Arizona
Arizona vs. BYU is a battle of elite defenses. Which one is better?

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By almost every statistical measure, the three best defenses in the Big 12 Conference so far this season belong to Arizona, BYU and Texas Tech.
Two of those teams happen to be facing each other on Saturday, Oct. 11, at Arizona Stadium.
Which one actually has the better defense?
That’s what we’re going to explore in this week’s “Cats Stats.” The answer might surprise you.
At first blush, one would give the edge to the Cougars. They’re first in the league in total defense (239.6 ypg) and second in scoring defense (12.2 ppg). The Wildcats are third (244.8) and fourth (15.6), respectively.
Even if you adjust the latter to account for the pick-six against Arizona last week, the Wildcats are still two points worse per game than the Cougars.
But we like to dig beneath the surface here at Cats Stats Inc. Other numbers better illustrate the effectiveness of the UA defense under Danny Gonzales.
The statistic most often cited to measure a defense’s worth is yards per play. Arizona has the edge in that category — over everyone else in the conference.
The UA has allowed 3.92 yards per play. Texas Tech is second at 3.94. BYU is third at 4.06. No one else is under 4.50.
If you separate run and pass defense, you can argue that the advantages each side has basically cancel each other out. But we would argue that the gap between BYU and Arizona against the run is narrower than the gap between the Wildcats and Cougars against the pass.
BYU allows 92.2 rushing yards per game and 2.8 per attempt; Arizona is at 96.6 and 3.0. Not much of a difference.
The Wildcats have the No. 1 pass defense in the conference in terms of yards allowed per game (147.2) and per attempt (4.9). The Cougars are barely behind them in the former (147.4). They’re nearly a full yard behind in the latter (5.8).
Arizona also has a sizable edge in completion percentage allowed (51.3% vs. 57.0%) and sacks per game (2.6 vs. 2.0). Overall, the Wildcats spend more time in the opposition’s backfield, averaging a league-best 8.60 tackles for loss per game. BYU is sixth at 6.20.
Conversion case
Still not convinced? Let’s dig deeper.
Two areas that are critical to team success are third-down and red-zone efficiency. Arizona’s defense has been better than BYU’s, both through five games.
The Wildcats have allowed opponents to convert 25.7% of their third downs. Only Texas Tech, at 25.4%, has been better in the Big 12. BYU is third at 29.7%.
(In a related development, Arizona has been slightly better at first-down prevention. The UA has allowed 13.2 first downs per game, tied with Texas Tech for the fewest in the Big 12. BYU is third at 14.8.)
Arizona is No. 1 in the conference at keeping the opposition out of the end zone once it crosses the 20-yard line. The Wildcats have allowed a touchdown on only 42.9% of opponents’ red-zone opportunities. The Cougars are tied for fourth in the league at 50%.
Who’s better at taking the ball away? Again, at least so far, it’s been Arizona.
The Wildcats average 2.2 takeaways per game, second in the conference behind Texas Tech (2.4). The Cougars are fourth at 1.8.
Even if you include fourth-down stops — Gonzales classifies those as takeaways, worthy of footballs being punctured by the Turnover Sword — Arizona has the edge. The Wildcats have 18 combined takeaways and fourth-down stops, an average of 3.6 per game. The Cougars have 15, or 3.0 per game.
BYU has been better at preventing big plays, but the difference is negligible. The Cougars have allowed 13 plays of 20-plus yards, per cfbstats.com, or 2.6 per game. The Wildcats have allowed 14 — 2.8 per game.
The real deal?
Both defenses have been elite at almost all of the above. BYU has a more extensive track record; the Cougars finished first in the Big 12 in total defense and yards allowed per play last season.
As such, it’s reasonable to believe that what BYU has accomplished so far on defense is real — and wonder whether Arizona is due for some regression. The Wildcats are new to this shutdown business, after all.
Skeptics also might question Arizona’s schedule so far. “U of A hasn’t played anybody.” About that …
We looked at three websites that calculate strength of schedule: ESPN, Sagarin and Massey. Arizona’s average SOS on those sites entering this weekend was 91. BYU’s was … also 91.
Both have faced an FCS opponent from the Big Sky Conference — Portland State (BYU) and Weber State (Arizona). Both have faced a Group of Five foe — East Carolina (BYU) and Hawaii (Arizona). Both have faced a Power Four opponent — Stanford (BYU) and Kansas State (Arizona). Both have played two conference games.
BYU has played one more road game; the ECU contest was in Greenville. Counterpoint: Arizona blew out Hawaii, which defeated Stanford the previous week. And although Stanford has a better record (2-3) than Kansas State (2-4), KSU is considered superior by most metrics. For example, ESPN’s FPI ranks K-State 43rd and Stanford 86th.
BYU coach Kalani Sitake, for one, doesn’t need any convincing. He believes Arizona’s defense is legit.
“Danny’s done a great job with the defense,” Sitake told reporters on Oct. 6. “They tackle well. They’re aggressive.
“Danny’s done a great job everywhere he’s been. He’s from that same lineage as Rocky Long, Bronco Mendenhall and them. So we’re very familiar with the defense.
“But the way he’s able to combine their base coverages with the pressures — he calls a really good game, and he can make things really difficult for any offense. So we’re going to have to be at our best.”

