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The California energy problem is structural, not political

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The California energy problem is structural, not political


The next is a contributed article by Brad Viator, an vitality advisor with greater than a decade of expertise main public coverage for the utility business.

California not too long ago confronted a historic warmth wave. Folks from San Diego to the Bay Space tried to remain cool, whereas the state confronted file calls for for electrical energy. 

The California Unbiased System Operator, or CAISO, the grid operator within the state, heroically averted blackouts when prospects responded to an amber alert model warning to show their thermostats to 78 levels and keep away from utilizing main home equipment. All of this got here on the heels of Governor Gavin Newsom, D, asking prospects to cease charging their electrical vehicles as electrical energy demand was too excessive.

Because the state continues to have scorching summers, extra alerts will come, and with them, the continued danger of rolling blackouts. Which begs the query: Why does California face blackout dangers yearly, and what may be performed to repair it?

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Many on the Left will recommend the vitality shortages are the perform of local weather change. It’s merely hotter and dryer than it has ever been. These on the Proper will say California is struggling to satisfy electrical energy calls for due to an overdependence on renewable vitality like wind and solar energy. That is significantly true within the 4 p.m. to 9 p.m. peak window when the solar doesn’t at all times shine and the wind doesn’t at all times blow.

Whereas each of these explanations have some advantage, the Golden State’s vitality downside is extra structural than these explanations enable. Fairly, the problem stems from California’s resolution within the Nineties to decontrol its vitality system.

California was the primary state within the nation to separate the administration of energy provide — like nuclear reactors and pure gasoline mills — from the distribution of energy (the poles and features that ship energy to prospects). In so doing, CAISO was created and with it, a forms with the said aim of managing the transmission system, which is supported by a aggressive vitality market.

The aggressive vitality market in California makes use of a single clearing worth. In layman’s phrases, this implies the costliest electrical energy offered on the California vitality market at a specific hour determines the worth prospects can pay for all energy at the moment, and all mills make that amount of cash no matter attributes of the vitality produced. Electrical energy payments, as overseen by the California Public Utilities Fee, embrace this worth, no matter it’s.

The aggressive vitality market features on ideas of provide and demand. When demand will increase, costs improve. So, when demand for energy grows, like throughout a warmth wave, this inevitably creates an enormous spike in the price of electrical energy within the California vitality market. This spike in prices means Californians pay that larger — at instances exorbitant — fee for electrical energy. This isn’t a glitch, that is how the deregulated system was designed to work. Proponents of this technique believed that it will decrease prices for purchasers, however they failed to think about that demand can exceed provide or that excessive climate occasions may make this a standard incidence.

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Perceive, this spike in electrical costs is meant to create a monetary incentive for electrical energy mills in California to activate energy techniques that haven’t been working, or to entice energy plant homeowners in different states to promote energy to California. It is a deeply flawed resolution for a number of causes. The most important downside, nonetheless, is that California energy producers haven’t invested — and gained’t make investments — in constructing extra energy capability solely wanted a couple of days a yr. It merely doesn’t make financial sense for them to take action. Which means California should rely upon technology from different states throughout these important intervals of excessive demand. However, when a warmth wave hits all the West Coast, neighboring states don’t have sufficient additional energy obtainable to promote into California. They should serve their very own residents and prospects.

This electrical energy scarcity is partially why the California state legislature handed a invoice extending the lifetime of the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Producing Station, which was scheduled to shut in 2025, to now shut in 2030. This may assist. However this two-unit nuclear station is solely not sufficient to satisfy the state’s vitality wants as fewer pure gasoline items can be found, and hydroelectric energy services produce much less and fewer electrical energy in a time of extreme drought.

What does California have to do? Briefly, construct extra energy crops. This contains the continued improvement of renewable sources supported by extra transmission infrastructure to carry that energy to inhabitants facilities. However it additionally means small modular nuclear reactors, extra vitality storage, and much more pure gasoline crops.

