Sports
Explained: The Champions League draw, the Swiss Model and how selection is going digital
The Champions League proper returns next month and this season it will have a brand new format.
The ‘Swiss Model’ makes its debut and, as a result, the Champions League draw tomorrow (Thursday) is going to look rather different to the eight-groups-of-four setup we’ve all become used to in recent years.
So let The Athletic take you through everything you need to know about the draw and the new look for UEFA’s flagship club competition.
First, a quick recap. What is the Swiss Model and why are there so many teams now?
The new format has a ‘league phase’ rather than a ‘group phase’. It ditches eight groups of four and crams all the competing clubs together in one massive table. The format is based on the Swiss system used in chess, and does not require every team to play all of the others.
The number of teams participating increases by four, to 36, with each participant now playing eight matches in the first phase, instead of six in previous iterations. But instead of just three different opponents twice, home and away, teams will face a different team in every game.
In total, there will be 189 matches in the competition proper, capped by the final in Munich on May 31, up from the previous 125.
UEFA hopes the new format will lead to more competitive fixtures from the off, with bigger games earlier in the tournament because teams from pot one (aka, the big names) will play each other earlier rather than largely being kept apart until the knockout phase in February and March, as happened with the previous format. It will also give teams in pot four more of an opportunity to pick up points, because they will be playing two other sides from that pot among their eight matches.
Once the league phase has been completed, which will now take until late January, the top eight sides in the table will qualify directly for a 16-team knockout round, with the other eight places decided by a newly introduced set of two-leg play-offs contested by the teams who finish between ninth and 24th in the league.
The round of 16 and beyond will now be seeded, so the teams who finish first and second in the league phase cannot face each other until the final.
This season’s lineup will be completed tonight, with four clubs winning their places via the last of seven pre-tournament play-offs.
So how does this change the draw format?
Unlike previous years, where teams were drawn into eight groups from four pots, there will be four pots of nine this year, and they will all be seeded by coefficient. A club’s UEFA coefficient is a score based on the results of teams competing in the five previous seasons of the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League.
There’s one exception to that: the only club who won’t be seeded by coefficient are the Champions League title holders, in this case Real Madrid. They will be the first side drawn.
Also, whereas last time every team was manually drawn, and there would be another manual draw to decide which group they would be put in, the draw will now be almost entirely automated.
All 36 teams will be manually drawn by someone on stage. But when a team come out of the ‘hat’, a button will be pressed and, hey presto, their eight opponents will appear. It will also say whether the team has been drawn to play at home or away (they’ll have four of each).
Each team will face two opponents from each pot, including two from the same one they are in.
This will be repeated until all 36 teams have been drawn. Every team will be drawn once but, as the process moves along, fewer sides will need to be assigned fixtures.
So can teams from the same nation face each other in the first phase now?
No. Or not this season, at least. It is no longer entirely impossible, in theory anyway. But the aim is to ensure that does not happen.
The new automated software will have to follow two UEFA rules. The first is that no club will face another from the same nation — unless there is the possibility of what is called a ‘deadlock’ situation; in other words, if it is impossible to avoid putting those teams together without stopping the draw. This is more likely to happen if one nation had a lot of clubs in the same pot, for example. But there is no risk of that for 2024-25.
The other rule is that it will only be possible to face a maximum of two teams from another association. So you won’t see Manchester City taking on all four Spanish qualifiers.
Why has UEFA gone digital?
The main reason is to save time.
UEFA says that, if the entire draw was to be completed manually, around 1,000 balls would be spread across at least 36 bowls on stage and the whole process would take more than three hours.
Even digitally, drawing pot one is still expected to take 17 minutes.
“Based on rehearsals we have done, we are expecting some 35 minutes of a draw, which is exactly what he had before,” says Tobias Hedtstuck, UEFA’s head of club competitions and calendar, speaking at the body’s briefing on the new system for the media earlier this month.
That time does not factor in the draw’s presentation and sideshow events.
No changes there yet. Sorry about that.
