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Peace Talks Produce Signs of Progress, but No End to War Is in Sight

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Peace Talks Produce Signs of Progress, but No End to War Is in Sight

ISTANBUL — The primary indicators of great progress in peace talks between Russia and Ukraine emerged on Tuesday, however there was no trace of an imminent finish to the struggling, with Russia showing decided to seize extra territory in japanese Ukraine and officers predicting that weeks of additional negotiation have been wanted.

After three hours of talks in Istanbul, Ukrainian officers mentioned their nation was able to declare itself completely impartial — forsaking the prospect of becoming a member of NATO, a key Russian demand — and talk about Russian territorial claims in trade for “safety ensures” from a bunch of different nations. An aide to Ukraine’s president referred to as the Russian delegation “constructive,” whereas Russia mentioned it might “drastically” reduce its army exercise round Kyiv to “improve mutual belief.”

Russia’s assertion that it’s going to de-escalate the preventing round Kyiv — even because it retains pounding different components of Ukraine — could also be little greater than placing a constructive gloss on its army being stymied in its makes an attempt to grab or encircle the capital. In latest days, Ukrainian counteroffensives across the metropolis have compelled again Russian forces in among the fiercest road battles of the warfare, although they continue to be inside putting distance of Kyiv.

Now, Russian officers mentioned, the objective might be to take extra territory in Ukraine’s japanese Donbas area, the place Russia has put in two separatist statelets that President Vladimir V. Putin acknowledged final month as unbiased, however that no different nation has formally acknowledged.

Western officers and safety analysts cautioned towards taking at face worth Russia’s statements about its goals in Kyiv or elsewhere.

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President Biden mentioned he wouldn’t draw any conclusions about Russia’s intentions “till I see what their actions are.” Talking after a White Home assembly with the prime minister of Singapore, Mr. Biden added, “We’ll see in the event that they comply with by way of with what they’re suggesting.”

“Within the meantime,” Mr. Biden mentioned, “we’re going to proceed to maintain robust the sanctions and can proceed to supply the Ukrainian army with the capability to defend themselves.”

Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken, on a diplomatic journey to Morocco, advised reporters, “There may be what Russia says and there’s what Russia does,” including, “and what Russia is doing is the continued brutalization of Ukraine and its individuals.”

President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine has labored laborious to current Mr. Putin with a negotiated approach to finish the warfare, accompanied by Ukrainian concessions that might not go as far as to make his nation a Russian satellite tv for pc.

The provide to declare a everlasting impartial standing, Ukrainian officers in Istanbul mentioned, means it might neither be a part of the NATO alliance nor host overseas troops — a state of affairs that Mr. Putin used as one of many justifications for his invasion.

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Ukrainian officers envision an association by which a various group of nations — probably together with america, Germany, Turkey and China — would commit, if Ukraine have been attacked, to offering it with army help and to imposing a no-fly zone if crucial. It was not clear that any of these nations had signed on to such ensures.

“That is most likely the most effective final result that might’ve been hoped for right now,” mentioned Samuel Charap, who research Russian overseas coverage on the RAND Company. “The Ukrainians have no less than give you one thing concrete to deal with the core Russian demand for Ukraine’s neutrality.”

Ukraine additionally signaled readiness to think about concessions associated to the components of its territory already occupied by Russia. It proposed a 15-year negotiating course of for Crimea, the Ukrainian peninsula seized by Russia in 2014, and mentioned it was able to rule out making an attempt to retake it by drive. Questions surrounding the japanese Donbas area, Ukrainian officers mentioned, might be mentioned at a attainable assembly between Mr. Putin and Mr. Zelensky.

Russia, for its half, mentioned it was ready to speed up planning for such a summit assembly — one thing that Mr. Zelensky had lengthy sought and that Moscow had resisted, casting Ukraine’s authorities as a mere puppet of Washington. However now, the Kremlin seems to be more and more ready to cope with Mr. Zelensky — partly as a result of Ukraine’s resistance on the battlefield is leaving it no different alternative.

