Texas
Texas: The Issue Is – Strong showing expected from Republicans in Texas midterm elections, polls show

Texas: The Difficulty Is: Breaking down the midterm elections
Rice College political analyst and pollster Mark Jones answered questions on what he expects from this yr’s midterm elections in Texas
Early voting begins Monday for this November’s midterm election. For this week’s version of Texas: The Difficulty Is, FOX 4’s Steven Dial, FOX 26’s Greg Groogan and FOX 7’s Rudy Koski questioned Rice College political analyst and pollster Mark Jones about what to anticipate from this yr’s election.
Texas Governor’s Race
Polls in latest weeks have proven Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke struggling to shut the hole with Gov. Greg Abbott. A latest ballot from College of Texas – Texas Politics Mission reveals Abbott with an 11-point lead, over O’Rourke amongst doubtless voters within the 2022 election.
READ MORE: Texas governor ballot: Gov. Abbott extending his lead over Beto O’Rourke as election day approaches
“Beto’s been down by about 6 to 10 factors, relying on the way you calculate turnout and vote intention,” mentioned Jones. “He hasn’t been in a position to slender the hole and as we get nearer to election day I feel we’re one other Greg Abbott victory and Beto O’Rourke defeat. The one actual query that continues to be is: does he lose by 5 or 6 factors or 10 or 12 factors.”
When questioned in regards to the accuracy of polling, and the potential for a November shock Jones caught to his weapons.
“I feel we now have sufficient polls displaying us the identical factor, that’s Greg Abbott profitable by a big sufficient margin that he should have no issues,” he mentioned. “As you get down poll, that turns into rather more of a partisan vote, and we all know in Texas the Republicans begin off with a 6, to eight, to 10 level benefit, and proper now I do not see any indication that any of these down poll Republicans, at the very least within the statewide races, are going to lose.”
Voter Turnout
Jones says he’s anticipating to see many citizens on the polls for early voting.
“Early voting has been on the rise for the previous couple of election cycles. In 2020, near 90% of Texans voted early, and I feel we’re prone to see one thing like that once more,” he mentioned. “I might count on we’re going to have file turnout for a midterm; someplace round 10 million, however we most likely aren’t going to rise up to the degrees that we had in 2020, which had been round 11 million.”
Jones says he doesn’t consider the Supreme Court docket’s abortion determination or the taking pictures in Uvalde will prove a major variety of new voters.
“The individuals who regularly vote in presidential elections and in midterms, they’re enthused, and they’re going to be turning out.” mentioned Jones. “The trick for Democrats can be: can they get Era Z, the youthful voters to prove? The extra these youthful voters turnout, the higher Democrats are going to do.”
Jones additionally raised some considerations {that a} give attention to the Latino vote by Democrats, may open the door for African Individuals voters to go crimson.
“Carroll Robinson, a professor at Texas Southern College made that time through the Texas Democratic Social gathering Conference that ‘Texas Democrats take African American voters with no consideration at their peril,” Jones mentioned.
Texas: The Difficulty Is – An important points within the midterm elections
Rice College political analyst and pollster Mark Jones breaks down the impression that subjects just like the border and abortion could have on Texas voters through the midterm elections.
Prime Points for Voters
Polls have proven the security and safety of the Texas-Mexico border is the highest situation for Texans going into the midterms.
READ MORE: Texas governor ballot: Abbott leads O’Rourke, border high situation for voters
“Immigration is an important situation right here for 2 principal causes: first, there is no such thing as a different situation, apart from possibly crime and public security, that mobilizes Republicans extra to prove to vote, however it is usually a kind of uncommon points that mobilizes the Republican base, however can also be in style with middle-of-the-road voters,” Jones mentioned. “Abortion, whereas an necessary situation for a phase of the inhabitants, notably youthful Democrats and Democratic girls, it has not develop into the large-scale kind of situation that mobilizes giant numbers of individuals.”
“The extra that immigration and border safety and the Biden administration’s issues with border safety are within the information, the higher it’s for Texas Republicans,” he added.
INTERVIEWS WITH THE CANDIDATES
Texas Legal professional Basic Race
Polls have proven that Rochelle Garza could possibly be the very best likelihood for Democrats to win a big statewide race this election season.
“That is primarily based nearly solely on Ken Paxton’s weak spot as a candidate. There is a purpose why Republican elites went after him within the Republican main. Because of his authorized troubles, his marital troubles, moral troubles,” Jones mentioned. “The issue for Garza is she has raised nearly no cash, she’s solely [raised] a bit of over $2 million. To have an opportunity at victory she actually wanted to be up within the $10 million to $12 million vary.”
Jones says the cash may have been used to coach Texas voters about who she is and put a give attention to Paxton’s points.
“The much less individuals find out about Ken Paxton as an individual, the extra doubtless they’re to easily vote the get together ticket once they go to vote this fall,” mentioned Jones. “I might count on him to win by the smallest margin of any of the Republicans.”
Texas Lieutenant Governor Race
The Texas Lieutenant Governor race has been an fascinating one. Outgoing Tarrant County Decide Glen Whitley, Amarillo state Senator Kel Seliger, Corsicana state Rep. Byron Cook dinner and Rep. Bennett Ratliff of Plano, all Republicans, endorsed Democrat Mike Collier over incumbent Dan Patrick.
Jones says he doesn’t consider the endorsements could have a big impression on the race.
“Once we have a look at the polls solely about 3-4% of Texas Republicans say they’re going to vote for Mike Collier, and the same variety of Democrats say they’re going to vote for Dan Patrick,” mentioned Jones.