Who is responsible for the software?
Now for the key question. Who has been crafting this mysterious technology?
UEFA has been working on this draw process for nearly a year. The software will be provided by AE Live, which was appointed as UEFA’s partner for all UEFA draws in September 2023 and tasked with developing and testing the software.
And what, you might ask, is AE Live? Well, it’s a company that works in live sport and provides graphic and technology solutions for the industry and has offices in eight countries.
“When it comes to our experience, we have our in-house teams which have a wealth of experience delivering live services across a range of sports, such as cricket, rugby, badminton and even kabaddi,” says Dave Gill, AE Live’s chief technology officer. “But we do have a particular strength in football, across both international and domestic competitions.”
AE Live has provided draw services for more than 20 years, including for the FA Cup, to FIFA, as well as for the International Olympic Committee and CAF, African football’s governing body. “We are very well qualified to provide this draw solution and to support UEFA in this exciting new development,” Gill says.
Global financial services company Ernst and Young has also been appointed to give an “extra layer of assurance and transparency”, according to Giorgio Marchetti, UEFA’s director of football and deputy general secretary. Ernst and Young have audited and monitored the development of the software, and its personnel will also observe and report on the draw operations itself.
And what happens if this software crashes?
There are fail-safes in place should issues arise, and also to ensure the draw remains feasible and there is no ‘deadlock’ scenario. That means the software has to ensure it’s still possible to find opponents for everyone else after a team is drawn. It assesses this itself when drawing opponents for a given club.
There are also two independent external checking systems.
“The role of these checking systems is to simply confirm what has already been established: that the rules of the draw have been followed and the draw remains feasible,” said Gordon Vince, chief software architect. “This checking takes no more than a second. As a result of that, we have extra confidence that the rules are being followed and that the draw remains feasible.
“Only then are the teams ready to be revealed.”
What about cyber-attacks?
AE Live says it is taking the risk of a cyber-attack seriously and has put several protections in place to keep the draw secure.
“The draw itself will be conducted in an entirely closed environment,” Gill says. “There will be no external access from external interference for a period of time before the draw and during the draw, so there’s no DDoS (distributed denial-of-service) attack (which can overwhelm the system and cause it to fail).
“Access to our code, and our code repository, are controlled through multi-factor identification. It’s a very limited amount of people who have access to our code. We’ve just conducted some penetration testing from an external third-party provider to make sure that we are, as a business, as secure as we can be. We’ve done additional risk assessments around the increased risk around cyber-attacks.”
Surely this fancy computer will be biased against (insert your club here)?
UEFA is also trying to ensure everyone feels comfortable with a process that is not visible, which could easily lead to conspiracy chatter.
“That’s why we appointed an external company (Ernst and Young),” says Marchetti, “to confirm not only that the software has been properly set up, and is purely random while respecting the couple of rules that we have, but also to observe the implementation and application of the software, as well as the procedures on the day of the draw.”
Ernst and Young staff will produce a report after the draw. In a statement, the company said: “In our opinion, in all material aspects, the software source code of AE Live selects and allocates football teams randomly and correctly, in accordance with the league-phase digital draw procedure defined by UEFA.”
What are the worst- and best-case scenarios for each club?
The final lineup for the draw won’t be confirmed until after those final four play-off second legs tonight, so only then will we know the final pot positions and risks for each of the 36 teams.
But we do have an idea about how likely it is that a club faces the hardest possible opponents (ie, the top two sides from each pot) and vice versa.
UEFA has estimated that the probability of either happening is 0.00006 per cent. UEFA says that in the previous iteration of the group stage, that probability was 0.2 per cent.
Doing it this way should make the league phase more competitive.
When will we find out the actual fixtures?
This is a key detail for those looking to book flights and hotels as early as possible.
The dates for the fixtures are not going to be released on the same day as the draw.
That information will be announced at some point on Saturday, August 31, in order to ensure the logistical and security dilemmas of the Europa League and Conference League, UEFA’s second- and third-tier club competitions can be taken into account, too.
