Alaska
Survey of Alaska’s small businesses shows ‘dramatic’ confidence drop as political uncertainty grew
Alaska small-business owners’ financial and economic outlook swung sharply negative this year amid political uncertainty as President Donald Trump sets high tariffs on major trading partners, according to a survey of close to 300 Alaska businesses by a small-business development group.
“Business optimism plunged” and the survey recorded the “highest level of economic pessimism ever recorded” in its eight-year history, according to a statement from the Alaska Small Business Development Center on Thursday.
There’s been a big shift in the economic conditions that Alaska businesses face, said Jon Bittner, the group’s state director, in an interview Friday.
“The largest issue is not specifically the tariffs, but the public uncertainty,” he said. “Businesses don’t know what the pricing will be, how they should market their products, or what to invest in.”
The survey represents businesses across Alaska, in urban and rural areas, and close to every industry sector, Bittner said.
Late last year, about 60% of businesses expected to have good or very good financial conditions this year, the survey found.
By April, only 46% of businesses held that view, the survey found.
“The numbers we are seeing are close to the numbers we saw during COVID,” Bittner said. “But the big difference is there was a lot of federal funding provided to businesses to weather that economic storm. That’s not the case this time.”
Political uncertainty emerged as a top-three challenge facing Alaska businesses, the survey found. Inflation and rising operating costs were also leading concerns. It’s the first time political uncertainty has landed in the top three challenges, according to the center.
The reversal in small-business confidence in Alaska mirrors apprehension among business interests nationwide as the Trump administration sets high tariffs on U.S. trading partners and allies around the world.
The tariffs, some in place and others delayed or adjusted, have caused higher prices and uncertainty for small businesses in Alaska. Many businesses have raised the cost of their goods after their suppliers increased their costs.
[Uncertainty and impacts from Trump’s shifting tariffs hit small businesses in Anchorage]
The survey compares results from a survey late last year of nearly 960 small businesses statewide to an April survey of 273 of those same businesses.
The survey found that 61% of businesses report supplier price increases from the tariffs.
In response to higher supply costs, 48% of the small businesses said they have raised their prices.
Thirty-five percent are attempting to absorb higher costs without raising prices, the survey found.
The businesses expecting a declining financial situation increased from 25% to 63%, the survey found.
Those expecting improvement dropped from 46% to 26%.
That’s an “unprecedented swing” from a positive to a negative outlook, the center said.
Jenna Wright, president of the Anchorage Economic Development Corp., said in an interview Friday that she is not surprised by the survey results.
Her group recently held a business roundtable to hear from several Alaska businesses. She said the business representatives anticipated growth at the year’s start, but now say they’ll be happy with just a flat year.
Wright said the rapid pace of actions from the Trump administration — the on-again, off-again tariffs, the flurry of executive orders, the frozen funding tied to major Biden-era bills — are having ripple effects through the economy.
“All the uncertainty causes businesses to pull back and reassess until they can find what the new point of stability is,” she said.
“I think the concerns are widespread across businesses,” she said.
“But I do want to say that on the other hand, some businesses are excited about the potential for unleashing Alaska’s energy, as it’s been called by Trump administration,“ Wright added. ”So it not all bad, and there are some areas for optimism.”
Bittner said “Alaska is particularly ill-suited” as the tariffs impact global trade, he said.
The state imports nearly all its goods from the Lower 48, while the Ted Stevens Anchorage International Airport, one of the top employers in Anchorage, relies on global trade, he said.
Alaska is also the only state with trucked goods that must come through Canada, which has threatened to impose tolls on Alaska-bound commerce and could do so if the U.S. and Canada got embroiled in an all-out trade war, Bittner said.
Alaska
Opinion: Why transmission is Alaska’s next big energy project
No matter what kind of energy we produce — natural gas, hydro, wind, solar or other legacy fuels — it is only as useful as our ability to deliver it where it is needed. The electricity we consume relies on the substations and distribution lines in our neighborhoods which is in turn dependent on high-voltage transmission infrastructure — the backbone of every electric grid. Any path forward for Alaska’s energy future depends on strengthening this backbone.
