Denver, CO
The Disconnect That Led to the Denver Nuggets’ Demise
The back-to-back championship dream is over for Denver Nuggets players, fans, and coaches. But for their general manager, going back-to-back was never the biggest priority.
“I just want dudes that we try to develop, and it’s sustainable,” Nuggets GM Calvin Booth told me last August. “If it costs us the chance to win a championship this year, so be it. It’s worth the investment. It’s more about winning three out of six, three out of seven, four out of eight than it is about trying to go back-to-back.”
This quote is from a feature published on opening night about the Nuggets’ hopes of building a dynasty. There was real optimism that Nikola Jokic could power the Nuggets to back-to-back titles, making them the first team to do it since the Warriors did it in 2017 and 2018. Denver was the clear favorite to win it all again, despite losing two key rotation players in Bruce Brown and Jeff Green to free agency. But only rookies and journeyman vets were added to plug in the gaps. With the new collective bargaining agreement presenting massive team-building challenges for teams that are well over the luxury tax, adding young players felt like a reasonable approach. But the Nuggets’ lack of depth was the one hole critics could poke in its case to run it back.
And ultimately, that’s what did the Nuggets in. Denver ran out of gas Sunday, blowing a 20-point lead in the second half at home in Game 7 and losing to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Only one bench player logged more than 10 minutes and the Nuggets had five players under the age of 25 ride the pine the entire game. This was a theme all season, not just in the playoffs. On multiple occasions throughout this campaign, Michael Malone, the fiery head coach of the Nuggets, lamented his team’s lack of steady depth.
“That’s the challenge when you have so many young, unproven players off the bench,” Malone said in late November after an early-season loss to the Rockets. “But we also have games to win, and that delicate balance is a tightrope. But we need to win, and I’m gonna play the guys that are gonna help us get a win.”
Booth and Malone had different approaches to the season that often clashed. Booth was investing in the future, and Malone was thinking entirely about the present. And in the end, nobody won. The Nuggets failed to advance to the conference finals and the rookies didn’t get developmental time they needed. Booth’s plan could still work out in the long run if his draft picks improve. But with the Nuggets already planning their summer vacations, it looks like he whiffed on a valuable chance to win it all again.
Malone had nobody on the bench he believed he could trust, even as Jokic and the Nuggets looked exhausted in the second half of Game 7. The rotation lacked a steady shot-creator in the backcourt besides Jamal Murray, with 34-year-old Reggie Jackson being the only veteran option. Michael Porter Jr. couldn’t find his shot all series, but only journeyman Justin Holiday got chances behind him. Second-year wing Christian Braun was the only youthful contributor. And there was no reliable big man to play behind or alongside Jokic, with DeAndre Jordan as the only veteran on the bench. Minnesota looked longer, quicker, and deeper all series.
“I think they’re built to beat us,” Jokic said after Game 7. “Just look at their roster. They have basically two All-Stars, two probably first-team defensive players, Mike Conley, who is the most underrated player in the NBA. … From the bench, they have a [Sixth Man of the Year]. They have Kyle [Anderson] and [Nickeil Alexander-Walker], who was really good for them. They are one team that can do literally everything. They can be big, or small.”
Jokic’s comments had to sting for Booth and the Nuggets, especially when considering that ex-Nuggets GM Tim Connelly is the one who drafted Jokic, built the roster around him, then left for the Timberwolves to construct a title hopeful shaped to defeat his own creation. Maybe the Nuggets had to lose this season for Booth and Malone to get on the same track long term. But all season, Denver lacked organizational alignment, a worrisome reality for a franchise that just won its first title with a historic player who’s still in his prime and who this season won his third MVP in four years.
Putting the blame solely on Booth would be an error, though. Booth also added Kentavious Caldwell-Pope the prior offseason, and his first rookie class of Braun and Peyton Watson proved to be fruitful. Braun made pivotal plays as a rookie on Denver’s way to a title, which carried over to this season. Watson didn’t play meaningful minutes as a rookie but flashed excellent two-way abilities this season before his lack of a reliable jumper led to his benching against the Timberwolves. The three rookies Booth drafted this year—wing Julian Strawther, guard Jalen Pickett, and forward Hunter Tyson—were all upperclassmen that he hoped would play during the season and then be ready for rotation minutes come the playoffs. Just like Braun last year. But for one reason or another, it didn’t happen.