“The opponents are selected pot after pot, but the order in which they are displayed does not mean the order of the (match) calendar,” says Marchetti. “The calendar will be decided based on different software; based on hundreds, if not thousands of constraints that we have, such as clubs who play in the same cities, or even the same stadium.”
Each team will play one game at home and one away against sides in each pot. UEFA is aiming to have a “fair and balanced split” between Tuesday and Wednesday matches as well, but this is not guaranteed.
UEFA also wants to spread out the competition’s “top matches”, for spectacle and sporting reasons.
“The key target is that in matchday one and two, or seven and eight, you (a club) should not play two pot-one teams in a row,” says Hedtstuck. “They should spread a little bit. We will try this for all 36 teams. The new system should have a more balanced calendar. Security constraints will have to be prioritised.”
How can we follow it?
The draw will be streamed live for free on UEFA’s website as well as broadcast on their broadcasting partner networks. Those will include TNT Sports in the UK and Paramount in the United States.
When and where is the draw?
The most important detail is saved until last.
The draw is to be held at the Grimaldi Forum, an exhibition centre in Monaco, on the south coast of France, and will be conducted at 5pm BST/12pm ET tomorrow (Thursday, August 29).
The Europa League and Conference League draws, both following the same 36-team format, happen there the following day at 12pm BST/7am ET and 1.30pm BST/8.30am ET respectively.
(Top photo: Rob Newell – CameraSport via Getty Images)
Sports
SMU’s CFP nightmare: Interceptions, diverted billionaires and a ‘shell-shocked’ Cinderella
STATE COLLEGE, Pa. — Billions of dollars can buy a lot of things. It can help revive a football program and get your alma mater into a bigger conference. It can buy a private jet. But it can’t clear more space at a tiny regional airport.
SMU donor Bill Armstrong’s last name is on the team’s indoor practice facility. His plane, which included two-time U.S. Open champion golfer Bryson DeChambeau and former Mustangs star running back Craig James, left Dallas around 6:30 a.m. CT for State College, Pa. But upon arrival, it was diverted to Williamsport, as were some other SMU private planes. The airport was full.
If you believe in harbingers, this was an ominous one, the limits of SMU’s money on display. From a party bus on the drive to the stadium, several SMU donors and former players watched on their phones as quarterback Kevin Jennings threw two pick sixes. By the time they arrived at Beaver Stadium, the score was 21-0, the game all but over.
“Still a great season,” Armstrong said after the game, pulling gloves out of his pocket and refusing to get too down. To him, there was no doubt that the 11-win Mustangs belonged here.
The final score was 38-10. As the last at-large team in the field, the discourse over College Football Playoff blowouts and selection committee decisions turned to SMU, one day after Indiana was manhandled by Notre Dame.
On display at Penn State was the difference between being a CFP darling, a fun story, and a CFP contender. It’s a gap so often exposed at this stage of the season.
“We didn’t play well enough to say anything that isn’t going to be written,” head coach Rhett Lashlee said. “It’ll be written, should we be in or did we belong? That’s fine. You’re welcome to write it. We didn’t play good today. But this is a quality team. We had a good team. We deserve to be here. We earned the right to be here. I’m disappointed we didn’t play to the level that validates that.”
What’s too bad is SMU didn’t even give itself a chance. Before kickoff, Lashlee told the broadcast his team had to avoid a bad start like it’d had in the ACC Championship Game against Clemson, when Jennings had two bad turnovers.
What happened this time? First, Jennings missed a wide-open Matthew Hibner in the end zone on what should’ve been a fourth-down touchdown to cap SMU’s opening drive. On the second drive, Jennings threw a pick six, missing a short throw out of the backfield. On the fourth drive, Jennings threw another pick six, a desperate attempt to make a play on third down instead of throwing the ball away.
SMU was down 14-0 despite playing pretty well otherwise and holding up in the trenches. The defense to that point had been stout.
“That kind of shell-shocked us a little bit,” Lashlee said of the turnover scores.
