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Europeans divided over how Ukraine war should play out, reveals poll

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Europeans divided over how Ukraine war should play out, reveals poll

Europeans are sharply divided over how the Ukraine struggle ought to play out, with some favouring peace and others wanting “justice”, in keeping with a brand new ballot.

The European Council on International Relations (ECFR) survey of 10 international locations confirmed that 35% of Europeans have been within the “peace camp”, favouring an finish to the struggle as quickly as attainable. 

In the meantime, 22% of respondents needed “justice”, punishing Russia for its invasion and restoring Ukraine’s territory.

Moscow has steadfastly rejected claims it’s a struggle, insisting on calling it a “particular navy operation”.

Poland, which borders Ukraine and has been very supportive of Kyiv, had essentially the most respondents wanting “justice” in opposition to Russia of these surveyed. Italy, Germany and Romania had essentially the most favouring a peaceable finish to hostilities.

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Populations in 9 EU member states have been surveyed (Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Spain and Sweden), alongside the UK.

“Europeans have stunned Putin – and themselves – by their unity to date, however the large stresses are coming now,” stated ECFR director Mark Leonard. 

“There are potential divisions over the price of dwelling, refugees and nuclear escalation, however the large divide is between those that need to finish the struggle as shortly as attainable and people who need Russia to be punished.

“If badly dealt with the hole between the peace camp and the justice camp over Ukraine might be as damaging as that between collectors and debtors in the course of the euro disaster,” he added. 

Italians break up on who’s the most important impediment to peace

The ECFR survey, performed between April to Might by pollsters Datapraxis and YouGov, discovered extra unity amongst Europeans over what was stopping peace.

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Total, 64% of Europeans stated Russia was the biggest obstacle, whereas 17% stated it was Ukraine, the EU or the US.

Italy had the biggest proportion of respondents (35%) who thought Kyiv or the West was the principle barrier to a settlement and the smallest chunk (39%) of those that believed it was Russia.

In Finland, Sweden and Nice Britain greater than three-quarters of survey contributors thought Moscow was the important thing impediment. 

Regardless of divides over how the battle ought to finish, Lenoard and co-author Ivan Krastev, cautioned EU leaders in opposition to “maximalist positions”, suggesting they need to strike a center floor and stay robust on Russia however take heed to the hazards of escalation.

The place does accountability for the struggle lie?

The ECFR outcomes confirmed that Russia is universally blamed for beginning the struggle throughout Europe. 

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Greater than four-fifths of respondents in Poland (83%), Sweden (83%), Finland (90%), and Nice Britain (83%) maintain Moscow accountable. 

This view is shared by robust majorities in Italy (56%), France (62%) and Germany (66%).

Italy has the biggest proportion of respondents who suppose Ukraine, the EU or the US are accountable for the battle. 

Moscow has justified its “particular navy operation” by saying {that a} Western-leaning Ukraine would represent a risk to its safety, stopping Russia from feeling protected to “develop and exist”.

Opinion polls taken contained in the nation have proven {that a} majority of Russians assist the struggle, though there are some issues about their validity. 

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In response to the battle, a majority of Europeans backed the West’s coverage of severing ties with Moscow and expressed robust assist for Ukraine’s bid to affix the EU, in keeping with the ballot. 

What issues Europeans in regards to the struggle?

The ECFR additionally requested European populations what anxious them in regards to the struggle. 

It discovered their preoccupations have shifted away from developments on the battlefield towards the wider-felt impacts, together with supply-chain disruption, vitality worth spikes and rising inflation.

Whereas such nervousness is current in all international locations, respondents in Germany, Italy and France have been essentially the most involved over the impression of struggle on the price of dwelling and vitality costs.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has fuelled a price of dwelling disaster, with inflation within the Eurozone of 8% recorded in June – the best determine ever documented by Eurostat. 

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Swedes, Brits, Poles, and Romanians have been extra involved about the specter of a nuclear struggle.

Lots of these surveyed additionally believed that the struggle in Ukraine would in the end harm the EU. A majority of Europeans (55%) stated the bloc can be “barely” or “a lot worse off” on account of the battle. 

