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Analysis: Syria rebuilding hopes dim as war enters year 13

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Analysis: Syria rebuilding hopes dim as war enters year 13

BEIRUT (AP) — The current lethal earthquake in Turkey and Syria which induced billions of {dollars} in injury has boosted the prospects of Syria’s as soon as extensively shunned president return to the Arab fold, however seems unlikely to jump-start large-scale reconstruction within the war-ravaged nation.

As Syria’s battle enters its thirteenth 12 months Wednesday, President Bashar Assad’s authorities nonetheless refuses to make concessions to his home opponents, rejecting long-standing calls for by the USA and its allies as a political resolution stays elusive.

Oil-rich Gulf Arab international locations have been stepping up efforts to normalize ties with the Assad authorities, however analysts say the continuing political paralysis is probably going holding them again from pumping billions of {dollars} for reconstruction into Syria.

The Feb. 6, earthquake that hit Turkey and Syria, killing greater than 50,000 folks, together with about 6,000 in Syria, exacerbated the destruction brought on by Syria’s 12-year battle which has killed practically half one million folks.

The World Financial institution estimated in an preliminary post-earthquake evaluation that the catastrophe had induced $5.1 billion price of bodily injury throughout each government- and rebel-held Syria. It estimated some $226 billion in losses — together with financial and bodily injury — through the first 4 years of the warfare in 2016, about 4 occasions Syria’s 2010 gross home product.

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For the reason that stability of energy shifted in Assad’s favor over the previous few years, the federal government has rebuilt small elements of the nation with the assistance of its allies. These embody a piece of the centuries-old market within the northern metropolis of Aleppo and a few historic mosques in Aleppo and the central metropolis of Homs. Nevertheless, whole cities, cities and villages stay in ruins, whereas the battle has induced lasting injury to the nation’s electrical, transportation and well being techniques.

The quake worsened the state of affairs.

Worldwide medical and humanitarian businesses worry harmful outbreaks of ailments as a result of the nation’s battered water and sanitation techniques have been additional broken by the quake. The Pink Cross’ international chief lately mentioned that rebuilding infrastructure must be a precedence.

Nonetheless, the quake and up to date rapprochement between regional powerhouses Iran and Saudi Arabia, who since 2011 have supported rival teams in Syria’s battle, could also be a turning level in Damascus’ political fortunes.

Assad seems poised to make a political comeback within the Arab world, greater than a decade after the 22-member Arab League suspended Syria’s membership over his brutal crackdown on protesters and afterward civilians through the warfare.

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Worldwide sympathy following the quake seems to have sped up the regional rapprochement that had been brewing for years. Earlier than the tragedy, the United Arab Emirates had already reestablished ties with Damascus, whereas Syria had been rising its contacts with Turkey, a predominant backer of the opposition.

After the catastrophe, previously hostile Arab international locations comparable to Saudi Arabia delivered assist to government-held Syria, together with Assad’s conventional backers Russia and Iran. Washington’s key allies started restoring or bolstering diplomatic ties with the Syrian authorities.

Tunisia’s president lately mentioned he hopes to reestablish ties with Syria, whereas the international ministers of Jordan and Egypt met with Assad in Damascus for the primary time since 2011. The area’s prime parliamentarians agreed in a Baghdad summit final month to work towards ending Syria’s political isolation.

Saudi Arabia’s international minister acknowledged that there’s a rising consensus amongst Arab international locations that dialogue with Damascus is important. Riyadh is internet hosting the following Arab League summit in Might, the place most states hope to revive Syria’s membership after it was suspended in 2011, the Arab League’s Secretary-Basic Ahmed Aboul Gheit mentioned Tuesday.

Syria hopes that such reconciliation will unlock long-awaited funds to rebuild the battered nation. Nevertheless, analysts mentioned it’s unlikely to occur at any giant scale for now.

