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Roy Cooper chances of beating Whatley to flip North Carolina from GOP—Poll

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Roy Cooper chances of beating Whatley to flip North Carolina from GOP—Poll


Former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper holds a commanding double-digit lead in the latest poll of North Carolina’s closely watched Senate race, which is seen as one of Democrats’ best pickup opportunities in the 2026 midterm elections.

The new survey data released Monday by Tipp Insights for the League of American Workers shows Cooper with 48 percent compared to 24 percent who support former Republican National Committee (RNC) chair Michael Whatley. An additional 27 percent are undecided.

Why It Matters

While Democrats are hoping to perform well in the upcoming 2026, based on consistent over performance in 2025 elections and the historical trend of the opposition party to the president generally winning seats in the midterm, they face a difficult map as they aim to win control of the Senate. The party needs to flip at least four Republican-held seats without losing any they currently hold.

North Carolina is one of the few states Democrats are optimistic about, as it has become increasingly purple in recent cycles. With incumbent GOP Senator Thom Tillis retiring, and a popular former governor running for the Democrats, the party believes a win may be within reach this cycle.

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What To Know

Tipp’s latest poll was conducted from January 12 to 15 and included 1,512 registered voters. In addition to Cooper’s 24-point lead over Whatley, the Democrat was viewed favorably by a majority of respondents.

More than half (54 percent) of voters hold a favorable view of Cooper, compared with 25 percent for the GOP contender. However, 43 percent said they still weren’t sure about Whatley and nearly a third, 32 percent, said they view him unfavorably. Notably, that is slightly higher than the 31 percent who said they hold an unfavorable view of the former governor.

What Previous North Carolina Polls Show

A poll by High Point University’s Survey Research Center, conducted in November and released in December, showed that more North Carolina voters currently plan to back a Democrat in the 2026 Senate race than a Republican. The poll asked voters in the state, “If the elections for U.S. Senate were being held today, would you vote for the Republican Party’s candidate or the Democratic Party’s candidate for U.S. Senate?”

Forty-six percent of survey respondents said they’d back a Democrat, while 41 percent said they’d support a Republican—a lead of 5 points for Democrats. An additional 4 percent supported a candidate from “another party,” and 9 percent said they were “unsure.”

The poll included 1001 adults in North Carolina, of whom 783 self-identified as registered voters. The survey was carried out from November 11 to 17 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

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A Carolina Journal poll conducted by Harper Polling of 600 likely voters in November found Cooper leading Whatley. Voters backed Cooper 47 percent to Whatley’s 38.6 percent. Prior to that, an Emerson College survey from July showed Cooper leading Whatley by 6 points, 47 percent to 41 percent. That survey included 1,000 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

What People Are Saying

Jeff Allen, Cooper’s campaign manager, told Newsweek in December: “A Democrat has not won statewide federal office in North Carolina in nearly two decades and we know this race will be very close, which is why we’re building a campaign to earn every vote and make sure North Carolinians know that Roy Cooper will fight for them in the Senate.”

Michael Whatley said in an interview with Breitbart published last month: “And there’s a true swing vote, but that, that middle group, they care about common sense versus crazy, and the fact that my opponent, Roy Cooper, has been, over the course of his career, fighting harder for criminals and illegal aliens than he has his own constituents, is a very real issue in North Carolina.”

What Happens Next

The 2026 midterm elections are about 10 months away, with North Carolina holding its primary on March 3, 2026. Traditionally, the party that does not hold the White House tends to perform better in midterms. Democrats also overperformed in 2025 special elections, giving them hope that they could potentially flip the House and possibly the Senate next year.

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When you become a Newsweek Member, you support a mission to keep the center strong and vibrant. Members enjoy: Ad-free browsing, exclusive content and editor conversations. Help keep the center courageous. Join today.

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Greenville Police Department Join Effort Promoting Safe Firearm Storage

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Greenville Police Department Join Effort Promoting Safe Firearm Storage


The Greenville Police Department joined community leaders in Pitt County this week to promote safe firearm storage as part of North Carolina’s annual NC S.A.F.E. Week of Action, the Greenville Police Department said.

In a statement, the Greenville Police Department thanked NC S.A.F.E. and the North Carolina Department of Public Safety for the opportunity to help educate residents about responsible firearm storage practices.

We want to thank NC S.A.F.E. and the North Carolina Department of Public Safety for allowing us to help relay to the community the importance of safely securing firearms so that we can avoid tragedies in the future!

The local event follows Gov. Josh Stein’s proclamation recognizing June 1-7 as NC S.A.F.E. Week of Action.

According to Gov. Stein’s office, the campaign aims to encourage gun owners to securely store firearms and make safety resources more widely available across North Carolina.

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An unlocked gun is a tragedy waiting to happen, and too often, it does,” said Governor Josh Stein. “NC S.A.F.E Week is a reminder to all of us about the measures we can all take to keep ourselves and the people we love safe.

Safe firearm storage is one of the simplest steps we can take to prevent tragedies before they happen,” said North Carolina Department of Public Safety Deputy Secretary William Lassiter Lassiter. “NC S.A.F.E. is increasing awareness around secure firearm storage and making safety resources more accessible to help reduce preventable injuries and build safer communities throughout our state.



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The Real Reason North Carolina’s GOP Is Proposing the Most Radical Anti-Abortion Bill Yet

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The Real Reason North Carolina’s GOP Is Proposing the Most Radical Anti-Abortion Bill Yet


Another anti-abortion abolitionist proposal has been in the news. This time, conservative lawmakers in North Carolina have asked voters to approve a state constitutional amendment recognizing the personhood of embryos and establishing that anyone who ends an embryonic life is guilty of first-degree murder. Those penalties might also apply to people pursuing in vitro fertilization or using some contraceptives, given that abortion foes sometimes view either as requiring the taking of unborn life. And that’s the most ordinary part of the proposal: The bill also provides that private individuals have a right to use deadly force to prevent “the willful destruction of life.” House Bill 1232 isn’t clear about exactly who could exercise this constitutional right to vigilante violence. Would it just be available to those seeking to kill abortion providers and patients? Or might it apply even more broadly to those seen to aid them?