California can also lead the nation by reforming its vitality market. The dependence on a single clearing worth and a wholesale vitality market designed to trace the worth of pure gasoline is outdated and harms the shoppers that the proponents of this strategy mentioned it was attempting to assist. In a interval of excessive demand, it is probably not truthful to prospects to pay the identical worth for wind as pure gasoline. Pure gasoline and nuclear energy value extra to provide, so mills ought to be pretty compensated. Paying extra for sources like pure gasoline and nuclear, which can be found 24/7, will carry extra energy on-line that may deal with energy shortages that can’t be adequately resolved with extra renewables. An alternative choice to think about could be having a blended worth that extra intently pays sources commensurate with their prices and the worth they supply the grid at a second in time.

This dynamic may be paired — as soon as California has enough energy and higher battery storage capability for renewables — with a market mechanism that prioritizes lowering carbon.

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Additionally, CAISO ought to search for alternatives to create extra income streams for mills that align with the state’s priorities. Cities may construct reserve technology and when costs spike as a result of shortages, these communities may have interaction that reserve energy and provide their prospects. This may additionally take pressure off the state’s energy grid.

California can also be having fun with a finances surplus. Why not spend a few of that cash on New Deal model infrastructure investments by constructing dams, energy crops, and the electrical infrastructure that can make California resilient, and a benefactor of the clear vitality transition?

It’s clear: the deregulation experiment in California that created vitality markets shouldn’t be working — for reliability or for purchasers — and, except it’s addressed, issues will solely worsen as local weather change means hotter summers and colder winters. These strains on the vitality grid may even hamper the state’s aim of transitioning to a totally electrical automobile fleet. Now could be the time to behave, and California’s leaders must be progressive and implement some radically completely different insurance policies to cut back the stress on the state’s energy grid.



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California may exclude Tesla from EV rebate program

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California may exclude Tesla from EV rebate program


California Gov. Gavin Newsom may exclude Tesla and other automakers from an electric vehicle (EV) rebate program if the incoming Trump administration scraps a federal tax credit for electric car purchases.

Newsom proposed creating a new version of the state’s Clean Vehicle Rebate Program, which was phased out in 2023 after funding more than 594,000 vehicles and saving more than 456 million gallons of fuel, the governor’s office said in a news release on Monday.

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“Consumers continue to prove the skeptics wrong – zero-emission vehicles are here to stay,” Newsom said in a statement. “We’re not turning back on a clean transportation future – we’re going to make it more affordable for people to drive vehicles that don’t pollute.”

The proposed rebates would be funded with money from the state’s Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund, which is funded by polluters under the state’s cap-and-trade program, the governor’s office said. Officials did not say how much the program would cost or save consumers.

NEBRASKA AG LAUNCHES ASSAULT AGAINST CALIFORNIA’S ELECTRIC VEHICLE PUSH

California Gov. Gavin Newsom on Monday proposed creating a new version of the state’s Clean Vehicle Rebate Program if the incoming Trump administration scraps a federal tax credit for electric car purchases. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images, File / Getty Images)

They would also include changes to promote innovation and competition in the zero-emission vehicles market – changes that could prevent automakers like Tesla from qualifying for the rebates.

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who relocated Tesla’s corporate headquarters from California to Texas in 2021, responded to the possibility of having Tesla EVs left out of the program.

Tesla automobile plugged in and charging a Supercharger rapid battery charging station for the electric vehicle company Tesla Motors, in the Silicon Valley town of Mountain View, California, August 24, 2016.

Tesla and other automakers may not qualify for the proposed tax credits, according to the governor’s office. (Getty Images, File / Getty Images)

“Even though Tesla is the only company who manufactures their EVs in California! This is insane,” Musk wrote on X, which he also owns.

BENTLEY PUSHES BACK ALL-EV LINEUP TIMELINE TO 2035

Those buying or leasing Tesla vehicles accounted for about 42% of the state’s rebates, The Associated Press reported, citing data from the California Air Resources Board.

Newsom’s office told Fox Business Digital that the proposal is intended to foster market competition, and any potential market cap is subject to negotiation with the state Legislature. 

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“Under a potential market cap, and depending on what the cap is, there’s a possibility that Tesla and other automakers could be excluded,” the governor’s office said. “But that’s again subject to negotiations with the legislature.”

