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The Latest Covid Surge

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Whilst Covid-19 instances and deaths have continued to say no in the US, there are some worrisome developments world wide. At the moment, I’ll stroll by way of them — and clarify their implications for the U.S.

After greater than two years of largely preventing off Covid, Hong Kong has change into the world’s worst sizzling spot. The principle downside, as in so many different locations, is vaccine skepticism.

Heading into the present outbreak, almost 40 p.c of Hong Kong’s inhabitants was not vaccinated, and greater than half of individuals over 70 — the age group most weak to extreme Covid — had been unvaccinated.

Why? Many Hong Kong residents don’t belief the federal government, given the rising repression by China. Others are doubtful of Western drugs or have been influenced by misinformation, as my colleagues Alexandra Stevenson and Austin Ramzy have reported. “I fear that the unwanted side effects of vaccination will kill me,” Lam Suk-haa, who’s 80 years outdated, instructed The Occasions final month. “I gained’t get vaccinated so long as I’ve a selection.”

Till lately, Hong Kong — like mainland China — had been largely profitable in holding out the virus, which meant that vaccine skepticism didn’t convey massive prices. However the Omicron variant is so contagious that it overwhelmed Hong Kong’s “zero-Covid” technique.

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Including to the issue, many residents have acquired Sinovac, a Chinese language-made vaccine that’s much less efficient than the vaccines designed within the U.S. and Europe — by Moderna, Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson and AstraZeneca. Though the Pfizer vaccine is obtainable in Hong Kong, many residents wrongly concern that it has harmful unwanted side effects. Sinovac nonetheless supplies significant safety towards extreme sickness, however not as a lot because the Western vaccines.

The dying charge in Hong Kong has soared this month, surpassing 25 per 100,000 residents previously week. That’s not as excessive as New York’s peak dying charge within the spring of 2020, however it’s greater than in any nation right this moment. And Hong Kong’s charge will in all probability proceed rising, as a result of new case numbers didn’t begin falling till a few week in the past; dying developments usually lag case developments by about three weeks.

“I’m unsure individuals respect fairly how dangerous the Covid scenario is in Hong Kong, nor what is perhaps across the nook,” John Burn-Murdoch of The Monetary Occasions wrote yesterday. “What’s driving this? Vaccines. Or extra particularly: the aged vaccination charge.”

Many aged residents of mainland China are additionally unvaccinated, and it too may very well be on the verge of a rise in Covid deaths. Yesterday, outbreaks led to the closures of many theaters and eating places in Shanghai, whereas a number of massive factories — together with a serious maker of iPhones — suspended manufacturing. The shutdowns may ripple throughout the worldwide financial system, exacerbating items shortages and inflation.

Covid can also be spreading quickly in New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and several other different Pacific nations that had beforehand stored caseloads low. The dying charges in these nations are far decrease than in Hong Kong, due to greater vaccination charges. (You may lookup any nation’s information.)

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Europe has usually been just a few weeks forward of the U.S. with Covid developments — and instances at the moment are rising in Britain, Germany, Italy and another elements of Europe. The principle trigger seems to be an much more contagious model of Omicron, often known as BA.2.

BA.2 has already begun to unfold within the U.S., as properly. It accounted for about 12 p.c of newly identified instances final week, based on the C.D.C. The variant might also be the explanation that the quantity of Covid virus detected in wastewater is rising in about one-third of American cities that monitor such information. Wastewater samples are typically a number one indicator of case counts.

If that sample repeats, BA.2 could be about to finish two months of falling case counts within the U.S. Since mid-January, the variety of new day by day Covid instances has dropped greater than 95 p.c and is now at its lowest degree since final summer season, earlier than the Delta surge.

The magnitude of any BA.2 improve could also be restricted by the truth that about 45 p.c of People have already contracted Omicron. “That needs to be extremely protecting,” Andy Slavitt, a former Biden administration adviser, wrote yesterday. Then again, a forty five p.c an infection charge signifies that most People didn’t contract Omicron, leaving a lot of them prone to BA.2.

