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Nevada shows biggest lead for Trump over Biden – 13 points – in new poll of swing states

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Nevada shows biggest lead for Trump over Biden – 13 points – in new poll of swing states


Could the third time be the charm for Donald Trump in Nevada?

It certainly looks like a possibility based on a new poll by the New York Times, Siena College and the Philadelphia Inquirer.

Trump lost in 2016 by 2.4 percentage points to Hillary Clinton and in 2020 by about the same difference to Joe Biden.

But the new poll of six swing states shows that among likely voters surveyed in Nevada, former President Trump leads President Joe Biden by 13 percentage points: 51% to 38%.

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That difference may hinge on favorability.

Those with a “net unfavorable” view of Biden – somewhat or very unfavorable – is 64%. It rises to 70% net unfavorable among Nevada’s large nonpartisan population.

Regarding Trump, Nevada registered voters have a 49% net unfavorable view, according to those who responded to the poll. Fifty-four percent of registered nonpartisan have a net unfavorable view – 16 percentage points lower than for Biden.

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and other third-party candidates are added to the mix, the difference stays approximately the same: Trump 14 points ahead of Biden if the vote were held today.

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RFK Jr. would get 12% of Nevada’s votes, according to the survey.

As for whether he helps or harms one of the major party candidates, it doesn’t appear obvious: 10% of registered Republicans, 10% of Democrats and 15% of independents said they’d vote for RFK Jr.

Other poll findings – race/ethnicity, Rosen v. Brown

The poll shows Trump with a 9 percentage point lead in Nevada among registered Hispanic voters and a 6-point lead among “other” racial or ethnic minorities.

When Nevada voters were asked if they would support Democrat Jacky Rosen or Republican Sam Brown for U.S. Senate, Rosen holds a 2 percentage point advantage: 40% to 38%, which amounts to a toss-up based on the margin of error.

The Senate race shows a lot of room for movement, as about 23% of respondents said they didn’t know which one they’d pick or they refused to answer.

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Trump leading in most other swing states

Among all the swing states surveyed, Trump has a 6 percentage point lead with a margin of error of 1.9 points for the overall survey.

Trump has an advantage in all but one of the other swing states surveyed.

  • Arizona: Trump ahead by 6 percentage points among likely voters
  • Georgia: Trump ahead by 9
  • Michigan: Biden ahead by 1
  • Pennsylvania: Trump ahead by 3
  • Wisconsin: Trump ahead by 1

The margin of error in Nevada’s results is reported as 4.5 percentage points.

The polls were conducted from April 28 to May 9, and 21% of the surveys of Nevada Hispanic voters were conducted in Spanish.

How this poll compares to others

An Emerson College/The Hill poll released April 30 showed the presidential race much tighter in Nevada, with Trump having a 1-point lead over Biden.

A Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, also in April, showed Trump up by 8 percent points in Nevada while one in March by the Wall Street Journal had Trump ahead by 4.

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However, the latest results track with another New York Times/Siena College poll about six months ago that showed Trump with a 12-point lead over Biden.

Mark Robison is the state politics reporter for the Reno Gazette Journal, with occasional forays into other topics. Email comments to mrobison@rgj.com or comment on Mark’s Greater Reno Facebook page.



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Jewish Nevada lights up Downtown Summerlin with festive Menorah Lighting event

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Jewish Nevada lights up Downtown Summerlin with festive Menorah Lighting event


Jewish Nevada hosted its annual Menorah Lighting event at Downtown Summerlin, offering entertainment and activities for the whole family to celebrate Hanukkah.

Attendees enjoyed free jelly donuts, hot cocoa, and ice skating at the Rock Rink.

Stefanie Tuzman is the President and CEO of Jewish Nevada.

She says, “We are so excited to be lighting the eighth and final candle of Hanukkah. There’s a bunch of kids activities. Downtown Summerlin generously donated some prizes for us to be able to giveaway.”

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Jewish Nevada held a raffle, with participants for a chance to win prizes.



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Nevada, Utah State earn big wins to open Mountain West men’s basketball play

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Nevada, Utah State earn big wins to open Mountain West men’s basketball play


Ten Mountain West men’s basketball teams opened conference play on Saturday, and two contenders had statement wins on their home courts. 

To kick off the day, Utah State (10-1, 1-0) hit the century mark in a 100-58 beatdown of Colorado State (9-3, 0-1). The Aggies’ 42-point win was the largest margin of victory in the 87-year history of the matchup. 

Six different Aggies scored in double figures, led by Mason Falslev’s 18 points, four rebounds and two assists. 

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“When you blow teams out, your numbers look great,” Utah State head coach Jerrod Calhoun said after the game. “So our guys know, like, we need to beat everybody we can. If we have a lead, we can’t call anything off. You know, that’s the way the analytics world works.”

