ‘dismantle fraud schemes’ in Minnesota

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FBI deploys more resources to ‘dismantle fraud schemes’ in Minnesota


The FBI has deployed additional personnel and investigative resources to Minnesota to “dismantle large-scale fraud schemes exploiting federal programs”, director Kash Patel said on social media on Sunday.

The FBI director said the agency had already dismantled a $250m fraud scheme that stole federal food aid meant for vulnerable children during the Covid pandemic in a case that led to 78 indictments and 57 convictions.

Patel said the FBI believes “this is just the tip of a very large iceberg”. Some of those involved in the alleged scheme are being “referred to immigrations officials for possible further denaturalization and deportation proceedings where eligible”.

Patel’s comments comes after federal prosecutors estimate as much as $9bn has been stolen across schemes linked to the state’s Somalia population, a figure nearly equivalent to Somalia’s entire GDP.

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The FBI director also said he was aware of recent social media reports in Minnesota, which appears to refer to an online report by independent journalist Nick Shirley about a daycare center in Minneapolis that received $4m despite reportedly having no enrolled kids. The 42-minute video has been viewed 84m times since it was posted on 26 December.

Patel said the FBI had surged personnel and resources into the state before the video and attendant conversation escalated online.

The Trump administration has portrayed Minnesota’s Somali immigrant community as a locus of widespread fraud, much of it allegedly perpetrated during the Covid pandemic.

Last month, Donald Trump ended legal protections for Somalis in Minnesota and accused the state of being “a hub of fraudulent money laundering activity” under its Democratic governor, Tim Walz.

Somali Americans, Trump has said, “come from hell”, “contribute nothing” and should “go back to where they came from”. He has also described Minnesota’s Democratic representative Ilhan Omar as “garbage” and said “her friends are garbage.”

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Omar has called Trump’s “obsession” with her and Somali Americans “creepy and unhealthy.”

“We are not, and I am not, someone to be intimidated,” Omar said earlier this month, “and we are not gonna be scapegoated.”

Omar has accused agents with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) of pulling her constituents off the streets, including questioning her son. She has said she is being forced to address questions about her own immigration status.

In an interview with the Minnesota Star Tribune published on Friday, Omar called Trump’s immigration policy “cruel” during his first administration, “and now it’s just outright dangerous and severely inhumane” and “geared towards this sort of white supremacist view of what America should be”.

And she worries that “we’re not even at the worst yet, that there is probably more to come.”

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Omar has come under further pressure from the administration after it was revealed that her husband and former political consultant, Tim Mynett’s, $25m venture capital firm, Rose Lake Capital, recently purged key officer details from its website after questions were raised about the couple’s wealth.

The couple’s net worth surged 3,500% in just one year, according to reports, and their net worth is now anywhere between $6m and $30m. The venture capital firm alone, per the filing, is worth between $5m and $25m.

The firm’s officials and advisors that have been removed from Rose Lake Capital’s website include Adam Ereli, Barack Obama’s former ambassador to Bahrain; Max Baucus, Obama’s ambassador to China; Alex Hoffman, the former finance chair of the Democratic National Committee; and former DNC treasurer William Derrough.

Omar has not been accused of wrongdoing, but reports say that three people accused of defrauding the state have alleged ties to the congresswoman.

Asked about her support of the Meals Act, a bill that changed school meal reimbursement rules during the pandemic and has been connected to systems of fraud, Omar told Fox News Digital, it has not contributed to the fraud and “it did help feed kids”.

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Minnesota Lt. Gov. Flanagan Draws Right-Wing Backlash After Wearing Hijab in Solidarity With Somali Community

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Minnesota Lt. Gov. Flanagan Draws Right-Wing Backlash After Wearing Hijab in Solidarity With Somali Community


Native Vote. Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, a citizen of the White Earth Nation and a candidate for the U.S. Senate, is facing backlash from right-wing commentators after wearing a hijab during a visit to a mosque this month, a gesture she said was meant to show respect and solidarity with Muslim communities amid growing concerns about religious intolerance and hate.

In a video released on Christmas and aired on SomaliTV of Minnesota and later posted to YouTube, Flanagan is seen wearing a hijab while speaking in defense of Minnesota’s Somali community, which has been the target of repeated attacks by President Donald Trump.

At a cabinet meeting Tuesday, Trump said he does not want Somali people in the United States.

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“They contribute nothing. I don’t want them in our country. Their country is no good for a reason. Your country stinks and we don’t want them in our country,” Trump said.

Flanagan, who has served as an elected official in Minnesota for more than a decade — first as a state representative and now as lieutenant governor — expressed a sharply different view.

“I am incredibly clear that the Somali community is part of the fabric of the state of Minnesota,” Flanagan said while speaking at Karmel Mall in Minneapolis alongside local officials.

Her remarks come as federal immigration agents have stepped up arrests of people in the country illegally who are linked to serious crimes in the Twin Cities area, and as Minnesota continues to see ongoing fraud investigations.

Flanagan, who identifies as Catholic on her campaign website, sought to reassure members of the Somali community during her visit.

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“We’ve got your back,” she said. “Things are scary right now, and just know that there are more people who are looking out for you than you know.”

The appearance drew swift criticism online from some pro-Trump commentators. Far-right activist and former congressional candidate Laura Loomer wrote, “Any politician who embraces Islam must be removed from office.” Former Trump strategist Steve Bannon also criticized the visit, writing that it amounted to Christians and Catholics “bending the knee” to appease what he described as an “entitled Somalian thug ethos.”

Muslim women say wearing a hijab is both a personal expression of faith and, for many, a religious obligation, though practices vary. Advocates note that misunderstandings about the garment have often fueled discrimination.

Flanagan said the visit reinforced her commitment to opposing hate and supporting religious freedom.

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“Minnesota’s strength is its diversity,” she said. “Everyone deserves to feel safe practicing their faith and living openly as who they are.”

The visit comes as state and local leaders nationwide grapple with rising hate crimes and efforts to build trust across communities. For Flanagan, she said, that work begins with showing up.

“While the lieutenant governor was showing her support for small businesses and communities being terrorized by ICE, she was handed a scarf by a friend and briefly wore it out of respect,” said Alexandra Fetissoff, a spokesperson for Flanagan.

“The real outrage should not be a scarf, but masked men throwing American citizens into vans and violating the Constitution,” Fetissoff said.

Flanagan is running in the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party primary for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Sen. Tina Smith, who is not seeking reelection in November 2026. Her main opponent is U.S. Rep. Angie Craig.

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Levi Rickert
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Levi “Calm Before the Storm” Rickert (Prairie Band Potawatomi Nation) is the founder, publisher and editor of Native News Online. Rickert was awarded Best Column 2021 Native Media Award for the print/online category by the Native American Journalists Association. He serves on the advisory board of the Multicultural Media Correspondents Association. He can be reached at [email protected].






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