Even when instances rise, as appears doubtless, there are good causes to not panic. Vaccination tends to show Covid into a light sickness, particularly for individuals who have acquired a booster. For the unvaccinated and unboosted, BA.2 is one more reason to get a shot.

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It’s additionally a purpose for the federal authorities and states to broaden entry to each Evusheld — a drug that may assist defend the immunocompromised — and Paxlovid — a post-infection remedy. Discovering both is usually troublesome right this moment. (When you’re on the lookout for certainly one of them, click on on this hyperlink for Evusheld and this one for Paxlovid.)

The underside line: Covid isn’t going away, however vaccination and different therapies can maintain future will increase manageable. The largest downside stays the thousands and thousands of people that stay unvaccinated, a lot of them by selection. That’s the case within the U.S., in Hong Kong and throughout a lot of Europe, Africa and the remainder of the world.

Inducing extra individuals to get pictures — by way of persuasion or mandates — would in all probability save extra lives than another Covid coverage.

From Steven Spielberg’s “West Aspect Story” to the TikTok dances that propel songs up the Billboard charts, choreographers assist the leisure {industry} earn thousands and thousands. However in movie, tv and music movies, there may be little standardization as to how the individuals who create dances are paid or credited.

A couple of 12 months in the past, greater than 100 entertainment-industry choreographers started creating the Choreographers Guild, which is now within the strategy of changing into an official labor union, Margaret Fuhrer writes in The Occasions. For years, choreographers have been anomalies in Hollywood, the place many roles are unionized.

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“Listening to tales about these main choreographers that I seemed as much as having their work being reused in commercials and reused on competitors exhibits and reused on Broadway, with out them being compensated or getting credit score — it was appalling,” Kyle Hanagami, a artistic director and choreographer, stated.

Vincent Paterson, who created dances for Michael Jackson and Madonna within the ’80s and ’90s, stated he felt optimistic in regards to the unionization efforts due to dance’s present ubiquity in fashionable tradition. “Are you able to think about if Dalí wasn’t allowed to signal his work?” Paterson requested.

The pangrams from yesterday’s Spelling Bee had been betiding and debiting. Right here is right this moment’s puzzle — or you possibly can play on-line.

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Protesters block New Caledonia roads as French police pour in

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Protesters block New Caledonia roads as French police pour in
A thousand police arrived in New Caledonia from France and the streets were relatively calm after a week of unrest, the French High Commission said on Monday, but roads were blocked by protesters and the airport remained shut, stranding tourists.
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Ex-Israeli PM calls for defunding ICC after court requests arrest warrant for Netanyahu over ‘war crimes’

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Ex-Israeli PM calls for defunding ICC after court requests arrest warrant for Netanyahu over ‘war crimes’

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Former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett on Monday called for “decent nations” to defund the International Criminal Court (ICC) after a court prosecutor filed applications for arrest warrants against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and Hamas leaders for alleged “war crimes.” 

Prosecutor Karim Khan said his office had collected evidence to give “reasonable grounds” to believe Netanyahu and Gallant “bear criminal responsibility for… war crimes and crimes against humanity committed on the territory of the State of Palestine.” 

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Khan said those alleged crimes include “starvation of civilians as a method of warfare” and “intentionally directing attacks against a civilian population.”  

He said he is also seeking arrest warrants for Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, its top political leader Ismail Haniyeh, and its military commander Mohammed Deif. 

AMAL CLOONEY PLAYED KEY ROLE IN ICC ARREST WARRANTS FOR NETANYAHU, HAMAS LEADERS

Former Prime Minister of Israel Naftali Bennett speaks at the “Bring Them Home” rally in support of Israeli hostages outside the UN Headquarters on April 07, 2024 in New York City. (Noam Galai/Getty Images)

Bennet said the prosecutor’s request was “a moment of shame for the ICC and the world community” and provided “a huge boost to global Jihadi terror.”

