Tennessee
Why winning SEC Tournament does (and doesn’t) matter to Tennessee basketball
More than a trophy is at stake when the Tennessee basketball team takes the floor at the SEC Tournament in Nashville this week. A No. 1 seed could be on the line for the Vols (24-7).
Some bracket experts are projecting Tennessee as a No. 1 seed for the NCAA Tournament, but such outlooks are subject to fluctuation. If the Vols bow out early in the conference tournament, they could surrender the inside track to a top seed. If they cut down the nets Sunday in Nashville, that likely would cement a No. 1 seed for Tennessee.
But, to what extent does that even matter?
On this edition of “The Volunteer State,” Blake Toppmeyer of the USA TODAY Network and the News Sentinel’s Mike Wilson discuss the importance (or lack thereof) of the SEC Tournament for Tennessee.
Here’s why this event does and doesn’t matter to the Vols.
Why the SEC Tournament matters to Tennessee
1. A No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament unlocks a better shot at the Final Four. The Vols have never reached a Final Four. They’ve also never been a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Rick Barnes’ best team before this season was the 2018-19 squad led by Grant Williams and Admiral Schofield. That team earned a No. 2 NCAA seed and lost to No. 3-seed Purdue in the Sweet 16. Three of the four No. 1 seeds reached at least the Elite Eight that year. Statistically speaking, a No. 1 seed has nearly twice the probability of reaching the Final Four as a No. 2 seed. It pays to be a No. 1 seed, and winning the SEC Tournament should help Tennessee secure a spot on the 1-line.
TENNESSEE BASKETBALL: How important is an NCAA Tournament No. 1 seed to Vols? Rick Barnes isn’t sure
BRACKETOLOGY: Where Tennessee basketball stands in updated March Madness bracket predictions
TOPPMEYER: What Geno Auriemma would say about Dawn Staley’s undefeated quest with South Carolina
2. Best to avoid Purdue, UConn and Houston. Three of the four No. 1 seeds aren’t up for debate. Purdue, UConn and Houston have been the nation’s best teams throughout the season. Best to avoid them for as long as possible. A No. 1 seed means Tennessee would avoid each member of that trio until at least the Final Four.
3. Trophies are neat. Winning the SEC Tournament isn’t the ultimate prize, but it still counts as an achievement for a program that has won the conference tournament just once from 1980 through present date. That occurred in 2022.
Why the SEC Tournament doesn’t matter to Tennessee
1. Momentum from a conference tournament crown is mostly a myth. UConn won last season’s national championship after losing in the Big East Tournament semifinals. Of the last five teams to win the SEC Tournament, only one advanced beyond the Sweet 16. When Tennessee won the SEC Tournament in 2022, it lost in the NCAA’s second round. As we’ve established, a No. 1 NCAA seed means there’s plenty to play for in Nashville. Just don’t confuse SEC Tournament success as relevant momentum for the Big Dance.
2. Need some extra rest? Tennessee could win three games in as many days … or, it could lose early and rest those legs for the NCAA Tournament. While not a terrible strategy, here’s a better idea: Do enough in Nashville to secure that No. 1 NCAA seed.
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Blake Toppmeyer is the USA TODAY Network’s SEC Columnist and a published author. Mike Wilson hasn’t authored any books, but he covers the Vols with award-winning coverage for the News Sentinel. You can subscribe to read all their coverage, or check out the SEC Unfiltered newsletter, delivered straight to your inbox. They also host the acclaimed “SEC Football Unfiltered” podcast.
Tennessee
Inside William Kyle’s game-winning free throw: ‘I knew he was gonna make that sucker’
Syracuse, N.Y. – As he stepped to the free throw line, William Kyle III wasn’t nervous.
There were 13.8 seconds left in Tuesday night’s game between Syracuse and 13th-ranked Tennessee at the JMA Wireless Dome. The score was tied at 60.
Kyle, Syracuse’s senior center, had just missed the first of two foul shots. Free throws have been a problem for Kyle throughout his college career. He had a .568 percentage entering this season.
