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Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee Odds, Predictions | NCAAF Betting Preview (Wednesday, Oct. 4)

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Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee Odds, Predictions | NCAAF Betting Preview (Wednesday, Oct. 4)


Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee Odds

Wednesday, Oct. 4

8 p.m. ET

ESPNU

Jacksonville State Odds
Spread Total Moneyline

+3.5

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-110

52

-110o / -110u

+140

Middle Tennessee Odds
Spread Total Moneyline

-3.5

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-110

52

-110o / -110u

-165

Jacksonville State heads on the road for the second straight week to battle Middle Tennessee in Wednesday night college football action.

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The Gamecocks had a miracle win and cover last Thursday night, coming back from a 14-point halftime deficit to win beat Sam Houston by seven in overtime.

Even though it’s sitting at 4-1, Jacksonville State has played one of the easiest schedules in the country. This game marks its second-ever Conference USA contest and first back-to-back road trip of the season, so we’ll see how the Gamecocks handle it.

The Blue Raiders fell to 1-4 after their 31-10 loss to Western Kentucky this past weekend. Middle Tennessee has not beaten an FBS team yet, with its only win coming over Murray State — but it did open the season at Alabama and Missouri in back-to-back weeks.

Turnovers have been the story of the Blue Raiders’ season, so if they can get that cleaned up, they may be able to pull out a conference victory.


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Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Jacksonville State boasts one of the heaviest rush offenses that doesn’t run the triple option. The Gamecocks run the ball on 66.2% of their offensive plays, but given the schedule they’ve faced, their rushing numbers should be better.

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They’re averaging five yards per carry and rank 48th in Rushing Success Rate, but they sit outside the top 90 in rushing explosiveness and 82nd in EPA/Rush. Plus, one of their top running backs, Ron Wiggins, is out until mid-November with a chest injury.

Quarterback Logan Smothers hasn’t been asked to throw very much, but he’s struggled a bit when he has.

Smothers owns a PFF passing grade of just 70.3 with four turnover-worthy plays and zero big-time throws. If you remove his game against FCS East Tennessee State, he’s completed only 55.2% of his passes for 347 yards — good for six yards per attempt.

He has carried the ball a lot as a runner but really isn’t that elusive or physical. He’s forced only two missed tackles while averaging 2.1 yards per carry after contact.

The real reason Jacksonville State is undefeated is because of its defense. The Gamecocks are allowing only 4.3 yards per play and rank eighth in Success Rate Allowed.

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They’ve been incredibly stout against the run, but that won’t matter as much in this game against Middle Tennessee’s pass-happy attack.

Jacksonville State did allow Sam Houston to throw for 299 yards and 7.7 yards per attempt, but overall, it’s allowing only 6.9 yards per attempt and owns the 26th-best PFF coverage grade in the country.

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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

This Middle Tennessee team is bad — there’s really no other word to describe it.

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Head coach Rick Stockstill has been at the helm since 2006, and this season, it’s pretty clear that Middle Tennessee is going to throw the ball a lot on offense.

The Blue Raiders throw it on almost 55% of their offensive snaps, but the problem is they don’t have a very efficient passing offense. Nicholas Vattiato holds a PFF passing grade of just 71.1 with 70% of his pass attempts coming within 10 yards.

When an offense throws that many short passes, it would typically have a high ranking in Passing Success Rate. That’s not the case for Middle Tennessee, which ranks 91st in that area.

They also struggle to put together solid drives and finish them, ranking outside the top 100 in both Quality Drives and Finishing Drives.

The Blue Raiders’ defensive metrics have been a bit inflated because of the blowout loss to Alabama. However, they held Missouri, Colorado State and Western Kentucky to a combined 3.1 yards per carry.

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They also rank top-25 nationally in explosive rushing allowed, so Jacksonville State won’t run the ball with ease on Wednesday.


Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Jacksonville State and Middle Tennessee match up statistically:

Jacksonville State Offense vs. Middle Tennessee Defense
Rush Success 48 111
Line Yards 81 98
Pass Success 126 104
Havoc 31 106
Finishing Drives 78 133
Quality Drives 111 90
Middle Tennessee Offense vs. Jacksonville State Defense
Rush Success 102 6
Line Yards 95 8
Pass Success 91 63
Havoc 88 44
Finishing Drives 114 24
Quality Drives 109 14
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 22 75
PFF Coverage 26 126
Special Teams SP+ 82 119
Middle 8 62 130
Seconds per Play 21.6 (3) 25.4 (39)
Rush Rate 66.2% (6) 44.3% (115)

Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee

Betting Pick & Prediction

Even though both of these offenses run pretty fast, I think the total is too high.

With the Gamecocks utilizing the ground game on two-thirds of their offensive plays, they keep the clock rolling as opposed to stopping it with every incompletion. Plus, they really haven’t been that effective on the ground, ranking outside the top 80 in EPA/Rush.