The Railbelt electric transmission system stretches 700 miles from Homer to Fairbanks powering roughly 70 % of Alaskans. Built piecemeal over decades, it remains a patchwork of transmission lines operated by five separate utilities. The resulting system is akin to a string of extension cords — some sturdy, others worn — but inadequate for our current and future needs. This fragmentation drives up costs, reduces reliability, and keeps the lowest-cost power from reaching customers when it is needed most.
Case in point: The cheapest electric energy in the Railbelt is generated by the Bradley Lake Hydroelectric plant near Homer. However, because of transmission bottlenecks, that energy can’t always flow north when demand peaks, forcing utilities to use more expensive fuel. Removing these bottlenecks will give Railbelt consumers full access to Bradley Lake’s clean, low-cost power.
Alaska’s Railbelt utilities and the Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) have identified a coordinated, multi-year roadmap to build a reliable, efficient and lower-cost energy backbone for the Railbelt. This plan can be implemented in stages, tackling the most urgent constraints first to deliver savings quickly. Some of this work is already underway.
The Sterling-to-Quartz Creek transmission link on the Kenai Peninsula is undergoing a major upgrade financed through AEA bonds to improve the system’s overall capacity and reliability and reduce power losses. New battery storage projects are also strengthening the grid by providing emergency backup and frequency control. These projects will pay dividends for decades.
In addition, AEA secured $206.5 million from a Department of Energy grant for the next phase of Railbelt modernization. The project will install a high-voltage direct-current submarine cable across Cook Inlet, creating redundancy and increasing capacity so utilities can better access Bradley Lake power. While these federal funds were thought to be in jeopardy in early 2025, they remain available. However, they require a dollar-for-dollar match to move forward.
As steps are taken to allow full access to Bradley Lake’s low-cost power generation, planning is also underway to supply more water to the dam’s generators via the Dixon Diversion project, which will boost power output by up to 50%. Getting more electricity out of existing infrastructure makes sense — especially if we can move that power to end users when they need it. Success with these projects will benefit rural energy users: because the Power Cost Equalization (PCE) program is tied to Railbelt rates, lower cost power on the Railbelt reduces rates across Alaska.
A stronger transmission system will also provide a means for new power generation to supply the Railbelt electric market. Better transmission removes the hurdle of geography, making the entire system more efficient, flexible and affordable — for whatever new generation comes online.
Finally, stronger governance will matter as much as stronger wires. We must also continue the state and utility effort to write fair operating rules for the Railbelt’s shared transmission system to ensure that these investments deliver long-term reliability and affordability for everyone connected to the grid.
Transmission may not be flashy, but it is the foundation of everything else. If we want affordable, reliable power and a stronger economy, we must invest in the infrastructure that makes it possible. What’s needed now is clear state leadership, coordinated utility action, and the backing of Alaskans to move these projects forward.
Gene Therriault served in the Alaska state House of Representatives and Alaska Senate from 1993 to 2009, and is a senior adviser of New Energy Alaska. Subsequent roles include serving as senior energy adviser to Gov. Sean Parnell, vice president of Golden Valley Electric Association and deputy director for statewide energy policy development at the Alaska Energy Authority. He lives in Fairbanks.
Brian Hickey lives in Anchorage and has over 40 years of experience working in construction, engineering and operations in the Alaska Railbelt electric grid. Most recently, he was executive director of Railbelt Regional Coordination and led Railbelt’s joint effort to obtain the $206.5 million Department of Energy grant for AEA. He is also the general manager of Seward Electric Systems in Seward.