Vladimir Medinsky, the top of Russia’s delegation, mentioned that he seen Ukraine’s proposals as “a constructive step within the seek for a compromise.”

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“If the treaty is labored out rapidly and the required compromise is discovered, the potential of making peace might be a lot nearer,” Mr. Medinsky mentioned.

Ukraine and Russia would wish no less than two extra weeks for talks with Russia and potential guarantor nations, Oleksandr Chalyi, a member of the Ukrainian delegation, advised reporters after Tuesday’s session. Turkey mentioned it was ready to host a gathering of the Russian and Ukrainian overseas ministers to flesh out Tuesday’s talks, adopted by a attainable assembly between the 2 presidents.

“You’ve shouldered a historic accountability,” President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey, who hosted Tuesday’s talks at a Nineteenth-century Ottoman palace on the banks of the Bosporus, advised the Russian and Ukrainian delegates. “All of the world is anticipating excellent news from you.”

Turkey has emerged as a pivotal middleman within the talks, one of many few nations to keep up shut ties to each Russia and Ukraine after the invasion. Although it’s a NATO member, Turkey has refused to place in place sanctions towards Russia, even because it provides army assist to Ukraine. To underscore the latter, a member of the Ukrainian delegation, Mykhailo Podolyak, posted on Twitter on Tuesday a selfie with Haluk Bayraktar, a detailed affiliate of Mr. Erdogan and the top of a Turkish firm that makes armed drones utilized by Ukraine.

However regardless of the constructive indicators, myriad diplomatic pitfalls remained. For instance, Ukraine mentioned that the worldwide safety ensures wouldn’t apply to the disputed Donbas, however it isn’t clear how that space could be outlined; the separatists declare much more territory than they managed earlier than the warfare.

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“The Russian delegation is constructive,” Mr. Podolyak, who’s an aide to Mr. Zelensky, mentioned. “This doesn’t imply that the negotiations are simple. They’re tough.”

There was additionally no reprieve on the bottom in Ukraine. On Tuesday morning, a Russian cruise missile strike destroyed a part of the primary regional authorities workplace constructing within the southern metropolis of Mikolaiv, killing no less than 9 individuals and injuring no less than 28, Ukrainian officers mentioned.

It was one in all many assaults for the reason that Feb. 24 invasion that appeared geared toward disabling authorities operations; the regional administrator, Vitaly Kim, mentioned his personal workplace was destroyed, however he was not within the constructing on the time. The Russian advance alongside the Black Coastline west of Crimea stalled outdoors Mikolaiv, in an space that has seen intense fight.

One other Russian missile struck an oil depot on Monday night time within the Rivne area in northwestern Ukraine, the second to be destroyed there, in response to the regional administrator.

“The size of the challenges has not diminished,” Mr. Zelensky mentioned in an announcement. “The Russian military nonetheless has important potential to proceed assaults towards our state. They nonetheless have numerous gear and sufficient individuals utterly disadvantaged of rights whom they will ship to the cauldron of warfare. Subsequently, we keep alert and don’t cut back our protection efforts.”

The U.S. and British governments confirmed Ukrainian positive aspects in cities round Kyiv — notably Irpin, scene of among the fiercest road preventing — however suggested skepticism about claims that Russia’s stance had modified.

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“Has there been some motion by some Russian items away from Kyiv within the final day or so? Yeah, we predict so, small numbers,” mentioned John F. Kirby, the Pentagon spokesman. However, he added, “We imagine that it is a repositioning, not an actual withdrawal, and that we ought to be ready to observe for a significant offensive towards different areas in Ukraine.”

The British Defense Ministry warned that “Russia nonetheless poses a major menace to town by way of their strike functionality.”

Russia has signaled that it was narrowing its warfare goals to concentrate on taking extra territory within the Donbas. Sergei Ok. Shoigu, the Russian protection minister, on Tuesday supplied a attainable justification for winding down the warfare effort elsewhere within the nation by declaring, in televised remarks in Moscow, that Russia’s preliminary mission was achieved.