Newsom’s office noted that such market caps have been part of rebate programs since George W. Bush’s administration in 2005.

Democrat California Gov. Gavin Newsom

Newsom has pushed Californians to replace gas-powered vehicles with zero-emission vehicles. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images / Getty Images)

Federal tax credits for EVs are currently worth up to $7,500 for new zero-emission vehicles. President-elect Trump has previously vowed to end the credit.

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California has surpassed 2 million zero-emission vehicles sold, according to the governor’s office. The state, however, could face a $2 billion budget deficit next year, Reuters reported, citing a non-partisan legislative estimate released last week.

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STEVE HILTON: Five things California Democrats still don't get

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STEVE HILTON: Five things California Democrats still don't get


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Along with most other Democratic politicians in California, Gov. Gavin Newsom still doesn’t seem to understand what happened in the 2024 election.

For years, Newsom, along with California cronies like former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and, of course, Vice President Kamala Harris, bragged about their state being a “model for the nation.”

In one sense–not the one they intended, of course–that’s true. California became a model of what not to do.

CALIFORNIA VOTERS NARROWLY REJECT $18 MINIMUM WAGE; FIRST SUCH NO-VOTE NATIONWIDE SINCE 1996

The terrible combination of elitism and extremism that has defined Democratic policymaking in my home state for at least the last decade has delivered failure on every front.

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Despite having the highest taxes in the nation, despite the state’s budget nearly doubling in the last ten years (even as our population has been falling, in the exodus from blue state misrule), California has the highest rate of poverty in America. We have the highest housing costs, the lowest homeownership, highest gas and utility bills, and the worst business climate–ten years in a row.

This record of failure is exactly why Democrats lost so badly on November 5th. Voters had a clear choice: between more of the same Democrat policies that raised the cost of living and lowered their quality of life, or a return to the peace and prosperity of the Trump years.

GAVIN NEWSOM TO MEET WITH BIDEN AFTER VOWING TO PROTECT STATE’S PROGRESSIVE POLICIES AGAINST TRUMP ADMIN

In many ways, the contest between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris represented a battle between the ‘blue state model’ championed by Gavin Newsom in California, and the ‘red state model’ that has driven people and businesses out of California and into the arms of more welcoming states like Texas, Tennessee and Florida.

Of course, the red state model won and the blue state model was roundly rejected. 

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You would think that would make blue state leaders like Newsom pause and reflect. But the exact opposite has happened. Gavin Newsom immediately called a “special session” of the California legislature to “Trump-proof” his state.

What California really needs is “Newsom-proofing.” 

Instead, California Democrats are doubling down on the exact same agenda that was defeated across the country – including in California, which saw the biggest shift from Democrats to the GOP in decades.

Here are the five things California Democrats still don’t get:

1. People want results, not lectures

Democrats and their media sycophants can do all the self-righteous, sanctimonious bloviating they like about “our democracy” and “equity”, but in the end people want the basics of the American Dream: a good job that pays enough to raise your family in a home of your own in a safe neighborhood with a good school so your kids can have a better life than you. No amount of moral superiority from the people in charge will make up for that if they fail to provide it.

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2. Enough with the ‘climate’ extremism

“Climate” has become a religion for Democrats, and you see that especially clearly in California. But when you look at the main reason life is so unaffordable for working people, whether that’s gas prices, utility bills or housing costs, extreme climate policies are to blame. Working-class Americans can’t afford these ‘luxury beliefs.’

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3. Who cares about Hollywood? 

This election destroyed forever the myth that fancy celebrities can sway votes. Oprah, Beyonce, George Clooney, Taylor Swift…nobody cares! The new cultural powerhouses are the podcast hosts, comedians…the raw power of UFC is where it’s at, not the decadent Hollywood elite who won’t even turn up to support “their” candidate without a multimillion dollar paycheck.

Producer and actress Oprah Winfrey holds up Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris’ hand as she arrives onstage during a campaign rally on the Benjamin Franklin Parkway in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on November 4, 2024.  (Getty Images)

4. ‘Little tech’ beats Big Tech

Democrats may console themselves with the knowledge that California’s Big Tech monopolies are on their side. But in this election we saw the rise of what famed Silicon Valley investor Marc Andressen calls “little tech”, the upstarts and rebels who reject leftist groupthink. They got engaged in this election in a way we’ve never seen before. It’s a massive shift and will be a huge force for the future.

