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Drake Maye NFL Draft scouting report: How North Carolina QB compares to Justin Herbert and Sam Howell | Sporting News

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Drake Maye NFL Draft scouting report: How North Carolina QB compares to Justin Herbert and Sam Howell | Sporting News


Drake Maye put himself firmly on NFL radars within his first few games as North Carolina’s starting quarterback in 2022, and the dream is set to become a reality on Thursday.

While Maye isn’t expected to be the No. 1 overall pick, he’s believed to be in play as early as No. 2. Either way, he will undoubtedly become a team’s franchise quarterback early in the first round.

Maye hit some bumps late in his junior season with the Tar Heels, posting overall numbers that didn’t quite match his 2022 production, but his raw arm talent is up there with the very best signal-callers in the draft. Whether he can reach his full potential is still a mystery, and it’s something the Commanders, Patriots, and perhaps other teams are wrestling with ahead of draft day.

Here’s a closer look at Maye’s strengths and weaknesses, along with his best NFL comparisons.

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Drake Maye NFL Draft scouting report

Maye and J.J. McCarthy are in a class of their own in one important aspect: age. Maye and McCarthy are the only two of the potential six first-round quarterbacks younger than 22, and that’s not something NFL teams should ignore. Any franchise that drafts Maye knows he will still have room to grow as a passer, which adds an element of risk but also raises his ceiling above older, more refined prospects.

Maye’s profile is all about arm talent. He flashed ridiculous arm strength at North Carolina and doesn’t have any natural limitations entering the NFL. Between his ability to make tight-window throws, take deep downfield shots, and extend plays with his athleticism, it’s no surprise NFL front offices see all of the tools they want in a franchise quarterback.

There are areas of Maye’s game that require development. His footwork has drawn criticism, as it’s believed it affects his accuracy, and he tapered off toward the end of each of his seasons as a starter for the Tar Heels. Sustaining strong performances over a 17-game schedule could be a growing pain for Maye.

Decision-making was a large part of the problem for Maye at North Carolina. While likely No. 1 pick Caleb Williams was lauded for making the most of plays that didn’t go the way he intended, Maye had a bit of a tougher time adjusting on the fly. That makes it essential that whichever team drafts Maye is able to protect him well and avoid plays constantly breaking down early in his career.

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Tools and production often get quarterbacks drafted early, regardless of what other development is still needed. Maye had both at North Carolina, and his skill set will tantalize whichever fan base gets to call him its quarterback.

2024 NFL DRAFT TOP 10 LISTS: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | EDGE

Drake Maye stats

Season Starts CMP% Yards TD INT
2021 0 70.0 89 1 0
2022 14 66.2 4,321 38 7
2023 12 63.3 3,608 24 9
Career 26 64.9 8,018 63 16

Maye finished his career fifth in Tar Heels history with 8,018 passing yards and fourth with 63 touchdown passes despite only starting games in two seasons.

MORE: Where Drake Maye, 12 others land in QB-only mock draft

Drake Maye NFL comparisons

Justin Herbert

From a pure draft stock standpoint, Maye’s status has mirrored Herbert’s. Herbert was widely considered the No. 2 or No. 3 QB in the 2020 draft after Joe Burrow won the Heisman Trophy, but despite a talented arm and prototypical NFL quarterback size, many believed he didn’t consistently look like a star at Oregon despite spending four seasons as a starter.

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Maye profiles similarly. The arm talent is unquestioned, and his size is ideal. Turnovers are also fairly limited. Like Herbert, however, accuracy was often more hit-or-miss than NFL scouts would like. Herbert and Maye both had some confusing college performances for their talent level while looking dominant in others.

As the Chargers found out almost immediately, betting on Herbert’s arm and size proved to be the right call. Some teams might have overthought Herbert’s fixable flaws, and the Commanders will have to carefully consider whether they’re doing the same with Maye if they roll with Jayden Daniels or J.J. McCarthy over the UNC product. 