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Middle Tennessee has improved against the run since its game against Alabama, so I don’t think the Gamecocks are going to run wild.

The Blue Raiders’ pass-happy offense, which is built on a lot of short passes, just hasn’t been that effective and in all likelihood won’t move the ball much against a top-30 secondary.

I only have 43.2 points projected for this game, so I like the value on the under at 52.

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Injury Report: Tennessee's Cade Phillips 'getting his chippiness back' despite shoulder injury

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Injury Report: Tennessee's Cade Phillips 'getting his chippiness back' despite shoulder injury


Tennessee Basketball’s injury report on Tuesday night once again listed only sophomore forward JP Estrella, who had season-ending foot surgery in November, as out for Wednesday’s game against Georgia. 

But the left shoulder injury for sophomore forward Cade Phillips isn’t going away. Phillips continues to wear a brace on the shoulder in practice and games, playing through pain while hesitating to the left arm he injured in the second half against Arkansas on January 4.

“Cade is tough as nails, that’s a good thing,” Tennessee assistant coach Lucas Campbell said before practice on Tuesday. “In the games he’s told me adrenaline takes over and he starts to just go.”

No. 6 Tennessee (15-1, 2-1 SEC) and No. 23 Georgia (14-2, 2-1) on Wednesday are scheduled for an 8 p.m. Eastern Time start (TV: SEC Network) at Food City Center. The Bulldogs listed all players as available on Tuesday’s injury report.

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Phillips scored four points in 10 minutes off the bench in the 74-70 win at Texas on Saturday night, going 2-for-3 from the field with four rebounds. He played just three minutes in the loss at Florida last Tuesday.

“He missed a bunny there (at Texas),” Campbell said. “I don’t know if that had to do with his shoulder or not, but he did a great job. He had a nice put-back dunk. 

“He’s getting his chippiness back. We need that. He’s probably the most physical big we have as far as hitting people.”

Cade Phillips suffered dislocated shoulder injury vs. Arkansas

Head coach Rick Barnes said Phillips “battled” through the injury at Texas.

“Really proud of Cade Phillips tonight,” Barnes said after the win at Texas. “Really proud. He went in the game and he battled. And his shoulder is not what it needs to be.”

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The ESPN2 broadcast of the Tennessee-Florida game described the injury as a dislocated shoulder. He has worn a brace on his left shoulder since suffering the injury.

Barnes said after the Arkansas game that Phillips could have played more in the second half after getting hurt, but the score didn’t make it necessary.

Cade Phillips averaging 15.9 minutes per game off the bench

Phillips is averaging 5.9 points and 4.1 rebounds in 15.9 minutes per game this season.

He was injured while chasing a loose ball in the second half against Arkansas, going to the Tennessee locker room briefly before returning to the floor. He finished the Arkansas game 11 minutes played.

The three minutes he played at Florida was a season low.

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“He wasn’t the same in terms of like the one lob he went up for,” Barnes said last week, “he didn’t even raise his left arm. He went up and tried to get it one-handed, which that’s one reason he didn’t play more.”

“Cade’s tough,” Barnes added. “He’s never going to complain. He’s just … I could tell he wasn’t normally what he is.”



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Tennessee General Assembly convenes for session expected to focus on voucher issue

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Tennessee General Assembly convenes for session expected to focus on voucher issue


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The 114th General Assembly gaveled in at the Tennessee state Capitol Tuesday for a legislative session expected to largely focus on education issues as Gov. Bill Lee seeks to push through a private school voucher proposal.

With few election shake-ups last fall, lawmakers returned to a legislature with little change in the status quo. Republicans still hold a strong supermajority, and prexisting leadership will preside over both chambers.

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Senate Republicans on Tuesday reelected Lt. Gov. Randy McNally, R-Oak Ridge, as Speaker of the Senate. Senate Democrats all abstained from the vote.

“Each General Assembly I’ve gaveled in seems to be better than the last,” McNally said.

In the House, Speaker Cameron Sexton, R-Crossville, also easily won reelection to lead the chamber. Democrats nominated House Minority Leader Karen Camper, D-Memphis, and unanimously voted for her. 

“The people of District 52 will not vote for an authoritarian!” Rep. Justin Jones, D-Nashville, yelled from his seat before casting his vote for Camper. 

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As Republican members called their votes for Sexton, a spectator yelled out “boo!” and “gross!” from the west gallery – prompting a chuckle from the sitting speaker, who stood to one side as the election was held. 

“I greatly appreciate all that voted for me today, and for those of you who didn’t, I do know some of you wanted to, and I understand that,” Sexton said. “Over the last five years, we’ve all learned a lot. My goal is to be more efficient, empower Tennesseans over the government and uphold our constitutional duty of public oversight.” 