• • •
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Alaska
Alaska Sports Scoreboard: Dec. 6, 2025
High School
Hockey
Tuesday
Monroe Catholic 8, Lathrop 3
West 3, Wasilla 1
South 2, Dimond 0
Wednesday
North Pole 9, West Valley 6
Delta 6, Monroe Catholic 5
West 1, Chugiak 0
Thursday
Palmer 5, Kenai Central 2
North Pole 8, Colony 2
Friday
Palmer 6, Soldotna 0
West Valley 7, Colony 2
Juneau-Douglas 4, Kenai Central 2
Kodiak 6, Service 3
Dimond 3, Eagle River 0
Saturday
Service 4, Kodiak 3
Juneau-Douglas 8, Kenai Central 2
Palmer 14, Homer 2
Wasilla 6, Chugiak 3
• • •
Volleyball
Thursday
Nelson Island 2, SISD 0 (25-20, 25-15)
Susitna Valley 3, Metlakatla 0 (25-16, 25-19, 25-14)
Martin L Olson 2, Nunamiut 1 (25-14, 23-25, 25-21)
Dillingham 3, Glennallen 1 (19-25, 25-18, 25-17, 25-23)
Shaktoolik 2, Gustavus 1 (25-12, 22-25, 25-15)
Sand Point 3, Tri-Valley 0 (25-17, 25-17, 25-13)
Aniak 2, Emmonak 0 (25-15, 25-11)
Tanalian 2, Nelson Island 0 (25-15, 25-18)
Unalaska 3, Wrangell 0 (25-13, 25-23, 25-20)
Martin L Olson 2, Scammon Bay 0 (25-13, 25-14)
Susitna Valley 3, Dillingham 1 (25-9, 23-25, 25-15, 25-21)
Shaktoolik 2, Anchor Lutheran 0 (25-9, 25-17)
Kisimgiugtuq 2, Aniak 0 (28-25, 25-20)
Unalaska 3, Sand Point 0 (25-16, 25-13, 25-23)
Friday
Scammon Bay 2, Gustavus 1 (20-25, 25-21, 25-17)
Nelson Island 2, Emmonak 0 (25-23, 25-18)
Metlakatla 3, Glennallen 0 (25-21, 25-21, 25-12)
Aniak 2, SISD 0 (25-16, 25-20)
Nunamiut 2, Anchor Lutheran 0 (25-13, 25-5)
Nunamiut 2, Aniak 0 (25-22, 25-16)
Nelson Island 2, Scammon Bay 1 (25-10, 23-25, 25-0)
Wrangell 3, Tri-Valley 1 (25-27, 25-23, 25-18, 25-10)
Tanalian 3, Martin L Olson 1 (25-13, 8-25, 25-22, 25-23)
Shaktoolik 3, Kisimgiugtuq 0 (25-14, 25-5, 25-15)
Sand Point 3, Metlakatla 0 (25-20, 25-20, 26-24)
Nelson Island 2, Kisimgiugtuq 0 (25-13, 25-10)
Martin L Olson 2, Nunamiut 1 (25-27, 25-16, 26-24)
Tanalian 3, Shaktoolik 1 (25-20, 17-25, 25-19, 25-23)
Unalaska 3, Susitna Valley 1 (23-25, 25-23, 25-22, 25-22)
Wrangell 3, Dillingham 2 (16-25, 25-21, 25-21, 20-25, 15-9)
Sand Point 3, Wrangell 0 (25-14, 25-21, 25-18)
Saturday
Martin L Olson 2, Nelson Island 0 (25-16, 25-21)
Martin L Olson 2, Shaktoolik 0 (25-22, 25-21)
Susitna Valley 3, Sand Point 1 (25-17, 17-25, 25-21, 25-17)
Tanalian 3, Martin L Olson 1 (27-25, 23-25, 25-22, 28-26)
Unalaska vs. Susitna Valley (Late)
• • •
Wrestling
Tuesday
Dimond 55, Bartlett 47
Boys – 145: Prince Bonilla (5-15), Dimond over Benjamin Fudge (13-14), Bartlett (F 3:48)
Boys – 135: Taven Carbaugh (12-13), Dimond over Aurelius Atwood (4-12), Bartlett (F 5:51)
Boys – 119: Yeng Lao (17-6), Bartlett over Joshawa McCorkle (3-22), Dimond (TF 19-3 (3:03)
Boys – 285: Denver Spencer (17-11), Bartlett over Juan Hernandez (0-0), Dimond (F 1:26)
Boys – 215: Jayce Casarez (10-4), Bartlett over Creed Cvancara (12-5), Dimond (F 3:30)
Boys – 189: Donald Goss (0-4), Bartlett over Tristan Mason (5-23), Dimond (F 4:21)
Boys – 171: Everett Monteil (6-7), Dimond over Alton Drones (4-6), Bartlett (TF 18-1 (4:33)
Boys – 160: Yaroslav Ustymenko (16-16), Dimond over Jonny Larsen (6-6), Bartlett (SV 7-4)
Boys – 152: Keller Jackson (18-6), Dimond over Isiah Anaruk (16-10), Bartlett (F 5:12)
Girls – 126: Nyah O`Neil (17-5), Dimond over Teresa Vicens (8-6), Bartlett (TF 17-2 (3:48)