Here’s what Booth told me over the summer in a quote that didn’t make my opening-night story, after I asked if Braun’s minutes increasing throughout the 2022-23 season was a template for the 2023-24 rookie class: “I think Malone will have to play them. Hunter and Julian, these guys can manufacture points on their own. And I like the balance between Jamal and Jalen, who has been basically Joker Lite wherever he’s been. What happens when Jalen goes out there with Jokic and the ball’s moving around with both of those guys? It’s going to be like San Antonio with Boris Diaw.”
Things didn’t pan out as expected, though. Strawther shot only 29.7 percent from 3 in his 545 regular-season minutes. Pickett appeared in only 122 minutes, sharing the floor with Jokic for just 35 and with Murray for none. Tyson played only 48 minutes, even fewer than Nuggets players on two-way contracts, despite excelling in the G League. Instead, Malone played four of his five starters even more minutes than they did last season (only Murray didn’t, due to his injuries). Malone valued pursuing home-court advantage over managing minutes and distributing playing time to younger players, and it ended up not mattering in the end with Denver losing three home games to Minnesota.
“We played until June last year,” Malone said after Game 7. “We had to play our main guys through Game 82 [this season] to secure the no. 2 seed, whereas last year we were able to rest down the stretch. The run last year, coming back, the amount of minutes our starters had to play, I think emotionally and physically, our guys are gassed.”
So where do the Nuggets go from here to get their dynasty hopes back on track? Maybe most importantly, Booth and Malone need to get on the same page moving forward. The truth is blame and credit are both shared between them. Malone has been in Denver longer than anyone else in the organization, and was critical in the rise of Jokic and in the construction of a system that won a title. But he also should’ve played the kids more to find out whether they could contribute in the playoffs while not running his tired starters into the ground. Booth put the perfect final touches on the team that Connelly built, but knowing Malone’s tendency to favor veterans, and knowing the uncertainty of rookie production, he also could’ve done better than bringing in Jackson, Jordan, and Holiday as the only vets off the bench.
The pressure this summer is undoubtedly on Booth, though. Malone inked a long-term extension in November through the 2026-27 season. Jokic is signed through 2027-28. Meanwhile, Booth’s contract is up after the 2024-25 season, according to a new book from Nuggets reporter Mike Singer. Josh Kroenke and the rest of Nuggets ownership need to consider whether they should reward Booth with an extension despite their leadership’s lack of a shared direction.
No matter who’s in charge, the job of an NBA GM is more complex than ever. The choice to just pay every player and make a bunch of trades isn’t as clear-cut as it once was, because of the severe restrictions the new CBA places on teams over the luxury tax. The first luxury tax apron is $7 million above the salary cap, and the second apron is $17.5 million above it. Teams over the salary cap’s first apron are not allowed to:
- Acquire a player via sign-and-trade;
- Sign players using the biannual exception;
- Sign players using more than the taxpayer midlevel exception;
- Sign players waived during the season if their salary exceeds the non-taxpayer midlevel exception.
Teams over the second apron have even more punitive restrictions:
- Cash can no longer be used in trades;
- Trade exceptions from prior years can’t be used in deals;
- Players can’t be acquired in a sign-and-trade;
- Outgoing salaries can’t be combined in trades;
- Cannot sign players using the taxpayer midlevel exception;
- First-round picks seven years out cannot be traded;
- If a team remains in the second apron for three out of five seasons, its first-round pick is automatically moved to the end of the round.
Denver was over the second apron this season and is set to exceed it again next season. And the roster is about to become even more expensive. Caldwell-Pope will be an unrestricted free agent in high demand as a knockdown 3-point shooter who also belongs on an All-Defensive team. Any of the eight teams that can create over $20 million in cap space this summer could realistically target him: If the Sixers whiff on Paul George, could KCP be their next target? Why wouldn’t the Spurs want a 3-and-D veteran next to Victor Wembanyama? Isn’t KCP a perfect fit for Orlando’s needs? Up and down the line, Caldwell-Pope can fit anywhere.
One year from now, Murray will be up for a max extension and Aaron Gordon can become an unrestricted free agent who would also have a significant market. It can be assumed that Murray will get a max extension, which means Caldwell-Pope and Gordon would have to combine for roughly $45 million at most for Denver to retain its starting five. That might be too optimistic of a projection for the Nuggets, considering they got priced out of retaining Brown and Green last summer.