In his first seven games with the Orange, Kyle, whose shooting motion looks like he’s carrying the ball up a fire escape, had gone 11-for-26 (42.3%) at the line.
And there he was, at the line with 13.8 seconds on the clock, score tied, one more chance to put the Orange ahead.
“I wasn’t thinking,’’ Kyle would say later. “I wasn’t necessarily nervous going to the line.’’
William Kyle III might not have been nervous, but his father, William Kyle Jr., sure was.
Seated in the first row of the bleachers opposite the SU bench, Kyle’s father watched as his son stepped away from the line after missing the first shot.
Any parent who has watched their child swing a bat at a ball, throw a baton in the air or recite a line in a play can imagine the emotions William Kyle Jr. was experiencing at that moment as he wore a replica of his son’s No. 42 Syracuse jersey.
“Initially, it was nerve-wracking,’’ he said. “Just absolutely nerve-wracking.’’
Kyle’s father said free throws have always been a sore spot for his son.
William Kyle III is blessed with extraordinary athleticism. He has a 44-inch vertical jump. His sense of timing enables him to block the shots of players much taller than his listed 6-foot-9 height. He runs like a deer, which makes sense for someone who ran the 800 meters at a national level up until his freshman year of high school.
But the fine art of free throw shooting has been tough for him to master.
“It’s something that he’s always struggled with,’’ Kyle Jr. said. “He’s made investments. Lord knows, he’s put the practice in, but it’s all mental because if you look at him outside of a game environment, he strokes it.’’
Since arriving at Syracuse following his transfer from UCLA, Kyle III has worked with SU assistant coach Dan Engelstad, who tutors the Orange big men. Engelstad has tried to iron out Kyle’s multi-hitched shooting form.
Kyle thought of those practice sessions as he prepped for the crucial second free throw.
“We put a lot of work in every day,’’ Kyle said of himself and Engelstad. “I was just thinking about my routine. I was going up there, make or miss, and just living with it.’’
Kyle had put on a stellar performance up to that point in the game. He battled with Tennessee’s 6-foot-11 Felix Okpara and the 267-pound Jaylen Carey throughout the game.
Kyle finished with 10 points, seven rebounds and six huge blocked shots. His rejection of Okpara’s dunk attempt at the rim was the stuff of highlight reels.
His play drew the praise of Tennessee coach Rick Barnes.
“I like anybody who is quote-unquote an unsung hero guy,’’ Barnes, the NCAA’s active leader for career coaching victories, said. “He makes basketball plays. He knows who he is, and he plays to his strengths.
“Again, I wish I had some guys that understood that,’’ Barnes added. “He knows exactly what he’s supposed to do, and he does it in a very unselfish (way).’’
Kyle had drawn nine fouls on Tennessee’s players. Good news/bad news there. On the one hand, his non-stop activity helped to put SU in the bonus situation quickly. On the other, Kyle would end up at the line 10 times on Tuesday.
He made just three of his first nine free throw attempts.
Syracuse desperately needed a win over a quality opponent after going 0-3 against three top-25 teams last week at the Players Era Festival in Las Vegas.
Syracuse head coach Adrian Autry joked that when Kyle goes to the foul line, he doesn’t hold his breath; instead he paces.
“The one thing about Will Kyle, and I say this all the time, he’s so confident in his abilities,’’ Autry said.
In the stands opposite where Autry paced, William Kyle Jr.’s nerves washed away.
“I’m sitting up there, I’m a man of faith, so I said a prayer,’’ Kyle Jr. said. “He missed the first one, but I knew he was gonna make that sucker.’’
Kyle made the shot, putting Syracuse ahead 61-60.
The Orange still had to survive a Tennessee possession, which ended with Carey missing a short shot at the basket. Sadiq White added one more free throw, and Tennessee’s last-second shot went awry.
Syracuse got the big win it needed.
As the Syracuse students rushed the court, William Kyle III jumped up and down in the middle of the mosh pit.
A little over an hour later, the fans had emptied out of the JMA Dome.
