Connect with us

Finance

Will the new Indonesian Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance really serve its national interest?

Published

on

Will the new Indonesian Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance really serve its national interest?

On 20 February 2024, the Indonesian Financial Services Authority (OJK) updated its “Indonesian Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance” (TKBI for short in Bahasa). Ideally, such a taxonomy would make it easier to understand how finance is used in ways that are environmentally sustainable. However, the revised TKBI muddies the waters, potentially leading to confusion among investors and financiers. Additionally, it creates difficulties in harmonizing with sustainability standards set by other countries and regions.

The TKBI states that the aim is for the standards to be “interoperable with other taxonomies” and “supporting national interests.” However, as it is currently designed, the TKBI complicates the achievement of these objectives, putting at risk the green credentials of Indonesia’s processed metal exports.

On a positive note, the TKBI aligns with the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) taxonomy, by categorizing activities according to four broad Environmental Objectives – climate change mitigation, adaptation, ecosystem and biodiversity protection, and transition to a circular economy. It marks an improvement over the previous Indonesia Green Taxonomy by clearly demarcating activities into three categories: “green,” “transitional,” and a third, “doesn’t meet criteria,” for activities that don’t meet the standards.

Similar to the Singapore taxonomy, the TKBI includes provisions for financing aimed at accelerating the closure of coal-fired power plants (CFPP). This approach is designed to support Indonesia’s efforts to retire coal plants in line with the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) and Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM) plans, despite their limited progress to date.

However, these positives are significantly undermined by the TKBI’s decision to classify financing for new coal-fired power plants as “transitional.”

Advertisement

Calling new coal-fired power plants a transition asset is quite a stretch

The TKBI classifies financing for CFPP as a “green” activity if the power plant is captive to a unit involved in the processing or mining of minerals deemed critical to the energy transition. The OJK has sought to justify this inclusion by emphasizing the end use of these minerals in advancing the energy transition, for example, in electric vehicles and battery storage systems. Furthermore, it mandates that these power plants must close by 2050 and reduce their emissions by 35% by 2030 compared to the 2021 Indonesian average. Captive power plants established up until 2030 are considered eligible.

Classifying new CFPPs as “transitional” is an approach that is neither standard nor science-based, particularly when juxtaposed with efforts to expedite the closure of existing grid-connected coal plants. Such a move calls into question Indonesia’s commitment to lowering emissions according to its Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement.

An IEEFA report has highlighted that the combined capacity of the captive power plants, which are either planned or being built, amounts to 21 gigawatts (GW). This represents 52% of Indonesia’s current  total power capacity and would result in a 17% increase in the country’s demand for coal.

Additionally, the technical specifications and criteria laid down are either too lax or aspirational. A power plant activity qualifies as transitional if it emits less than 510 grams of carbon dioxide per kilowatt-hour (gm/KWh) over its lifecycle. Under the ASEAN taxonomy, such levels would be classified as Level 3, which is the category for the highest emissions and the least preferred level. It is important to note that the ASEAN taxonomy plans to phase out this category by 2030, but the TKBI does not specify an end date for it.  

Advertisement

Moreover, the TKBI requires these power plants to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by at least 35% within their first 10 years of operation compared to the average emissions of CFPPs in Indonesia in 2021. This again translates broadly to the 510gm/KWh level (the International Energy Agency in 2022 estimated an emissions intensity of 750gm/KWh for the electricity sector). In other words, under the TKBI, coal-fired power generation would remain acceptable, even if such plants only manage to meet this minimal standard after a decade, which is beyond the phase-out period set by the ASEAN taxonomy.  

There also appears to be a hope that carbon capture technologies – and the entire transportation and subsurface storage infrastructure chain that needs to accompany them – would develop within these 10 years and allow for a sharp reduction in emissions.

However, IEEFA has presented reasons as to why such hopes are likely to be unfulfilled. The TKBI also appears to implicitly recognize this likelihood by allowing carbon offsets to be used to meet this requirement. This again flies in the face of science-based targets for reducing emissions.

If the 35% reduction target is not met using carbon offsets and if carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology does not advance as hoped, what is the likely outcome? According to data from the IEA, in 2020, 7% of Indonesia’s operational power generation capacity was between 30-40 years old. PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), the Indonesian state-owned utility, also seems to work with the assumption that a power plant has a 30-year operational lifespan.

In this context, it raises the question: would a 10-year-old power plant be decommissioned? If so, who would bear the financial loss: the plant owners, the public, or the financiers?

Advertisement

A recent joint study by McKinsey and the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has estimated that reducing a CFPP’s operational life by five years can decrease its value by $70 million per GW, with an additional loss of $20 million for every subsequent year its economic life is curtailed. This reduction in economic life is also estimated to correspond to a cost increase of 1 US cent per kilowatt-hour (USc1/KWh).