More immediately, the Nuggets must worry about retaining KCP. If he’s re-signed to a deal worth around $15 million annually, the Nuggets could get under the second apron by trading away one of Jackson or Zeke Nnaji, and replacing them with a minimum salary. If KCP’s contract is over $20 million annually, then both would have to go (and possibly Vlatko Cancar, depending on other moves). Losing KCP would be a big problem, but it can’t be ruled out with elite 3-and-D players in such high demand.
“This new CBA was appropriate. The second apron was appropriate,” Booth told me before the season. “That’s another reason why we got three rookies.”
And more could be on the way. The Nuggets have the 28th and 56th picks in this year’s draft, which is deep with quality role players. By necessity, Booth needs to invest in young players or else he’ll be handcuffed in detrimental ways. Malone has no choice but to get on board, because the supporting veterans won’t necessarily get any better than they were this year. Booth needs those young players to be hits, though, or he’s going to have to do better at scraping the bottom of the barrel for vets.
“You’re always looking at ways to get better,” Malone said after Game 7. “And that’s what we’ll do.”
The issue is that Booth has so few levers to pull. Even if the Nuggets get under the second apron, they’ll still feel the restrictions of the first apron. They don’t have cap space. They can only trade firsts in 2024 and 2031. Their young guys didn’t improve enough to have much trade value. Front office executives described Booth’s trade negotiations before the deadline as someone who went shopping but left their wallet at home on purpose. It was also a thin trade market: Would moving a rookie for Kelly Olynyk really have made sense? Odds are they couldn’t have outbid the Raptors for him anyway, or made a better offer than the Suns did for Royce O’Neale. Could trading multiple seconds for Andre Drummond really have moved the needle? Perhaps, if it bought Jokic a few minutes to catch his breath. But there wasn’t much out there.
Moving forward, the Nuggets may need to get creative with trades to solve their problems. One card Booth could play is trading Porter Jr., who is about to enter the third year of a five-year, $179.3 million deal. He’s still only 25 years old and appears to be past his injury concerns after missing only 21 games the past two seasons. And he’s certainly one of the league’s best shooters. But he’s expensive, he doesn’t create his own shot off the dribble, and he’s inconsistent on defense. Maybe it’d make sense for the Nuggets to trade Porter for two players, giving them more depth while retaining shooting prowess. Because for the second consecutive year, MPJ’s production fell off a cliff in the playoffs. Last season, Porter averaged 12.3 points on 11.4 shots per game on just 32.7 percent shooting from 3 over the final three rounds. This year, he was even worse in the second round, averaging 10.7 points on 10 shots on 32.5 percent from 3. Porter was also more productive on defense last year. Porter’s health could still be a red flag to some teams, but his youth, shooting prowess, and theoretical upside in an expanded role makes him Denver’s most valuable expendable asset, its clear out to an expensive roster in need of reinforcements.
The problem with even considering trading MPJ is that the Nuggets have already devalued 3-point shooting as is. Most of their draft picks have been inconsistent or low-volume threats from the perimeter at the collegiate level, which has carried over to the NBA in the case of Braun, Watson, and Strawther. And as a team, the Nuggets ranked dead last in 3-pointers attempted this season. Any acquisitions moving forward need to be able to shoot reliably.
“Conventional wisdom says that best players help the role players, but in reality it’s a two-way street,” Booth told me last summer. “The best role players help the best players out. They make the best players better.”
Ultimately, Jokic found himself overwhelmed by Minnesota. Whether it was Karl-Anthony Towns contesting every move, Rudy Gobert looming nearby, or Naz Reid stepping up when he needed to, Jokic faced relentless pressure from a cadre of long arms. And the lack of sharpshooters around him meant he often faced double-teams, swarmed by the Timberwolves with strategic precision.
“I consider the San Antonio Spurs a dynasty, and they never won back-to-back,” Malone said following Game 7. “So losing, the hurt of it, the pain of it, helped win our [first] championship. Can we 1716304990 use this year, too?”
The Nuggets will need to. But there is no guarantee they ever make it back to the Finals. Anthony Edwards is still on the rise. The young Thunder are gaining momentum. The Mavericks and Wolves aren’t going anywhere. And Wembanyama is way ahead of schedule. The Nuggets already caught a glimpse of Wemby’s impact when he led a comeback victory over the Nuggets in his season finale, a loss that dropped Denver to the 2-seed in the West. The game was just a hint at future showdowns in a Western Conference landscape that is only getting tougher.