Sam Howell

Could Maye be a higher-ceiling version of Sam Howell? Yes, the comparison is easy to make with both quarterbacks playing at North Carolina, but they profile similarly.

Howell showed in his only season as the Commanders’ starter that his raw arm talent is real. Too often, however, risks turned into turnovers. Howell also struggled to salvage plays when they broke down, waiting too long in the pocket and taking an exorbitant amount of sacks. 

Maye similarly had some issues at North Carolina when plays broke down, though he’s enjoyed better accuracy than Howell and isn’t prone to quite as many risky passes. 

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“Maye has a nice combination of accuracy and athleticism reminiscent of former Commanders QB Sam Howell, another former Tar Heel,” SN’s Vinnie Iyer wrote in his NFL Draft big board. “Maye is a much better passer with a more ideal frame to handle pressure at a higher level.”

Behind the right offensive line and with the right development, it’s not far-fetched to say Howell could be a solid NFL starter. With Maye’s better decision-making skills and an excellent arm, his ceiling should be far above Howell’s, but his floor is probably similar to what we’ve seen from Howell early in his career.

NFL DRAFT RUMORS: Drake Maye | Jayden Daniels | J.J. McCarthy

Drake Maye mock draft

SN mock draft projection: No. 3, Patriots

SN’s Vinnie Iyer has the Patriots taking Maye with the No. 3 overall pick in his latest 3-round mock draft.

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Maye began the offseason as the projected No. 2 pick to the Commanders, but Jayden Daniels’ rise after his Heisman Trophy season has given the North Carolina product serious competition at that spot. 

If Maye does slide past No. 2, he likely won’t have to wait long. The Patriots are fully expected to draft a quarterback at No. 3 as long as they keep their pick, and Iyer’s projection sees New England as a strong fit for the 21-year-old. Even if the Patriots surprise the league and take J.J. McCarthy, plenty of teams could be candidates to trade up and select Maye soon after. 



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North Carolina Shows Encouraging Signs Against USC Upstate

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North Carolina Shows Encouraging Signs Against USC Upstate


It was a closer matchup than expected, but the North Carolina Tar Heels eventually separated themselves in an 80-62 win over the USC Upstate Spartans on Saturday at the Dean E. Smith Center.

There were times of lapses and lack of attention to detail, which led to the Spartans scoring easy baskets in transition and in the half-court offense.

While speaking with the media during his postgame press conference, head coach Hubert Davis explained what he was seeing on the court from his players.

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Dec 13, 2025; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels head coach Hubert Davis in the first half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images | Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

  • “It’s a tremendous lesson,” Davis said. “I told them, I’m a visual learner. I can remember things, but if I see it, I remember for the rest of my life, and my hope is that they could clearly see that there is a connection between how you prepare and how you practice in relation to how you play. And I identify the areas that have to be there every day. It’s not missed shots. It’s not the turnovers. Everybody misses shots, everybody turns the ball over, everybody makes mistakes.”

  • “I just think the things that you have control over; I think those are the things that are non-negotiable,” Davis continued. “You have to bring it every day. That’s energy, effort, attention to detail, enthusiasm, and can’t use the excuse that we have final exams. I’m married and I’ve got three kids. I got prepared for this game early.”

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With that being said, here are reasons the Tar Heels should be encouraged following Saturday’s performance.

Luka Bogavac is Playing with Confidence

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Dec 13, 2025; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Luka Bogavac (44) dribbles as USC Upstate Spartans guard Mason Bendinger (9) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images | Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

These are the types of games for role and bench players to build confidence and find their footing in the offense. It was the second consecutive game in which Bogavac shot the ball efficiently, but this was the first time this season that it felt like he was playing with full confidence and rhythm.

The overseas transfer went 6-of-11 from the field, including 3-of-6 from three-point range, totaling 15 points, five rebounds, and five assists.

If Bogavac plays anywhere remotely close to this level during conference play, the Tar Heels will have a chance to compete for the ACC regular season title.