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Colorado State star sophomore forward Kyle Jorgensen suffered an apparent knee injury in the opening minutes of Saturday’s game. He watched the second half from the bench on crutches. 

“First of all, I hope (Jorgensen) is OK,” Calhoun said. “He is, in my opinion, one of the most improved guys in the country. So things changed drastically game plan-wise when he was out.”

Later in the day, Nevada (9-3, 1-0) controlled the action from the opening tip in an 81-66 home victory over Boise State (8-4, 0-1). 

“We worked hard. We knew the magnitude of this game,” Nevada sophomore forward Elijah Price said. “It feels good to start off conference on the right foot. Coach was telling us all week that it was going to be physical, so we practiced for it. We prepared for it and we wanted to hit them first. I think that’s what we did, and that’s why we won.”

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Boise State head coach Leon Rice echoed Price’s sentiments. 

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“(Steve) Alford knows us and he knows that we’re a physical team,” Rice said. “He got his team ready to go as far as the physicality of the game. They were really physical, and they were the aggressor. Their technique was a little better. When you’re the more physical team, usually you’ve got to come out and hit first. And they did that, they came out and hit us first.”

In its first conference game as a member of the MWC, Grand Canyon (7-4, 1-0) jumped out to a big first-half lead and cruised to an 82-70 road win over Wyoming (9-3, 0-1).

New Mexico (10-2, 1-0) picked up a dominant 88-65 home win over San Jose State (5-7, 0-1) while UNLV (5-6, 1-0) stormed back in the second half to down Fresno State (6-6, 0-1), 84-72. 

San Diego State (6-4, 1-0) played a strong first half at Arizona before eventually falling in the non-conference game, 68-45. 

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Women’s Basketball Scores Dominant Win Over Nevada – Air Force Academy Athletics

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Women’s Basketball Scores Dominant Win Over Nevada – Air Force Academy Athletics


U.S. AIR FORCE ACADEMY, Colo. – Air Force took an early and never looked back, earning a 61-45 win over Nevada on Saturday afternoon in Clune Arena behind a total-game effort and one of its best shooting performances to date.
 
The Falcons (7-5, 1-1 MW) dismantled Nevada behind a season-high 9-18 (.500) shooting from three-point range. From the field, Air Force compiled a 24-59 (.410) effort, marking its second-best overall shooting percentage to date in 2025-26. While doing so, the Falcons also managed to hold Nevada (4-8, 0-2 MW) to season lows in both field goals made (13) and field goal percentage (.260) and its second-lowest assist figure as a team this season (five).
 
Senior Milahnie Perry, scoring a team-high 16 points (6-9 FG, 2-2 3FG, 2-2 FT, 6 REB, 3 AST), overtook Air Force alumna Pat Swanke (1977-81) for sixth all-time in career scoring. Junior Keelie O’Hollaren added 10 points (4-10 FG, 1-4 3FG, 3 REB); Freshman Bhret Clay contributed eight.
 
Air Force led 13-11 at the close of the first quarter. Perry scored the first four Air Force points to grab an early lead. Nevada evened the score twice in the first half, but Air Force took off in the second quarter, outscoring Nevada 18-6 while holding the Wolf Pack to just 3-13 shooting. A 14-2 Air Force run which encompassed the majority of the quarter pushed the Falcons to a double-digit lead that held the rest of the way.
 
Eight second-quarter points for Perry and an unblemished 4-4 showing for the Falcons as a team from three-point range elevated Air Force to a 31-17 halftime lead over Nevada.
 
Air Force dominance extended into the second half, as the Falcons’ lead inflated to as much as 23 points in the third quarter. O’Hollaren’s five points paced the Falcons in the third quarter, while Clay and junior Jayda McNabb put up a triple apiece to outscore the Wolf Pack 15-7.
 
With the win in hand in the fourth quarter, Air Force still managed to top Nevada in field goals made (six) and threes made (two). Nevada outscored the Falcons 21-15 in the final 10 minutes but were unable to bridge the gap. A downhill driving and-one score for freshman Maddy Jensen got the Falcons past the 60-point mark, putting a bow on a successful outing for Air Force ahead of the holiday break.
 
For the game, Air Force led the opposition in field goals (24), three-pointers (nine, season high), rebounding (38), assists (15), field goal percentage (.410), three-point field goal percentage (.500), points off of turnovers (21), second-chance points (eight), bench points (23), points in the paint (30), fast-break points (five), steals (five) and assists (15).
 
The win snaps a three-game skid against the Wolf Pack and improves the Falcons to 11-22 in the all-time series.
 
Up Next:
Air Force Women’s Basketball picks up Mountain West play on Dec. 31 at San Diego State; The Falcons are back in Clune Arena on Jan. 3 against UNLV.



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