William Kyle Jr. waited for his son outside the tunnel that leads to the team’s locker room. When William Kyle III emerged from the tunnel, his father wrapped him in a huge bear hug.
“I’m so proud of you,” he said.
Tennessee
2026 Tennessee football commitment flips to Utah
Tennessee lost a recruit in its 2026 football signing class.
Five-star athlete Salesi Moa flipped his commitment from Tennessee to Utah on Wednesday.
The 6-foot-1, 190-pound prospect is from Fremont High School in Ogden, Utah. His father, Ben Moa, played tight end for the Utes.
247Sports ranks Moa as the No. 3 athlete in the class and No. 1 player in Utah.
Tennessee offered Moa a scholarship on Nov. 6, 2024. He officially visited Tennessee on June 20 before committing to the Vols on July 31.
Utah offered Moa a scholarship on March 21, 2023. He officially visited Utah on May 30.
BYU was the first school to offer Moa a scholarship on March 21, 2023. Other schools to offer him scholarships include Arizona, Washington State, Hawaii, Nevada, Washington, Oregon State, Oregon, Arizona State, San Diego State, Texas A&M, Michigan State, UNLV, Michigan, Weber State, Oklahoma, Boise State, Oklahoma State and Colorado.
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Tennessee
What Tennessee election result means For midterms
The results of a closely watched special election in Tennessee has delivered signals for both parties ahead of next year’s midterm elections.
Republican Matt Van Epps defeated Democratic State Representative Aftyn Behn in the contest for Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District. With 99 percent of votes counted, Van Epps’ lead was around 9 percentage points. He has 53.9 percent of the vote, compared with 45 percent for Behn.
Van Epps’ margin of victory in a deep-red district marks a 13-point shift toward Democrats from 2024, when President Donald Trump carried it by 22 points. While Democrats are buoyed by Behn’s overperformance, some Republicans are sounding the alarm about what the result could mean for the midterms next year.
Why It Matters
The result is the latest concerning sign for Republicans heading into the 2026 midterm season. It comes less than a month after Democrats dominated the first major Election Day since President Donald Trump returned to the White House. Earlier this year, Democrats also overperformed in other special elections in traditionally Republican districts in Florida.
The president’s party typically loses seats in midterm elections, but Trump is hoping to buck those trends by calling on Republican states to redraw House districts to give the GOP an advantage. Each House seat could be crucial because Democrats need to gain just three to take control of the chamber from Republicans and impede Trump’s agenda.
What To Know
Trump celebrated Van Epps’ win, writing in a post on Truth Social that it was “another great night for the Republican Party!!!”
But experts say the single-digit margin of victory bodes well for Democrats ahead of the 2026 contests.
“The fact that it was as close as it was continues to suggest that Democrats are poised to make significant gains in 2026,” Grant Davis Reeher, a professor of political science at Syracuse University, told Newsweek.
“Two factors of special note underline that—first, President Trump made a special effort once it became clear that the race was closer than expected, and second, the Democratic candidate was quite a bit further to the left than the type one would expect to be competitive in that district, and she had some verbal political baggage,” he said, referring to criticism Behn faced over resurfaced remarks made during a February 2020 podcast.
Some Republicans also suggested Van Epps’ slimmer margin of victory should be heeded as a warning.
In an appearance on Fox News on Tuesday evening, Senator Ted Cruz, a Texas Republican, said Van Epps’ underperformance was due to voters’ disapproval of Trump and warned that the GOP could lose control of Congress if they don’t “set out the alarm bells” ahead of the midterms.
“This was a very red district and it was dangerous,” he said. “We could have lost this district because the people who showed up, many of them are the ones that are motivated by how much they dislike President Trump,”
He said the midterms will be “a turnout election, and the left will show up,” adding that “hate is a powerful motivator.”
Cruz added that Republicans need to encourage conservative voters to turn out, or they risk losing control of the House and the Senate.
Representative Don Bacon of Nebraska, who is retiring, told Politico that the GOP “should not ignore the Virginia, New Jersey and Tennessee elections” and “must reach swing voters.”
