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Election 2024: Polls show DC, Maryland, Virginia leaning left

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Election 2024: Polls show DC, Maryland, Virginia leaning left


With just one week left until the election, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are making their final bids to voters who will be heading to the polls on Nov. 5. 

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Harris is held a rally at the Ellipse in Washington, D.C. Tuesday night, where she made her “closing argument,” urging the nation to “turn the page” toward a new era and away from Trump. 

Trump, meanwhile, delivered remarks to the press at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach Tuesday morning before heading to Pennsylvania for a “Building America’s Future” community roundtable in Drexel Hill and an evening rally in Allentown. He held his own closing argument rally at Madison Square Garden on Sunday.

The two candidates remain locked in a razor-thin race. Harris continues to have an edge in national polls, according to 270toWin. Their average of 14 recent national polls shows Harris with a narrow 0.9% lead over Trump (48.1% to 47.2%). 

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Polls also show Trump just slightly ahead in some swing states that could decide the election. All the polls are extremely close and within the margin of error. 

While there are some close races here in the DMV, many are leaning left — something that’s not new for us. Here’s a look at polling data in some of the key races in our area. 

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D.C. polling

D.C. has always skewed heavily blue. The District has consistently voted Democratic in every presidential election since gaining its three electoral votes through the ratification of the 23rd Amendment in 1961. No Republican has ever won an electoral vote. 

In the 2020 election, Joe Biden received about 17 votes for each one vote for Donald Trump, according to 270toWin and in the 2024 primaries, Biden overwhelmingly saw more support from Democrats than Trump saw from Republicans. 

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Nikki Haley won the Republican primary in the District with 63% of the vote compared to Trump’s 33%, showing that even D.C.’s conservatives may be turning away from the MAGA ideology. 

Early voting got underway in D.C. Monday so there’s not much data on which way ballots are being cast but the bellwether indicates that the District will once again swing solidly Democratic and that all three electoral votes will go to Harris. 

Maryland polling

Maryland is clearly leaning Democratic as well. The latest aggregate poll data from RealClearPolitics puts Harris above Trump by nearly 30 percentage points in the state, 62.2% to 33%. 

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A Washington Post-University of Maryland Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement survey conducted between Oct. 17-22 showed similar results, with Harris polling at 61% while Trump was at 33%. 

According to NBC’s early voting dashboard, more than 1 million early voting ballots have been cast in Maryland, 60% of those by registered Democrats, 25% by registered Republicans and 10% by independents. 

The same Post-UMD poll showed Democratic leanings in another key Maryland race: Alsobrooks vs. Hogan. 

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Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks and former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan are facing off for the state’s open Senate seat. 

It’s a race that has garnered national attention as it could be key in determining which political party will lead the U.S. Senate for the next four years. 

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The survey shows Alsobrooks maintaining a clear lead over Hogan by 12% (52% to 40%). The unusually competitive race has already drawn in at least $84.6 million dollars in combined contributions, according to a Washington Post report from October.

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Virginia polling

Virginia is the biggest toss-up in the DMV. While it’s not a battleground state, it is a swing state, frequently alternating between Democratic and Republican control. 

With 13 electoral college votes, it’s still a key state in any presidential election. 

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For more than three decades, starting with Nixon, Virginia went to the Republican candidate. But that flipped in 2008 with the election of Barack Obama and it has held Democratic since then. 

Right now, RealClearPolitics puts Harris ahead of Trump in the Commonwealth, 49.8% to 44%. RCP averaged five polls conducted from early September to October.

According to a Washington Post-Schar School poll, Harris holds a six-point edge over Trump among likely voters in Virginia. 

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An ActiVote poll shows a wider margin between the two candidates with Harris leading former Trump by 8.2%. The poll was among 400 likely voters, has an average expected error of 4.9%. 

Early voting data from NBC also shows strong Democratic turnout in Virginia. More than 1.6 million ballots have been cast in the state – 52% by Democrats, 38% by Republicans and 10% by independents. 

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There are several key congressional races in Virginia as well. 

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Democratic incumbent Tim Kaine is faceting Republican challenger Hung Cao for the senate seat. The Washington Post-Schar survey shows that Kaine has a comfortable lead over Cao, 54% to 41%. 

According to the poll, nearly all Harris supporters said they would be voting for Kaine. About 9 in 10 Trump supporters said they are voting for Cao.



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Patchwork 250: Share your community’s unique history for Virginia’s 250th anniversary

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Patchwork 250: Share your community’s unique history for Virginia’s 250th anniversary


We’re highlighting the many threads that make Virginia so special

As we approach the 250th anniversary of the United States and Virginia, we’re embarking on a journey to celebrate the rich history of the place we call home. (WSLS 10)

Virginia is filled with so much history just waiting to be explored. As we mark the 250th anniversary of the United States and Virginia, we’re celebrating this milestone with a new series: Patchwork 250.

