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Is Arizona an ‘emerging problem’ for Donald Trump? He could return to the state soon

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Is Arizona an ‘emerging problem’ for Donald Trump? He could return to the state soon


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Arizona used to be a near-foregone conclusion for Donald Trump. Now it’s an “emerging problem,” according to one longtime political observer. 

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Vice President Kamala Harris is rising in battleground state polls and drew thousands to a political rally in Glendale last week, establishing herself as a more formidable Trump opponent than President Joe Biden was.

Now, Republicans wonder whether Trump has been present in Arizona enough and say he is losing ground to Democrats.

“They’re on their back foot,” said Chuck Coughlin, a longtime GOP strategist who left the party during the Trump era. “Arizona clearly is an emerging problem for him.”

Trump could address some of those criticisms in person as soon as next week. The former president is weighing a trip to Arizona’s southern border in Cochise County, where the U.S.-Mexico border runs for 84 miles. The region is home to two ports of entry: Douglas and Naco. 

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Sierra Vista Mayor Clea McCaa and Sierra Vista police Chief Chris Hiser will be present for Trump’s visit, a city spokesperson said on Wednesday. It is not clear what day Trump might visit the county, and the former president’s campaign declined to answer questions about his travel plans. 

Arizona is a top campaign destination for presidential candidates because it is among a handful of states that could decide the outcome of the 2024 election. Trump lost here by fewer than 11,000 votes in 2020, the smallest margin of any state on the electoral map. It was the first time a Democratic presidential candidate had won in Arizona since 1996 and only the second time since 1948. 

Democrats had all but given up on Arizona’s presidential prospects at the beginning of the summer, but the well-choreographed swap at the top of the ticket has injected new enthusiasm in the party.

Harris held smaller Arizona events during her tenure as vice president but drew a crowd of 15,000 to Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale last week for her first Arizona appearance as the Democratic nominee. Trump addressed some 4,000 people at a rally at Dream City Church in Phoenix in June. 

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The nonpartisan Cook Political Report just changed its Arizona presidential election forecast from “lean Republican” to “toss-up,” and a survey from Coughlin’s polling firm HighGround found Harris narrowly leading Trump in Arizona 44% to 42% among likely voters. (The HighGround survey was conducted July 30-Aug. 5 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.38 percentage points).

“I didn’t think Democrats thought they could win out here,” Coughlin said. “Now they’re like, oh … we might be able to win this thing.” 

The Trump campaign has put more resources into Arizona lately, dispatching vice-presidential nominee JD Vance for a rally and border tour in Cochise County, the same region Trump is considering visiting.

Trump and his allies are also pouring millions into TV ad buys to attack Harris on immigration and the economy. MAGA Inc. just announced a $100 million TV ad buy across the battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, POLITICO reported.

“It’s hard to believe until you see it with your own eyes, just how bad the policies of the Kamala Harris administration have been when it comes to the southern border,” Vance said during his trip to the border wall, making sure to attack Harris on one of her most vulnerable issues. 

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Trump has veered off track with his messaging, though, according to one of his Arizona backers. Trump “never stops speaking” and should stick to a campaign message that can broaden his coalition, said Arizona Republican Alberto Gutier, who served as a Trump elector in 2016.

“Trump can still win it, but he’s gonna have to solidify what’s left of the party,” Gutier said, pointing to struggles Arizona Republicans have faced in recent years. The GOP lost three Senate races, the Governor’s Office, the Secretary of State’s Office and the Attorney General’s Office during the Trump era. 

For its part, the Trump campaign said his momentum is growing and attacked Harris on the economy and the border.

“Everything — from rent, groceries to gas — is far more expensive under Kamala Harris. Under her failed leadership, Arizona families have experienced record high prices and an unruly border crisis; our communities have been less safe, and deadly drugs are killing our youth. President Trump offers Arizona voters hope through his agenda to make Arizona safe and affordable again,” Trump campaign spokesperson Halee Dobbins said in a written statement.

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“The momentum is only growing for Trump ahead of November as voters grow sick and tired of Harris’ lies and unlivable policies; Arizona won’t buy her gaslighting this fall.”But Gutier said he’s worried that Harris appeals to a noteworthy voting group that could help sway the election result. 

“Here in Arizona, young people, a lot of people who have not been involved in politics, see her as a savior,” Gutier said. “Good luck, America.”

Still, Trump just got a boost from a top Arizona Republican whom he butted heads with in the past. Former GOP Gov. Doug Ducey endorsed Trump on Tuesday, putting his “differences aside” to back the former president who once said Ducey was betraying Arizona by certifying the 2020 election results. 

“Differences aside, there is too much on the line and only a Republican in the White House and a majority in the House and US Senate can ensure it,” Ducey said, throwing his support behind Trump and GOP Senate nominee Kari Lake. 