Girls – 100: Kaylee Kofford (22-6), Bartlett over Aoife Stout (13-7), Dimond (F 3:56)
Chugiak 62, Eagle River 46
Boys – 135: Lukas Nuxall (7-5), Chugiak over Izzak Alonzo (7-18), Eagle River (F 3:59)
Boys – 130: Jacob Driscoll (23-10), Eagle River over Briar Otts (4-8), Chugiak (F 0:56)
Boys – 119: Archer Hicks (17-12), Chugiak over Wyatt Zeiler (14-8), Eagle River (MD 9-1)
Boys – 112: Oliver Dunlavey (13-13), Chugiak over Aiden Smith (7-6), Eagle River (F 0:44)
Boys – 103: Tanner Bailey (16-11), Chugiak over Grant Brunner (14-12), Eagle River (Dec 11-4)
Boys – 215: Braden Ott (16-5), Eagle River over Oliver Stoltze (6-6), Chugiak (F 2:42)
Boys – 189: Bryson Diola (16-1), Eagle River over Morgan Robinson (4-3), Chugiak (F 5:02)
Boys – 171: Elias Rimbert (20-6), Chugiak over Gavin Wiess (27-10), Eagle River (MD 17-5)
Boys – 160: Richard Dunlavey (21-8), Chugiak over Vern Stott (5-11), Eagle River (F 2:34)
Boys – 152: Kamdon Marchant (13-8), Chugiak over Caleb Driscoll (24-15), Eagle River (Dec 9-5)
Boys – 145: Michael Roschi (16-0), Eagle River over Mason Scow (9-12), Chugiak (F 1:46)
Boys – 140: August Rogers (16-17), Eagle River over Brock Baker (2-9), Chugiak (F 4:46)
Girls – 126: Sabreena Otts (29-8), Chugiak over Cheyenne Bobo (0-0), Eagle River (F 2:36)
Girls – 114: Talia Jenkins (22-5), Chugiak over Lillian Dwyer (17-18), Eagle River (F 3:06)
Girls – 107: Rylee Ruggles (17-6), Chugiak over Violet Roschi (29-9), Eagle River (F 5:44)
Girls – 152: Lily Boze (13-10), Eagle River over Ereale Campbell (15-17), Chugiak (Dec 6-0)
South 122, Service 24
Boys – 189: Bohdan Porter (25-4), South over Lucas Witwer (13-17), Service (F 2:00)
Boys – 152: Shane Ostermiller (19-2), South over Lucas Gross (0-1), Service (F 1:25)
Boys – 140: Benson Mishler (21-2), South over Braiden Sanchez (15-9), Service (MD 19-6)
Boys – 135: Shaw Gerondale (20-4), South over Mason Childress (8-10), Service (F 1:36)
Boys – 130: Dylan Frawner (19-6), South over Urijah Eppelsheimer (10-6), Service (TF 16-0 (2:38)
Girls – 152: Savannah Stout (27-2), South over Julie Ishnook (17-13), Service (TF 20-3 (2:21)
Girls – 114: Julia Dunlap (32-6), South over Scarlett Easton (28-12), Service (Dec 8-5)
Girls – 100: Ava Rogers (11-9), South over Rebekah Ellsworth (5-11), Service (Dec 8-1)
West 75, Bettye Davis East 53
Boys – 285: Matt Manumalealii (0-0), West over Jerome Keil-Mano (5-2), East (F 3:29)
Boys – 215: Aiden Luzano (2-8), West over Scottie Saechao (1-0), East (F 0:58)
Boys – 189: Ezekiel Alabado (2-4), East over Declan Gee (7-12), West (Dec 6-4)
Boys – 171: Ryder Thomas (11-7), West over Kalek Donnelly (8-5), East (F 1:00)
Boys – 160: Lucas Starck (15-4), West over Julian Ferreira (7-8), East (F 2:00)
Boys – 152: Liam Ferreira (6-7), East over Chris Espina (4-12), West (Dec 11-8)
Boys – 145: Damien Ambrose (14-9), West over Levi Hanks (2-2), East (F 3:33)
Boys – 140: Ramon armenta (6-3), East over Gage Williams (3-9), West (F 3:56)
Boys – 135: Mason Rhude (7-12), West over Warren Smallwood (4-1), East (SV 13-10)
Boys – 119: Jerriel Medina-Salazar (3-3), West over Eranda Dissanayake (1-0), East (F 4:35)
Boys – 112: Colter Campbell (13-1), East over Juan Rojas Arismendy (11-3), West (TF 19-2 (2:13)