The series will highlight the many threads that make Virginia so special and celebrate every patch (whether that’s a remarkable person, an unforgettable location or a memorable event).

As this new initiative gets underway, we’d love to hear from you. Share your favorite pieces of history and be a part of Virginia’s ongoing story.

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Using Pin It or the form below, let us know: what’s a unique piece of history from your community that you think more people should know about?

Click here for more details.




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Fatal motorcycle-pickup collision shuts northbound S. Virginia Street Thursday evening

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Fatal motorcycle-pickup collision shuts northbound S. Virginia Street Thursday evening


A fatal collision between a motorcycle and a pickup truck on Thursday evening has claimed a life and prompted a significant road closure in South Reno.

The Nevada Highway Patrol (NHP) responded to reports of the crash at approximately 5:29 p.m. on February 26. The incident occurred on northbound South Virginia Street, just north of Damonte Ranch Parkway.

According to the Nevada State Police, the rider of the motorcycle, an adult male, was pronounced dead at the scene by emergency medical personnel. The driver of the pickup truck remained on-site, though no further details regarding other injuries or the cause of the crash have been released. Northbound South Virginia Street: Completely shut down from Damonte Ranch Parkway to Bishop Manogue Drive.

Southbound South Virginia Street: Open, but expect “rubbernecking” delays as drivers pass the emergency vehicles. Officials expect the northbound lanes to remain closed until at least 11:30 p.m. as the NHP Highway Patrol Division completes their investigation.

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York County’s Commonwealth Attorney, United Way of the Virginia Peninsula Partner to Establish The Guardian Network | Williamsburg Yorktown Daily

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York County’s Commonwealth Attorney, United Way of the Virginia Peninsula Partner to Establish The Guardian Network | Williamsburg Yorktown Daily


A new effort is being led by Commonwealth Attorney Krystyn Reid, with support from Sen. Danny Diggs to help missing persons. (Ron Lach/Pexels.com)

HAMPTON ROADS— A proposed initiative known as The Guardian Network seeks to strengthen coordination and public access to verified information when children, seniors, and vulnerable adults go missing in Virginia.

The effort is being led by Commonwealth Attorney Krystyn Reid, with support from Sen. Danny Diggs through a budget amendment to SB30. If the amendment passes, development would move forward through the Virginia State Police.

Reid said the idea grew from her years of public service.

“The difference between politics and public service is simple,” Reid said. “One is what you say. The other is what you do.”

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Reid began her career representing domestic violence survivors and said she witnessed firsthand how quickly families can be thrown into crisis.

“When someone does not make it home, that is a family’s worst moment,” Reid said. “The Guardian Network comes from a belief that we can strengthen coordination in those first critical hours and better protect vulnerable communities.”

The network is designed to complement existing alert systems such as AMBER, Silver, Ashanti and CODI alerts. Participation would be voluntary for both families and the public.

“It does not replace them. It reinforces them,” Reid said. “What we lack is one centralized, accessible place to see verified information. This is about coordination and clarity.”

Currently, information can be fragmented, she said, making it harder for families and communities to respond effectively.

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“Families in crisis should not have to search multiple platforms,” Reid said. “Public safety requires structure. Our response should be organized and accessible.”

The United Way of the Virginia Peninsula has expressed support for the initiative, citing its alignment with the organization’s mission to improve lives by advancing education, financial stability and health.

“Children are the highest age demographic experiencing eviction and homelessness, which creates unique vulnerabilities including separation, exploitation and trafficking,” said Charvalla West of United Way of the Virginia Peninsula. “Seniors face increasing isolation, housing instability and caregiver strain in what many describe as the ‘Silver Tsunami’ of a rapidly aging population.”

She said the organization supports The Guardian Network because it strengthens coordination during the most critical moments when vulnerable individuals go missing.

“The Guardian Network aligns directly with our work to stabilize families and protect vulnerable communities,” West said. “When vulnerabilities are reduced, safety increases.”

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United Way collaborates with certified partner agencies across the Virginia Peninsula that focus on homelessness prevention, youth development, domestic violence response, aging services and housing repair. Those organizations would continue serving in their core roles, providing safe housing, trauma-informed care, mentorship, caregiver support and case management, while the network enhances coordination and awareness.

“The Guardian Network enhances coordination and awareness, while nonprofits provide the direct relational support that protects individuals before, during and after crisis events,” West said.

The concept also includes a second phase of development that would establish a standing advisory committee composed of survivors, impacted family members, nonprofit leaders, victim advocates and public safety professionals. A third phase would focus on identifying and allocating resources to support coordinated response efforts in collaboration with law enforcement, including ensuring necessary logistical supplies are available during active situations.

The immediate focus is Virginia. If successful, supporters say the model could be scalable to other states seeking to strengthen coordination in missing-person cases.

Reid said the goal is clear.

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“A stronger safety net. Better coordination. And helping bring loved ones home,” she said. “Everyone deserves to come home.”



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