And although Behn did not manage to flip the seat, Democrats are celebrating the result as a sign of the party’s momentum as well as an indication that messaging on affordability, health care and other issues could win over voters in traditionally red regions.
Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin said the result “makes it clear: Democrats are on offense and Republicans are on the ropes.”
In a statement, Martin said: “Aftyn centered her campaign on lowering grocery, housing and health care costs for Tennessee families. Her Republican opponent ran his campaign focused on Donald Trump, and he had to get bailed out by a massive Republican spending onslaught to barely hold this traditionally safe Republican seat.” He added it should have Republicans “shaking in their boots.”
Pollster G. Elliot Morris said that a rural district in Tennessee “ended up just a high-single-digits win for Republicans should be a five-alarm fire” for the party ahead of the midterms. In a post on his “Strength in Numbers” newsletter, Morris said that the result confirms a broader trend in recent special elections for vacant congressional seats, where Democratic candidates have been “dramatically overperforming” benchmarks based on the 2024 election.
Morris predicted that the 13-point shift toward Democrats in Tuesday’s election could translate “to something like a 7- or 8-poit swing for the midterms,” though he noted that it remains unclear what House maps will ultimately look like for each state in 2026 due to redistricting efforts.
Kent Syler, a professor of political science at Middle Tennessee State University, previously told Newsweek that if Behn overperformed, it would bolster Democrats’ efforts to recruit strong candidates to run in more competitive districts in the midterms.
Anything above 45 percent would be “the cherry on top,” he said.
What People Are Saying
Grant Davis Reeher, a professor of political science at Syracuse University, told Newsweek: “It bears repeating that November 2026 is still a year away, and a lot can happen. I’d also note that it doesn’t tell us that much about 2028. The 2026 midterms are likely to be more about the reactions to the first two years of the Trump administration, and that’s what these recent sets of elections were primarily about as well, but in 2028 the Democrats will need to make a positive argument on their own behalf.”
Costas Panagopoulos, a professor of political science at Northeastern University, told Newsweek: “Huge shifts in a Democratic direction in all counties in Tennessee’s special election last night does not bode well for Republicans in the upcoming 2026 midterms.
“For a GOP stronghold district that voted for Trump by 22 points in 2024 to be decided by a single-digit margin indicates voters are unhappy with Republican policies and performance. If this sentiment persists and becomes cemented in the electorate over the next few months, it will be virtually impossible for Republicans to overcome the historical headwinds that were already making the midterms an uphill battle for the party.”
President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social: “Congratulations to Matt Van Epps on his BIG Congressional WIN in the Great State of Tennessee. The Radical Left Democrats threw everything at him, including Millions of Dollars. Another great night for the Republican Party!!!”
Republican Senator Ted Cruz said on Fox News: “What does this mean for the midterms in a year? It’s going to be a turnout election, and the left will show up. Hate is a powerful motivator. They hate President Trump.”
He added: “What we’ve got to make sure is, number one, that conservatives show up, but number two, that just the common sense middle regular people who what is dangerous in an off-cycle election is people that are feeling complacent, like things are going well, I’m happy. And the danger is those folks stay home. We’ve got to set out the alarm bells that if we allow the Democrats to flip the house, to flip the Senate, it is an absolute catastrophe.”
Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin said in a statement: “What happened tonight in Tennessee makes it clear: Democrats are on offense and Republicans are on the ropes. Aftyn Behn’s overperformance in this Trump +22 district is historic and a flashing warning sign for Republicans heading into the midterms.”
He added: “The fact that Republicans spent millions to protect this Trump +22 district and still lost so much ground should have the GOP shaking in their boots.”
What’s Next
Behn’s showing adds to a trend of overperformances that could help Democrats target districts once considered safely Republican. For the GOP, the Tennessee result shows the party must work to win back swing voters who appear to be shifting toward Democrats.
Both parties are likely to adjust their strategies heading into the high-stakes midterm cycle.
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