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“Reconstruction and its funding are thorny points and should not at the moment on the desk,” mentioned outstanding Istanbul-based Syrian economist Samir Seifan.

One purpose is the sheer measurement of the problem. Seifan estimated that Syria suffered about $150 billion in bodily injury, and mentioned reconstruction may in the end value over $400 billion because it contains misplaced alternatives comparable to improvement initiatives that will in any other case have been carried out.

Some Arab nations, comparable to key Syria opposition backer Qatar, need Assad to make concessions to the opposition with the intention to reconcile, he mentioned.

However maybe the biggest barrier to ending Syria’s worldwide isolation is that Washington has not had a change of coronary heart about Assad.

“Now we have been clear relating to our coverage on the Assad regime,” a U.S. State Division spokesperson informed The Related Press on situation of anonymity below laws. “Absent enduring progress towards a political resolution to the Syrian battle, we won’t normalize relations with the regime, nor will we assist different international locations normalizing relations.”

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Syria has not applied U.N. Safety Council decision 2254 adopted in December 2015 as a highway map to peace in Syria. Acceptance of the highway map is a key demand of the usand the European Union for normalizing relations with Damascus.

The decision requires a Syrian-led political course of, beginning with forming a transitional governing physique, adopted by the drafting of a brand new structure and ending with U.N.-supervised elections.

In recent times, as authorities forces have taken management of many of the nation, internationally mediated negotiations between Damascus and the opposition have stalled.

And whereas Washington and key European states stay hostile in direction of Assad, they don’t have a powerful ally within the opposition, analysts say. Management of northwest Syria is break up between the al-Qaida-affiliated insurgent group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and Turkish-backed militias which have fought in opposition to U.S.-backed Kurdish forces.

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham “won’t be acknowledged as an opposition you possibly can speak to, particularly by the U.S. or the Europeans,” Joseph Daher, a Swiss-Syrian researcher and professor on the European College Institute in Florence, Italy, including that they’re nonetheless ”portrayed as an extremist group.”

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U.N. officers hope the earthquake will now push the events to the battle again to the desk, after its injury compounded the devastation left by the warfare.

“The assist supplied within the aftermath of those earthquakes have to be channeled into renewed vitality on the political observe, to deal with the elemental points underpinning the Syria battle,” U.N. Secretary-Basic Antonio Guterres mentioned in an announcement marking the 12-year anniversary of the battle.

___

Mroue has reported from the broader Center East, together with Syria, since 1992 and Chehayeb since 2014.

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‘Joker 2’ Ending: Was That a ‘Dark Knight’ Connection? Explaining What’s Next for Joaquin Phoenix’s Joker

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‘Joker 2’ Ending: Was That a ‘Dark Knight’ Connection? Explaining What’s Next for Joaquin Phoenix’s Joker

SPOILER ALERT: This article contains major spoilers for the ending of “Joker: Folie à Deux” now playing in theaters.

Joaquin Phoenix dons his clown makeup once again in “Joker: Folie à Deux,” the follow-up to his Oscar-winning performance from 2019. This time, he’s joined by fellow Oscar winner Lady Gaga, who plays another iconic DC Comics villain, Harley Quinn.

The comic book sequel takes place after the events of “Joker,” with Phoenix’s killer clown Arthur Fleck on trial for the murders he committed in the first movie. His lawyer, played by Catherine Keener, argues that Arthur and Joker are two different people. She claims that after years of childhood abuse, Arthur developed an alter-ego that’s separate from his own mind. The prosecution is led by assistant district attorney Harvey Dent, played by “Industry” star Harry Lawtey, who’s later known as the disfigured villain Two Face in the Batman comics.

The jury sides with Dent and convicts Arthur of murder. However, before the trial can continue, a bomb explodes outside of the courtroom, sending the city into chaos. Arthur briefly escapes with the help of two Joker devotees, but he’s soon captured by police and brought back to Arkham Asylum. Also, it appears that Harvey’s face was injured in the courtroom explosion, potentially setting him up to become Two Face in the future.