“Normally, the primary targets of the primary stage of the particular operation have been accomplished,” Mr. Shoigu mentioned. “The fight potential of the Ukrainian Armed Forces has been considerably lowered, which makes it attainable to focus the primary consideration and predominant efforts on reaching the primary objective — the liberation of Donbas.”

Russian forces have taken management of a land bridge alongside Ukraine’s southeastern coast linking Crimea to the Donbas. The lone holdout in that strip is the middle of the devastated port metropolis of Mariupol, the place, the Institute for the Research of Struggle reported on Tuesday, the Russians are nonetheless gaining floor, slowly tightening the noose across the fighters and civilians who stay.

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Thousand of civilians have been killed in Mariupol, in response to native officers — a declare that can’t be independently verified — and far of town has been flattened. It stays beneath “steady heavy shelling” by Russian forces, the British Protection Ministry mentioned on Tuesday.

Within the close by port of Berdyansk, captured by the Russians, an evacuation convoy took 34 buses stuffed with civilians out of town, headed into territory held by Ukraine. In anther occupied metropolis within the area, Melitopol, the mayor mentioned the faculties chief had been detained after she and native lecturers refused orders by the occupying forces to alter what was taught and to show in Russian, not Ukrainian.

The warfare has price Ukraine $564.9 billion in harm and misplaced financial exercise — roughly 3 times its prewar gross home product — Yulia Svyrydenko, the financial system minister, mentioned in a Fb publish on Monday.

There are as but no dependable estimates of civilian casualties, and a few 4 million individuals have fled the nation, together with about six million who’re internally displaced, in response to the United Nations.

Reporting was contributed by Ivan Nechepurenko and Safak Timur from Istanbul; Megan Specia from Krakow, Poland; Michael D. Shear from Washington; and Lara Jakes from Rabat, Morocco.

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Russia says it will continue oil and gas projects despite US sanctions

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Russia says it will continue oil and gas projects despite US sanctions

Russia’s Foreign Ministry on Saturday denounced new U.S. sanctions against Moscow’s energy sector as an attempt to harm Russia’s economy at the risk of destabilizing global markets and said the country would press on with large oil and gas projects.

A ministry statement also said that Russia would respond to Washington’s “hostile” actions, announced on Friday, while drawing up its foreign policy strategy.

RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTER BLASTS UKRAINE PEACE DEAL REPORTEDLY FLOATED BY TRUMP’S TEAM: ‘NOT HAPPY’

The statement said the measures amounted to “an attempt to inflict at least some damage to the Russian economy, even at the cost of the risk of destabilizing world markets as the end approaches of President Joe Biden’s inglorious tenure in power.”

Steam rises from chimneys of the Gazprom Neft’s oil refinery in Omsk, Russia.  (Reuters/Alexey Malgavko)

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“Despite the convulsions in the White House and the machinations of the Russophobic lobby in the West, trying to drag the world energy sector into the ‘hybrid war’ unleashed by the United States against Russia, our country has been and remains a key and reliable player in the global fuel market.”

The measures constituted the broadest U.S. package of sanctions so far targeting Russia’s oil and gas revenues, part of measures to give Kyiv and the incoming administration of Donald Trump leverage to reach a deal to end the war in Ukraine.

The U.S. Treasury imposed sanctions on Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegas, which explore for, produce and sell oil as well as 183 vessels that have shipped Russian oil, many of which are in the so-called shadow fleet of ageing tankers operated by non-Western companies.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said the measures would “deliver a significant blow” to Moscow. “The less revenue Russia earns from oil … the sooner peace will be restored,” he said.

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Sudan army says its forces enter Wad Madani in push to retake city from RSF

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Sudan army says its forces enter Wad Madani in push to retake city from RSF

The military says it is working to ‘clean up the remaining rebel pockets’ inside the capital of Gezira state.