Arizona
Crashes becoming more common on historic Arizona highway east of the Valley

TORTILLA FLAT, AZ (AZFamily) — Historic highway state Route 88, also known as the Apache Trail, is quickly gaining a different kind of reputation.
“Morning, noon, and night, people have accidents because they underestimate the danger of this road and at the same time overestimate their driving ability and it’s very dangerous,” said Paul Robinson, who works in Tortilla Flat along SR 88.
He said tragic crashes on the historic road are becoming more common. “I’ve seen people when I wake up in the morning to open up the place, I’ve seen kids limping down the road trying to find some help,” said Robinson. “Most of the time, it’s young kids who have their whole life ahead of them.”
On Thursday, crews worked to get a motorcyclist back up to the street after crashing and going down a steep hill. The biker appeared to be OK. The night before, three people were rescued and flown to the hospital after their car went off the cliff. The rescue took nearly four hours and ADOT had to close a section of SR 88.
Last month, two more people had to be rescued after they drove off the road. Both of them were rushed to the hospital.
While the Department of Public Safety patrols the highway, the Arizona Department of Transportation maintains it.
ADOT says the keys to staying safe on the historic, winding SR 88 are obeying the speed limit, staying alert and not driving impaired.
Speed limits range from 25 and 40 mph but lower advisory speed limits are often between 15 and 25 mph.
“SR 88’s designation as an (sic) historic roadway limits changes allowed along the highway. It also travels through the Tonto National Forest, which means there are federal environmental limits,” ADOT said in a statement.
Robinson offered advice for those who choose to travel the scenic route. “My message would be to enjoy the scenery. Take things slower, it’s more fun, you know, enjoying the beautiful view, enjoying music and being more mellow as opposed to risking your life and getting that adrenaline going because it’s just not worth it,” he said.
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Arizona
Sentence of 5 years set for Arizona drug and weapon case