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Could Depth be a Strength?

Dec 7, 2025; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels forward Jonathan Powell (11) reacts after hitting a three point shot in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images | Bob Donnan-Imagn Images
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Just a couple of weeks ago, we were questioning how deep this roster was. Without Seth Trimble, North Carolina’s guard play looked suspect, but over the last few weeks, a couple of players have emerged as potential impactful players.

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Freshman guard Derek Dixon has been the standout bench player in the previous two games, averaging 11.5 points, while shooting 53.3 percent from the field and 44.4 percent from three-point range.

Sophomore forward Jonathan Powell had his breakout game on Saturday, scoring 17 points while shooting 6-of-9 from the field, including 3-of-6 from beyond the arc.

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Dec 13, 2025; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels forward Jonathan Powell (11) scores in the first half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images | Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

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It appears North Carolina has at least two bench players who can produce double-digit points on a moment’s notice. With Trimble returning to the lineup soon, which will slide Bogavac back to the bench, the Tar Heels have the flexibility to incorporate eight players into the rotation.

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Virginia signee Hamrick leads Shelby Crest to its 7th North Carolina high school football title by beating Hunt

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Virginia signee Hamrick leads Shelby Crest to its 7th North Carolina high school football title by beating Hunt


Wilson J.B. Hunt and Shelby Crest will battle for the Class 5A North Carolina High School Athletic Association title at 8 p.m. at Durham County Memorial Stadium in Durham. 

Both teams enter with 12-2 records in this contest. 

Crest has won 6 state titles, the most recent came in 2015 in Class 3AA. 

The Crest Chargers have won five in a row since a 21-14 loss to Ashbrook on Oct. 24. During the playoff run, the Chargers have knocked off Concord, 69-6; East Lincoln, 31-14; South Point, 28-14 and Hickory, 39-21.

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East Lincoln and Hickory were both ranked ahead of the Chargers in the state.

The Hunt Warriors carry a 6-game winning streak into the finals. One of the two losses came against fellow finalist Tarboro, which is in the 2A finals. 

The postseason run has included a pair of close wins for the Warriors, 30-28 against Eastern Alamance in the first round and then 32-29 over Croatan in the quarterfinals. Last week, Hunt beat Northside-Jacksonville, 20-7, to punch the ticket to the finals.

According to MaxPreps, dating back to 2004, these teams have not played. 

Crest

QB Ely Hamrick, sr. — 2,686 yards passing and 29 TDs; 706 yards rushing and 17 TDs; signed with Virginia; once played at IMG Academy

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RB Malachi Gamble, jr. — 501 yards rushing and 9 TDs

WR Michael Edwards, sr. — 48 catches for 801 yards and 8 TDs; 24 carries for 248 yards and 10 TDs 

WR Namjay Thompson, jr. — Has 47 catches for 804 yards and 13 TDs

LB Chris Gunter, sr. — Leads team with 81 tackles; has 10 TFL 

S D’Various Surratt, sr. — Team-high 4 interceptions; signed with North Carolina State 

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S Lyrick Pettis, sr. — 3 interceptions; Duke signee 

Hunt

LB Judah Harris, jr. — 184 tackles, 49 TFL, 6 sacks, 56 QB hurries, 2 FF, 2 FR

DT CJ Dickerson, jr. — 174 tackles, 46 TFL, 15 sacks, 40 QB hurries

WR/CB Isaiah Chadwick, sr. — 6 interceptions; 23 catches, 361 yards, 2 TDs

WR/CB Jamauris Howard, sr. — 16 catches for 307 yards, 3 TDs; 8 interceptions 

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LB Trevorous Cooper, fr. — 127 tackles, 2 sacks, 2 FR

QB Mez Harris, jr. — 1,435 yards passing and 8 TDs; 122 carries for 1,271 yards and 16 TDs rushing

RB Doryan Jones, so. — 243 carries for 1,754 yards and 21 TDS

Tell us who you think will win the game with High School On SI’s Pick ‘Em Challenge