Once the architect behind the Nuggets, Connelly drew up a new blueprint to take them down. Now, it’s Booth’s turn to adjust the roster, follow through on his original vision, and chase his dream of a Nuggets dynasty.
Denver, CO
Adams County Veterans Memorial vandalized again, just hours after Veterans Day
DENVER (KDVR) — The Adams County Veterans Memorial, a place built for quiet reflection, was left damaged and vandalized just hours after residents gathered to celebrate Veterans Day.
County leaders say they’re frustrated, and crews are once again being forced to repair a monument that’s been targeted repeatedly since it opened.
The Adams County Veterans Memorial, designed to resemble the World War II battleship USS Colorado, had been covered in flowers earlier this month for Veterans Day.
“We do a great event every Veterans Day,” said Byron Fanning, Adams County’s director of Parks, Open Space and Cultural Arts. “You can take a flower and place it at our remembrance wall in honor of somebody that you want to honor that’s important to your life.”
The morning after the holiday, Fanning said he discovered graffiti on the sidewalk, and a park bench soaked in paint. There was also damage to the plumbing system, which now needs to be pumped out.
“It really hurt my heart,” Fanning said.
Fanning described the graffiti as “gibberish” but said photos of it have been blurred while the sheriff’s office investigates.
Most of the cleanup work is already done. Crews removed graffiti that had been sprayed across the walkway and took out a bench for repairs after someone dumped a bucket of paint on it.
And it’s nothing crews aren’t used to. Fanning say this is the tenth time the memorial has been vandalized since it opened in 2023.
“Some of them are small, just a little graffiti on the railings or on some of the structures behind me,” Fanning said. “But some of them have been rather extensive.”
Hoping to protect the memorial as a place to honor those who served, Fanning offered a simple plea to the public.
“Please stop,” he said. “Please show some respect for who this was built to honor, and for those veterans that mean so much to our community. You’re disrespecting them, and it’s not okay.”
Officials estimate the latest cleanup cost about $3,000. The county is working to install security cameras, and the sheriff’s office is increasing nighttime patrols in hopes of preventing future vandalism.
The county is also asking visitors to report any vandalism to law enforcement.
Denver, CO
Nine in 10 Denver area homes lost value in the past year, Zillow reports
Metro Denver is leading the country for the share of homes that have lost value over the past year, with 9 in 10 homes down in price compared to only half nationally, according to an analysis from Zillow.
About 91% of metro Denver homes lost value in the past year compared to 53% nationally. Denver edges out other once-hot metros like Austin, with 89.5% of homes down in value and Phoenix, with 86.9% down the past year.
Home prices have bounced around in a narrow band since the peak in June 2022, making it hard to discern the overall trend. Overall, Denver home prices are about 10% below the peak, matching the average decline measured nationally, Zillow said.
“Denver’s home values were growing in 2024, so it’s natural to see a bit more giveback now. What stands out more is the depth of the losses. The average Denver home has lost about the same as the national average, while Austin’s average drop is more than twice that,” said Mischa Fisher, Zillow’s new chief economist, in an email.
While nearly all Denver homeowners have lost equity, those losses are mild and very much in line with what homeowners across the country are experiencing when measured from the peak, he said.
If the declines accelerate, however, the situation could prove problematic for first-time buyers who bought near the top, especially if they made only a small down payment and are forced to sell.
The Zillow Home Value Index for metro Denver, which includes both homes and condos, peaked at $592,969 in June 2022. Last month, its index reported a value of $530,699. That represents a decline of $62,270 or 10.5%.
In Colorado, the average commission that a seller pays is 5.65% of the sales price, which would mean about $30,000 that needs to be covered. Someone who bought a typical home at the peak and sold last month would be down about $92,000, not counting other closing costs.
Back in 2022, the average down payment a first-time buyer made was 6%, according to the National Association of Realtors. And someone using a 30-year mortgage might pay down principal by about 5% or 6% in the first three years. It isn’t 10% because the bulk of monthly payments in the earliest years of a mortgage go to cover interest.
Vulnerable buyers, however, represent a small share of the overall market. The volume of activity or turnover has slowed down since the peak, and of the homes that do sell, only a quarter to a third are claimed by first-time buyers. Depending on where they bought, when they bought, and how much they put down, even those buyers might still have equity.
“Absent a major hit to the economy, most of today’s paper losses will likely have turned into profits down the road when recent buyers sell,” predicted Fisher.