Taking these estimates into account, a captive power plant that starts operations in 2029 would have its effective economic lifespan reduced to only 21 years if it adheres to the 2050 closure deadline. According to the McKinsey and MAS study, this could result in a financial loss of $150 million per GW and an increase in power costs by 2 US cents per kilowatt-hour (USc2/KWh). If the plant were to shut down after just 10 years, the projected financial loss would surge to $370 million per GW.

The revised Indonesia Taxonomy is unlikely to satisfy the requirements of financiers or end customers

Indonesia’s efforts to contribute to the green transition and its intention to enhance the value of its mineral resources to benefit its economy are notable. However, the decision to classify new coal-generated power as “green” and to set permissive standards could undermine the credibility of its taxonomy and cast doubt on the government’s climate commitments.

Financiers who are subject to various international standards may find the Indonesian taxonomy’s unique classifications problematic. This divergence could render Indonesia less attractive for investments than other jurisdictions as financiers would need to do extra due diligence on the sustainability of their investments, thereby increasing their costs or possibly leading them to opt out of financing altogether.

Advertisement

Moreover, the end-users of these minerals, especially those in the electric vehicle (EV), battery, and energy storage sectors, are increasingly concerned about the carbon footprint of the materials they use. This concern is becoming a more prominent factor in supply chain management decisions.

The lenient approach to defining what constitutes sustainable activities introduces additional risks to these projects, to the financiers backing them, and eventually, to the Indonesian public, should the state have to absorb some of the financial impact. Despite its aims, the new taxonomy might ultimately not align with national interests in the long run. Instead, it could lead to Indonesia being seen as less appealing for financial investment and may not contribute to the desired reduction in emissions.  

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Finance

Canada to create powerful financial crimes agency as US weakens its approach

Published

on

Canada to create powerful financial crimes agency as US weakens its approach

Canada is to establish a new and powerful law enforcement agency to investigate financial crime, in stark contrast to the US, where weakened federal investigators have struggled to pursue fraudsters and the White House has pardoned convicted money launderers.

A bill to create the Financial Crimes Agency (FCA) completed its first reading in parliament this week. The legislation was introduced by the governing Liberals and with their parliamentary majority, the party is likely to move it through both levels of government quickly.

The new agency, tasked with investigating and prosecuting financial crimes, is the result of a public inquiry that found Canada lacked a cohesive strategy against money laundering, placing it behind its international peers.

Jessica Davis, a former intelligence analyst with Canada’s spy agency who focuses terrorism and illicit financing, said: “The fact we’re actually seeing the creation [of a] new enforcement agency is a meaningful investment and hopefully signals the understanding of the seriousness of the challenge.”

In addition to a new law enforcement agency, Canada will ban cryptocurrency ATMs, which officials say have been used by scammers to defraud victims and by criminals to launder the proceeds of crime. Canada has nearly 4,000 cryptocurrency ATMs, the most per capita in the world.

Advertisement
A customer using the world’s first permanent bitcoin ATM, unveiled at a coffee shop in Vancouver in 2013. Photograph: Andy Clark/Reuters

For more than a quarter of a century, the financial transactions and reports analysis centre (Fintrac) has functioned as Canada’s financial intelligence unit. Last year, the agency uncovered $45bn in transactions from money laundering, counterterrorist financing, sanctions and evasion disclosures.

“It’s a figure that could be too high or far too low – we just don’t fully know the scope of financial crime in this country,” said Davis, who runs the consulting firm Insight Threat Intelligence.

Fintrac does not track and arrest criminals, instead handing off its investigations to the police and prosecutors. Under the new legislation, the newly formed FCA will investigate and prosecute – a move that lessens the scope and mandate of Fintrac and the Royal Canadian Mounted Police, the country’s federal law-enforcement authority.

“The challenge for the RCMP is that it has been unable and unwilling to actually investigate and sustain investigations related to financial crimes,” said Davis. “There is a lack of funding, a lack of skills, lack of resources and a lack of political will. But financial crimes investigations are long, complex and require sustained resources, which I’m hopeful we’re now going to see put in place.”

A 2024 report on the scale of financial crimes estimated that more than US$3tn in illicit funds had moved through the global financial system in the previous year. Among the largest culprits were money laundering for human and drug trafficking, as well as terrorist financing. A 2024 report from the US treasury department found those efforts had had “devastating economic and social impact” on citizens.

Advertisement

The Canadian effort marks a stark contrast to the approach taken by the current US administration to the scourge of financial crime. Donald Trump’s government issued a high-profile pardon of Changpeng Zhao after the self-styled “king” of cryptocurrency pleaded guilty to money laundering charges. His company, Binance, had been ordered to pay a record $4.3bn penalty for its role in facilitating terrorist financing.

Changpeng Zhao, the founder of Binance, at a conference in Paris in 2022. Photograph: Benoît Tessier/Reuters

In a January letter to federal watchdogs, senior Democrats called for an investigation into Trump’s decision to shift more than 25,000 personnel away from investigating fraud, tax evasion and money laundering in favour of immigration enforcement.

