Connect with us

Montana

Tester outraising Republican opponent 2-1 in Montana, still behind in polls

Published

on

Tester outraising Republican opponent 2-1 in Montana, still behind in polls


Republican Tim Sheehy has built up a steady polling lead against Democratic Senator Jon Tester in what may become the most important Senate race of the 2024 election.

Montana, usually a ruby-red state, is home to one of the most competitive Senate elections of the cycle. Tester, a centrist Democrat who has served as senator since 2006, has outrun other Democrats in the state in the past, and the party’s majority may hinge on his ability to win in November.

But a flurry of recent polls showing Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL officer and businessman, in the lead has sparked concerns about whether he can win in Montana this year. Turnout is expected to be high in a state former President Donald Trump will almost certainly win. Montana’s history of ticket-splitting has also ebbed in recent years.

While Sheehy has benefitted from strong polling numbers, Tester still holds a fundraising advantage.

Advertisement

So far this campaign, Tester has raised about $43 million, while Sheehy has raised nearly $14 million, according to data from the Federal Elections Commission (FEC). Meanwhile, Tester has spent more than $32.6 million, while Sheehy has spent over $10.6 million, the nonprofit OpenSecrets reported.

Montana GOP Senate candidate Tim Sheehy speaks during a rally in Bozeman on August 9, 2024. Senator Jon Tester speaks in Billings, Montana on September 2, 2024. Polls show Sheehy with a lead over Tester…


Michael Ciaglo/Getty Images; William Campbell/Getty Images

At the end of June, Tester had about $10.9 million in the bank, compared to $1.7 million for Sheehy, according to the FEC. Fundraising is crucial for any Senate candidate, but Montana is a smaller, generally less expensive state with fewer media markets than other key Senate races in states like Pennsylvania or Texas.

The amount of money both parties pour into the race speaks to its importance this year. Democrats currently hold a 51-49 Senate majority and are expected to lose at least the seat vacated by West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin.

This means Democrats must win every other seat they currently hold or flip one elsewhere to retain their majority in what has been viewed as a particularly challenging map in November. Montana is considered the tipping point for Senate control, with Ohio being another Democratic-held seat in a Republican-leaning state viewed as a potential GOP flip.

Tester continued to outraise Sheehy in the second quarter, bringing in $10.5 million to Sheehy’s $5.3 million, according to the Helena-based Independent Record.

Advertisement

Outside PACs have also spent tens of millions of dollars on the race, according to OpenSecrets.

GOP-supporting PACs have spent more than $13 million on advertisements supporting Sheehy and more than $30 million opposing Tester. Conversely, Democratic-leaning PACs have spent $3.5 million in support of Tester and nearly $31 million opposing Sheehy, according to the nonprofit.

The Last Best Place PAC, reported by HuffPost to be affiliated with Democratic leadership, has been the top outside spender in the race, pouring in $19 million. Meanwhile, the GOP-aligned More Jobs, Less Government PAC spent $18.8 million on the election, according to OpenSecrets.

Tester spokesperson Monica Robinson told Newsweek on Friday that the senator is “no stranger to tough races.”

“He’s won three in a row because he has a strong coalition of support across the state, including independent voters and Republicans, and he has a record of delivering for Montana. Montanans know that the dirt farmer from Big Sandy is the best choice to defend Montana – not the multimillionaire out-of-stater Tim Sheehy, who doesn’t understand our way of life and is changing Montana for the worse,” Robinson said.

Advertisement

Newsweek also reached out to the Sheehy campaign for comment via email.

FiveThirtyEight’s polling aggregate gave Sheehy a 3.7-point advantage over Tester on Thursday following weeks of strong Republican polling in the state.

An RMG Research/Napolitan Institute survey conducted among 491 likely voters from September 12 to September 19 showed Sheehy up seven points (50 percent to 43 percent).

That pollster showed Tester with a lead as recently as last month, with an August 6 to August 14 poll among 540 registered voters showing Tester up five points (49 percent to 44 percent).

A Fabrizio Ward/David Binder Research/AARP poll, which surveyed 600 likely voters from August 25 to August 29, showed Sheehy up six points in a head-to-head race (51 percent to 45 percent).