Another way to look at the stress on a specific housing market is what share of homes are being listed below the last price paid. From that viewpoint, Denver’s market is still in good shape.
About 6.3% of homes in metro Denver are being listed below the prior sales price, which compares to 3.4% nationally, according to Zillow. The metros with the biggest shares of homes being discounted are San Francisco, 14%; Austin, 13%; San Jose, Calif., 9% and San Antonio at 8%.
In 2019, 0.6% of homes sold below the prior sales price in Denver, compared to 5.9% nationally. That measure has improved nationally but deteriorated locally. Building equity looks like it will be more of a slog for buyers who started down the home ownership trail late in metro Denver, and they will need to watch their footing. But patience will still be rewarded, Fisher argues.
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Denver, CO
4 reasons why the Denver Broncos are the best team in the AFC after Week 11 | Sporting News
The Denver Broncos have won eight games in a row and, after defeating the Kansas City Chiefs 22-19 on Sunday, have made their case as the best team in the AFC and perhaps, the entire NFL.
What a difference one game makes. The Broncos hung on to beat the Las Vegas Raiders 10-7 on Thursday Night Football in Week 10 and all of the talk was about how the sky was falling in Denver because the offense was so bad. That was the narrative that the national media ran with, but others were talking about the fact that all wins in the NFL count, no matter how they come. Those same folks realized that it was a short week, having to play on a Thursday night, and that the team was playing in its seventh game in 39 days.
Maybe Sean Payton knew the Broncos could easily beat the Raiders, even in ugly fashion, and held back so he can unveil bigger plays when the team really needs them?
There are many things to consider, but one thing is for sure: that performance against the Raiders doesn’t mean anything now. The Broncos arguably got their biggest win since winning Super Bowl 50 when they beat the Chiefs on Sunday, and now hold a 3.5-game lead over them in the division standings.
Right now, the Broncos are the best team in the AFC. If the season ended today, the Broncos would have the No. 1 overall seed in the playoffs on the AFC side, meaning they would have home-field advantage. While the team still has six games to play, there are multiple reasons why they are the best team in the AFC, not just on paper, but in reality.
4 reasons why the Broncos are the AFC’s best team
The Broncos have beaten both teams that were in last year’s Super Bowl
Super Bowl LIX featured the Philadelphia Eagles playing the Kansas City Chiefs. Within a span of just 42 days this season, the Broncos have beaten them both.
Both games were hard-fought, but the Broncos arguably got each team’s best shot in both of them. The Eagles were still undefeated and playing at home in Week 5, but the Broncos left Lincoln Financial Field with a 21-17 win. On Sunday, the Chiefs had their backs against the wall and many considered it a must-win situation for them. The Chiefs, who never lose those games, were also coming off their bye week. Andy Reid was 22-4 in his career when coming off the bye week.
The Broncos overcame all of that and handed the Chiefs a loss.
Denver has won its last 11 home games
The best teams in the league don’t lose at home. The Broncos have won their last 11 games at Empower Field and if they can get home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, it will be a very difficult place for any team to come into and play.
The Broncos have the best defense in the NFL
This is almost not even an argument at this point.
The Broncos lead the league in sacks and could break the all-time record by a team in that category. They are allowing only 17.4 points per game and have been winning even without Pat Surtain II, who could be back in the lineup following the bye week.
Defense wins championships and a team with a combination of having the best defense and home-field advantage will be quite difficult to beat.
The Broncos’ two losses are by a combined 4 points
A case could easily be made that the Broncos could be 11-0 right now. Their only losses are by a total of four points, both on field goals on the last play of the game.
Their first loss came against the Indianapolis Colts on a 45-yard field goal as time expired. Of course, that was when the Colts got to run the play again as their first attempt, a kick from 60 yards, missed badly, but the Broncos were called for a somewhat fluky unsportsmanlike conduct penalty for leverage when trying to block the kick.
They lost to the Los Angeles Chargers the following week, but that took a miraculous throw from Justin Herbert after slipping through a Zach Allen sack. The Broncos went three-and-out on their following possession and the Chargers moved into range for a game-winning field goal from Cameron Dicker on the game’s final play.
READ: Ja’Quan McMillian proving that team would have messed up by trading him
Both the Colts and Chargers are current playoff teams and both of those games were on the road, so they weren’t bad losses. Both games could have easily gone the other way.
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