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Vote on new Commission signals EU Parliament instability and ambiguity

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Vote on new Commission signals EU Parliament instability and ambiguity

The European Commission was approved by the Parliament with the lowest support ever, and it’s not clear which political groups it can count on. But it is not necessarily a bad thing for Ursula von der Leyen.

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Ursula von der Leyen’s new European Commission received the green light from the Parliament, but the outcome of the vote portends stormy waters more than plain sailing.

The 370 votes in favour represent 54% of all votes cast, and even less (51%) of the total number of MEPs, 719. For one reason or another, only one in two lawmakers was able to endorse the new college of commissioners.

This is the slimmest majority in history for a new Commission, and in hindsight, there may be no stable majority at all during the five-year legislature.

How many groups will form the majority?

The voting records highlight how the three centrist groups that formed the previous legislature’s majority could not guarantee a simple majority in the chamber.

The European People’s Party (EPP), Socialists and Democrats (S&D), and Renew Europe accounted for 308 votes together—far from the threshold of 360 votes.

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For different reasons, the centre-right EPP and centre-left S&D suffered significant defections. Spain’s Partido Popular, an EPP member with 22 MEPs, voted against the new college because it includes Spanish Vice President Teresa Ribera, a member of its rival centre-left PSOE (S&D) party.

Belgian and French Socialists opposed von der Leyen’s choice of conservative right-wing Italian, Raffaele Fitto, as vice president, which also lost votes from a couple of Italian Socialist MEPs. The 14 German S&D MEPs either voted against or abstained.

This does not mean that these groups will always be split on legislative issues, but it means that to guarantee a majority to pass legislation, some form of political crutch will likely be needed, whether from the right or the left of the hemicycle.

“I believe that we could also find some consensus, some agreement with the Greens on the one hand, or the European Conservatives and Reformists on the other hand,” David McAllister, a prominent, veteran German EPP MEP, told Euronews.

This had always been planned by EPP leader Manfred Weber, who envisaged a “broad centre in the European Parliament, from the Greens to ECR” during a press conference the day before the vote.

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However, neither the Greens nor the ECR have entirely supported the European Commission. The Greens/EFA group was split, with 27 votes in favour, 19 against, and six abstentions, while the ECR had 39 lawmakers against, 33 in favour, and four abstentions.

Greens and Conservatives at odds with each other

Above all, these two groups do not seem eager to cooperate with one another.

“There is not a real majority today in the European Union. […] Manfred Weber thinks that it can one day turn to the far right to build relationships or alliances, destroying environmental laws in particular. And then the next day, when it suits them, turn to the coalition of democrats and pro-European forces. It’s absolutely unworthy,” Green MEP Marie Toussaint, who voted against the college along with her entire French delegation, told Euronews.

Other Green members voted in favour of the new Commission but continue to highlight their disagreement with what they see as a clear shift to the right. “We still have fundamental problems with Fitto as executive vice president, and we really think that is a mistake. But it is also clear that we do want to work now,” Greens/EFA co-chair Bas Eickhout told Euronews after the vote.

On the other side, Conservative MEPs who supported the Commission claim their choice was made precisely to reverse the Green Deal and change the previous legislature’s policies. “There may be different numbers in this Parliament compared to the previous one. I think that the role of the European Conservatives will be to really move the axis of this European legislature rightwards,” Carlo Fidanza, head of the Brothers of Italy delegation—the largest in the ECR—told Euronews.

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Lawmakers from ECR’s Polish member party PiS voted against the Commission, but this did not concern ECR’s co-chair Nicola Procaccini, who recalled the group’s tradition of allowing delegations freedom of choice.

Nor does he feel he belongs to a new majority, indeed in his words, “there is no majority”.

“In the EU, the Commission is not linked to a majority in the European Parliament. There was no ‘Ursula majority’ last time, and there is no majority now. Each vote will have a different majority, based on contents,” he claimed during a press briefing.