Watch on NFHS

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1st

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2nd

3rd

4th

Hunt

7

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7

0

0

14

Crest

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7

17

7

0

31

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Hunt gets the all first

Nehemiah Rayquan Parker nearly gets a pick for Crest. Bobbled it twice but it fell to the ground

Crest gets the ball

Hamrick to Edwards for a first down and the ball is near midfield

Big play! Cooper with a blocked punt with 8:02 left. The Warriors will have good field position

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Jones with a first-down run. Ball at the 30-yard line; Pettis is hurt on the play

Jones with another big run off tackle. This time, going to the right; Ball at the 5-yard line

Jones with another carry and taken down at the 2 The ball pops out but he is ruled down by contact

TOUCHDOWN! Harris with a 2-yard run at 5:42. PAT is good. Hunt 7, Crest 0

Crest has to punt again. Hunt ball with 4:46 left but ball at the Crest 43-yard line

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TURNVOER! Hunt goes deep and Javion Hopper hauls it in. Ball at the 5-yard line. 4:32 left

Ball at the 1-yard line after a TFL

Hamrick to Thompson for a 49-yard completion 2:58 left

Big play! Jason Black runs down to the 3-yard line but a horse collar tackle will make it closer. Crest ball at the 2

Flags on the play

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Offsides on Crest

1st and goal at the 7

TOUCHDOWN! Edwards with TD no. 11 on the season. Hamrick ran ahead of Edwards toward the goal line. 1:29 left. Crest 7, Hunt 7

4th and 1 at the 35 now for Crest; Hunt jumped off sides to make it a little bit shorter

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TOUCHDOWN! Edwards with 35-yard run and Hamrick is one of the lead blockers. Crest 14, Hunt 7, 9:17 left in 2nd

Hunt punts; Crest taking over with 5:57 left

TV timeout

Black with a 9-yard run on the first play for the Chargers

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Hamrick keeps it and runs for a first down. Ball into Hunt territory; 6-foot-5 TE Romeo Sanders with a big block for the Chargers

Hunt calls a timeout with 3:52 left. Chargers are driving

Edwards in a QB in a Wildcat formation and gets down to the 5 but flags on the play

Holding on Chargers will move the ball back

On a draw, Jason Black runs up the middle and the ball is at the 6.

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TOUCHDOWN! Hamrick on a tush-push play. 2:06 left. Crest 20, Hunt 7

Offsides on Hunt; offense coming out for 2 points now

A lineman jumps offsides and Crest is sending kicking unit out for the second time

PAT is good. Crest 21, Hunt 7

Television replay just saw the flag thrown on Crest prior to the game; don’t see that often

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TOUCHDOWN! Harris tries to pass; finds no one and goes through a entire Crest defense for an 80-yard score. 1:42 left. Crest 21, Hunt 14

Crest calls timeout with 18 seconds left

Hamrick to Surratt — usually a defensive player — for a big gain. Ball at 10

Another timeout with 8 seconds left

incomplete pass; 4 seconds left

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FIELD GOAL Carson Grier with a 27-yard FG. 0:00; Crest 24, Hunt 14

Crest gets the ball first

Hamrick to Brock Melton for a first down. WR got an extra 7 yards after initial tackle

Unsporstmanlike call against Crest; guessing for Melton’s celebration after catch, but no mic on ref that time to know who call was against and I can’t read lips that well

TOUCHDOWN! Hamrick with another TD run from the 24. 9:56 left Crest 31, Hunt 14

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Jones gets the ball near midfield with a long run. He’s up to nearly 100 yards on the night. Ball is at the 48

Harris drops back and finds nothing. He runs for a first down and the ball is at the 32

Bad snap — high — turns into a TFL for Christian Stowe. 4th down coming up for Hunt with 5:37 left and rolling

TURNOVER! 38-yard FG goes wide right; 5:10 left

Crest ball coming out of Media timeout

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Hamrick and Black with back-to-back first down runs. Ball at a midfield for the Chargers

Cooper is hurt for Hunt with 2:03 left. He looks to be favoring a shoulder injury

TURNVOER! Harris with an interception with 7 seconds left in third quarter

Incomplete pass; Hunt still doesn’t have any passing yards; Incomplete pass celebration gets a flag on Crest. 1 second left in the 3rd

Hunt calls a timeout with 11:53 left

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Hunt punts the ball again; Crest ball with 10:45 left

Big play from Hamrick to Edwards and the ball is at the 13-yard line now.

