Washington, D.C
Early snowfall expected Saturday before shift to rain across DC region
DC snow forecast: First significant snowfall of season expected Saturday
A slushy mix of snow could be on the ground by Saturday afternoon as the Washington, D.C. area prepares for its first significant snowfall of the season.
BETHESDA, Md. (FOX 5 DC) – The FOX 5 Weather Team has been closely monitoring a winter storm that is expected to impact the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic on Saturday and Sunday.
With new data and projections coming in, what are our latest expectations? Let’s dive in!
As for timing, the latest projections are now leaning towards a faster overall storm. This means one that begins earlier on Saturday, as early as the middle morning hours, but one that wraps up faster as well.
Most projections show the storm leaving our region before the midnight hour on Saturday night.
This would leave Sunday as a cold and windy, but dry, day for any clean-up or digging out that parts of our region will have to do in its wake.
With the timing of the storm itself coming better into focus, the issue then becomes hammering out the details of what that means for the storm.
Typically, the coldest part of the day is just before dawn, while the warmest is in the middle of the afternoon. This means that the earlier the storm arrives, the more likely it is to start as wintry precipitation. We believe this will be the case with this storm.
D.C., Baltimore, and even parts of southern Maryland may see this system begin as snow or sleet as early as 9-10 a.m. on Saturday.
Most guidance shows a healthy pool of cold air in place during the morning hours. The key to snowfall totals is how fast this cold area will erode and retreat northward.
By the middle of the afternoon and progressing through the evening hours, as the storm system starts to intensify to our south, winds will pick up out of the south and east.
This is important because those winds will carry some southern and Atlantic “warmth” into the region. That typically happens above the surface first, causing snow to turn over to mix and sleet pellets, before changing over to all rain as the warm layer expands.
The question for us forecasters is how far north and west this rain/snow line will progress, and more recent trends have continued to push that line farther and farther west.
While western areas will still see higher snowfall totals because they are expected to stay snowing longer, a change over to mix at any point will reduce totals compared to pure snow.
READ MORE: DC snow forecast: Most significant snowfall in 2 years possible Saturday for parts of DC metro area
At this time, FOX 5 has not seen any weather models that show all the snow for D.C. and Baltimore. Expectations are that after a wintry start, it will change over to rain pretty quickly in the afternoon.
This change is not expected to come until the late afternoon and evening for those areas to the far northwest.
So what are our latest expectations?
While we do believe D.C. starts as snow and mix, and potentially could even see a little slushy accumulation during the morning and lunchtime hours mostly, we do favor a change over to an at times heavy, cold rain that will likely naturally wash away any accumulation received for the most part.
Mother Nature will likely do her plowing on this one in the immediate D.C. and Baltimore areas.
Once you get west of the I-95 corridor, we are expecting about 2-4″ of wet snow out closer to the highlands, with, of course, the most expected in the mountains west of the I-81 corridor.
For those areas out to the west. As you get up towards the elevation climb in northern Montgomery, Frederick, Carroll, and Fauquier counties — the question is not so much about whether you will see snow longer – but instead about how heavy that snow could be.
Light snow is picky. Ground temperatures have to be below freezing for it to stick, otherwise it simply melts on contact.
Heavier snow is much more tricky. Snow can pile up on just about any surface as long as the rate at which it is falling is faster than the rate at which the ground can melt it.
Whether or not a band of heavy, thumping snow will be present with this storm is something that weather computers have been struggling with over the last couple of days.
When news breaks, stream FOX 5 DC anytime. Get the FOX Local app on your smart TV.
The American model, seen above, has been the most aggressive with the snow coming down heavily for several hours early Saturday afternoon just north and west of D.C. before the eventual changeover to mix and rain.
What we would call a “boom” scenario shows 4-8″ as close as western Loudoun, Northern Fauquier and Montgomery counties, and Frederick and Carroll counties.
This will be a threat to monitor going forward.
On the other hand, the oftentimes more reliable European weather model shown above is considerably less impressive with snowfall rates. This leads to a little more ground melt occurring and keeps snowfall totals more suppressed before a faster changeover to mixing compared to its American counterpart.
The rate of initial snowfall and the speed of the changeover are the two keys that will lead to this storm being a boom or a bust in those western zones.