This is the prevailing sentiment in Strasbourg after the vote, and the President of the European Commission likely knows it. Ursula von der Leyen never mentioned the word “majority” during her long speech presenting the college of commissioners to the Parliament, nor did she mention any political groups she plans to rely on.

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Her mantra remains cooperation with “pro-EU”, “pro-Ukraine”, and “pro-rule of law” political forces, adaptable to the Greens or the Conservatives depending on the circumstances and the topics at hand.

On the other hand, the European Parliament can continue its legislative work even if fractured and with an unstable majority, according to German Socialist MEP René Repasi, who believes the “real work” is done at the technical level in the EP’s committees.

“[This situation] basically means that we need to trust more that compromise amendments forged at a committee level will be respected by the plenary,” he told Euronews. “If we make compromise amendments in committees, we do not reopen them here in the plenary. I think there is a way we can move forward.”

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Images show new novel Chinese military aircraft designs, experts say

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Images show new novel Chinese military aircraft designs, experts say
Blurry images of two seemingly new Chinese military aircraft with stealthy characteristics appeared online on Friday, with defence experts saying they were clearly advanced designs, but there was not enough detail for definitive conclusions.
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Palestinian official predicts Trump will 'destroy' Iran, leading to breakdown of remaining Hamas cells: report

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Palestinian official predicts Trump will 'destroy' Iran, leading to breakdown of remaining Hamas cells: report

A Palestinian Authority (PA) official reportedly predicted that President-elect Donald Trump will “destroy Iran” and that Tehran’s weakening will effectively break down the remaining Hamas terror cells. 

Mohammad Hamdan, secretary-general of the PA’s ruling Fatah Party, reportedly made the comments to the New York Post on Dec. 19 during a meeting between the outlet and other top PA leaders in Nablus, about an hour south of the West Bank city of Jenin, where Western-backed PA forces have launched security operations against armed extremists aligned with Hamas this month. 

The Post first reported the conversation on Monday. 

“We are confronting Hamas’ ideology. Our problem is with Hamas’ link to regimes outside Palestine,” Hamdan told the Post, referencing Iran specifically. 

ISRAELI SPY NETWORK UNCOVERS HEZBOLLAH COMMANDER’S PLANS TO MARRY HIS 4 MISTRESSES

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Palestinian security forces stand on guard during the funeral of Ibrahim Qaddoumi, a member of the Palestinian Authority who was killed during armed clashes between Palestinian security forces and gunmen in the Jenin refugee camp, on Dec. 27, 2024 in Nablus, West Bank. (Nasser Ishtayeh/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

“We see that Trump and the ruling government in Israel are planning to destroy Iran, so Hamas [followers] will have no other choice than to become Palestinian,” he added. 

A group of more than a dozen extremists stole two PA vehicles and paraded them down the streets of Jenin while waving Hamas and ISIS flags on Dec. 6, according to the Post. 

Since then, PA forces have killed at least three extremists in the West Bank town and have vowed to arrest or “eliminate” the remaining people responsible. 

Fatah suffered a major defeat in the 2006 election, resulting in rival Hamas seizing control of the Gaza Strip, hardening Islamic-extremist rule and launching repeated attacks on Israel.

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The tipping point came when Hamas terrorists launched their coordinated attack on southern Israel from Gaza on Oct. 7, 2023, killing more than 1,200 people and taking more than 250 hostages.  

As Israel has decimated Hamas in the Gaza Strip since then, the PA, which is backed by the U.S. and other Western governments, appears to be positioning itself to resume governance of Gaza once the war ends. 

“Hamas rejects international legitimacy, meaning UN resolutions,” Hamdan said. “The world cannot accept a situation where a party does not accept international resolutions.”

Hamas and other Islamic extremist groups have sown distrust of the PA, accusing it of coordinating closely with Israel on past security raids on Jenin. 