Advertisement

Elsewhere, an American Pulse Research & Polling/KULR-TV poll showed Sheehy with a 6-point lead over Tester (51 percent to 45 percent). It surveyed 538 registered voters from August 10 to August 12.

Sheehy, endorsed by Trump, has faced scrutiny after a Native American news publication released audio recordings allegedly of Sheehy using stereotypes about Indigenous people. His spokesperson told the Associated Press, “What folks are insinuating about him, that’s just not who he is.”

Following the spate of polls showing Sheehy with a lead, Democrats announced plans for new investments in the Florida and Texas Senate races this week, suggesting they may see the Montana race as increasingly out of reach.

Even though Republican incumbent Senators Ted Cruz and Rick Scott have been viewed as favorites, recent polls showed the states could be closer than Montana as democratic challengers Representative Colin Allred and former Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell gain ground.

The Cook Political Report rates Montana’s Senate race as “Lean Republican,” meaning it is “considered competitive,” but the GOP “has an advantage.”

Advertisement

Sabato’s Crystal Ball also reclassified the race from “toss-up” to “Lean Republican” on September 6, with forecaster Kyle Kondik writing that “history and recent trends are just not on Tester’s side.”

“He is one of a relatively small number of partisan outliers in either chamber of Congress, holding a Senate seat that the other party won by 16 points in the most recent presidential election,” Kondik wrote. “Many of Tester’s red-state Democratic colleagues have lost or retired in recent years, and it is a credit to his abilities that he has won 3 Senate elections in a state that is otherwise clearly Republican.”

Update 9/27/24, 5:43 p.m. ET: This article was updated with comment from Monica Robinson.



Source link

Advertisement

Montana

Game Day Live Blog: Louisville vs. Montana | Game 12

Published

on

Game Day Live Blog: Louisville vs. Montana | Game 12


LOUISVILLE, Ky. – The Louisville men’s basketball program suffered a setback in their last time out on the floor, but the time has come to bounce back, as they return to the KFC Yum! Center to host Montana.

The Cardinals made the trek down to Rocky Top for a top-20 showdown at Tennessee, but they were punched in the mouth early and couldn’t recover. UofL wound up suffering a demoralizing 83-62 loss, falling to 0-2 in true road games so far this season.

Louisville was without star point guard Mikel Brown Jr. due to a lower back injury, but even with him on the floor, it’s unlikely they would have taken down UT. They shot just 37.9 percent from the floor, with Adrian Wooley and Ryan Conwell combining for 43 of their points. In fact, the Cards had twice as many turnovers (16) as they did assists (8), and let the Vols shoot 54.7 from the floor.

Advertisement

As for the Grizzlies, they are coming off a 2024-25 season in which they made the NCAA Tournament by way of winning the Big Sky Conference Tournament. However, year 12 under head coach Travis DeCuire has been up-and-down.

Advertisement

Montana is 1-1 against KenPom top-100 teams, losing 86-81 at Texas A&M but winning 102-93 at UNLV. Additionally, in their last time out, the Griz lost 82-75 to Montana Tech – an NAIA school – at home.

 Preview: Louisville Cardinals vs. Montana Grizzlies

Here is where you will get all the latest updates from today’s contest in real time. Throughout the game, we will include any notes, injury updates and analysis in the game feed at the link below.

More Cardinals Stories

(Photo of KFC Yum! Center: Matt McGavic – Louisville Cardinals On SI)

You can follow Louisville Cardinals On SI for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter/X and Instagram:

Facebook – @LouisvilleOnSI
Twitter/X – @LouisvilleOnSI
Instagram – @louisvilleonsi

You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter/X and @mattmcgavic.bsky.social on Bluesky





Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Montana

Broadband access is expanding in Montana, but rural areas still lag behind

Published

on

Broadband access is expanding in Montana, but rural areas still lag behind


In the southeastern Montana town of Belfry, 65-year-old resident Mary Boyer reflects on her relationship with technology.

“I’m a green-ledger girl,” Boyer said. “I can handwrite. I don’t like calculators. I never owned a television, I have a crank Victrola for music.”

Boyer’s home is about an hour south of Billings. The Beartooth and Pryor Mountains flank Belfry, as the Clarks Fork of the Yellowstone River meanders through it.