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5. Working class beats the elite 

Back in 2016, after the Brexit vote, and then Donald Trump’s victory here, shocked the world, I predicted that the Republican Party had the opportunity to become a “multiracial working class coalition.” Trump’s 2024 victory has delivered that — a revolutionary shift in our political landscape. The other part of my prediction? Democrats will be left as the party of the “rich, white and woke.”

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Unless Democrats come to terms with these realities and change course, they can expect to lose elections for years to come. The reaction in California – epicenter of today’s Democrat elite — shows that there is zero sign of this happening. 

They just don’t get it.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM STEVE HILTON

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California proposes its own EV buyer credit — which could cut out Elon Musk's Tesla

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California proposes its own EV buyer credit — which could cut out Elon Musk's Tesla


  • Gov. Gavin Newsom plans to revive California’s EV rebate if Trump ends the federal tax credit.
  • But Tesla, the largest maker of EVs, would be excluded under the proposal.
  • Elon Musk criticized Tesla’s potential exclusion from the rebate.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom is preparing to step in if President-elect Donald Trump fulfills his promise to axe the federal electric-vehicle tax credit — but one notable EV maker could be left out.

Newsom said Monday if the $7,500 federal tax credit is eliminated he would restart the state’s zero-emission vehicle rebate program, which was phased out in 2023.

“We will intervene if the Trump Administration eliminates the federal tax credit, doubling down on our commitment to clean air and green jobs in California,” Newsom said in a statement. “We’re not turning back on a clean transportation future — we’re going to make it more affordable for people to drive vehicles that don’t pollute.”

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The rebates for EV buyers would come from the state’s Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund, which is funded by polluters of greenhouse gases under a cap-and-trade program, according to the governor’s office.

But Tesla’s vehicles could be excluded under the proposal’s market-share limitations, Bloomberg News first reported.

The governor’s office confirmed to Business Insider that the rebate program could include a market-share cap which could in turn exclude Tesla or other EV makers. The office did not share details about what market-share limit could be proposed and also noted the proposal would be subject to negotiations in the state legislature.

A market-share cap would exclude companies whose sales account for a certain amount of total electric vehicle sales. For instance, Tesla accounted for nearly 55% off all new electric vehicles registered in California in the first three quarters of 2024, according to a report from the California New Car Dealers Association. By comparison, the companies with the next highest EV market share in California were Hyundai and BMW with 5.6% and 5% respectively.

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Tesla sales in California, the US’s largest EV market, have recently declined even as overall EV sales in the state have grown. Though the company still accounted for a majority of EV sales in California this year as of September, its market share fell year-over-year from 64% to 55%.

The governor’s office said the market-share cap would be aimed at promoting competition and innovation in the industry.

Elon Musk, who has expressed support for ending the federal tax credit, said in an X post it was “insane” for the California proposal exclude Tesla.

The federal electric vehicle tax credit, which was passed as part of the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act in 2022, provides a $7,500 tax credit to some EV buyers.

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Musk, who is working closely with the incoming Trump administration, has expressed support for ending the tax credit. He’s set to co-lead an advisory commission, the Department of Government Efficiency, which is aimed at slashing federal spending.

The Tesla CEO said on an earnings call in July that ending the federal tax credit might actually benefit the company.

“I think it would be devastating for our competitors and for Tesla slightly,” Musk said. “But long-term probably actually helps Tesla, would be my guess.”

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BI’s Graham Rapier previously reported that ending the tax credit could help Tesla maintain its strong standing in the EV market by slowing its competitors growth.

Prior to the EV rebate proposal, Newsom has already positioned himself as a foil to the incoming Trump administration. Following Trump’s election win the governor called on California lawmakers to convene for a special session to discuss protecting the state from Trump’s second term.

“The freedoms we hold dear in California are under attack — and we won’t sit idle,” Newsom said in a statement at the time.





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