Are governments Ukraine obsessed?

The ballot additionally revealed a prevailing feeling that governments are too targeted on the struggle, on the expense of different issues dealing with peculiar individuals.

Authors Leonard and Krastev stated there was an “rising hole” between the positions of many nationwide governments and the general public temper.

The survey revealed that 42% of respondents claimed their leaders spend an excessive amount of time on the struggle in Ukraine, whereas 4% stated there was too little focus.

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The 2 locations the place individuals felt most strongly that Ukraine was diverting consideration away from home points have been Poland (51%) and Romania (57%), each of whom who share a border with the war-hit nation.

Of their evaluation, Leonard and Krastev argued that European public opinion is shifting and that the EU’s “hardest days” might lie forward. 

The “resilience of European democracies”, they stated, will “largely depend upon governments’ means to maintain residents’ assist for probably dangerous insurance policies,” noting that an embargo on Russian oil would push up already rising vitality costs and severely impression European economies. 

Defenders of Russian vitality embargos say they’re essential to restrict Moscow’s means to finance its struggle effort in Ukraine.

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Ukraine's divisive mobilization law comes into force as a new Russian push strains front-line troops

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Ukraine's divisive mobilization law comes into force as a new Russian push strains front-line troops

KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — A divisive mobilization law in Ukraine came into force on Saturday, as Kyiv struggles to boost troop numbers after Russia launched a new offensive that some fear could close in on Ukraine’s second-largest city.

The legislation, which was watered down from its original draft, will make it easier to identify every conscript in the country. It also provides incentives to soldiers, such as cash bonuses or money toward buying a house or car, that some analysts say Ukraine cannot afford.

Lawmakers dragged their feet for months and only passed the law in mid-April, a week after Ukraine lowered the age for men who can be drafted from 27 to 25. The measures reflect the growing strain that more than two years of war with Russia has had on Ukraine’s forces, who are trying to hold the front lines in fighting that has sapped the country’s ranks and stores of weapons and ammunition.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also signed two other laws Friday, allowing prisoners to join the army and increasing fines for draft dodgers fivefold. Russia enlisted its prisoners early on in the war, and personnel shortages compelled Ukraine to adopt the new measures.

Russian troops, meanwhile, are pushing ahead with a ground offensive that opened a new front in northeastern Ukraine’s Kharkiv region and put further pressure on Kyiv’s overstretched military. After weeks of probing, Moscow launched the new push knowing that Ukraine suffered personnel shortages, and that its forces have been spread thin in the northeast.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday during a visit to China that the Russian push aims to create “a buffer zone” rather than capturing Kharkiv, the local capital and Ukraine’s second-largest city.

Still, Moscow’s forces have pummeled Kharkiv with strikes in recent weeks, hitting civilian and energy infrastructure and prompting angry accusations from Zelenskyy that the Russian leadership sought to reduce the city to rubble. On Friday, Mayor Ihor Terekhov said that Russian guided bombs killed at least three residents and injured 28 others that day.

Moscow denies deliberately targeting civilians, but thousands have died or suffered injuries in the more than 27 months of fighting.

The U.S. last week announced a new $400 million package of military aid for Ukraine, and President Joe Biden has promised that he would rush badly needed weaponry to the country to help it stave off Russian advances. Still, only small batches of U.S. military aid have started to trickle into the front line, according to Ukrainian military commanders, who said it will take at least two months before supplies meet Kyiv’s needs to hold the line.

Thousands of Ukrainians have fled the country to avoid the draft since Russia’s all-out invasion in February 2022, some risking their lives as they tried to swim across a river separating Ukraine from neighboring Romania and Hungary.

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Late on Friday, Ukraine’s border service said that at least 30 people have died trying to cross the Tisza River since the full scale-invasion.

Romanian border guards days earlier retrieved the near-naked, disfigured body of a man that appeared to have been floating in the Tisza for days, and is the 30th known casualty, the Ukrainian agency said in an online statement. It said the man has not yet been identified.