The movie ends on a bloody note, as Arthur is ambushed the next day by a laughing, clearly insane Arkham patient. The inmate, played by Connor Storrie, tells Arthur a joke and then repeatedly stabs him in the stomach. Arthur falls over, bleeding profusely, and appears to die. Behind him, the unnamed psycho laughs uncontrollably and carves a Glasgow smile into his face with a knife.

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Many DC fans have theorized that Arthur’s killer could be an homage to Heath Ledger’s Joker in “The Dark Knight,” since both of them sport the same gnarly scars around their mouths. Todd Phillips’ “Joker” and Christopher Nolan’s “Batman” trilogy take place in different time periods and universes, so it’s unlikely that Storrie’s character is related at all to Ledger’s.

In “The Dark Knight,” Ledger’s Joker backstory is largely unknown, and he offers differing accounts of how he got his facial scars. Early in the movie, he says his father drunkenly cut him as a child, but later he says the scars were self-inflicted after his wife was given a Glasgow smile over her gambling debt. “The Dark Knight” also took place in the modern 2000s era, while the “Joker” movies are in the ’80s, giving little evidence that the “Folie a Deux” character is anything more than a wink to Ledger’s Oscar-winning role.

It appears that Phoenix is hanging up his red suit and clown makeup with “Folie à Deux.” The “Joker” movies have existed in their own world, with no connections to Matt Reeves’ “The Batman” or James Gunn and Peter Safran’s rebooted DC Universe, so it’s unlikely Phoenix’s character will be resurrected or revisited. The next time we could see a live-action Joker may be when Barry Keoghan eventually reprises his role from the final scene of “The Batman,” perhaps in Reeves’ sequel in 2026.

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Expert warns UN's role in AI regulation could lead to safety overreach

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Expert warns UN's role in AI regulation could lead to safety overreach

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The United Nations (U.N.) advisory body on artificial intelligence (AI) last week issued seven recommendations to address AI-related risks, but an expert told Fox News Digital the points do not cover critical areas of concern. 

“They didn’t really say much about the unique role of AI in different parts of the world, and I think they needed to be a little more aware that different economic structures and different regulatory structures that already exist are going to cause different outcomes,” Phil Siegel, co-founder of the Center for Advanced Preparedness and Threat Response Simulation (CAPTRS), said. 

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“I think that they could have done a better job of — instead of just trying to go to the lowest common denominator — being a little more specific around what does a state like the United States, what is unique there?” Siegel said. “How does what we do in the United States impact others, and what should we be looking at specifically for us?

“Same thing with Europe. They have much more strict privacy needs or rules in Europe,” he noted. “What does that mean? I think it would have gained them a little bit of credibility to be a little more specific around the differences that our environments around the world cause for AI.” 

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United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres addresses the 79th United Nations General Assembly at U.N. headquarters in New York Sept. 24, 2024.  (Reuters/Mike Segar)

The U.N. Secretary-General’s High-level Advisory Body on AI published its suggested guidelines Sept. 19, which aimed to cover “global AI governance gaps” among its 193 member states. 

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The body suggested establishing an International Scientific Panel on AI, creating a policy dialogue on AI governance, creating a global AI capacity development network, establishing a global AI fund, fostering of an AI data framework and forming an AI office in the U.N. Secretariat. 

These measures, Siegel said, seem to be an effort by the U.N. to establish “a little bit more than a seat at the table, maybe a better seat at the table in some other areas.” 

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“If you want to take it at face value, I think what they’re doing is saying some of these recommendations that different member states have come up with have been good, especially in the European Union, since they match a lot of those,” Siegel noted. 

“I think … it sets the bar in the right direction or the pointer in the right direction that people need to start paying attention to these things and letting it get off the rails, but I think some of it is just it’s not really doable.” 