Texas
Texas flooding: Additional rain dampens search efforts in Hill Country

KERR COUNTY, Texas – As rescue teams continue their search for flood victims, a flash flood watch has been issued in the Texas Hill Country, making an already difficult task that much harder.
More rain slows search in Central Texas

HUNT, TEXAS – JULY 6: Search and rescue workers dig through debris looking for any survivors or remains of people swept up in the flash flooding on July 6, 2025 in Hunt, Texas. Heavy rainfall caused flooding along the Guadalupe River in central Texas
Rainfall rates could exceed 2 inches per hour throughout the day. The ground is already saturated.
This has forced many search groups to temporarily halt the search for some 97 people – a drop from the 161 reported last week. As of Tuesday morning, the death toll has reached 133. Kerr County was hit the hardest, with more than 100 bodies recovered there so far.
FOX 4 meteorologist Ali Turiano walked us through the unusually wet forecast in Central Texas. She says this very active weather pattern is not something we typically see this time of year.
What they’re saying:
“We’re wedged in between two ridges of high pressure, and we’ve had this continuous moisture flow coming in from the southwest.”
With those conditions came several additional inches of rain to parts of the Texas Hill Country that had already been devastated by deadly flash flooding on Independence Day.
“The ground will soak up maybe an inch or two of rain, and the rest is just runoff. So at this point, anything they’re dealing with – any showers or storms moving through – it’s going to be runoff,” Ali said.
Ali says July is typically a dry month.
“The longer it takes for us to get to your typical summer pattern, the more likely we will continue to have rain chances.”
But despite the weather set back, Gov. Greg Abbott says volunteers and fire responders are determined to see their mission through.
Abbott specifically praised the Kerr County Sheriff, who he says has shown incredible strength and leadership during this difficult time.
Ali says that in the 11 years she’s worked here in Texas, she has never seen a summer weather pattern like this.
What’s next:
The encouraging news is, weather conditions in the Texas Hill Country will continue to improve after today, which should help the search efforts.
But with the rain moving out, Ali says higher temperatures and humidity will move in.
How to help Texas flooding victims
What you can do:
Many businesses and organizations are providing resources for those impacted by the flooding. FOX has collected a list of ways those affected can receive help, and what others can do to assist them. Take a look at the resource list here.
Read more:
The Source: Information in this report came from FOX 4 meteorologist Ali Turiano and previous coverage.
Texas
Search for missing in Texas flooding could take 6 months, sheriff says

KERR COUNTY, Texas – Heavy rain put search efforts on pause as crews continue to look for dozens of people who went missing after floods on Fourth of July weekend.
Some officials say they believe the search will last for months.
Kerr County searches

KERRVILLE, TEXAS – JULY 14: Search and rescue operations are performed in the Guadalupe River on July 14, 2025 in Kerrville, Texas. More than 160 people are still missing after storm cells halted over the area, dumping nearly 15 inches of rain and ca
By the numbers:
In Kerr County, the hardest hit area, state officials are still looking for 97 people.
The Kerr County sheriff said on Monday he believes it could take as long as six months to find some of the missing.
What they’re saying:
Sometimes recovering a body is just the beginning.
Gov. Greg Abbott says once a body is recovered it can take several days to identify.
“Sometimes it does require using DNA testing to identify who they are and identify who their family is,” he said on Monday.
Rainy weekend slows search efforts