Girls – 165: Kenya-Marie Bruno (17-2), East over Laura Souza (1-4), West (F 0:49)
Girls – 145: Bridey Lee Piscoya (6-10), West over Victoria Orozco (6-4), East (F 3:36)
Girls – 132: Lily Oldham (18-7), West over Aniyah Smalley (5-5), East (F 1:51)
Girls – 120: Ivy Shanklin (3-9), West over Molly Antijunti (0-1), East (F 5:13)
• • •
College
Volleyball
Thursday
UAF 3, UAA 0 (25-21, 25-18, 25-15)
Friday
Point Loma 3, UAF 1 (25-22, 25-20, 20-25, 25-18)
• • •
Women’s basketball
Thursday
Western Oregon 82, UAF 24
Saint Martin’s 69, UAA 60
Saturday
Saint Martin’s 74, UAF 37
Western Oregon 77, UAA 69
• • •
Men’s basketball
Thursday
Saint Martin’s 78, UAA 63
UAF 80, Western Oregon 70
Saturday
Saint Martin’s 66, UAF 56
UAA 64, Western Oregon 56
• • •
Hockey
Friday
Stonehill 3, UAA 2
Saturday
UAA vs. Stonehill (Late)
UAF vs. Grand Canyon (Late)
Alaska
Howling Mat-Su winds leave thousands without power
PALMER — High winds knocked out power for thousands in Mat-Su on Saturday morning with gusts forecast up to 80 mph in places before the weekend ends.
As of 9 a.m., there were nearly 17,000 members without power, according to Matanuska Electric Association. Major outages included Knik-Goose Bay and Fairview Loop roads. Another large outage knocked out more than 2,000 members from Palmer to Hatcher Pass.
There were reports of trees down on some side roads and damaged railroad crossing gates, as well as at least one small brush fire sparked by a downed power line.
By 10 a.m., the Palmer Airport had recorded a gust of 84 mph while the Wasilla Airport and the Glenn Highway near the Parks Highway had seen gusts of between 70 and 74 mph, according to weather station observations.
A high wind warning from the National Weather Service is in place until 11 p.m. Sunday for the Matanuska Valley including Wasilla, Sutton, Big Lake, Chickaloon and Palmer. The warning calls for northeast winds of 30 to 40 mph with possible gusts up to 80 mph. Wind chill could drop to between minus 10 and minus 20 degrees by Sunday evening, the agency said.
Power outages began early Saturday morning.
“We have multiple crews out in the field and are calling in more as they become available. Winds are not expected to die down today and will last into at least tomorrow evening,” Matanuska Electric Association said in a Facebook post, encouraging people to avoid downed power lines. “Please stay safe – there is a lot of debris scattered outside.”
Wasilla police warned that numerous traffic signals were dark Saturday morning due to power outages. The Matanuska-Susitna Borough announced the central landfill near Palmer is closed Saturday due to high winds.Palmer airport officials on Friday urged pilots to secure all aircraft.
A high wind advisory for the Anchorage area and the northwest Kenai Peninsula — including Nikiski, Kenai, Soldotna and Sterling — remains in effect until 11 p.m. Sunday. Forecasters expected north winds of 20 to 30 mph and gusts up to 50, and wind chill dropping to between minus 5 and minus 15 by Sunday night. Knik Arm, West Anchorage and areas along the coast of northern Cook Inlet were likely to experience the strongest winds, according to the advisory.
This is a developing story. Check back for updates.
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