Notably, some desks were rearranged on the House floor since last year. Jones and Rep. Justin Pearson, D-Memphis, who had previously been seated near each other and have frequently clashed with their Republican colleagues, were both moved. Pearson is now seated next to Rep. Vincent Dixie, D-Nashville, in a sea of Republican desks across the chamber from the Democratic caucus. Jones has been moved to the front, near the speaker’s dais.

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The House Select Committee on Rules convened later Tuesday afternoon to discuss proposed changes to the rules. Ahead of the meeting, proposed rules changes included a limit on the number of bills each member can propose, and a “three-strikes” rule proposing to permanently ban members of the public found to be disruptive from the gallery.

The initial weeks of a legislative session are often slow-moving as committees get settled and bills began to make their way through the legislative process. The Senate is expected to name committee assignments on Thursday. Many eyes will be on the appointment of the Senate Education Committee chair after former Sen. Jon Lundberg’s ouster last year in the GOP primary. The committee will prove pivotal in the voucher issue.

Advocates on both side of the issue mingled in the Capitol halls on Tuesday.

There are rumblings that Lee intends to call a special session in late January on his voucher bill.

The effort failed last year amid legislative gridlock. A special session call would allow lawmakers to narrow their focus on the issue, which could be tied to disaster relief funding for areas of East Tennessee.

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Archibald: Let’s rename the world, but start with Tennessee

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Archibald: Let’s rename the world, but start with Tennessee


This is an opinion column.

Who knew it was an option to simply change the names of things that don’t belong to us?

The possibilities are endless. You don’t have to actually change anything. You just have to call it something else.

For personal reasons, I’d like to rename Tennessee “Dorkland.” No offense to actual dorks. For personal reasons, Tennesseans have called me worse.

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I’ve never understood why Alabama, which presumably dares defend its rights of way, allows the Dorkland River to flow freely in and out of its borders. Maybe we should just call it the River Sticks. Because you cross it to get to hillbilly hell.

It’s freeing to rename things that annoy you. There’s a president, I mean precedent, for it. And bodies of water are a good start.

Lake Superior is in the state of Canada, for Pete’s sake. It should rightly be called Lake Inferior. And the Pacific Ocean sounds like some hippy dippy draft dodger with “bad feet.” Let’s call it the Ocean of American Might. That’ll make waves.

Most rivers in Alabama are named for Native American culture, and I like that, except in the case of the one mentioned above. Lakes, on the other hand, are generally named for Alabama Power execs or their mothers, lawyers, engineers or friends. I’d change them in a Reddy Kilowatt, to Atlantic, Ventnor and Marvin Gardens. Park Place and Boardwalk. You know. Monopoly properties.

I guess New Mexico has to change. But I’m sure smart people are already thinking that.

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I’m curious, too, why we never bothered to name the moon. It’s there every night and it’s just … moon. It’s like calling your dog “Dog” or your kid “Kid.” We planted a flag in that thing, so give it a fitting name: Yankee Doodle Flashlight. Or is it a gaslight?

But before you can change the heavens you have to change the wrongs closer to home.

There’s an Alabama town called Cuba 11 miles west of Intercourse. Of course we can’t have that. Cuba, I mean. We’ll call it Foreplay instead.

An hour northeast of Needmore, a little less than an hour northwest of Smuteye, is the community of Little Texas. There are only about 1,200 people there, but they need to own it. Forget the Little, and just call them Texas. The state of Texas? We’ll call it West Smuteye.

Marshall County has an Egypt and an Arab (rhymes with Ahab). It’s probably why the county has the third-highest immigrant population rate in the state. Alabama has a Berlin, a Havana and a Rome — where all roads do not lead.

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There’s the Abel community in Cleburne County, just across the Talladega National Forest from Waldo, if you know where to find Waldo. As the Bible tells us Abel was a loser, so that has to change. Just call it Cain.

For that matter, why don’t we change the names of names.

Alabama offensive coordinator Nick Sheridan has not earned the right to be Tuscaloosa’s Nick S. (or a paycheck 22 times the median household income in the state, but that’s another story). Let’s just call him Temp.

That singer from Alabama, India Ramey, is tearing up Nashville these days. She’s great. But I’m afraid we’re going to have to call her Indiana. For America’s sake.

Cuba Gooding Jr. must be Cuba Not-so-Gooding. And while I hate it for Tennessee Williams, he will now have to be Dorkland Williams. It’s not even fair.

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But hey, I’m just calling ‘em what I see ‘em.

In a world where greed is godly, thought control is liberty and theocracy is religious freedom, a rose is whatever you want to call it.

John Archibald is a two-time Pulitzer winner who, in actuality, has nothing at all against the great state of Tennessee. Or Dorkland.



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