The bill has been greeted with bafflement and disbelief. One of its co-sponsors was embarrassed enough to remove his name from the proposal. But the idea of licensing private violence did not come out of thin air. There have been decades of debate about the use of force within the anti-abortion movement. And as conservatives embrace an increasingly punitive agenda, old justifications for violence have reemerged.

Since the 1960s, abortion foes have rallied around the idea that constitutional rights begin the moment an egg is fertilized. That meant that liberal abortion laws would violate the federal Constitution. Because that claim didn’t gain traction in the federal courts, abortion opponents didn’t have to settle what it would mean in practice to enforce this idea of personhood. Did it require that abortion be punished as murder, or that women be punished? Might it instead require more support for women during pregnancy?

By the 1980s, as the anti-abortion movement aligned with the Republican Party, the movement’s leaders increasingly retooled their ideas of justice for the unborn to fit the GOP’s tough-on-crime agenda. They endorsed fetal homicide laws and backed prosecutions based on conduct during pregnancy. But these moves didn’t lead to the reversal of Roe, much less a decline in the abortion rate.

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Frustration led to a wave of lawbreaking. Operation Rescue, a clinic blockade group, invited supporters to use civil disobedience and break the law if necessary to stop people from entering abortion clinics. Operation Rescue disrupted the Democratic National Convention in 1992 and recorded thousands of arrests. Blockaders even developed a legal argument to justify their actions, drawing on the common law defense of necessity, which allows someone to break a law to achieve a greater moral good.

Some advocates went further. If abortion really were the murder of an equal person, they asked, why wasn’t it justified to use deadly force to protect that equal person?

Prominent figures in the late 1980s and early 1990s elaborated on that argument in books and talk-show appearances. The claim justified kidnappings, firebombings, and a series of murders of doctors, clinic staff, and security. Powerful anti-abortion groups denounced the violence, but the question of deadly force struck others as surprisingly complex. If a fertilized egg was an equal person, and if the way to protect that person involved violence, why was deadly force off limits?

While violence against abortion clinics and providers never went away, it receded from the peak of the 1980s and early 1990s. The federal Freedom of Access to Clinic Entrances Act, which heightened penalties for threats, violence, and obstruction of people entering facilities, radically undercut the clinic blockade movement when Congress passed it in 1994. So did the conviction of high-profile murder defendants like Michael Griffin and Paul Hill. The clinic blockade movement was consumed by internal divides, with multiple organizations even claiming the name Operation Rescue. Anti-abortion leaders mostly focused on change through the courts and politics.

Now that Roe is gone, the movement is at an inflection point. Personhood has become the movement’s new North Star. And while success in the federal courts isn’t imminent, there is now no reason a state couldn’t enforce any vision of personhood. That means that conservatives have to decide what they mean by enforcing the rights of the unborn. This bill is a sign that even punishing women doesn’t strike some as harsh enough.

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This bill won’t pass. For starters, North Carolina is not the most likely state to pass any abortion abolitionist bill; at the moment, it doesn’t even ban abortion from the moment of fertilization. And no state has yet passed any kind of abolitionist proposal, much less one allowing people to gun one another down in the name of protecting life.

But this bill has a different resonance now that Donald Trump has pledged not to enforce the FACE Act in the abortion context except in the most extreme circumstances. It is also a reminder of how the Overton window on personhood is shifting. Abolitionists who call for the punishment of women are gaining influence in state legislatures and movement debates. They have developed their own incremental approach: In South Carolina, for example, Richard Cash, a powerful lawmaker, tried this session to advance a bill punishing women for abortion, but only for a misdemeanor, rather than a felony. The bill became the second abolitionist proposal to pass through a committee this spring before time ran out to pass it this session.

Leading anti-abortion groups still speak out against abolitionists, but their strategy is clear: normalizing the idea of punishing women. The more extreme proposals conservatives advance, the more previously unthinkable ideas become politically realistic.



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In North Carolina Senate race, Democrat leans on economic message early

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In North Carolina Senate race, Democrat leans on economic message early


With one exception, Democrats have lost every single U.S. Senate race in North Carolina this century, their quests in recent years rocked by controversy and difficult political climates. This year, they are betting two things will make it different: The candidate is Roy Cooper, the southern state’s former governor, and the economy, where voter anger could imperil the party in power.

Months out from Election Day, Cooper’s Senate campaign is centering his message on economic anxiety. In his first television ad of the cycle — details of which were first reported by MS NOW — Cooper weaves his personal story with the kitchen-table concerns preoccupying voters.

“I’m running for the Senate to make life easier today,” Cooper says in the spot, which his campaign says is part of a seven-figure ad buy. “To go after insurance companies ripping you off. To make sure you can retire with dignity. And to build an economy that finally values working people.” 

The North Carolina race is primed to be one of the most important contests of this fall’s midterms as he attempts to flip control of one of North Carolina’s U.S. Senate seats for the first time since 2008. The recruitment of Cooper — a two-term governor who was elected both times while Trump carried the state in the same election cycle — has buoyed the party’s hopes. 

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This is also a contest in which Trump’s influence is clearly a factor. The president has thrown his support behind former Republican National Committee Chair Michael Whatley, pitting a candidate with deep ties to Trump against Cooper, who has long demonstrated an ability to win in the state despite national political headwinds.



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