Belfry, MT is flanked by the Beartooth and Pryor Mountains. This terrain is challenging and expensive when it comes to installing fiber optic cable, which in some parts of the state can cost up to $300,000 to reach one home or business, according to ConnectMT Director Misty Ann Giles.

She said technology has always been slow to come to their town.

Advertisement

“We had a heck of a time getting songs – because we have to do it over the internet – for the karaoke machine,” she said. “And all of a sudden halfway through a song there’s no words or there’s no karaoke whatsoever.”

Boyer knows connectivity goes beyond a karaoke machine.

Before this year, she said their internet service couldn’t meet the community’s needs. Her neighbors rely on it for telehealth appointments, education and commerce.

“I think it’s all about the community and keeping them in touch with the outside world,” she said.

Montana ranks among the lowest in the country when it comes to internet access. And rural places disproportionately lack access to high speed connectivity compared to urban.

Montana ranks among the lowest in the country when it comes to internet access. Broadband Now, an independent research organization, ranked Montana second to last in the nation for internet speeds and affordability. And rural places disproportionately lack access to high speed connectivity compared to urban; this is known as the digital divide.

Advertisement

State officials and telecommunications companies have been trying to change that. Over the last few years, just shy of a billion dollars in federal funding aimed at tackling this issue came into the state. The goal is to use it to close the digital divide for good.

In the southern end of Belfry, Jay Velez stands in front of his restaurant, the Silvertip, admiring the scenery.

“What a view, man!” he said, looking toward the Beartooth Mountains. “It doesn’t suck here.”

His restaurant serves as a local watering hole. It offers the karaoke night coveted by Boyer. And this summer, the Silvertip’s internet got better.

The Silvertip Restaurant in Belfry, MT. The restaurant’s internet speeds got an upgrade after Nemont Communications finished building fiber optic lines to the town. That work was funded through a federal program aimed at closing the digital divide.
The Silvertip Restaurant in Belfry, MT. The restaurant’s internet speeds got an upgrade after Nemont Communications finished building fiber optic lines to the town. That work was funded through a federal program aimed at closing the digital divide.

“We just rely on it for our point of sale systems, and so far, it’s been working great,” he said.

Advertisement

His improved internet is due to newly installed fixed fiber optic lines. These are thick cables laid in the ground. They’re considered the “gold standard” for broadband connectivity.

But this technology is expensive to install, and it’s been slow to reach towns like Belfry.

“We’re way behind, in looking at the grander sphere of the problem,” said Misty Ann Giles, the head of the state’s broadband office ConnectMT. “We are farther behind our sister states. Montana does have a lot of challenges when it comes to thinking about internet access.”

Government-led efforts to close the digital divide have been underway for decades. The federal government established the Universal Service Fund in 1996, prescribing that “all Americans” should have access to basic connectivity. The fund subsidizes fiber installation and maintenance in remote areas.

But it wasn’t enough. So, another project emerged in 2018. The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s ReConnect program offers federal funds and loans to expand internet access.

Advertisement

Giles helped stand-up the program as former Chief of Staff at the agency’s Rural Development office.

“A lot of the work we did when we were at USDA when we first came into office was trying to look at the bigger Rubik’s Cube of, why are rural communities lacking some core services when it comes to education, telehealth, things like that in their communities,” Giles said. “And what it all came down to was connectivity.”

This connectivity became even more imperative during the pandemic. Business, community, health care and education all required a stable internet.

Belfry is flanked by the Beartooth and Pryor Mountains. This terrain is challenging and expensive when it comes to installing fiber optic cable, which in some parts of the state can cost up to $300,000 to reach one home or business, according to ConnectMT Director Misty Ann Giles.
Belfry is flanked by the Beartooth and Pryor Mountains. This terrain is challenging and expensive when it comes to installing fiber optic cable, which in some parts of the state can cost up to $300,000 to reach one home or business, according to ConnectMT Director Misty Ann Giles.

According to the Federal Communications Commission, broadband expansion timelines considered reasonable pre-COVID-19 became “unworkable,” and the Commission pushed to get rural communities connected faster. So the federal government launched several new programs.

