The Aztecs are looking for revenge on the Lobos after suffering their worst defeat of the season to New Mexico last month. The Lobos and Aztecs sit one game back of first-place Utah State, and tonight’s game will be significant in the race for the Mountain West Championship. Each team plays Utah State before the end of the season, so the winner of this contest controls their own destiny to win the conference.

New Mexico is one of the best spread bets in college basketball, with a 17-8 ATS record. But they have gone through their worst stretch of the season over their last four, going 2-2 and only covering in the wins. Their offense remains the focal point and can light up any opponent, having hit the OVER for total points in nine of their last 10 and four straight.

San Diego State is not nearly as strong against the spread, with a 10-15 ATS record. They have been on a good run recently, winning and covering three of their last four contests. They have proven the ability to win in low-scoring or high-scoring games, hitting two OVERS and two UNDERS in their last four contests. 

Here is the New Mexico vs. San Diego State betting news, player props and a prediction for tonight’s Mountain West Conference matchup. The game tips off at 10 p.m. on FS1.

Live odds for New Mexico vs. San Diego State

Here are the spread, moneyline and total points live odds for New Mexico vs. San Diego State at the best online sportsbooks.

Bet now at the best college basketball betting sites using the latest sportsbook promos and bonuses.

New Mexico Lobos betting news

The Lobos boast an impressive adjusted efficiency margin (+18.91), ranking 24th on Kenpom. Their offense and defense rank 30th for adjusted efficiency, coming against a top 100 (90th) strength of schedule this season. These are all very high metrics for a mid-major program. One big key for the Lobos is their pace — they run on everyone, ranking seventh in the nation for adjusted tempo. 

New Mexico boasts a quartet of double-figure scorers, making them difficult to defend because they are so balanced. They have two players tied for the team lead in points, Jaelen House (15.6 PPG) and Donovan Dent (15.6 PPG). Dent is the more efficient player, shooting an impressive 53.2% from the floor and is solid from deep, shooting 38.2% from three.

Just a tick behind House and Dent is Jamal Mashburn Jr., who is scoring 15.3 PPG. And in the frontcourt, forward JT Toppin adds 12.4 PPG and leads the team in rebounding with 8.8 RPG. Toppin is paired down low with Nelly Junior Joseph, who averages 8.8 PPG and 7.8 RPG. Toppin leads the team in blocks with 2 BPG, and Joseph is close, blocking 1.5 shots a night. 

That presence inside is the primary reason the Lobos’ defense is so strong. Their backcourt is slightly undersized, with House, Dent and Mashburn Jr. all listed at 6-foot-2 or under. But Toppin and Joseph do a good job protecting the rim. 

Check and bet: College basketball odds | March Madness betting sites

San Diego State Aztecs betting news

The Aztecs are slightly higher on Kenpom, ranking 19th for adjusted efficiency margin (+20.21), led by their defense, which ranks 10th for adjusted efficiency. Their offense is still above average, ranking 50th for adjusted efficiency. They play a contrasting style to the Lobos, ranking 220th for adjusted tempo. The team that dictates the pace tonight will likely be the winner.

The Aztecs will look to their star forward, senior Jaedon LeDee, to help control that tempo and slow the Lobos down. LeDee transferred to SDSU from TCU prior to last season. After failing to average double figures in his career, he has exploded this season with 20.3 PPG and 8.5 RPG. He ranks in the top 25 in the nation in scoring and has helped carry the Aztecs’ offense at times. He is also consistent, scoring double figures in every contest this season, including six games with 25-plus points. 

The key to San Diego State’s season lies with their backcourt, where they have four players averaging 26 minutes or more a night, with all four scoring between eight and 12 points a night. If they could get one of them to step up and be a consistent 15-plus point threat to pair with LeDee, the Aztecs could be dangerous in March. Reese Waters (11.3 PPG) needs to get back on track, having scored in single digits in three of his last four.

New Mexico vs. San Diego State player props at FanDuel Sportsbook

Here are some of the top player prop markets for New Mexico vs. San Diego State from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Donovan Dent player props

• 11.5 points OVER (-125) / UNDER (-104)

Jamal Mashburn player props

• 13.5 points OVER (-104) / UNDER (-125)

Jaedon LeDee player props

• 16.5 points OVER (-122) / UNDER (-106)
• 7.5 rebounds OVER (-102) / UNDER (-130)

JT Toppin player props

• 10.5 points OVER (+100) / UNDER (-130)
• 9.5 rebounds OVER (-108) / UNDER (-122)

Jaelen House player props

• 14.5 points OVER (-125) / UNDER (-104)

Darrion Trammell player props

• 9.5 points OVER (-125) / UNDER (-104)

New Mexico vs. San Diego State prediction: Tight battle comes down to the wire

New Mexico can clearly hang with SDSU, having dominated them at home just last month. With the betting line sitting at , it’s hard not to take the points in what should be a hard-fought conference game with a shot at the conference title on the line. 

Pick: New Mexico