SALT LAKE CITY — California is the most common state from whence new Utah residents arrive, according to the 2020 Census.
Reports in both California and Utah note this migration has become a flashpoint for tensions about politics, culture, congestion and housing prices.
Demographics tell a complicated story about how and why Utah’s population is rising.
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The American Community Survey earlier this month released state-to-state migration data using official U.S. Census numbers.
“This number shows that about 18,600 people moved to Utah from California in 2022,” said Emily Harris, a senior demographer at the University of Utah Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. “That’s about the same amount that moved here in 2015, at the start of when things started to really pick up growthwise in Utah. If you go to 2012, that number is around 15,000. If you go to 2010, that number is about 12,000. So you see this ramping up, but again, you just really started to see a lot more people leaving California, in general, in this time period.”
Primarily migration
Between 2010 and 2020, Utah was the fastest-growing state in the U.S., according to the 2020 Census. While migration from out of state accounted for 35% of growth, 65% of the growth was from Utah births outpacing deaths.
KSL.com reports on the 2021 Census note that Utah was the youngest state in the U.S., with a median age of 31.8 years compared to the national average of 38.8 years.
However, fertility has been declining in every state in the U.S. for years, and Utah dropped from the most fertile state in the nation to the fourth-most fertile between 2010 and 2020, according to research from the Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute.
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Utah still has the most births of any state in the Intermountain West, but its fertility rate declined by nearly 22 percent in the 2010s, which was the seventh-fastest fertility decline in the nation.
“Over the last two or three years, we’ve actually seen a shift because natural increase has continued to decline due to people having less children and more people dying as our population gets older,” Harris said. “Net migration has actually become the primary driver of Utah’s growth.”
There’s a huge influx of people moving here over the last seven or eight years and Utah is trying to catch up with that.
– Emily Harris, U. demographer
“This last year and the 2022 estimates from the Census Bureau, they indicated that Utah’s growth had kind of slowed quite a bit,” Harris continued. “We don’t necessarily think that the estimate that they came up with is 100% accurate, but it is a good number to be able to make comparisons to other places. So, I mean, Utah is similar to some other Intermountain West states. Idaho is growing really fast. Nevada is growing really fast. Texas and Florida are also growing really fast.”
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“I wouldn’t necessarily compare these states to Utah,” Harris said. “But again, a lot of the places and states that are growing really fast, are growing really fast because lots of people are moving there. So I’m sure that if you went and looked at the news and a lot of these other states, you would see very similar headlines and narratives about lots of people moving here — I bet Californians would be mentioned.”
Business policy drives migration
While state officials have been frustrated by Californians moving to Utah, local and national reports consistently point to Utah’s strong economic policy and employment as drivers of migration to the state.
A 2021 economic review by Utah’s Department of Workforce Services notes that, since 2010, Silicon Slopes has seen a higher degree of employment growth relative to its population, making it an emerging employment center. Lehi in particular experienced a 52% population growth in just 10 years.
Similarly, St. George was ranked the fastest-growing metro in the U.S. in 2021 and 2022 by the U.S. Census, and a 2023 WalletHub study ranked Washington, in southern Utah, the best small city in America to start a business.
The St. George Spectrum and St. George News have also reported St. George has seen consistent job growth and gross domestic product increases in recent years, fitting the definition of a “boomtown.”
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Overall, in 2021 the state of Utah had three job openings for every unemployed Utahn.
“I definitely think that the state has created an environment where they are bringing headquarters and businesses in and making that very friendly,” Harris said. “And that’s been a very deliberate choice. I think that that’s generally a good thing.”
“But again, I think because of how fast Utah has grown recently, (growth) may have been an unanticipated consequence of a lot of that industry and employment growth as well,” she said. “If you’re bringing more employment and job opportunities in the state, that’s going to bring more people into the state to fill those jobs.”
“There will be internal Utahns who will fill those positions,” she added, “but if there are more positions than there are people, then you’re going to have more people moving in from other places.”
Growth will continue – regardless of how people feel about it
“Salt Lake County actually has a pretty low growth rate. Salt Lake County has geographic constraints, so it can’t really grow that fast,” Harris explained. “If we’re looking at fast-growing counties, Utah County would be one of those counties. St. George definitely is fast-growing.”
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Asked whether the growth will ever stop, Harris said, “People aren’t just going to have a mass exodus and leave, barring some kind of disaster or something like that.”
“I certainly understand that if you’ve lived here for a really long time, that you might miss how things used to be. I don’t know if that’s necessarily a healthy way to live your life at this point. Growth will eventually slow. Utah is not going to just exponentially grow like this forever,” she continued. “But also with where we are in terms of population, it’s not going to decline substantially.”
Harris advises people pay attention to what planners are doing in their areas.
“I think right now, Utah is just in a bit of growing pains, honestly,” she said. “There’s a huge influx of people moving here over the last seven or eight years and Utah is trying to catch up with that. That’s not a short-term process. It’s something that takes time.”
In-state migration is also occurring, with people moving from Salt Lake County to Tooele, Utah, Davis and Weber counties.
“So the people that are moving in next to you might not be from another state — they might be from the county next door,” Harris said. “So the question is more complicated than just you know, California and moving in.”
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Katie Workman is a former KSL.com and KSL-TV reporter who works as a politics contributor. She has degrees from Cambridge and the University of Utah, and she’s passionate about sharing stories about elections, the environment and southern Utah.
One of the gems of Utah’s incoming recruiting class is now heading south.
Four-star edge rusher Hunter Clegg flipped his commitment from Utah to BYU after returning home from his Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints mission this week.
The American Fork product was a top-three player in the state coming out of high school. He was originally part of the 2023 recruiting class — with highly touted players like four-stars Jackson Bowers and Walker Lyons.
BYU made a strong push to sign Clegg a few years ago. In the summer of 2022, head coach Kalani Sitake hosted Clegg as part of BYU’s most high-profile recruiting weekend of the cycle. BYU had Clegg, Bowers, Lyons and offensive lineman Ethan Thomason on campus at the same time. With the collection of four-stars in Provo, the coaching staff pitched that group as cornerstone pieces of BYU’s early Big 12 era. Sitake had one-on-one meetings with all of them. The weekend included photoshoots in the mountains, a trip to Deer Lake and Top Golf.
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“It definitely felt like this was an important weekend for the program,” Thomason told The Salt Lake Tribune at the time. “They didn’t go over the top to where it is unrealistic. But you could feel it was really important.”
After that weekend, Thomason and Bowers both committed to BYU. But Clegg and Lyons went elsewhere.
Lyons landed at USC — where he played 10 games for Lincoln Riley last season. Utah also heavily recruited Lyons and the program was surprised he did not come to Salt Lake.
Clegg went on a mission, but oscillated between commitments. He originally pledged to go to Stanford, but backed off after a coaching change. He then announced he’d go to Utah.
Now, he has signed with the Cougars.
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Clegg’s addition is important for two reasons. For one, edge rusher is a position of need for the Cougars.
Defensive coordinator Jay Hill has been looking for a pass rusher who can generate sacks. In the last two years, most of BYU’s pass rush has come from the linebacker position with Harrison Taggart and Isaiah Glasker. Getting to the quarterback with a four-man rush is a critical part of Hill’s scheme, he said.
But perhaps more importantly, Clegg flipping from Utah continues a trend of BYU going after in-state recruits already pledged to the Utes.
In the last cycle, Hill put pressure on the state’s No. 3 player, Faletau Satuala, to flip from Salt Lake to Provo. He was able to sign Satuala at the last second.
Part of Hill’s pitch, Satuala and other recruits indicated, was stability. Kyle Whittingham’s potential retirement played a factor, recruits said, with BYU making in-roads with Utah’s recruits.
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“I think [stability] is important,” 2025 recruit Taani Makasini said. Makasini was recruited by both BYU and Utah, but signed with the Cougars in this class.
“I don’t want to go somewhere and the person that recruited me isn’t there anymore. I’m going there to learn from him. I’m not going there to learn from whoever they’re gonna hire next,” Makasini said.
When you’re the Utah Hockey Club, giving away 2,000 tickets to a regular-season game is a cause for celebration, not alarm.
After all, not every pro sports team team has an unused inventory of ‘single goal view seats’ that it can tap as a tool to help entice new fans.
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It started with a simple tweet from Utah Hockey Club owner Ryan Smith ahead of the club’s home game against the Vancouver Canucks last Wednesday.
In a followup, Smith said that he’d planned to give away the eight seats in his owner’s suite. But when he got more than 700 responses, he decided to open the invitation wider.
In the end, he put 2,000 extra people into Delta Center on top of the usual sold-out crowd of 11,131. And the fans got a good show as Utah staged a third-period rally from a 2-0 deficit before Mikhail Sergachev buried the game-winner on a 2-on-1 with 12 seconds left in overtime.
Acquired in a trade with the Tampa Bay Lightning during the 2024 NHL draft weekend, Sergachev has been a massive difference-maker for the Utah team in its first season in its new home. Helping to fill holes after fellow veteran blueliners John Marino and Sean Durzi went down early with long-term injuries, 26-year-old Sergachev is averaging 25:45 a game, third-most in the entire NHL.
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With eight goals and 26 points in 33 games to date, the two-time Stanley Cup winner is also on pace to match his previous career high of 64 points in a season, set in 2022-23.
Another standout has been goaltender Karel Vejmelka. The 28-year-old now sits second in the NHL with 16.5 goals saved above expected according to MoneyPuck, and has amassed a career-best save percentage of .918.
After their vagabond years in Arizona, including their last two seasons as secondary tenants at 4,600-seat Mullett Arena on the campus of Arizona State University, perhaps it should come as no surprise that the re-established Utah team would come out of the gate as road warriors. Unbeaten in regulation in their last eight games, with a record of 6-0-2, they’re up to 11-6-2 on the road this season.
Utah’s home win over Vancouver last Wednesday boosted the squad to 5-5-3 on home ice. The club followed up on Sunday with a 5-4 shootout loss to the Anaheim Ducks, which has the team just outside of the Western Conference wild-card picture with one more game to go before the NHL’s three-day holiday break — hosting the Dallas Stars as part of a 13-game slate on Monday.
On Dec. 2, the Stars earned a 2-1 win at the Delta Center — Utah’s only regulation loss since Nov. 24. The Western Conference standings are tight, but the new club is trending positively toward making the playoffs in its inaugural season. The Coyotes’ only post-season appearance in the franchise’s last 12 years came as part of the expanded 24-team field in the 2020 pandemic bubble, when they eliminated the Nashville Predators in the best-of-three qualifying round before falling to the Colorado Avalanche.
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Of the ice, Smith and his wife and co-owner, Ashley, have already helped make winners out of their 31 fellow NHL owners. Smith Entertainment Group’s $1.2 billion purchase of Arizona’s hockey assets last April fueled a 140 percent increase in the valuation of the franchise — a key metric in the league’s 44 percent increase in average valuations in 2024 per Forbes estimates, which dramatically outpaces the growth of the other North American sports over the last year.
The rosy economic picture for the Utah Hockey Club and the league as a whole bodes well for the next round of collective bargaining. While the current deal is not set to expire until the end of the 2025-26 season, commissioner Gary Bettman indicated at the league’s board of governors’ meetings in Florida earlier this month that he and NHL Players’ Association executive director Marty Walsh plan to start formal discussions in February, with an eye toward potentially completing an agreement before the end of this hockey year.
Lance Holtzclaw has found a new home. The former Washington edge rusher entered the transfer portal after three years on Montlake and has signed with one of the Huskies’ former Pac-12 opponents, the Utah Utes.
Now in the Big 12, coach Kyle Whittingham’s team should be a good fit for the 6-foot-3, 225-pound pass rush specialist, which finished third in the conference in total defense, allowing 329.7 yards per game in its first year in the conference.
The Utes also finished fifth in the conference with 24 sacks, a statistic that Holtzclaw may be able to assist with if he can see the field more often.
In three years with the Huskies, the former three-star recruit who is originally from Dorchester, Massachusetts, played in 26 games and tallied 13 tackles, 2 sacks, and a fumble recovery.
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Holtzclaw’s most notable moment in a Husky uniform came in Washington’s 26-21 win over the USC Trojans in November. He came in on fourth down and pressured quarterback Miller Moss, forcing an errant throw in the game’s final seconds. He also completes an effective defensive line trade between the two schools, after the Huskies added a commitment from former Utah defensive tackle Simote Pepa last week.