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Jennings has been turnover-prone. He had five against Duke, but the Mustangs rallied to win that one. SMU also rallied from his two turnovers against Clemson to tie things up late. But Penn State is another level up in competition.
“We don’t have an Abdul Carter,” Lashlee said, referring to Penn State’s All-America edge rusher who was in the backfield constantly and did more than his two tackles for loss indicate, constantly sending Jennings out of the pocket. Penn State’s defense finished with 11 tackles for loss.
For his part, Jennings said his early miss in the end zone didn’t linger in his head and lead to the interceptions. Lashlee blamed the second quarter tipped red zone interception on himself, saying he should’ve just called a running play. Jennings blamed himself.
“I made mistakes three times and gave them the ball with careless mistakes,” the typically quiet Jennings said. “I didn’t take care of the ball.”
Asked if he considered replacing Jennings with backup Preston Stone, Lashlee didn’t indicate it ever came up until the fourth quarter. Stone, who was the Mustangs’ starting quarterback last year and at the beginning of this year, entered the transfer portal earlier this month but had stayed with the SMU team. When Lashlee pulled Jennings late, everyone decided they didn’t want Stone to get hurt on his way out at that point in the game, the coach said. After the final horn sounded, multiple reports emerged that Stone was heading to Northwestern.
A 38-10 game is not close, nor is it competitive. Penn State was clearly the better team, one that will be favored to win the Fiesta Bowl against No. 3 seed Boise State. But SMU finished with more first downs and held PSU to 5.0 yards per play, though the amount of garbage time certainly factored into those respectable stats.
SMU scored just three points on four red zone trips and gave away 14 points on the interception return touchdowns. It’s why Lashlee was so frustrated. He knows how it looks. He can’t argue otherwise.
“People are going to see 38-10 or (28-0 at) halftime and say they don’t belong, but the two pick sixes and we had our opportunities,” he said. “We don’t have anybody to blame but ourselves. It should’ve been a good defensive struggle in the 20s. We didn’t do that.”
SMU long felt that if it just got a power conference invitation, it would show it belonged. The Mustangs showed they belonged in the ACC, going 8-0 in conference play. But they didn’t show they’re ready for this stage yet. Nittany Lions coach James Franklin takes a lot of heat from fans and detractors for not winning the big games, but he almost always wins the games in which Penn State has more talent.
Underdog stories typically end with a thud in the CFP, and SMU and Indiana join a list that includes Cincinnati, TCU and others. Top-level talent wins in the end, and SMU doesn’t have that yet.
Lashlee and SMU will spend the ensuing months hearing those that say SMU shouldn’t have been in the CFP, that Alabama deserved the spot (even though Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe’s three-interception performance in a 21-point loss to 6-6 Oklahoma in mid-November was nearly exactly the same as Jennings’ at Penn State). That’s what comes with this stage.
SMU found itself here for the first time and didn’t deliver. As the party bus headed back to Williamsport and the private planes flew back to Dallas, SMU’s coaches, players and billionaires left with a clear vision of just how far they still have to go.
(Photo: Mitchell Leff / Getty Images)
Sports
Ravens take down Steelers to keep AFC North race open
The Baltimore Ravens punched their ticket to the postseason and kept their hopes for a division title alive Saturday.
With a 34-17 win over the division rival Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore could reclaim first place in the final two weeks.
Pittsburgh (10-5) would have clinched the division with a victory, but now the teams are deadlocked after the Ravens (10-5) won for just the second time in the last 10 games of the series. Baltimore clinched a playoff berth with the win.
The Steelers had already clinched a playoff spot.
Russell Wilson threw two touchdown passes, the second of which tied the game at 17 with 5:14 left in the third quarter. Jackson answered with a 7-yard scoring strike to Mark Andrews.
After Pittsburgh turned the ball over on downs, a 44-yard run by Derrick Henry put the Ravens in the red zone.