The Jewish state in the past has cracked down on Jenin, which has long been considered a terrorist stronghold. The PA security forces had until recently little presence there until its new security operations this month.

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Palestinian Authority demonstration

A large banner depicting Palestinian President Mahmud Abbas hangs as supporters of the Fatah movement rally ahead of the 60th anniversary of its establishment and in support of the Palestinian Authority’s security operation in the Jenin camp for Palestinian refugees on Dec. 29, 2024. (JAAFAR ASHTIYEH/AFP via Getty Images)

ISRAELI OFFICIAL REVEALS HOW ‘TO TRULY DEFEAT HEZBOLLAH’

At least three PA security force members have been killed, including a captain in the intelligence services, during armed clashes with extremists, The Associated Press reported. The PA has arrested dozens of people.

The Post said the PA leaders they interviewed condemned Israel’s increased settlements in the West Bank but said they supported the Jewish state’s right to exist. 

Hamdan also reportedly told the Post that PA President Mahmoud Abbas – who slammed Israel and the United States before the United Nations General Assembly earlier this year – “still supports realistic relations with the Americans in order to achieve the aspirations of the Palestinians.” However, the secretary-general also argued that failed U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East was responsible for growing Islamic extremism. 

Palestinian Authority funeral procession

Palestinian security forces march with the body of Ibrahim Qaddoumi, a Palestinian Authority member killed during armed clashes between Palestinian security forces and gunmen in the Jenin refugee camp, on Dec. 27, 2024 in Nablus, West Bank. (Nasser Ishtayeh/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

“Look what happened in Syria. First, the U.S. declared the rebels to be al Qaeda, and then [last week] an American delegation visited Syria,” Hamdan told the Post. “And the one before that, when the Americans struck deals with the Taliban in Afghanistan. We as Palestinians believe that most of these extremist Islamic groups are produced by America by its effort to create a new Middle East.” 

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On the issue of post-war Gaza governance, one Israeli official told the Post that the PA remained an option but would need to stop “the corruption” and “funding terrorism” on Israeli settlers in the West bank. 

The official acknowledged though that the PA could have “a historically unprecedented opportunity” to return to its control of the Palestinian territories. 

The PA’s opposition to Hamas could provide unique leverage to “participate in day-after talks,” the Israeli official added. 

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Gaza’s 2024: A year of war and misery

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Gaza’s 2024: A year of war and misery

Palestinians in Gaza are entering the new year as defenceless and beleaguered as the last.

Israel’s war on the enclave continued into 2024, killing 23,842 people and wounding 51,925 during this year alone, driving the grisly official death toll to 46,376, according to the Gaza Health Ministry.

Israel has used siege and starve tactics, as well as scorched earth bombardment, drawing accusations that it is committing genocide, from rights groups and United Nations legal bodies.

All documented Israel’s systematic targeting of hospitals, displacement shelters, aid workers, journalists and so-called safe zones, which are often anything but.

In northern Gaza, the Israeli army has imposed a full and suffocating siege in an attempt to starve fighters and push out civilians, in what has been called “ethnic cleansing”.

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These tactics violate international law and are creating the conditions to kill a people “in whole or in part”, matching the definition of genocide in the UN’s Genocide Convention, rights groups say.

“This last year has been very dark for us. How can I describe it in any other way? It’s been more than torturous,” said Eman Shaghnoubi, 52, from Deir el-Balah in Gaza.

“We have moved from one humiliation to another,” she added, remarking on the perpetual displacement of Palestinians in the enclave.

Eman Shaghnoubi stands with her children inside their small modest tent which has been soaked by the rainfall in Deir el-Balah, Gaza [Maram Humaid/Al Jazeeara]

Within Gaza

Israel has rendered 34 hospitals in Gaza “nonfunctional” and forced 80 health centres to shut down entirely, according to the Gaza Government Media Office.

In the last few days, Israeli forces stormed the only remaining major hospital in Gaza’s devastated north, ejecting staff and patients before setting the medical facility on fire.