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“An ICC that compares the executor of a deliberate murderous attack that included raping women and burning babies, with those who are defending themselves against it, is better off not existing,” Bennett said. “It’s time for the decent nations to defund the ICC.” 

He included the hashtag: “DefundTheICC.”

Netanyahu and other Israeli leaders condemned the move as disgraceful and antisemitic. U.S. President Joe Biden also lambasted the prosecutor and supported Israel’s right to defend itself against Hamas.

A panel of three judges will decide whether to issue the arrest warrants and allow a case to proceed. The judges typically take two months to make such decisions.

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Israel is not a member of the court, so even if the arrest warrants are issued, Netanyahu and Gallant do not face any immediate risk of prosecution. But the threat of arrest could make it difficult for the Israeli leaders to travel abroad.

Fox News Digital’s Greg Norman and The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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‘Lone wolf’ or JI?: Jemaah Islamiyah confusion after Malaysia attack

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‘Lone wolf’ or JI?: Jemaah Islamiyah confusion after Malaysia attack

Medan, Indonesia – Malaysia has been the target of a rare deadly attack after a man armed with a machete struck a police station in southern Johor state, killing two police officers and injuring a third.

Initially, Malaysian police said they suspected Friday’s incident was linked to the hardline group Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) and was probably an attempt to steal weapons. Speaking to the media after the attack in the town of Ulu Tiram, Inspector General of Police Razarudin Husain said police raided the suspect’s house and discovered “JI-related paraphernalia”.

Five members of his family were arrested, including the suspect’s 62-year-old father, who police said was a “known JI member”. Two other people, who were in the police station making a report at the time of the attack in the early hours of Friday morning, were also detained.

But on Saturday, Malaysia’s Minister of Home Affairs Saifuddin Nasution Ismail appeared to backtrack on the JI connection, describing the attacker as a “lone wolf” who was “driven by certain motivations based on his own understanding because he rarely mixed with others”.

Former members of JI in Indonesia told Al Jazeera that an attack by the group on Malaysian soil seemed unlikely.

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Speaking from prison in Indonesia’s capital Jakarta, where he is serving a life sentence for his role in JI’s 2002 Bali bombing, which killed more than 200 people, Ali Imron told Al Jazeera that JI’s profile in Malaysia did not seem to fit the police station attack.

“There have never been any JI members in Malaysia who agreed to commit acts of violence like this,” he said. “Before the Bali bombing, there were attacks in Malaysia, but these were committed not by JI but Kumpulan Mujahidin Malaysia [KMM].”

KMM, a hardline group linked to JI, carried out small-scale attacks in Malaysia in the early 2000s.

Rueben Dass, a senior analyst at the S Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore, noted that JI had never previously mounted attacks in Malaysia.

“Malaysia was always considered an economic region for JI, not the focus of attacks,” he told Al Jazeera. “The Malaysian authorities were always vigilant and aware, particularly after KMM became active. They have been on their toes and carried out a wave of arrests in the early 2000s of JI members.”

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Since then, he said, JI had maintained a low profile.

“To see them coming up again is a little surprising,” he added.

Indonesia, which saw a spate of JI attacks in the late 1990s and early 2000s – including attacks on churches on Christmas Eve 2000, the Bali bombings and the 2003 attack on Jakarta’s JW Marriott Hotel – has also been largely successful in clamping down.

In 2003, with funding and training from the United States and Australia, it established the Counterterrorism Special Detachment 88 (Densus 88), and later set up a National Counterterrorism Agency (BNPT).

Indonesian authorities have also pioneered a range of deradicalisation programmes, using former members of hardline groups including JI, with recidivism rates at about 11 percent, according to the Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict, a Jakarta-based think tank.

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History of JI

JI was founded by Indonesian Muslim scholar Abu Bakar Bashir and Abdullah Sungkar in 1993, with a mission to establish an Islamic caliphate across Southeast Asia.