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That drive ended when Jackson was intercepted for just the fourth time this season, but Marlon Humphrey picked off Wilson and ran 37 yards to the end zone to give Baltimore a cushion in a series that’s been tight of late. The previous nine games between the Steelers and Ravens were decided by seven points or fewer.
Jackson improved to 2-4 against Pittsburgh as a starter. Saturday’s game marked his first time facing the Steelers at home since 2020.
Henry rushed for 162 yards.
Pittsburgh entered the game with a plus-18 turnover margin, but the Ravens had the edge in that department Saturday. Baltimore recovered three of its own fumbles and had two big takeaways.
Now the Steelers will have to deal with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs on Christmas Day before finishing the season at home against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Ravens will travel to Houston to play the Texans on Christmas Day before finishing the season at home against the Cleveland Browns.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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Sports
JuJu Watkins and No. 7 USC hold off No. 4 Connecticut to win in a thriller
HARTFORD, Conn. — In a marquee matchup Saturday night, No. 7 USC defeated perennial powerhouse No. 4 Connecticut 72-70, avenging its Elite Eight loss to the Huskies in April and strengthening its status as one of the nation’s elite teams.
“This is a really significant win, and it’s a significant win because of the stature of the UConn program and what [Connecticut coach] Geno Auriemma has done for our sport,” USC coach Lindsay Gottlieb said. “I told [the team] in [the locker room] — for me, for my entire high school and on, this is what basketball excellence was, this is what we saw. And it’s challenged all of us to want to be better, to find players who want to be better and be that elite.”
Undeterred playing in front of a sold-out crowd on the road, USC opened the game with a 9-0 run, capitalizing on cold shooting and defensive lapses from the Huskies. Buoyed by 15 points from JuJu Watkins, the Trojans shot 48.6% from the floor in the first half, including seven for 11 from three-point range, to take a 42-29 lead at halftime.
“A lot of the things [JuJu] does [are] super hard, but she makes it look so easy,” USC forward Kiki Iriafen said. “So I think she really got us going on the offensive end … we all know she’s a superstar, so playing with her definitely relieved the pressure on everybody else.”
Connecticut came out of the locker room with increased intensity, forcing seven Trojan turnovers and limiting Watkins to four points in the third quarter. Propelled by nine points from guard Paige Bueckers, the Huskies outscored USC (11-1) 20-13 in the third quarter, cutting their deficit to six points entering the fourth.
Connecticut (10-2) continued to chip away and took its first and only lead when freshman Sarah Strong scored on a layup with 4:34 left. USC regained the lead moments later on a Watkins jumper, but the Huskies wouldn’t let the Trojans pull away.
“I don’t think we were ever really rattled,” Watkins said. “We knew what [Connecticut] is capable of, they were going to go on runs, so it was just a matter of handling that and coming down on top.”
With USC leading by three with five seconds left, Strong drew a foul off Watkins while attempting a three-point shot. Strong made her first free throw, but missed her second attempt. After Strong missed her final attempt, Bueckers grabbed the rebound and fed the ball back to Strong, who missed a logo three at the buzzer.
Watkins finished with 25 points, six rebounds, five assists and three blocks. Iriafen had 16 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.
Bueckers and Strong each had 22 points.
Auriemma praised Watkins’ exceptional talent.
“Every scouting report that you put together, or every film that you watch, it’s very evident that one player can’t guard her,” Auriemma said. “You have to hope she helps, you have to hope she misses. And when she gets a little bit of a rhythm like she got in that first half, it’s really, really difficult … there’s qualities that she has that are just unique.”
Watkins showed why she’s one of the nation’s brightest stars, helping the Trojans earn a signature win. The victory was a showcase of the elite talent that has accelerated women’s college basketball’s growth in popularity.
“It’s just a testament to when you give women a platform, we’re going to perform,” Watkins said. “And I think that tonight was an excellent game. … It was just beautiful to be a part of. And I couldn’t imagine watching it — so, super exciting. And I think, as we continue to get games like this, we’ll always show up.”
The Trojans next play No. 20 Michigan at Galen Center on Dec. 29.
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