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Torrential rain is currently lashing the tent villages that stand in place of many of Gaza’s towns and cities, with deaths from hypothermia rising as freezing temperatures continue to flatline.

Shaghnoubi, who has six boys and two girls, said that her children are struggling to survive in the cold and that her small tent does not protect the family from the pouring rain.

“My children sleep on soaked bedding at night,” she told Al Jazeera.

Shereen Abu Nida, 40, also said that she and her four children are coping with hardship due to the terrible living conditions brought on by the war. Worst still, her husband was abducted by Israeli forces about a year ago, leaving her to care for her children all alone.

“I have had to go through this whole year alone, all by myself,” she said, her voice quivering.

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Musa Ali Muhammad al-Maghribi, 52, added that his family have little hope for the future.

He said his nine children are ill and he can’t find medication, nor is there enough food or clean water for his family, an ordeal that most of Gaza’s 2.3 million people face.

“[Israel] has destroyed us,” he told Al Jazeera. “Every day, we just hope to die.”

Netanyahu extends the fight

Despite the extreme hardship, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is showing no sign of halting the onslaught.

Efforts at mediating some form of ceasefire, which have been continuing throughout much of the conflict, have floundered in the face of what many, including United States President Joe Biden in June, have slammed as political self-interest on the part of the Israeli prime minister.

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Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends the fifth day of testimony in his trial on corruption charges at the district court in Tel Aviv, Israel, on Monday, Dec. 23
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends the fifth day of testimony in his trial on corruption charges at the district court in Tel Aviv, Israel, on Monday, December 23, 2024 [Debbie Hill/Pool Photo via AP]

Accusations of exploiting the war on Gaza for personal gain have centred upon Netanyahu’s attempts to deflect from his ongoing trial on charges of bribery, fraud and breach of public trust, which he denies.

In addition, the prime minister’s corruption trial suggests that Netanyahu is seeking to prolong the war to distract from accusations of negligence or incompetence during the Hamas-led attack of October 7 2023, which killed 1,139 Israelis.

Charges of opportunism have come from both within Netanyahu’s right-wing cabinet, as well as the street, where tens of thousands of people continue to rally in support of a deal that would see the captives taken during the Hamas-led attack released.

International impotence

The international community has failed to halt – or mitigate –  the carnage in Gaza largely due to the US’s unqualified political and military support for Israel’s war on Gaza.

In addition to the more than $20bn in aid provided to Israel since the war began, the US has torpedoed diplomatic efforts within the UN to end the war, including suppressing recent reports of the potential famine under way in northern Gaza.

In January, the International Court of Justice ordered Israel to do all it could to prevent any act that could be considered genocide. Despite this, rights organisations based in Palestine and internationally, including Amnesty, have concluded that Israel is actively embarked upon a campaign of genocide within the Strip.

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Similar international action has also been taken against both the Hamas and Israeli leadership. In November, the International Criminal Court (ICC) issued arrest warrants for Netanyahu and former Defence Minister Yoav Gallant, as well as Hamas leader Mohammed Deif.

Israel claims to have killed Deif in July. Netanyahu and Gallant remain wanted for war crimes and crimes against humanity.

In October, Israel defied international pressure and voted to ban the UN’s Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA), widely acknowledged as one of Gaza’s principal lifelines. When the ban comes into effect in late January of next year, Gaza will lose its principal aid agency and with it, much of the network that distributes food, medicine and the infrastructure needed to sustain life.

In December, the UN General Assembly voted overwhelmingly for UNRWA’s work to continue and, for the third time, that a ceasefire be immediately reached. Despite this, Israeli strikes on Gaza have continued and the agency’s future remains uncertain.

Palestinians in Gaza such as Abu Nida just hope the war will end soon this coming year.

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“This has been the worst year of my life,” said Abu Nida.

“Nobody in the world has lived through the days that we are living through,” she said.

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