No charges: Why Arizona Attorney General Mayes didn’t want to indict Trump in fake elector case

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He also received praise from the Arizona Republican Party chair for taking questions from billionaire Trump booster Elon Musk during a lengthy livestream on Musk’s social media site. Harris has taken few questions from reporters since she became her party’s nominee.

“The conversation between President Trump and Elon Musk on X Spaces again demonstrated President Trump’s commitment to transparency and direct engagement with the American people,” Arizona GOP Chair Gina Swoboda said in a written statement. “In stark contrast, Kamala Harris has been noticeably absent from the media for over three weeks.” 

When it comes to campaigning offline, Trump has a lighter footprint than the Harris operation in Arizona. The Trump campaign has eight offices here, compared with Harris’ 12, though it says it has plans to open more ahead of the election. Trump offices are in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Casa Grande, Sun City, Chandler, Mesa, Tucson and Kingman. The campaign also holds “Super Saturday” training sessions for volunteers around the state. 

“The Harris-Walz campaign has seen a surge of momentum as voters are responding to Vice President Harris’ fight to bring down costs, secure the border, and make sure Arizona families don’t just get by but get ahead,” Harris spokesperson Jacques Petit said in a written statement.

“Meanwhile Donald Trump and JD Vance have almost no presence in the state and are running on a toxic Project 2025 agenda to ban abortion in Arizona and slash Medicare and Social Security, which is why Republicans, Democrats and Independents are coming together to defeat them and deliver the White House for Vice President Harris and Governor Walz.”

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Sam Leavitt says running helps rhythm, needs to stay healthy

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Sam Leavitt says running helps rhythm, needs to stay healthy


TEMPE — Sam Leavitt has run the ball more to begin this season than any other four-game stretch of the Arizona State quarterback’s career.

Leavitt’s 15 rushes against Baylor set a new career high after his 12 carries against Texas State were among his previous career highs (also 13 in the Peach Bowl).

“I don’t think it was really part of the game plan. It was kind of just what happened,” Leavitt said Tuesday of the new career high. “More so taking what the defense gives me. Try not to do that throughout the rest of the season as much, keep my body a little healthier. But yeah I’m just trying to win the game at the end of the day.”

Leavitt missed one game last season due to a cracked rib sustained while fighting for extra yards against Utah. Arizona State saw firsthand how valuable he is to the offense when it rolled quarterback Jeff Sims out at Cincinnati, one of two Big 12 losses the team had.

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“(Leavitt) ran more (at Baylor) than we like to usually run quarterbacks, but he did because it was needed in the game,” ASU coach Kenny Dillingham said.

While the usage is higher than any other stretch in his career (10.5 rushes per game), he’s also picked his spots well. Of his 42 rushes, 14 have been for first downs, and six of those have come on third or fourth down.

He’s also had nine explosive runs, defined by ASU defensive coordinator Brian Ward as pickups of at least 12 yards, including a 52-yard scramble against NAU.

His 220 scramble yards — distinguished from designed run plays, according to PFF — are the most in the country and 63 more than the next-best Power Four quarterback (Auburn’s Jackson Arnold).

TCU coach Sonny Dykes told reporters the Horned Frogs should prepare better for Leavitt’s scrambling after facing athletic SMU quarterback Kevin Jennings, but the numbers indicate a different story.

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Jennings has nearly as many scrambles (13) as Leavitt (16), but his production is far below at 6.5 yards per scramble compared to Leavitt’s 13.8. Stripping away the outlying 52-yarder, Leavitt would still average 11.2 yards per scramble. Leavitt also has doubled up Jennings’ yards on designed runs (59 to 28).

“The SMU quarterback was more of a ‘run around to throw.’ This quarterback is more of a runner. He wants to run, and he’s very effective. He’s very fast, he’s very elusive and he does a good job getting down before you tackle him,” Dykes said.

Sam Leavitt in better rhythm passing when running the ball

Four of Leavitt’s six touchdown passes on the year have come after he carried the ball within the previous four plays, his level of engagement higher when feeling the hits.

“Early on, I like to kind of get the juices out, you know, butterflies out by running it a little bit, but later in the game I’m kind of settled in already,” Leavitt said.

After ASU lost to Mississippi State, Dillingham emphasized the importance of Leavitt feeling a rhythm early in games, with the QB run game as a way to get “feisty” signal callers feeling it.

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Leavitt rushed the ball twice before he attempted a pass against Baylor and once before his first pass against Texas State. He then had two carries in the final 14 minutes of the Baylor win and three carries in the second half against Texas State.