Crest facing a 4th and 31

TOUCHDOWN! Hamrick to Thompson for a TD at 4:16.

Thompson did a backflip after TD and a flag followed, so … connect the dot

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Unsportsmanlike call on Crest; so touchdown is off the board

TURNOVER! Harris fumbles and Gunter recovers with 3:22





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Expectations for North Carolina Against USC Upstate

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Expectations for North Carolina Against USC Upstate


Sunday’s matchup will be a step down in competition, as the North Carolina Tar Heels’ recent schedule has featured Michigan State, Kentucky, and Georgetown in the last four weeks. With all due respect to the USC Upstate Spartans, they are not in the same class as any of the three teams mentioned above.

North Carolina’s coaching staff and personnel should not view this game as a pointless outing, as the Tar Heels can utilize this matchup to continue developing key features that will serve them well down the road.

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With that being said, here are a couple of expectations for North Carolina in a home matchup against USC Upstate.

Caleb Wilson and Henri Veesaar Should Continue Dominance

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Dec 7, 2025; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels forward Caleb Wilson (8) with the ball as Georgetown Hoyas forward Isaiah Abraham (7) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images | Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

The Tar Heels’ frontcourt, consisting of Veesaar and Wilson, has been the team’s driving force on both ends of the floor. That trend should continue on Saturday against USC Upstate, as the Spartans are an undersized team, with their tallest player at 6-foot-9.

This season, Wilson is averaging 19.3 points, 10.6 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 1.6 steals, and 1.2 blocks per game, while shooting 53.2 percent from the field. Meanwhile, Veesaar is averaging 16.2 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks per game, while shooting 63.6 percent from the field.

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Both players could total career highs in points and rebounds in this game, which could easily translate to 20+ in each category.

Another Steppingstone for the Backcourt

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Dec 7, 2025; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Kyan Evans (0) passes the ball to forward Caleb Wilson (8) as Georgetown Hoyas forward Isaiah Abraham (7) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images | Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

North Carolina’s backcourt produced a complete group effort against Georgetown on Sunday, with Kyan Evans and Derek Dixon having standout performances. Evans totaled seven points and four assists, which all occurred in the opening minutes, but it set the tone for the Tar Heels. Dixon scored 14 points, while shooting 5-of-7 from the field, including 3-of-5 from three-point range.

Head coach Hubert Davis highlighted both players’ performances against the Hoyas during his postgame press conference.

  • “I thought the start that [Kyan Evans] had was huge for us,” Davis said. “I mean, it’s not just the shots that he made. He was confident, he was aggressive, he was on point. It’s been five out of eight games where he’s gotten into foul trouble, so we’ve [got to] find a way to keep him out there on the floor.”

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Dec 7, 2025; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels head coach Hubert Davis talks with guard Kyan Evans (0) and guard Derek Dixon (3) in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images | Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

  • “I really like [Kyan] and Derek [Dixon] on the floor at the same time,” Davis continued. “I’ve always said that I love multiple ball handlers. You can’t take us out of our offense. And with those two, with the way that Georgetown was switching defenses, we always had somebody that can handle the basketball and get us into a set and get us organized.”

That was the first time in weeks where Evans was playing with complete confidence and was not hesitant shooting the ball from the perimeter. As for Dixon, it was the second straight game the freshman guard played a monumental role in the team’s win. Both players have an opportunity to replicate that level of production on Saturday.

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