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Iraqi Prime Minister addresses the United Nations General Assembly

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani addresses the 78th United Nations General Assembly at U.N. headquarters in New York City Sept. 22, 2023. (Bryan R. Smith/AFP via Getty Images)

Multiple entities have pursued global-level coordination on AI policy as nations seek to maintain an advantage while preventing rivals from developing into pacing challenges. While trying to develop AI for every possible use, they also hold safety summits to try and “align” policy, such as the upcoming U.S.-led summit in California in November. 

Siegel acknowledged the U.N. is likely to be one of the better options to help coordinate such efforts as an already-existing global forum — even as countries try to set up their own safety institutes to coordinate safety guidelines between nations. But he remained concerned about U.N. overreach. 

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“They probably should be coordinated through the U.N., but not with rules and kind of hard and fast things that the member states have to do, but a way of implementing best practices,” Siegel suggested. 

“I think there’s a little bit of a trust issue with the United Nations given they have tried to, as I said, gain a little bit more than a seat at the table in some other areas and gotten slapped back. On the other hand, you know, it already exists.

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Tech Safety Summit

Michelle Donelan, Britain’s secretary of state for science, innovation and technology (second from left), listens as Lee Jong-ho (second from right), South Korea’s minister of science and ICT, speaks during the Ministers’ Session of the AI Seoul Summit at the Korea Institute of Science and Technology in Seoul May 22, 2024. (Anthony Wallace/AFP via Getty Images)

“It is something that the vast majority of countries around the world are members, so it would seem to me to be the logical coordinating agency, but not necessarily for convening or measurements and benchmarks.” 

Siegel said the U.S. and Europe have already made “some pretty good strides” on creating long-term safety regulations, and Asian nations have “done a good job on their own and need to be brought into these discussions.” 

“I just don’t know if the U.N. is the right place to convene to make that happen, or is it better for them to wait for these things to happen and say, ‘We’re going to help track and be there to help’ rather than trying to make them happen,” Siegel said.  

Reuters contributed to this report. 

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Indian soldiers kill dozens of suspected Maoist rebels in Abujhmad forest

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Indian soldiers kill dozens of suspected Maoist rebels in Abujhmad forest

Police say 31 Maoist rebels killed in the central Indian state of Chhattisgarh after a nine-hour firefight.

At least 31 suspected Maoist rebels have been killed during a clash with Indian security forces, state police said.

The confrontation took place on Friday after counterinsurgency forces, acting on intelligence, surrounded approximately 50 suspected rebels in the dense Abujhmad forest, located on the border between Narayanpur and Dantewada districts in Chhattisgarh, according to Inspector General Pattilingam Sundarraj on Saturday.

The operation, which began on Thursday, led to a nine-hour firefight the following day. Security personnel have since been conducting search operations in the area and have recovered several weapons, including automatic rifles. No injuries or casualties have been reported among the government forces.

There was no immediate statement from the rebels.

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Indian forces have been engaged in a long-running conflict with Maoist rebels, known as Naxalites, since 1967. The armed uprising began as a movement demanding jobs, land, and a greater share of the wealth from natural resources for the country’s impoverished Indigenous communities.

The rebels, inspired by Chinese revolutionary leader Mao Zedong, have been active across several central and northern states.

 

Over the years, India has invested millions of dollars in infrastructure development in remote regions as part of its efforts to combat the rebellion. The government claims to have confined the fighting to 45 districts in 2023, down from 96 in 2010.

The conflict has also seen a number of deadly attacks on government forces over the years. Twenty-two police and paramilitaries were killed in a gun battle with the far-left rebels in 2021.

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Sixteen commandos were also killed in the western state of Maharashtra in a bomb attack that was blamed on the Maoists in the lead-up to national elections in 2019.

Moreover, the rebels have ambushed police, destroyed government offices and abducted officials. They have also blown up train tracks, attacked prisons to free their comrades and stolen weapons from police and paramilitary warehouses to arm themselves.

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