Catch ASU-TCU on Friday at 6 p.m. MST on the Arizona Sports app, ESPN 620 AM or 98.7 FM HD-2. It will be televised on FOX.




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Arizona family devastated after rollover crash on I-10 kills 3 people

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Arizona family devastated after rollover crash on I-10 kills 3 people


BUCKEYE, AZ (AZFamily) — A Valley family is reeling from an unimaginable tragedy and searching for answers after a deadly rollover crash left three people dead and one seriously injured.

The crash happened on Thursday in Buckeye along Interstate 10 near Palo Verde Road. According to the Arizona Department of Public Safety, 48-year-old Isreal Vasquez was pronounced dead at the scene. Two young boys, ages 6 and 9, later died at the hospital.

Authorities said the family’s vehicle rolled over, but it’s still unclear what caused the crash. DPS is asking anyone who was in the area at the time to come forward with information.

Arizona’s Family spoke with members of the family who said they are relying on memories to get them through this dark time.

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“They were always laughing and making jokes and being silly,” Ariana Lopez, a cousin, said. “I think about the crash and it comes back and hurts all over again.”

Lopez is hanging on to each one of them right now. She has recalled each moment.

“It breaks my heart because she was a single mom, and it was always the three of them together,” Lopez said. “And then to lose her whole life — her two sons and her dad as well — it’s heartbreaking.”

Lopez said while she looks back at each photo, she only has a few words she wishes she could say to them if they were here.

“It’s always nice to look at those memories, and it reminds you life is so short — hug your loved ones,” Lopez said. “Thank you for always being there for us. We need to make him proud.”

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The family has started a GoFundMe to help with medical bills, three funerals and child care.

See a spelling or grammatical error in our story? Please click here to report it.

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Arizona high school football Week 4 rewind: Upsets, statements and comebacks

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Arizona high school football Week 4 rewind: Upsets, statements and comebacks


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There were comebacks, statements, big performances and upsets across Arizona in Week 4 of the high school football season. The Arizona Republic looks back — and ahead — as teams start to separate from the pack.

What we learned

Chandler Basha cemented its No. 1 ranking in the state with another punishing performance, a 42-14 rout of No. 4 Gilbert Williams Field on Friday, Sept. 12. The Bears can line up in various formations and strike fast. This time, head coach Chris McDonald, also the offensive coordinator, often flanked out three receivers, including running back Noah Roberts, way outside. He had them bunched together, causing the secondary to adjust.

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It was “pick your receiver” for Brodie Vehrs. He would wing it to a target, who followed the blocks from the other two receivers for big gains. Then, lulling the defense, Vehrs would simply hand off to tailback Josh Gaines, who gutted the middle of the defense for scoring runs of 19 and 23 yards in a 21-point third quarter that put the game away.

The Bears sent another team that was feeling great about itself to the film room, seeking answers. Basha will wear down teams with its size, athleticism and depth. McDonald’s defense is so stacked that he’s got guys not starting who have Division I scholarship offers.

Biggest question

How good is Chandler Hamilton?

We know about two-time defending Open state champion Peoria Liberty (2-1) and Basha, but are the three Hamilton blowouts telling us they’re right with those two teams?

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The Huskies hung 63 on ALA Queen Creek, 62 on Phoenix Sandra Day O’Connor and now 54 on Queen Creek Casteel. What we know now is ALA Queen Creek’s defense is nothing close to last year’s Open semifinal defense. The Patriots are 0-3, giving up 143 points. SDO and Casteel are both 1-2.

The Huskies might get a little more resistance next week against 2-1 Phoenix Brophy, which lost its only game to Basha (42-6) in the season opener. But the sophomore sensations of QB Jax Sculley and WR Roy Oliver III are special, the running game keeps defenses guessing.

Coach Travis Dixon has got something really good going in his second season leading his alma mater. They may have to wait until Oct. 24 to know how great this team is. That’s when the Huskies face Basha.

Biggest takeaway

Maybe the biggest shocker was ALA West Foothills’ 21-14 win over No. 1 (4A) Tucson Mica Mountain.

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It was the Guardians’ first signature 4A win since moving up from 3A, where they lost to Tucson Pusch Ridge in last year’s championship game. They came into the season with adversity, losing quarterback Hudson Mitton and head coach Chad Mitton, Hudson’s dad. Hudson is now at Mesa High. Chad Mitton is not coaching. A few key players transferred out. And, after getting dominated by Snowflake in a 30-10 loss last week, there were more questions than answers.

Consider those questions answered.

Mica Mountain, the defending 4A champion, saw its 17-game winning streak end against a more physical, more confident, tougher team. Bryan Rauzan, who took on the head coaching position before the season began, can build off of this. But they still have a brutal 4A schedule remaining with games that include Phoenix Arcadia, Phoenix Northwest Christian, Peoria, Phoenix Thunderbird and improved Phoenix St. Mary’s.