The Sudanese military and allied armed groups have entered Wad Madani and were pushing out the rival Rapid Support Forces (RSF) paramilitary from the strategic city in Gezira state, according to the army.

In a statement on Saturday, the armed forces “congratulated” the Sudanese people on “our forces entering the city of Wad Madani this morning” after more than a year of RSF control.

“They are now working to clean up the remaining rebel pockets inside the city,” the statement said.

There was no immediate comment from the RSF.

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The office of army-allied government spokesperson and Information and Culture Minister Khalid al-Aiser said the army had “liberated” the city.

The army posted a video appearing to show soldiers inside the city that has been held by the RSF since December 2023.

Sudan’s army and the RSF have been at war since April 2023, causing what the UN calls the world’s worst displacement crisis and declarations of famine in parts of the northeast African country.

Wad Madani is strategic because it is a crossroads of key supply highways linking several states, and is the nearest major town to the capital Khartoum.

Army ‘in most parts of Wad Madani’

Al Jazeera’s Hiba Morgan, reporting from Khartoum, said the army forces had been advancing towards the city over recent days.

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“They have been taking over villages in the south and southeast of [Gezira] state until this morning, when they took over Hantoub Bridge – a decisive bridge that leads into the city,” she said.

“The army is now in most parts of Wad Madani,” she added.

“The army and allied fighters have spread out around us across the city’s streets,” one witness told the AFP news agency from his home in central Wad Madani, requesting anonymity for his safety.

Both the army and the RSF have been accused of committing war crimes including targeting civilians and indiscriminately shelling residential areas.

Sudanese citizens in Port Sudan celebrate following an announcement by the army that it entered the city of Wad Madani [Ibrahim Mohammed Ishak/Reuters]

The paramilitary forces have been accused of summary killings, rampant looting, systematic sexual violence and laying siege to entire towns.

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The United States on Tuesday said the RSF had “committed genocide” and imposed sanctions on its leader, Mohammed Hamdan Daglo, also known as Hemedti.

The local resistance committee, one of hundreds of pro-democracy volunteer groups across the country coordinating frontline aid, hailed the Wad Madani advance as an end to “the tyranny” of the RSF.

Witnesses in army-controlled cities across Sudan reported dozens of people taking to the streets to celebrate the news.

Twelve million displaced

The recapture of Gezira state as a whole could mark a turning point in the war that began over disputes on the integration of the two forces, which has created one of the world’s largest humanitarian crises.

Since it began, the war has killed tens of thousands and uprooted more than 12 million people, more than three million of whom have fled across borders.

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In the early months of the war, more than half a million people had sought shelter in Gezira, before a lightning RSF offensive displaced upwards of 300,000 in December 2023, according to the UN.

Most have been repeatedly displaced since, as the feared paramilitaries moved further and further south.

The RSF still holds the rest of the central agricultural state of Gezira, as well as nearly all of Sudan’s western Darfur region and swaths of the country’s south.

The army controls the north and east, as well as parts of the capital Khartoum.

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Trump's words on Greenland and borders ring alarms in Europe, but officials have a measured response

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Trump's words on Greenland and borders ring alarms in Europe, but officials have a measured response

PARIS (AP) — President-elect Donald Trump has tossed expansionist rhetoric at U.S. allies and potential adversaries with arguments that the frontiers of American power need to be extended into Canada and the Danish territory of Greenland, and southward to include the Panama Canal.

Trump’s suggestions that international borders can be redrawn — by force if necessary — are particularly inflammatory in Europe. His words run contrary to the argument European leaders and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy are trying to impress on Russian President Vladimir Putin.

But many European leaders — who’ve learned to expect the unexpected from Trump and have seen that actions don’t always follow his words — have been measured in their response, with some taking a nothing-to-see-here view rather than vigorously defend European Union member Denmark.

Analysts, though, say that even words can damage U.S.-European relations ahead of Trump’s second presidency.