“The Trump administration is letting white-collar criminals off the hook for all kinds of wrongdoing,” senator Elizabeth Warren, from Massachusetts, said in a statement. “Instead of protecting American families from fraud and predatory behaviour, the administration is diverting resources to pursue its inhumane immigration agenda. Nobody is above the law, and the Trump administration needs to stop treating white-collar criminals with kid gloves.”

“Canada and the US are diverging,” said Davis, adding that the US was still “far ahead of us in terms of its ability to prosecute and invest, investigate and prosecute” financial crimes. “We’re still playing quite a bit of catchup now. Hopefully Canada will shore up our own abilities to protect Canada. Because the things that happen in the US do tend to happen in Canada. And so this new agency is a bulwark against that.”

The creation of a new law enforcement agency was applauded by anti-corruption groups. Salvator Cusimano, the executive director of Transparency International Canada, said: “The [Canadian] government is proposing an ambitious but realistic mandate for this agency, which bodes well as a much-needed first step in improving our enforcement of financial crimes.

Advertisement

“Once established, the agency must coordinate closely with other enforcement and regulatory agencies across the country, and build on their efforts, if it is to achieve its potential.”

It is unclear how easily the agency will work alongside the RCMP, where it will be based and whether it will draw key resources from other units.

Davis said: “This agency is going to matter to Canadians because when you start to combine things like economic pressures, the cost of living and really difficult sort of existence for everyday people, we start to have less tolerance for people making money off of us.

“This is a massive and necessary investment for Canada. But we’ll also have to keep pressuring the government to continue to fund it, continue to prioritise it, to actually get some of those outcomes that we’re looking for.”

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Finance

Canada will be the headquarters for a future NATO-linked financial institution, official says

Published

on

Canada will be the headquarters for a future NATO-linked financial institution, official says

TORONTO (AP) — Canada has been selected as the headquarters for a new, financial institution led by NATO and designed to reduce borrowing costs for members of the alliance, a senior government official said on Wednesday.

According to the official, the decision was reached after negotiations hosted by Canada involving nearly 20 founding members of NATO’s proposed Defense, Security and Resilience Bank, or DSRB.

The financial institution is meant to help NATO members and partner countries meet their defense spending commitments and reduce borrowing costs for military spending by pooling credit strength.

The official spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity as they were not authorized to speak ahead of an official announcement. The official said they did not know which city in Canada would be the institution’s headquarters.

Earlier, Ontario Premier Doug Ford cited a report about Canada being selected as the headquarters and pitched in a post on social media that it be in Toronto, saying it’s “an opportunity to put Canada” at the center of global defense finance and manufacturing.

Advertisement

“As our nation’s financial capital, with a skilled workforce and unparalleled global connectivity, there’s no better place for the bank to be headquartered than Toronto,” Ford said.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government has said it will meet NATO’s military spending guideline.

NATO countries, including Canada, have pledged to spend 5% of their national GDP on defense. Carney said last year the government would meet the earlier 2% target this year, then later the same month committed Canada to reaching 5% by 2035.

European allies and Canada have already been investing heavily in their armed forces, as well as weapons and ammunition, since Russia launched an all-out invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022.

U.S. President Donald Trump has previously complained that Canada doesn’t spend enough on its military.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Finance

Senate Approves 2026 School Finance Act — Colorado Senate Democrats

Published

on

Senate Approves 2026 School Finance Act — Colorado Senate Democrats

DENVER, CO – Today the Senate voted to approve the 2026 School Finance Act, sponsored by Senator Chris Kolker, D-Centennial.

“As Chair of the Senate Education Committee, upholding our promise to Colorado students, teachers, and schools is my number one priority,” said Kolker. “During an extremely challenging budget year, we worked hard to ensure we don’t backslide on the important progress we’ve made to eliminate the Budget Stabilization Factor and drive more funding to our schools. While there is much more work to do to ensure Colorado is a national leader in public education funding, I’m proud that despite budgetary constraints we were successfully able to increase per pupil funding and protect funding for Colorado’s public schools.”

Also sponsored by Senator Barb Kirkmeyer, R-Weld County, SB26-023 sets statewide per pupil funding at $12,316 for Fiscal Year 2026-2027, an increase of $440 as compared to FY 2025-2026 funding levels, bringing total K-12 funding for the upcoming fiscal year to $10.2 billion and increasing total program funding by $194.8 million. The General Fund contribution to K-12 education is increasing significantly thanks to the Kids Matter Fund created by Democrats last year, which is forecast to invest more than $216 million in Colorado’s schools next year. 

Under SB26-023, the new school finance formula (HB24-1448) is implemented at 30 percent and includes a three-year averaging model to help stabilize school funding in a declining enrollment environment. This follows requirements in last year’s School Finance Act that phased in the implementation of the new school funding formula at 15 percent per year for six years, and then 10 percent for the final seventh year of implementation.

This year, Democrats also increased funding by $14 million to continue free preschool access for all Colorado kids and increased funding by $38 million to implement the voter-approved Proposition MM to preserve access to free school meals for students.

Advertisement

SB26-023 now moves to the House for further consideration. Track its progress here.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending