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Battling the Books | July 1

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Battling the Books | July 1


It’s official. June is in the books.
How did I do?
In my very first article here at PredictEm I stated my goals for sports betting, and I’ll restate them here:
1 – Do Not Lose Money
2 – Finish with a Profit – ANY Profit
3 – Seek the Grail: 67%
And of course – HAVE FUN!

Along with a lot of other advice for new bettors, (and any of you who are trying to stop bleeding cash and get your bankroll back to the plus side of the ledger) I recommended not treating your sports betting as an open ended, never ending war. Set goals for time frames (weeks or months) and sports (keep separate records and numbers for college football, NFL, NBA, WNBA, etc.)
Win enough battles and you’ll win the war.

June was the first window I had. Overall, all sports, I came in at 16-13, enough to bank a small profit.
I hit goal number one and two.
And I had a LOT of fun, crunching numbers and sharing my tips, methods, and picks with you.

Round one in my Battle with the Books has ended, and the judge’s scorecards have it as a 10-9 round for me.

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The next window I have is July.
Same goals, as always.

The WNBA season started on May 14th, so I now have six weeks worth of data to help me try to Beat the Books in July. That should make it easier, BUT . . . I’ll have limited opportunities as the league goes on break for the All-Star game and then the Olympics.

The All Star break begins on July 18th, and they don’t come back from the Olympic break until August 14.
Like I said, limited opportunities in July.

So where will I get some action?
Hell if I know.

NASCAR?
Possibly. Depends on what track they’re at.
Even with money on it I can’t watch when they’re racing at tracks that are boring.
I need a high percentage possibility of metal hitting metal, or walls, or else my Sunday afternoon TV viewing finds me channel flipping over to Wicked Tuna. Or Naked and Afraid (but only if the chick on it is hot. If not, it’s back to channel flipping, looking for something that can hold my attention. Yes, that’s shallow, I know, but I’ve come to accept my shortcomings.)

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CFL?
Possibly. But despite having been fortunate enough to live in Vancouver, BC for two years, I still find the northern version of the game a little bit weird.
Unlike football here in the US, in Canada you can score one point without kicking an extra point. I’m not sure how, I could look it up but I just don’t care enough to take time to do so. It has something to do with punt returns, or not returned, or something. And I still don’t get how the clock could show .00, which in the normal world means the game is over, but in the country that is responsible for Loverboy and Nickelback they can still run one more play.
But they did give us Norm Macdonald, so Canada will always be okay in my book.

Boxing?
It’s always been my favorite sport, but there just aren’t enough quality, evenly matched bouts to make it advantageous from a wagering point of view. Seems like every time I check the odds the favorite is -1,200.00 or higher. At the Sports book I’d see people lay odds like those and I had to refrain myself from asking, “You’re risking $1,200 to win $100. So what is it that you’re going to do with $1,300 that you couldn’t do with $1,200?”
It just doesn’t make sense to me.

Tennis? Golf? Soccer???
I don’t think so.

Like life in general, I’ll just take things day by day.

Note – all of the advice I offer is based on years as a bettor and years of experience gained while running a sports book in Vegas. I never say it’s the right way, I only say it works for me. And it can work for you, too.

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Record: 0-0

  • WNBA YTD (Year To Date):
  • Overall: 10-9
  • Favs: 5-6, Dogs 1-1
  • Overs 2-1, Unders 2-1

Review: I slipped by with a 1-point win using Minnesota, but missed by 4 points with the Over in the Indy/Phx game. I had quarters of 46, 41, and 44 heading into the 4th quarter, meaning all I needed was 43 to get a Push at worst case. That number was right in line with the first three quarters, but the 4th came in at 39. I lost, but it was a really fun game to watch.

Today’s bet

Slim Pickens to choose from tonight but I’m going to take a chance with the Seattle Storm.
This game that fits a trend reversal system I use that says take the Storm to beat the Dallas Wings.

The overall record is 11- 13, not much of an edge to make me want to take Seattle.

And it’s even worse for home teams like Seattle is tonight, the record is 3-6.

The only saving grace I have is Home teams in this spot are 6-5.

So with not a lot of numbers in my favor why am I taking Seattle?

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Let’s start with the fact that Seattle IS going to win the game. That means I only have to worry about the spread. And yes, the spread is high but it’s where it should be against Dallas, the worst team in the league at 4-14.

But the main reason I’m taking Seattle is because they’re killers on their home court.
Starting with their most recent victory they’ve won by 21 (against tonight’s opponent, Dallas) 12, 11 (against Connecticut, the number one defense in the league), 17, 18, 32, and 2, an average of 16 points per game.

Dallas has lost five of the last six by double digits and I’m looking for one more tonight.

Sea -11′

Open bet : Oklahoma -40′
June record, all sports, 16-13

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Seattle, WA

Video: How the new-look Seahawks defense will keep offenses guessing – Seattle Sports

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Video: How the new-look Seahawks defense will keep offenses guessing – Seattle Sports


How will Seattle Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald keep opposing offenses guessing with his new-look defense? ESPN’s Brady Henderson explained to Mike Lefko on The Brock & Salk Show on Seattle Sports 710 AM.

Listen to The Brock & Salk Show weekdays from 6 a.m. – 10 a.m. on Seattle Sports 710 AM or on-demand wherever you listen to podcasts.

Learn more about The Brock & Salk Show here: https://sports.mynorthwest.com/category/seahawks/

More on the Seahawks from SeattleSports.com here: https://sports.mynorthwest.com/category/seahawks/

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Seattle Mariners’ Offensive Woes Continue as it Gets Smothered by Baltimore Orioles’ Pitching

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Seattle Mariners’ Offensive Woes Continue as it Gets Smothered by Baltimore Orioles’ Pitching


SEATTLE — The Seattle Mariners were tasked with stopping one of the most dynamic offenses in the league on Tuesday in the first game of a series against the Baltimore Orioles. The good news: the Mariners successfully stifled the Orioles’ offense. The bad news: Seattle’s offense was nonexistent, resulting in a 2-0 win for Baltimore at T-Mobile Park.

It’s the third-straight loss for the Mariners, who fell to 47-40 on the year. Here’s a breakdown on everything that happened in Tuesday’s cross-country American League contest:

Offense. There’s not much else to be said. Seattle’s offense mustered just two hits for the game. Its best chance to score didn’t come until the bottom of the ninth with the game-tying runs at second and third and the go-ahead run at the plate. Both those base runners got on base via hit-by-pitches.

The Mariners missed out on the walk-off opportunity and the chance to get in a position to score in general. Seattle had three at-bats with runners in scoring position, and went 0-for-3. That makes the Mariners 5-for-35 with runners in scoring position in its last four games, including the most recent three-game series against the Minnesota Twins.

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Seattle’s starting pitcher George Kirby did his job. He went 6 1/3 innings pitched and struck out five batters while letting up two earned runs on seven hits and walked one batter.

Manager Scott Servais bumped Julio Rodriguez down to seventh in the lineup to, in his words, give him a breather and try to get more hitters comfortable. It didn’t have the results he or Rodriguez wanted. Josh Rojas was the lone Mariner to earn a hit and Rodriguez went 0-for-4 and struck out twice — the second time in the ninth inning to end the game with two men on.

Orioles first baseman Ryan O’Hearn hit an RBI single in the top of the fourth to put his team up 1-0 .

Baltimore extended its lead to 2-0 in the top of the seventh courtesy of an RBI single from Cedric Mullins.

Mariners reliever Austin Voth came in for the last two outs of the seventh inning and helped leave the bases loaded to prevent the Orioles from tacking on any further runs.

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Rodriguez struck out swinging in the ninth with Luke Raley at third base and Ryan Bliss at second, giving Baltimore the win and preventing a potential game-tying or go-ahead scenario for the Mariners.

This was a winnable game for Seattle. Many of its losses have been winnable games. Luckily for the Mariners, the Houston Astros also lost 7-6 to the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday, keeping Seattle’s lead at three games in the American League West. … Unluckily, the offensive woes continue for the Mariners. The best performance in the lineup came from Rojas, who accounted for both of Seattle’s hits. … Kirby took the loss and fell to a 7-6 record on the year. … The Mariners’ pitching staff combined for seven strikeouts and two walks for the game. … Logan Gilbert will get the start in Game 2 of the series at 7:10 p.m. PST on Wednesday. He will face Dean Kremer for the Orioles.

Continue to follow our Inside the Mariners coverage on social media by liking us on Facebook and by following Teren Kowatsch and Brady Farkas on “X” @Teren_Kowatschand @wdevradiobrady





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Seattle, WA

Analyst Shares Bizarre Seattle Seahawks QB Prediction

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Analyst Shares Bizarre Seattle Seahawks QB Prediction


To many fans and pundits, the Seattle Seahawks’ likely plan at quarterback seems very clear: start Geno Smith this season, then probably hand the reins over to offseason acquisition Sam Howell next season to not only save money, but get younger at the position as well.

However, there are certainly some… out there predictions for what the Seahawks could do instead. Some national analysts have named Seattle as a suitor for for Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott, which doesn’t make sense from a salary cap perspective considering his stats relative to Smith.

Then there’s a prediction by Marissa Myers of The Wrightway Sports Network, who believes that Seattle’s starting quarterback in 2025 won’t be Smith, Howell or even a rookie, but Desmond Ridder. Yes, really.

“That’s where Ridder comes into play as the candidate to lead the Seahawks offense,” Myers writes. “While the play hasn’t necessarily been great for Ridder, his situation with the Atlanta Falcons wasn’t necessarily ideal either. Ridder coming out of Cincinnati was known for diagnosing defenses, which he’s been able to show glimpses of at the NFL level as well. …

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“Ridder is also able to utilize his mobility, as he has the capability to pick up yards on the ground and manipulate the pocket as well, which would be essential for the Seahawks under new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb.”

Listen, there’s absolutely no ill will towards Myers or the folks at TWSN. That said, where do we even begin here?

First off, saying that Ridder’s play “hasn’t necessarily been great” is the textbook definition of an understatement, as he was one of the worst starters in the entire league last season. The 24-year-old finished the season with a 64.2 percent completion rate, 2,836 passing yards, 12 touchdowns and 12 interceptions for a passer rating of 83.6, which ranked 26th among qualified quarterbacks. He also added 193 yards and five touchdowns on the ground, but fumbled 12 times, an absurd amount for any player.

Ridder also had a propensity for turnovers at the worst possible time, and especially in the red zone. The low point came when a late interception against the Carolina Panthers directly led to Atlanta losing the game on a last-second field goal. Yes, Ridder was largely responsible for one of Carolina’s two wins last season, which is about as damning of an indictment as there possibly could be.

It’s no surprise that Falcons fans wanted him gone long before they even signed Kirk Cousins, and they got their wish when the team traded him to the Arizona Cardinals.

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There’s also the simple fact that if the Seahawks really wanted Ridder for some reason, they could’ve just traded for him this offseason. They instead went after Howell, who did throw more interceptions than Ridder, but outperformed him in nearly every other stat while playing on a worse team.

This is one of those takes that almost deserves respect for how absurd it is, but if Ridder is actually in a Seahawks uniform next year, something has gone horribly wrong.



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