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Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos: Predictions, picks and odds for NFL Week 11 game

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Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos: Predictions, picks and odds for NFL Week 11 game


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In the final minute of their respective games, the Atlanta Falcons (6-4) and Denver Broncos (5-5) thought a victory was within their reach. Instead, they left their road games with a devastating loss but will try to regroup in their Week 11 matchup.

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Missed field goals were a big issue for the Falcons against the New Orleans Saints, but Atlanta didn’t capitalize on opportunities in a game it was expected to easily win. Luckily, the Falcons have a healthy lead in the NFC South, but it would be wise not to give other teams hope of catching up and making it a tight divisional race.

Just when it looked like Denver would finally slay the mighty dragon in the Kansas City Chiefs, a blocked field goal stunned the Broncos and sent them home with another loss. They’ve exceeded expectations so far this season, but that can change if Denver continues to slide.

PROP TALK: These are the best prop bets for NFL games this week 

Broncos vs. Falcons odds, moneyline, over/under

The Broncos are favorites to defeat the Falcons, according to the BetMGM NFL odds. Looking to wager? Check out the best mobile sports betting apps offering NFL betting promos in 2024 including the ESPN BET app and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

  • Spread: Broncos (-2.5)
  • Moneyline: Broncos (-135); Falcons (+110)
  • Over/under: 44

Not interested in this game? Our guide to NFL betting odds, picks and spreads has you covered with Thursday Night Football odds and Monday Night Football odds.

New to sports betting? USA TODAY readers can claim exclusive promos and bonus codes with the best online sportsbooks and sports betting sites.

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FEELING LUCKY? Here are the best parlay bets and odds for NFL games this week 

NFL Week 11 odds, predictions and picks

Eagles vs. Commanders | Bears vs. Packers | Lions vs. Jaguars | Dolphins vs. Raiders | Patriots vs. Rams | Saints vs. Browns | Steelers vs. Ravens | Titans vs. Vikings | Jets vs. Colts | Broncos vs. Falcons | 49ers vs. Seahawks | Bills vs. Chiefs | Chargers vs. Bengals | Cowboys vs. Texans

Lorenzo Reyes: Falcons 21, Broncos 18

Atlanta is so inconsistent. But given that the Falcons just lost to the Saints, I could see them elevating their play, even though Denver has an excellent defense. The key for the Falcons will be to generate any type of pass rush.

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Tyler Dragon: Falcons 21, Broncos 19

The Broncos nearly had a signature win versus Kansas City last week. Denver played well enough to win. Will their performance carry over to Week 11 versus the Falcons? The Falcons are coming off a frustrating loss. I think Atlanta gets back on track this week with strong games from Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Darnell Mooney.

Richard Morin: Broncos 27, Falcons 23

Don’t go against Bo!

Jordan Mendoza: Falcons 22, Broncos 20

On paper, Atlanta is a much better team. But Denver is scrappy and can play against almost anyone. In the altitude, Younghoe Koo redeems himself with some major kicks to power the Falcons through while the Broncos suffer another close defeat.

MOST VALUABLE BET: Who is the favorite to win NFL MVP in 2024? 



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Denver, CO

Broncos designate LB Drew Sanders for return from injured reserve

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Broncos designate LB Drew Sanders for return from injured reserve


Broncos linebacker Drew Sanders was back on the practice field Saturday for the first time in 5 1/2 months. Denver designated Sanders to return from injured reserve. He had last practiced July 26 in training camp, when he suffered a torn ligament in his foot and then had surgery. The Broncos did not put Sanders […]



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Denver, CO

Broncos offensive line is the engine that drives offense

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Broncos offensive line is the engine that drives offense


I’ve been covering the Denver Broncos for his entire career and I remember writing up some pretty harsh criticism of his play early on — especially in regards to holding penalties. I recall at one point he was committing holding penalties at a record-breaking rate. He was so far above the rest of the field that he’d break charts if anyone tried to chart it. The best part of that saga is that he never let the outside noise (from me and many others) get to him. He worked on his craft and he got better. And then got even better to the point where it is pretty clear that he is one of the best left tackles in all of football. He is going to go down as one of the best tackles in franchise history too when its all said and done. It’s a great comeback story.

All that said, he wasn’t the only one of the Broncos players on that offensive line to make an impact with guard Quinn Meinerz also being named a PFF All-Pro player. The whole offensive line has been dominant in nearly every category and is the main engine that has driven the offenses successes this season.

4) Denver Broncos
Team OLi Grade: 83.0
Best-Ranked OL: Garett Bolles, 89.0 (7th overall, 3rd position)
Worst-Ranked OL: Alex Palczewski, 63.5 (159th overall, 61st position)

And one more to complete the picture comes from Sharp Football Analysis who has the Broncos ranked fifth-overall in their NFL Offensive Line Stats:

There is so much evidence that shows the trenches on both side of the ball is what has brought the success of the 2025 Broncos. It’s an area that Sean Payton has said in the past is always an area of focus. He knows you don’t win consistently if your team is being dominated in the trenches.

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Here’s how the NFL typically handles the top seeded team’s Divisional Round schedule

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Here’s how the NFL typically handles the top seeded team’s Divisional Round schedule


As the number one seed in the AFC, the Denver Broncos could end up playing on either Saturday or Sunday. It all comes down to which teams win during Wild Card weekend.

Head Coach Sean Payton was asked about the potential Divisional Round schedule and he said nothing is finalized. However, the NFL has been known to follow a certain schedule that could end up with the Broncos playing on Saturday if either the Buffalo Bills or Los Angeles Chargers win on Sunday and they’d play the following Sunday only if they had to wait until Monday for the outcome of the Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers game.

The other thing with that extra week off is about preparation. One of the better questions the media asked of Payton on Friday was whether or not they do more advanced scouting on potential opponents they have not yet played this season.

“Look, there are four options,” Payton said. “One is in the division. We’ve played one two years in a row—or it feels like that with Houston. Buffalo. We’ll break down kind of all four and then look at… We’ll have personnel reports on the four… You do have enough time to look at third down, look at personnel packages, study situational football. I think that’s pretty common when you look at playoff history. A lot of times, you end up with a division team sometimes in the first round. I know that’s happened a number of times over the years with me. It’s hard to gauge how these other games are going to go not having spent much time looking at New England. [We’ve] seen Jacksonville. It’s one of those where you just watch them. You’re working while you watch them. You’re working on each plan, and then you go from there.”

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I came away feeling like Payton and the Broncos know two of their potential opponents fairly well. The other two will get some high level review, but nothing super deep as there just isn’t enough time. That is saved for this coming week when the opponent is finalized.

Payton and his staff have some great experience coaching in the playoffs, so this young Broncos team should be well-prepared for their football game.

Frankly, I like the idea of the Broncos getting their game out of the way early. Give Payton and his staff an extra day to begin the prep work needed for the AFC Championship game provided they come out with a win in the Divisional Round.



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