The group has historically been linked to al-Qaeda, from which it reportedly received funding and training in the 1990s and early 2000s. It has had members in Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Cambodia and the Philippines.

JI was officially banned in Indonesia in 2007, leading to the group splintering. Some members focused on dakwah or proselytisation, while others continued to plot violent attacks. Arrests have continued across the region with members accused of stockpiling weapons and bomb-making equipment.

According to open source data, between 2021 and 2023, out of 610 people arrested In Indonesia, 42 percent were JI and 39 percent were from other hardline groups – including Jamaah Ansharut Daulah (JAD) and other pro-Islamic State groups.

The majority of JI senior figures have been either executed, shot dead in police raids or jailed.

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The 2002 attack in Bali, which killed more than 200 people, shocked Southeast Asia [File: AP]

Both Bashir and Sungkar lived in Malaysia in the 1980s and 1990s, in addition to senior members such as Indonesian Encep Nurjaman (alias Hambali) and Malaysians Noordin Mohammed Top and Azahari Husin. Ali Ghufron (alias Mukhlas), Amrozi bin Nurhasyim and Imam Samudra, the masterminds of the Bali bombing, also spent time in Malaysia.

Hambali was arrested in Thailand in 2003 and is currently awaiting trial at Guantanamo Bay in Cuba, while Samudra, Amrozi and Mukhlas were executed in 2008. The two Malaysians were shot in separate police raids in Indonesia in 2005 and 2009.

Before his death, Noordin ran the Luqmanul Hakiem Islamic boarding school in Malaysia, which was founded by Bashir and Sungkar and was in Ulu Tiram, close to the home of the suspect of Friday’s attack.

Malaysia closed the school in 2002 amid suspicions it was being used to recruit people to JI.

Style of attack

While the profile of the suspect’s father, and the proximity to Luqmanul Hakiem, might have suggested a JI connection, Imron cautioned against such an analysis.

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“If the son followed his father, there is no way he would have committed this act, so there is a strong possibility that he was inspired by ISIS [ISIL],” Imron said, suggesting the Malaysian authorities had “jumped to that conclusion.”

Umar Patek, who was released from prison in 2022 after serving 11 years of a 20-year sentence for mixing some of the chemicals used in the Bali Bombing, told Al Jazeera that he “did not believe” that the attacker was a member of JI and agreed that the attack appeared to have the hallmarks of another group.

“I am very doubtful,” he said. “I don’t understand it, especially carrying out a violent attack. It is impossible in my view that it was JI, but it is possible that it was ISIS.”

The style of the attack has added to the scepticism, as the targeting of a police station and Muslim police officers is inconsistent with JI’s attacks in Indonesia. There, it has been ISIL-inspired hardline groups, including JAD, that have attacked police stations, seeing them as representative of the state.

Soldiers walking through the jungle in Indonesia. They are armed. There is dense foliage around.
Indonesia and Malaysia cracked down on the group after a spate of deadly attacks in the early 2000s [File: Suparta/AFP]

Judith Jacob, the head of Asia for the risk analysis and intelligence company Torchlight, told Al Jazeera that the most unusual aspect of Friday’s attack was the location.

“While Malaysian militants have been key figures in JI and Philippine-based groups, there are few indications of sophisticated plots targeting Malaysia specifically in recent years,” she said.

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However, while Malaysia and Indonesia have not seen anything like the levels of violence of the early 2000s, attacks have not been completely eradicated – with a pattern of more opportunistic and low-level violence emerging.

“The attack in Malaysia remains squarely within the wheelhouse of regional Islamist militant groups – that is to say, it is a relatively unsophisticated assault,” Jacob said.

“Indonesian groups, in particular, have been largely unable to conduct the large-scale attacks or coordinated bombings that were a hallmark of JI in its heyday in the 2000s. Militant groups in the Philippines are more capable, but they too have been unable to conduct sophisticated bombings beyond the southern islands.”

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