Since 2019, around $900 million from four federal programs for rural broadband expansion has flowed into the state.

Advertisement

Since 2019, around $900 million from four federal programs for rural broadband expansion has flowed into the state.

The main sources include funds from the ReConnect Program, which go to telecom companies through grants and loans. Those total around $144 million for Montana-focused projects. Then there’s the American Rescue Plan Act, which provided $310 million; The Broadband Equity Access and Development program, which allotted around $308 million; Lastly, there’s the FCC’s Rural Digital Opportunity Fund, which provided Montana $126 million for a 10-year period during its Phase I auction.

And it’s through these programs that Belfry’s internet just got a little better.

Back in southeastern Montana, Nemont Communications Chief Operating Officer Scott Paul drives through the 250-resident town on a sunny October afternoon.

“You probably didn’t see it, but look for an orange capped plastic pole,” he said, pointing out markers of their recent efforts. “Beneath that orange-capped plastic pole, there is gonna be a handhole. And then between those plastic poles, there’s fiber that’s buried underground.”

White poles with orange caps mark places Nemont Communications recently installed fiber optic to bring better internet speeds to Belfry, MT. The work was funded in part by the USDA’s ReConnect program, which funds broadband buildout in rural areas.
White poles with orange caps mark places Nemont Communications recently installed fiber optic to bring better internet speeds to Belfry, MT. The work was funded in part by the USDA’s ReConnect program, which funds broadband buildout in rural areas.

Nemont just replaced Belfry’s copper wire laid around the 1970s. Paul said copper was great for dial-up internet, but fails at providing the internet speeds we expect today. But installing fiber in Montana is expensive. It can cost up to $300,000 to reach a single home or business, according to Giles.

Advertisement

“If you’re trying to put all of this fiber into an area that’s all rock, then it becomes a lot more expensive because rock’s a lot harder to get through than the dirt,” he said.

For Belfry’s project, Nemont received $10 million ReConnect dollars to build fiber for around 1,000 households in 500 square miles. That’s an area the size of Los Angeles. Paul said they installed 80 miles of fiber just to reach Belfry.

Most companies rely on their customer base to cover the costs of installing internet infrastructure. But in low population states like Montana, that model does not always work. Paul said that’s why these funds are so important.

“It’s allowing us to escalate the speed of doing that,” he said. “We’re doing a little bit more now than we have done in the past, for that reason.”

Dozens of companies like Nemont have leveraged these federal programs to try and reach more residents. Sometimes the costs still exceed what they can afford, and they default.

Advertisement

According to the FCC, Montana’s broadband coverage increased 10 percent between 2023 and 2024. But there’s more work to be done. 70,000 homes and businesses across Montana still need better internet.

Some progress has been made. According to the FCC, Montana’s broadband coverage increased 10 percent between 2023 and 2024. But there’s more work to be done. 70,000 homes and businesses across Montana still need better internet.

And rural residents like Mary Boyer know how necessary it is to be connected.

“If we didn’t have the access to the good communications, we could be in a world of horse pucky,” she said.

State officials hope to bridge the digital divide by the end of the decade.

Advertisement





Source link

Continue Reading

Montana

Humane Society of Western Montana has many pets for adoption

Published

on

Humane Society of Western Montana has many pets for adoption


Humane Society of Western Montana’s Director of Marketing Katie Hofschield dropped by NBC Montana Today with special guest Lady Bird.

Lady Bird is a 9-year-old mixed breed who is available for adoption. Lady Bird is house and crate trained and in general is a very laid back dog who loves cheese.

The Humane Society of Western Montana currently has many animals looking for homes, including several older pets, cats, plus two guinea pigs and a rabbit.

The Humane Society of Western Montana runs an annual pet food pantry, but this year they’re expanding into a larger-scale pet food relief project due to holiday and financial pressures on families.

Advertisement

Through a partnership with Greater Good Charities and the Montana Food Bank Network, they received 25 pallets (almost 20,000 pounds) of pet food, which will be stored in a former food bank facility and distributed across the state, including to tribal partners.

Comment with Bubbles

BE THE FIRST TO COMMENT

For more information, visit https://myhswm.org/.



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Trending