A diplomatic response in Europe

Several officials in Europe — where governments depend on U.S. trade, energy, investment, technology, and defense cooperation for security — emphasized their belief that Trump has no intention of marching troops into Greenland.

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“I think we can exclude that the United States in the coming years will try to use force to annex territory that interests it,” Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni said.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz pushed back — but carefully, saying “borders must not be moved by force” and not mentioning Trump by name.

This week, as Ukrainian President Zelenskyy pressed Trump’s incoming administration to continue supporting Ukraine, he said: “No matter what’s going on in the world, everyone wants to feel sure that their country will not just be erased off the map.”

Since Putin marched troops across Ukrainian borders in 2022, Zelenskyy and allies have been fighting — at great cost — to defend the principle that has underpinned the international order since World War II: that powerful nations can’t simply gobble up others.

The British and French foreign ministers have said they can’t foresee a U.S. invasion of Greenland. Still, French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot portrayed Trump’s remarks as a wake-up call.

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“Do we think we’re entering into a period that sees the return of the law of the strongest?” the French minister said. “‘Yes.”

On Friday, the prime minister of Greenland — a semiautonomous Arctic territory that isn’t part of the EU but whose 56,000 residents are EU citizens, as part of Denmark — said its people don’t want to be Americans but that he’s open to greater cooperation with the U.S.

“Cooperation is about dialogue,” leader Múte B. Egede said.

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen called the U.S. “our closest ally” and said: “We have to stand together.”

Analysts find Trump’s words troubling

European security analysts agreed there’s no real likelihood of Trump using the military against NATO ally Denmark, but nevertheless expressed profound disquiet.

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Analysts warned of turbulence ahead for trans-Atlantic ties, international norms and the NATO military alliance — not least because of the growing row with member Canada over Trump’s repeated suggestions that it become a U.S. state.

“There is a possibility, of course, that this is just … a new sheriff in town,” said Flemming Splidsboel Hansen, who specializes in foreign policy, Russia and Greenland at the Danish Institute for International Studies. “I take some comfort from the fact that he is now insisting that Canada should be included in the U.S., which suggests that it is just sort of political bravado.

“But damage has already been done. And I really cannot remember a previous incident like this where an important ally — in this case the most important ally — would threaten Denmark or another NATO member state.”

Hansen said he fears NATO may be falling apart even before Trump’s inauguration.

“I worry about our understanding of a collective West,” he said. “What does this even mean now? What may this mean just, say, one year from now, two years from now, or at least by the end of this second Trump presidency? What will be left?”

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Security concerns as possible motivation

Some diplomats and analysts see a common thread in Trump’s eyeing of Canada, the Panama Canal and Greenland: securing resources and waterways to strengthen the U.S. against potential adversaries.

Paris-based analyst Alix Frangeul-Alves said Trump’s language is “all part of his ‘Make America Great Again’ mode.”

In Greenland’s soils, she noted, are rare earths critical for advanced and green technologies. China dominates global supplies of the valuable minerals, which the U.S., Europe and other nations view as a security risk.

“Any policy made in Washington is made through the lens of the competition with China,” said Frangeul-Alves, who focuses on U.S. politics for the German Marshall Fund.

Some observers said Trump’s suggested methods are fraught with peril.

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Security analyst Alexander Khara said Trump’s claim that “we need Greenland for national security purposes” reminded him of Putin’s comments on Crimea when Russia seized the strategic Black Sea peninsula from Ukraine in 2014.

Suggesting that borders might be flexible is “a completely dangerous precedent,” said Khara, director of the Centre for Defense Strategies in Kyiv.

“We’re in a time of transition from the old system based on norms and principles,” he said, and “heading to more conflicts, more chaos and more uncertainty.”

___

AP journalists Jill Lawless in London; Raf Casert in Brussels; Daria Litvinova in Tallinn, Estonia; Geir Moulson and David Keyton in Berlin; and Nicole Winfield in Rome contributed.

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