Best bounce back

Chandler junior quarterback Will Mencl has been one of the emerging stars in the first three games. Despite putting up 319 passing yards and 70 rushing yards last week in California, it wasn’t enough in a 24-23 loss to Cathedral Catholic. He bounced back with a career night in a 49-29 win over ALA Queen Creek, completing 31 of 35 passes, piling up 569 yards total offense with seven total touchdowns.

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His first two varsity seasons ended with injuries, but Mencl is doing things that are putting him in the early Player of the Year conversation as he tries to make this a big bounce-back year for the Wolves (2-1), who went 5-6 last year and didn’t get into the eight-team Open playoff for the first time.

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Hamilton QB Jax Sculley talks team’s win over Casteel

Hamilton High School QB Jax Sculley discusses the team’s 54-14 win over Casteel on Sept. 12, 2025.

Best starts

Tolleson is off to its first 3-0 start in 12 years, behind the special connection between quarterback Youngman Lee and wide receiver Rico Blassingame in a 32-27 win over Avondale West Point. Youngman, a summer move-in from the Seattle area, completed 15 of 29 for 335 yards and four TDs. Blassingame, who has committed to Minnesota, caught nine passes for 153 yards and a TD. In his first three games in Arizona, Lee has completed 37 of 53 passes for 826 yards and nine TDs with two interceptions. Blassingame has 19 catches for 276 yards in three games. How much of a difference has Lee made? Last year, Tolleson went 1-9, following a 3-7 2023 season.

Meanwhile, St. Mary’s is 3-0 for the first time since 2006, behind sophomore QB Luke Horn, who was 15 of 24 for 426 yards and four TDs in a 48-0 win over Tucson Empire. Junior receiver Anthony Cannon had seven catches for 201 yards and one TD. Horn has thrown for 1,021 yards and eight TDs in the first three games.

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Best comeback

Scottsdale Saguaro had the host Tucson Salpointe Catholic Lancers in a 17-0 halftime hole. The Lancers took their first lead, 28-24, with six minutes left. Saguaro took the lead back, 31-24, with 2:38 to play. Salpointe drove down the field before starting QB Matt Avelar (26 of 35, 321 yards, four TDs) got knocked out of the game with an injury. Enter senior Rayce Alvarez, who threw a TD pass with 40 seconds left for a 34-31 victory.

Saguaro (1-2) turned the ball over on the second play of its next possession. Saguaro’s two losses (the other to Scottsdale Desert Mountain) have been by a total of six points. R.J Gory had 14 catches for 173 yards and three TDs for the 3-0 Lancers, who now have to make two straight trips to the Valley (Mesa Red Mountain Sept. 19 and ALA Queen Creek Sept. 26) with another trip to the Valley on Oct. 17 to face Basha.

Best final quarter

Watch out for Tempe Marcos de Niza, which improved to 3-0, after a 27-point, fourth-quarter eruption in a 41-28 win over rival Tempe McClintock. The Padres have scored more than 40 points in each of their first three games. They trailed McClintock, 14-7, in the first half. Defense fueled the comeback with interceptions by Keilor Hemmings, Alejandro Gomez and Brian Irick.

“We are going to play for each other and we are going to play for four quarters,” coach Anthony Figueroa said.

Best small-school statement

In a football rivalry that began in 1904, host Eagar Round Valley, now in 3A, outlasted 2A St. Johns 38-21. Round Valley took a 25-7 halftime lead, recovering a pooch kick and scoring on a Brenton Walker 34-yard pass play with four seconds left. Round Valley (4-0) recovered two other onside kicks in the game. Still, St. Johns has inspired the White Mountains community and reignited the rivalry, starting the season 3-0 before suffering its first setback to a team that has a shot at winning the 3A title.

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Look ahead

Key 4A games to keep an eye on Thursday, Sept. 18, include Gilbert Mesquite (2-1) against St. Mary’s at Phoenix Washington, and Arcadia (3-0) hosting Glendale Deer Valley (3-0).

On Friday, Sept. 19, Williams Field (2-1) will see how it responds from the Basha loss with a game at Chandler.

Hamilton will travel to Phoenix to take on Brophy Prep (2-1) at Central in another pivotal 6A game.

In a key 5A game, defending champion Goodyear Desert Edge (3-0) travels to play ALA Gilbert North (3-0).

Richard Obert has been covering high school sports since the 1980s for The Arizona Republic. He also covers Grand Canyon University athletics and the Arizona Rattlers. To suggest human-interest story ideas and other news, reach Obert at richard.obert@arizonarepublic.com or 602-316-8827. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter:@azc_obert

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