As for the rest of the Northeast, most models show that D.C. will not be the only major city to suffer the wrath of the dreaded rain/snow line. Other I-95 cities like Philadelphia, and New York City may miss out on some of the larger totals as eastern winds and mild air of the Atlantic lead to mixing. Cold air is expected to fight harder in the interior Northeast, however. Boston will likely get one of the better snowstorms of the past few winters out of this winter storm, while some interior parts of New England could see around a foot of snow.
Even around the Mid-Atlantic, local ski resorts in our mountains could do quite well with the coming storm.
Once we get beyond the weekend, is there anything else that we have our eyes on?
Well, the first major blizzard of 2024 could arrive early next week — just not in the D.C. region. The stronger storms usually have a better model agreement about a week in advance, and both the American and European models are in strong agreement of a major storm in the Midwest early next week, centered around next Tuesday.
It could be the first storm that gets widespread blizzard warnings, particularly in the Upper Midwest, so travelers next week be warned!
For the D.C. region, the center of this storm is expected to pass far to our west. Without a major block in place to force the storm onto the coastline, we are not talking about a blizzard threat here in the Mid-Atlantic region.
The storm could drag up so much warmth on its eastern flank that temperatures on Tuesday could approach 60°F on Tuesday afternoon and evening. However, the morning hours will need to be monitored. Cold air in place with a retreating high pressure to the north could lead to something known as “cold air damming,” which is where a northeast wind traps low-level cold air up against the Appalachian Mountains.
This could lead to some quick morning snow or ice that could make roadways slick for the morning commute, potentially impacting local schools.
It is something we will have our eyes on closely over the next week.
FOX 5 will continue to keep you up to date on these storms, and any more that happen to come our way this winter season.
Washington, D.C
Week Ahead in Washington: December 21
WASHINGTON (Gray DC) – With Congress in recess and President Donald Trump spending the holidays in Florida, attention has turned to the Epstein files and unresolved healthcare legislation.
The trove of documents partly released Friday has prompted some members of Congress to question whether the Department of Justice followed the law requiring their release, as many files were heavily redacted.
California Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna said Friday night he and Kentucky Republican Rep. Thomas Massie were considering drafting articles of impeachment against Attorney General Pam Bondi for not complying with the law the two authored earlier this year.
Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche said Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press” some photos were held back at the request of victim advocacy groups as the DOJ looks at whether they need redactions to protect the victims.
With Congress gone, there remains no solution on healthcare. Enhanced Affordable Care Act tax credits are set to expire at the end of 2025.
Despite enough lawmakers signing onto a discharge petition forcing a vote to extend the subsidies, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) sent the House home without holding a vote.
Johnson said the full House will vote on the bill when Congress returns to Washington in early January, after the subsidies have lapsed.
Federal workers will get some extra time off this week. Trump signed an executive order closing federal agencies and offices on both Dec. 24 and 26, in addition to Christmas Day.
Copyright 2025 Gray DC. All rights reserved.
Washington, D.C
Smith, Bowser respond to congressional panel accusing D.C. leaders of manipulating crime data
By Michael Kunzelman
Metropolitan Police Department Chief Pamela Smith and D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser are responding to allegations about the manipulation of crime data in the District.
A Republican-led congressional committee says that the police chief in the nation’s capital pressured subordinates to manipulate department data to artificially lower the city’s crime rates, according to a report by a Republican-led congressional committee.
The report, released Dec. 14 by the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, says that the police chief often threatened, punished and retaliated against police commanders who presented her with “spikes in crime.”
A separate investigation by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro’s office also found that a significant number of MPD reports had been misclassified to make crime rates appear lower than they are.
Pirro’s office began its investigation in August at the height of a political showdown between Republican President Donald Trump’s administration and the city over control of the police department. Trump claimed violent crime in Washington was getting worse as he ordered a federal takeover of the police department,
Neither investigation found grounds for charging anybody with a crime.
Smith, who is stepping down at the end of the year after two years in charge of the department, has said she doesn’t believe any crime numbers were manipulated during her tenure.
“I have never and will never authorize or even support any thought processes or activities with regards to crime numbers being manipulated,” she told Fox 5 during an interview earlier this month.
Mayor Bowser on Dec. 15 defended Smith’s performance and accused the House committee’s leaders of rushing to judgment “in order to serve a politically motivated timeline.”