Texas flooding death toll rises with recovery efforts
Gov. Greg Abbott gave an update today on the recovery efforts in Central Texas, saying there are now 131 people confirmed dead across the state. He shared those details after touring more areas impacted by flooding this weekend.
Search efforts were put on pause starting on Sunday because of rain and water coming down the Guadalupe River.
What they’re saying:
Texas Department of Emergency Management Chief Nim Kidd said the rainfall could make the situation dangerous for search crews.
“We cannot afford to have people in that water and right next to the water that are not swift rescue trained and capable of at least saving themselves from being near that water because of the amount of rainfall that we’re getting,” he said.
Help for those affected
The Texas Division of Emergency Management says 13,000 volunteers are assisting with flood-related recovery.
TDEM is establishing volunteer reception centers to match capabilities and skills with what the communities need.
What they’re saying:
Daniel Olivas is one of several Kerrville residents who had their homes significantly damaged in the floods.
On Sunday, he says dozens of volunteer “angels” came to his home to help.
“We had up to 30 people on Sunday,” Oliveras said.
Others say volunteer help is needed now, more than ever.
“It’s really emotional. It’s been a blessing. God has watched over us for this whole ordeal and I cannot express how much I appreciate everything that they have done for us,” said Colleen Lucas.
Kerrville extends disaster declaration
Local perspective:
On Monday, Kerrville City Council voted to indefinitely extend the mayor’s disaster declaration.
City officials have faced questions about what some believe was a lack of preparedness.
At Monday’s meeting, Councilwoman Brenda Hughes called for extra security, claiming “targeted threats” were being made to city staff.
What they’re saying:
The city is asking people to stop donating physical items.
“No more donations. We are at capacity, we appreciate all of the donations but we literally just don’t have the time, space and people to manage it,” said Councilwoman Delayne Sigerman.
The Source: Information in this article comes from Monday’s Kerrville City Council meeting, a news conference held by Governor Greg Abbott and interviews with Kerr County residents.
Texas
Volunteers rally to rebuild flood-damaged Texas camp serving children with disabilities

Since the tragic floods in Central Texas, hundreds of volunteers have made their way to Kerr County to help with the flood aftermath. But for many, the Hill Country flood aftermath is hard to process.
“It’s the kids’ shoes. Every time I see one, it pulls at your heartstrings,” said Jared Ronning, who came to Kerrville from Orange, Texas. “Yesterday, I found a baby purple Croc and, like, a baby life jacket next to it, and you don’t know until you look.”
Ronning is one of hundreds of volunteers who have inundated Kerr County to help with flood clean-up. Ronning found out the Children’s Association for Maximum Potential, also known as Camp CAMP, needed help rebuilding. The camp serves children with disabilities.
“It’s easy to sit and look at your phone and think, ‘man that’s sad.’ It’s a lot harder to put it down and come out here,” Ronning said. “I feel like if I was able to help, I might as well anyway I could. I know there are a lot of families going through a lot worse than I am.”
Approximately 6-8 acres of land at Camp CAMP were damaged. On Saturday, the Texas Division of Emergency Management began requiring volunteers to register to better coordinate efforts.
“Compared to the losses at some other camps, and what communities have faced, we’re blessed because our campers weren’t here when the flooding event happened,” said Brandon Briery, the chief operating officer. “The flooding, the debris, has just completely changed the landscape of this.”
Briery said many families who attend the camp were worried it would close for the remainder of the summer because of the damage at the grounds and in the county.
“We have been inundated with calls from camper families saying, ‘When are you going to reopen? We want to make sure we get to come,’” Briery said.
He added that the camp has received criticism for trying to reopen too soon.
“For our campers and families who don’t have opportunities to go to camp anywhere else, because of the severity of their disabilities or their illnesses, for the families to be able to get a break from caregiving,” said Briery. “Because of the special nature of who we serve and the limited opportunities that they have to have this type of experience, when we look at all of the needs, there’s no way we could keep from opening.”
The camp hoped to reopen its doors Sunday, but because of another flash flood warning in the area, they pushed it back until Monday. While Briery said he understands the concerns of the community, it’s a moment of normalcy for their families, a moment to recover and rebuild together.
“There is also hope, that hope that tomorrow can be better because there are people who are willing to come together to make things like this happen,” he said.
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