___

Follow AP’s coverage at https://apnews.com/hub/russia-ukraine

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An unusual autumn freeze grips parts of South America, giving Chile its coldest May in 74 years

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An unusual autumn freeze grips parts of South America, giving Chile its coldest May in 74 years

Chileans are bundling up for their coldest autumn in more than 70 years mere days after sunning in T-shirts — a dramatic change of wardrobe brought on this week by a sudden cold front gripping portions of South America unaccustomed to bitter wind chills this time of year.

CHILE SHUTS DOWN A POPULAR GLACIER, SPARKING DEBATE OVER CLIMATE CHANGE AND ADVENTURE SPORTS

Temperatures broke records along the coast of Chile and in Santiago, the capital, dipping near freezing and making this month the coldest May that the country has seen since 1950, the Chilean meteorological agency reported.

An unusual succession of polar air masses has moved over southern swaths of the continent, meteorological experts say, pushing the mercury below zero Celsius (32 Fahrenheit) in some places. It’s the latest example of extreme weather in the region — a heat wave now baking Mexico, for instance — which scientists link to climate change.

Footprints create the shape of a heart in a snow-covered rugby field in Santiago, Chile, Wednesday, May 8, 2024.  (AP Photo/Matias Basualdo)

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“The past few days have been one of the longest (cold fronts) ever recorded and one of the earliest ever recorded” before the onset of winter in the Southern Hemisphere, said Raul Cordero, a climatologist at Santiago University. “Typically the incursions of cold air from the Antarctic that drive temperatures below zero occur from June onwards, not so much in May.”

The cold front sweeping in from Antartica has collided with warm air pushing in from the northwestern Amazon, helping fuel heavy rainstorms battering Brazil, according to that country’s National Meteorological system.

Chile’s government issued frosty weather alerts for most of the country and ramped up assistance for homeless people struggling to endure the frigid temperatures on the streets. Snow cloaked the peaks of the Andes and fell in parts of Santiago, leading to power outages in many areas this week.

“Winter came early,” said Mercedes Aguayo, a street vendor hawking gloves and hats in Santiago.

She said she was glad for a boost in business after Chile’s record winter heat wave last year, which experts pinned on climate change as well as the cyclical El Niño weather pattern.

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“We had stored these goods (hats and gloves) for four years because winters were always more sporadic, one day hot, one day cold,” Aguayo said.

This week’s cold snap also took parts of Argentina and Paraguay by surprise.

Energy demand soared across many parts of Argentina. Distributors cut supplies to dozens of gas stations and industries in several provinces to avoid outages in households, , the country’s main hydrocarbon company, CECHA, said Thursday.

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Brussels, my love? Transparency over MEPs' side jobs

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Brussels, my love? Transparency over MEPs' side jobs

In this edition, we look at what lawmakers’ extracurricular activities mean for their core role.

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This week, we are joined by Sophia Russack, senior researcher from the Centre for European Policy Studies, Petros Fassoulas, secretary general of European Movement International and Anna Nalyvayko, senior project officer from the Wilfried Martens Center.

Panelists debate the ethical questions raised by MEPs who have side jobs. Those extra roles are legal, but the political earthquake caused by the Qatarargate scandal led to tighter rules and more transparency.

Is this enough to bridge the gulf between citizens and politicians, in today’s fractured political landscape?

“We see that they have improved rules when it comes to reporting requirements, to laying open your financial situation before and after the offers, and so on. But to be honest, none of these things will prevent another Qatargate,” said Sophia Russack, a think tanker who is an expert in EU institutional architecture, decision-making processes and institutional reform.

Despite these concerns, Petros Fassoulas said MEPs shouldn’t abandon contact with the real world altogether.

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“It’s important for them to have the opportunity to bring expertise from outside and engage also with the world outside of the chamber,” Fassoulas said. “An MEP or any parliamentarian should be in contact with the people that they regulate, the businesses that they have an impact on.”

Guests also discussed the reasons for the crisis of public confidence in politicians, and gave some ideas for solutions.

Watch “Brussels, my love?” in the player above.

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