“It is my expectation that the crime statistics we publish and rely on are accurate and of the highest quality possible,” Bowser, a Democrat, wrote in a letter addressed to the House committee’s chair and ranking member.
Homicides are down 31 percent this year, from 181 in 2024 to 125 with roughly two weeks left in 2025, according to MPD crime data. Bowser said independent data on hospital visits shows a 33 percent drop in firearm injuries for the first 10 months of 2025 compared to the same period of 2024. The mayor accused the committee of cherry-picking critical quotes from commanders without interviewing Smith or any assistant chiefs.
“Even a cursory review of the report reveals its prejudice: of the 22 block quotes presented as complaining about Chief Smith’s management style, 20 of them were made by only two command officials interviewed,” Bowser wrote.
The House committee said its findings are based in part on interviews with the commanders of all seven D.C. patrol districts and a former commander who is currently on leave. Commanders testified that Smith pushed for a more frequent use of “intermediate” criminal charges that go unreported as opposed to more serious charges that must be publicly reported, according to the committee.
“These combined efforts, as explained by commanders, amounted to manipulating MPD crime statistics in an effort to show lowered rates of crime to the public,” the report says.
Pirro, who was appointed by Trump, said her office reviewed nearly 6,000 police reports and interviewed more than 50 witnesses in concluding that a “significant number of reports had been misclassified, making crime appear artificially lower than it was.”
“The uncovering of these manipulated crime statistics makes clear that President Trump has reduced crime even more than originally thought, since crimes were actually higher than reported,” Pirro’s statement says.
The committee’s Republican chairman, Rep. James Comer of Kentucky, said Smith “cultivated a culture of fear to achieve her agenda.”
This article was originally published by The Associated Press.
Washington, D.C
Available to download Friday, some Epstein files no longer there Saturday afternoon
The Robert F. Kennedy Department of Justice Building on Dec. 19, 2025 in Washington, DC.
Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
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Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
The Department of Justice started releasing files related to the life, death and criminal investigations of convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein Friday. Files continued to be posted on its “Epstein Library” website on Saturday.
But NPR identified more than a dozen files released by the DOJ on Friday that are no longer available Saturday afternoon, including one that shows President Trump’s photo on a desk among several other photographs. The removed files also show various works of art, including those containing nudity.
On its website, the Justice Department directs people to report any files that should not have been posted by notifying the agency using a dedicated email address. A statement at the top of each page of the website said: “In view of the Congressional deadline, all reasonable efforts have been made to review and redact personal information pertaining to victims, other private individuals, and protect sensitive materials from disclosure.”
The DOJ acknowledged, though, “because of the volume of information involved, this website may nevertheless contain information that inadvertently includes non-public personally identifiable information or other sensitive content, to include matters of a sexual nature.”
The DOJ did not immediately respond to a request for comment on why the files were no longer available.
This photo illustration taken in Washington, DC, on Dec. 19, 2025 shows a court document after the Justice Department began releasing the long-awaited records from the investigation into the politically explosive case of convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images
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Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images
After the initial release of files, some members of Congress raised concerns about what was missing from the data sets.
“There are powerful men, bankers, politicians who we know from survivors – they’ve told us this — who were at these parties where there were many young women, and a few were under age, and these powerful men knew about it, and they didn’t say anything,” Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., told NPR. They need to be at least publicly held accountable.”
Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., who cosponsored the Epstein Transparency Act in the House along with Khanna, criticized the redactions.
Posting on X, he said the release “grossly fails to comply with both the spirit and the letter of the law.” He also warned “a future DOJ could convict the current [Attorney General] and others” for not properly releasing all files the law mandated be made public.
Apart from the photo that is no longer available to download, Trump’s name and image appears rarely in the new documents available. There are a few pictures of him with women and a framed photo of Epstein and a redacted woman with a $22,500 oversized check signed by Trump.
While Trump wasn’t mentioned much this time around, he was a frequent subject of emails and text messages in another Epstein file tranche released by the House Democratic Oversight Committee — with well over a thousand different mentions — though mainly as the subject of Epstein’s near-obsession with his presidency, as the latter positioned himself as a Trump whisperer of sorts to his powerful associates.
NPR’s Rahul Mukherjee and Stephen Fowler contributed reporting.
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