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Valero Texas Open Live Odds and Prediction: Will Anyone Catch Brian Harman?

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Valero Texas Open Live Odds and Prediction: Will Anyone Catch Brian Harman?


We haven’t heard from Brian Harman much since he blew away the field in his improbable win at the 2023 Open Championship, but the 38-year-old finds himself with a commanding lead heading into the final round of this week’s Valero Texas Open.

At 12-under-par, he’s three strokes ahead of Andrew Novak and second place, four strokes ahead of Tom Hoge in solo third, and five strokes in front of Keith Mitchell in solo fourth. Can anyone catch him on Sunday? Let’s take a look at the live odds heading into the final round, and then I’ll break down who I’m betting on.

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

At -175 odds, Harman has an implied probability of winning of 63.64%.

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I do agree Brian Harman has a better than 50% chance of winning this event, but I disagree with his odds. I think -175 (63.64%) is too steep considering how volatile this course has been this week.

Instead, I think there’s value on the golfer sitting in solo second, Andrew Novak.

If I’m going to target a golfer to storm a comeback in the final round, we’re going to need a guy who can rack up plenty of birdies, which typically leads me to look at a golfer with strong approach numbers. Novak is that guy. He gained +1.53 strokes on the field with his irons in Round 1 and then +2.15 strokes with his approach in Round 3, the best amongst all golfers in contention.

He lost strokes in the second round, so his tournament-long approach numbers aren’t quite as high as you’d expect, but considering he has put together two phenomenal rounds with his ball striking, including his best on Saturday, he will be in a great position just three strokes back from Harman.

Pick: Andrew Novak +450 (via FanDuel)

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

You can check out all of Iain’s bets here!



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National Democrats aim to flip 12 Texas House seats under newly expanded target list

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National Democrats aim to flip 12 Texas House seats under newly expanded target list


KEYE TV CBS Austin is the news, sports and weather leader for the Texas Capitol Region, covering events in the surrounding area including Round Rock Pflugerville, Georgetown, Belton, Killeen, Taylor, Lakeway, Buda, Kyle, San Marcos, Wyldwood, Bastrop, Elgin, Bartlett, Jarrell, Bertram, Burnet and Salado.



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3 things to watch as Texas, Texas Tech begin Women's College World Series Final

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3 things to watch as Texas, Texas Tech begin Women's College World Series Final


It’s a rematch between Lone Star State powers in the 2026 Women’s College World Series Final.
No. 1 seed Texas (51-12, 16-8 in SEC play) and No. 3 seed Texas Tech (61-8, 21-3 in the Big 12) begin their three-game series at 8 p.m. ET Wednesday in Oklahoma City. Each



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Brazoria County deputy shoots, kills Texas State University student after car chase, report says

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Brazoria County deputy shoots, kills Texas State University student after car chase, report says


BRAZORIA COUNTY, Texas – A Texas State University student was shot and killed by a Brazoria County Sheriff’s deputy early Monday morning after an attempted traffic stop in Lake Jackson.

The news was first reported by The University Star, Texas State’s student-run newspaper.

In a Tuesday statement to KSAT, the university identified the student as John Gabriel Mendoza Jr., 18. He was a freshman who studied management, according to the school.

“We extend our heartfelt condolences to his family, friends, classmates, and all those affected by this tragedy,” the university said in its statement.

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Deputies attempted a traffic stop on a vehicle just after midnight Monday near Farm-to-Market 2004 and This Way Street in Lake Jackson, the sheriff’s office said.

The driver of the vehicle, who was identified as Mendoza by The University Star, did not stop, deputies said. The deputies then chased after the vehicle for approximately a mile into a neighborhood located in the 100 block of Indian Warrior Trail.

According to the sheriff’s office, the driver went inside a home’s garage and parked before a deputy approached the vehicle, the release said.

The deputy then pulled out his firearm and shot into the vehicle. The sheriff’s office said the gunfire struck the driver.

The University Star reported that Mendoza was the one shot. He was taken to a hospital, where he was later pronounced dead.

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The deputy who pulled the trigger has since been placed on administrative leave in accordance with the Brazoria County Sheriff’s Office policy.

KSAT reached out to the Lake Jackson Police Department and the Brazoria County Sheriff’s Office for more information, but neither agency has responded at this time.

The shooting investigation is being led by the Texas Rangers, according to a Brazoria County Sheriff’s Office news release.

This is a developing story. Check back for updates.


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