Welcome to the online version of From the Politics Desk, an evening newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail.

In today’s edition, “Meet the Press” researcher and production associate Juhi Doshi explores how the anti-incumbent wave has extended well beyond Washington in recent months. Plus, senior national political reporter Natasha Korecki examines how Kamala Harris handled her election certification role. And our Captiol Hill team look ahead to the obstacles awaiting Donald Trump’s agenda in Congress.

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Republicans take over Washington amid a worldwide anti-incumbent wave

By Juhi Doshi

As the newly sworn-in Republican Congress on Monday formalized Donald Trump’s election win, it’s worth widening the lens for the global context: Last year, voters worldwide delivered a striking rebuke to incumbents and traditional political parties on both the right and left, propelled by sour feelings over inflation, deepening cultural divisions, international conflicts and frustration with the status quo and political elites.

In fact, the incumbent party lost almost every Western election in 2024. And heading into 2025, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz lost a mid-December no-confidence vote, setting the stage for elections next month, while Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, facing internal revolt, said Monday that he would resign as prime minister and leader of his Liberal Party ahead of 2025 elections there.

The trends crossed ideological and continental boundaries. In the United Kingdom, the Conservative Party saw its 14-year rule end in its worst electoral loss since 1832. For the first time in nearly 60 years, Botswana’s Democratic Party lost control in a dramatic defeat. In South Korea, voters handed the opposition Democratic Party a majority in the National Assembly, seen as a check on President Yoon Suk Yeol of the People Power Party.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party held power but were forced into a coalition government. In France, President Emmanuel Macron and his centrist alliance, Ensemble, lost ground to both the left-wing New Popular Front and the right-wing National Rally.

And in the U.S., the incumbent party lost for the third straight presidential election — the first time that has happened since the 19th century.

“I think that Kamala Harris was considered part of the institution,” said Basil Smikle Jr., a Democratic strategist and professor at Columbia University. “A lot of younger voters saw her connected to all the problems they saw with political parties.” 

A set of Pew Research Center surveys found that large majorities in many nations believe elected officials don’t care what people like them think and that no political party represents their views well. 

“Big numbers in many countries say, ‘I don’t feel like I’ve got a voice in politics.’ So, in lots of ways, people don’t feel like representation is working the way it should,” said Richard Wike, director of global attitudes research at Pew. 

A big force behind that trend: A Pew study conducted in 34 countries with over 40,000 respondents found that economic challenges were a consistent theme globally, with 64% of adults saying their economy was in bad shape. In surveyed nations that held elections in 2024 — France, Japan, South Korea, South Africa and the U.K. — more than 70% held this view. 

Jim Messina, who served as the campaign manager for President Barack Obama’s 2012 re-election in the U.S. and has also worked for the U.K. Conservative Party, noted how difficult it is to overcome voter anger over the economy.

“Obama said to me over and over and over, ‘We have to win the middle,’ ‘We have to win the economic argument,’” Messina said. “And Democrats lost the economic argument, or Kamala Harris did, by almost 10 points. And you just cannot win a democratic or a presidential election in the United States if you lose the economic argument.”

Harris oversees the certification of Trump’s election win on a drama-free Jan. 6

By Natasha Korecki

Upon entering the Senate chamber on Monday, Vice President Kamala Harris issued a simple declaration when asked by NBC News about presiding over the certification of the 2024 election: “Democracy prevails.” 

Minutes later, Harris carried through, steering Congress’ collective endorsement of the Electoral College vote that she lost and affirming Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Harris’ message of this Jan. 6 was one that both she and her predecessor on the campaign trail, President Joe Biden, conveyed time and again to voters. They advocated for “freedom” and democracy and shunned the events of the violent riot by Trump supporters on Jan. 6, 2021, that saw an unprecedented attack on the U.S. Capitol.

Missing on this day compared to four years earlier were gallows and a noose constructed outside the Capitol grounds. Or chants in support of hanging the vice president for failing to reject the will of the people and the true outcome of the election. Instead, the event transpired in the way it was meant to unfold, pro forma, taking all of 30 minutes. 

Ultimately, the American electorate rejected Harris, ushering in Trump and his vows to blow up the status quo. Unlike Trump’s refusal to accept the outcome of 2020, Harris conceded her loss and attempted to offer her supporters comforting words a day after the election. 

After Monday’s election certification, Harris said: “I do believe very strongly that America’s democracy is only as strong as our willingness to fight for it. Otherwise, it is very fragile, and it will not be able to withstand moments of crisis. And today, America’s democracy stood.”  

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Pardon politics: Meanwhile, the details of Trump’s plans to pardon Jan. 6, 2021, defendants when he takes office in two weeks remain unclear, Ryan J. Reilly reports. More than 1,580 defendants have been charged and about 1,270 have been convicted in a sprawling investigation that has resulted in more than 660 prison sentences, according to statistics released Monday by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Columbia.

Enrique Tarrio, the former Proud Boys chairman who is serving 22 years in federal prison after he was convicted of seditious conspiracy in relation to the Capitol attack, asked Trump on Monday for a pardon.

Johnson’s push to pass Trump’s agenda in one massive bill faces big hurdles

By Sahil Kapur, Scott Wong and Julie Tsirkin

House Speaker Mike Johnson is laying out a highly ambitious strategy to answer Donald Trump’s call for passing his agenda in “one big, beautiful bill“ — a plan that will test the limits of his wafer-thin Republican majority. 

Johnson said Sunday that the party-line bill will contain provisions on border security, energy, manufacturing and tax policy. He also called for extending the debt ceiling in the same bill and passing it out of the House as early as the first week of April.

Republicans plan to use the budget “reconciliation” process to pass the massive package. That allows them to bypass the 60-vote threshold in the Senate, where Republicans have 53 seats and can cut Democrats out of the process.

Key senators, including Majority Leader John Thune, have been pushing for breaking it up into two bills — allowing Republicans to score a quick victory on border funding and take some time to craft a second tax bill. 

But Johnson and Trump say they prefer a single package. 

“The plan in the House has been one bill. We met for two days over the weekend — two full days of discussion and strategizing with that in mind. And so that’s our assumption right now,” Johnson told reporters on Monday. “The Senate has a little different opinion and perspective on reconciliation, and what the wisest strategy is, than the House. And that’s okay, that’s part of this process.”

“We are going to get this mission accomplished,” Johnson said. 

To appease lawmakers and Trump allies who want to deal with the border immediately, House and Senate Republicans will bring a series of immigration and border security bills up for votes in the coming weeks, according to two people with knowledge of those plans.

“We’ve got six months to a year to demonstrate to the American people that we’re going to bring change,” said Sen. John Kennedy, R-La. “Now whether you do it in one bill or two bills, frankly, I can teach that round or flat. There are advantages and disadvantages to both.”

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That’s all From the Politics Desk for now. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner, Scott Bland and Bridget Bowman.

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