PHOENIX – A man caught with over 15 pounds of methamphetamine and an AR-15 rifle during a traffic stop in Phoenix was sentenced to five years in prison last week, authorities announced Thursday.
Luis Fernando Gaxiola-Simons previously pleaded guilty to one count each of transportation of a dangerous drug for sale and misconduct involving weapons.
A Maricopa County judge issued the sentence, which included a total fine and surcharge of $5,370, on Sept. 29, according to the Arizona Attorney General’s Office.
What led to man being sentenced on drug and weapon charges?
Gaxiola-Simons was arrested on May 23 by officers who initially pulled him over for a traffic violation. At the time, the AR-15 was in plain view between the passenger seat and center console, according to prosecutors.
Furthermore, Gaxiola-Simons was in possession of three loaded cartridges for the semi-automatic weapon, which had been defaced, prosecutors said.
A search of the vehicle uncovered 15.54 pounds of meth in 15 burrito-shaped packages.
“In addition to fentanyl and carfentanil, we’re stopping an increasing number of transnational drug traffickers transporting methamphetamine and cocaine through Arizona,” state Attorney General Kris Mayes said in a press release.
“My criminal division remains laser-focused on prosecuting individuals responsible for the scourge of drugs coming over our southern border. If you are trafficking drugs through Arizona, you will be found and you will be held accountable.”
Arizona
Sam Leavitt says running helps rhythm, needs to stay healthy

TEMPE — Sam Leavitt has run the ball more to begin this season than any other four-game stretch of the Arizona State quarterback’s career.
Leavitt’s 15 rushes against Baylor set a new career high after his 12 carries against Texas State were among his previous career highs (also 13 in the Peach Bowl).
“I don’t think it was really part of the game plan. It was kind of just what happened,” Leavitt said Tuesday of the new career high. “More so taking what the defense gives me. Try not to do that throughout the rest of the season as much, keep my body a little healthier. But yeah I’m just trying to win the game at the end of the day.”
Leavitt missed one game last season due to a cracked rib sustained while fighting for extra yards against Utah. Arizona State saw firsthand how valuable he is to the offense when it rolled quarterback Jeff Sims out at Cincinnati, one of two Big 12 losses the team had.
“(Leavitt) ran more (at Baylor) than we like to usually run quarterbacks, but he did because it was needed in the game,” ASU coach Kenny Dillingham said.
While the usage is higher than any other stretch in his career (10.5 rushes per game), he’s also picked his spots well. Of his 42 rushes, 14 have been for first downs, and six of those have come on third or fourth down.
He’s also had nine explosive runs, defined by ASU defensive coordinator Brian Ward as pickups of at least 12 yards, including a 52-yard scramble against NAU.
His 220 scramble yards — distinguished from designed run plays, according to PFF — are the most in the country and 63 more than the next-best Power Four quarterback (Auburn’s Jackson Arnold).
TCU coach Sonny Dykes told reporters the Horned Frogs should prepare better for Leavitt’s scrambling after facing athletic SMU quarterback Kevin Jennings, but the numbers indicate a different story.
Jennings has nearly as many scrambles (13) as Leavitt (16), but his production is far below at 6.5 yards per scramble compared to Leavitt’s 13.8. Stripping away the outlying 52-yarder, Leavitt would still average 11.2 yards per scramble. Leavitt also has doubled up Jennings’ yards on designed runs (59 to 28).
“The SMU quarterback was more of a ‘run around to throw.’ This quarterback is more of a runner. He wants to run, and he’s very effective. He’s very fast, he’s very elusive and he does a good job getting down before you tackle him,” Dykes said.
Sam Leavitt in better rhythm passing when running the ball
Four of Leavitt’s six touchdown passes on the year have come after he carried the ball within the previous four plays, his level of engagement higher when feeling the hits.
“Early on, I like to kind of get the juices out, you know, butterflies out by running it a little bit, but later in the game I’m kind of settled in already,” Leavitt said.
After ASU lost to Mississippi State, Dillingham emphasized the importance of Leavitt feeling a rhythm early in games, with the QB run game as a way to get “feisty” signal callers feeling it.
Leavitt rushed the ball twice before he attempted a pass against Baylor and once before his first pass against Texas State. He then had two carries in the final 14 minutes of the Baylor win and three carries in the second half against Texas State.
Catch ASU-TCU on Friday at 6 p.m. MST on the Arizona Sports app, ESPN 620 AM or 98.7 FM HD-2. It will be televised on FOX.
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