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Valero Texas Open Live Odds and Prediction: Will Anyone Catch Brian Harman?

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Valero Texas Open Live Odds and Prediction: Will Anyone Catch Brian Harman?


We haven’t heard from Brian Harman much since he blew away the field in his improbable win at the 2023 Open Championship, but the 38-year-old finds himself with a commanding lead heading into the final round of this week’s Valero Texas Open.

At 12-under-par, he’s three strokes ahead of Andrew Novak and second place, four strokes ahead of Tom Hoge in solo third, and five strokes in front of Keith Mitchell in solo fourth. Can anyone catch him on Sunday? Let’s take a look at the live odds heading into the final round, and then I’ll break down who I’m betting on.

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

At -175 odds, Harman has an implied probability of winning of 63.64%.

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I do agree Brian Harman has a better than 50% chance of winning this event, but I disagree with his odds. I think -175 (63.64%) is too steep considering how volatile this course has been this week.

Instead, I think there’s value on the golfer sitting in solo second, Andrew Novak.

If I’m going to target a golfer to storm a comeback in the final round, we’re going to need a guy who can rack up plenty of birdies, which typically leads me to look at a golfer with strong approach numbers. Novak is that guy. He gained +1.53 strokes on the field with his irons in Round 1 and then +2.15 strokes with his approach in Round 3, the best amongst all golfers in contention.

He lost strokes in the second round, so his tournament-long approach numbers aren’t quite as high as you’d expect, but considering he has put together two phenomenal rounds with his ball striking, including his best on Saturday, he will be in a great position just three strokes back from Harman.

Pick: Andrew Novak +450 (via FanDuel)

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

You can check out all of Iain’s bets here!



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Texas Coach Jim Schlossnagle Details Emotional First Matchup Against Former Texas A&M Squad

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Texas Coach Jim Schlossnagle Details Emotional First Matchup Against Former Texas A&M Squad



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Jim Schlossnagle (Photo by Eddie Kelly/ ProLook Photos)

Nearly every major moment in Friday night’s clash between No. 1 Texas and Texas A&M unfolded in plain view.

Sophomore right fielder Tommy Farmer’s first-career home run in the seventh inning proved decisive in a 2-1 Longhorns win. Junior righthander Ruger Riojas delivered 5.2 shutout frames in his first Friday night start, an effort he later called one of the best of his season.

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There was Riojas’ inning-ending double play in the fourth, costly defensive miscues from both sides in the seventh and eighth and a string of five consecutive strikeouts from freshman closer Dylan Volantis to slam the door.

Yet, the moment that may define the weekend was almost imperceptible.

If you were watching on TV, you missed it. If you were in the stands, you likely did, too. Before Texas A&M junior center fielder Jace LaViolette dug in for his first at-bat, he cast a glance toward the Texas dugout and nodded, locking eyes with his former head coach, Jim Schlossnagle.

It was a silent acknowledgement, a quietly-set tone for a weekend unlike any other between two programs that have never been so intertwined.

Schlossnagle, a veteran skipper now onto the fourth stop of his illustrious head coaching career, did little to try to hide that much.

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“I’m full of emotion,” Schlossnagle said. “I [have] to coach the team, and I can coach the team in the moment. But when you’re sitting there and Jace walks over in his first at-bat and we make eye contact or Caden (Sorrell)—I care deeply about those guys. I had to make a professional choice. It had nothing to do with the players there or the players here … You coach the game without the emotion, but my heart was racing.”

That emotion wasn’t contained to Schlossnagle’s corner of the dugout. It threaded through the ballpark in a low, constant current beneath every pitch and every swing. From the stands, it was palpable. Not overtly hostile, but unmistakably personal—a rivalry reborn as familiarity.

On the field, the game carried the same charge. Riojas, a converted bullpen arm pressed into starting duty, fought through an Aggies lineup Schlossnagle praised for its toughness and potential for “changing the game with one swing.” They were qualities he had helped cultivate, now turned against him.

Success, after all, has rarely strayed far from Schlossnagle’s wake.

Across 22 full seasons as a head coach, his teams have reached the NCAA Tournament 19 times and the College World Series seven times, finishing once as national runner-up. He has rebuilt programs from the ground up and sharpened already formidable ones.

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The pattern is repeating itself with startling efficiency at Texas.

The Longhorns, despite a rash of midseason injuries, have remained firm atop the college baseball world. Their magic number to secure at least a share of the SEC regular season title is already down to seven with three full weekends left to play. Earlier this week, they became just the third team to hold the No. 1 spot in Baseball America’s Top 25 rankings for consecutive weeks this season. As of April 26, they lead the nation with 14 Quadrant 1 wins, a critical mark as they push for the NCAA Tournament’s top seed.

They’ve done it with a masterful blend of instant-impact transfers, precocious freshmen and proven returners, all cultivated by one of the strongest coaching staffs in the country.

On Friday night, though, the tangled web of Schlossnagle’s past and present was impossible to ignore.

The pitchers he once recruited faced the hitters he vetted. The coaches he once hired stood in both dugouts, Texas A&M head coach Michael Earley among them. Every pitch, every at-bat, seemed layered with a deeper meaning, a collision of old loyalties and new ambitions.

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It made for a night thick with unspoken acknowledgments, silent challenges and shared history.

“It’s OK for the fans to make this bigger than an SEC three-game series, but it’s not OK for us to do it,” Schlossnagle said. “We just have to keep plugging and adding wins when we can get them to put ourselves in a position to play beyond the SEC tournament.”

And yet, for all the pragmatism, the emotions still bled through the cracks.

During a quiet moment while a drone show painted the sky, Schlossnagle caught himself again, this time tipping his cap, quietly, to Texas A&M ace Ryan Prager, the lefthander who “pitched our club to the College World Series last year.”

He could—and did—coach the moment. But he also couldn’t outrun it.

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“It’s awesome to get the win,” Schlossnagle said before a long pause that left a silence only filled by the tapping of his clipboard against his leg. “I’m just glad it’s over with. Tomorrow should be a little bit easier. We’re not playing an easier team. Just personally. For me.”



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Sunshine to return to North Texas after cloudy Friday morning

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Sunshine to return to North Texas after cloudy Friday morning



Sunshine to return to North Texas after cloudy Friday morning – CBS Texas

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Authorities working fatal crash on SH 36 near Temple, Texas

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Authorities working fatal crash on SH 36 near Temple, Texas


WACO, Texas (KWTX) – The Bell County Sheriff’s Office is helping work a major crash on State Highway 36 west of Temple.

Texas DPS Sergeant Bryan Washko said DPS is enroute to the area on reports of a fatal crash just north of the long bridge at SH 36.

Authorities say the roadway is closed in both directions.

Vehicles heading westbound are being turned around at the long bridge over Lake Belton.

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Residents are asked to avoid the area at this time.



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