North Carolina
Donald Trump retakes slim lead in North Carolina polling average
Donald Trump has retaken the lead in North Carolina, according to polling.
FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker showed Harris take the lead in the state for the first time last Thursday when she was 0.2 points ahead of Trump. On Friday, she was 0.4 points ahead, on 45.8 percent to the former president’s 45.4 percent.
However, Trump has now retaken the lead, per the poll aggregator, which shows him 0.3 points ahead, on 45.8 percent to Harris’s 45.5 percent.
Newsweek has contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns for comment via email.
It comes after the most recent poll in the state, conducted by SoCal Strategies between August 26 and 27, showed that Trump has a 4-point lead over Harris among 612 likely voters, on 50 percent to Harris’s 46 percent. The poll had a 95 confidence level.
Trump’s lead over Harris among likely voters is powered by his influence among male (55 percent-41 percent) and white voters (57 percent-39 percent), according to the poll. He also leads Harris among independents, with 54 percent to her 37 percent.
Emily Elconin/Getty Images
Before Joe Biden ended his reelection campaign on July 21, Trump was leading the president in every poll in the state by between 2 points and 12 points.
However, the lead began to fade when Harris took Biden’s place atop the Democratic ticket. The vice president first saw a lead in North Carolina in a poll conducted between July 26 and August 2 by The Cook Political Report, which gave her a 2-point lead over Trump among likely voters when third-party candidates were included.
Since then, polls in North Carolina have shown Trump with only a lead of between 1 point to 4 points, while other polls have shown the two candidates neck and neck in the state, or Harris in the lead. RealClearPolitics’ polling average shows Trump with a 0.9-point lead in the state.
The tight margins mean that North Carolina is no longer the closest state in the presidential race, according to FiveThirtyEight.
It is also the second most likely state to be the tipping point state in November, with an 11 percent likelihood. A state’s tipping-point chance is the probability it will give the Electoral College winner their 270th electoral vote.
“The Trump campaign can’t afford to let North Carolina slip,” Cook Political Report Editor-in-Chief Amy Walter said on the organization’s website. “If Harris were to win just North Carolina and the Blue Wall states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, she could afford to lose every other competitive Sun Belt state—Nevada, Georgia, and Arizona—and still win the Electoral College vote.”
FiveThirtyEight’s forecast model shows that the Republicans are projected to secure a victory in the state, with a 0.4-point margin.
North Carolina has voted Republican in the last three presidential elections.
It is considered a swing state because of its close margins and its history of electing Democratic governors. Seven of the last eight gubernatorial races have gone blue in the state.
The North Carolina Tar Heels host the Georgetown Hoyas on Sunday, hoping to carry their momentum from the win against the Kentucky Wildcats on Tuesday night.
That game was a worthwhile experience for the Tar Heels as one of their best players was not playing up to par that night, but the supporting cast and bench stepped up. Derek Dixon played a major role in helping North Carolina escape with a tough road victory.
Sunday’s matchup against Georgetown will be very different for several reasons. First, this game will take place at home for the Tar Heels, which is obviously a much more comfortable environment for North Carolina to operate in. Secondly, the Hoyas are not in the same tier as Kentucky. Although it is 6-2, most of Georgetown’s wins are against mediocre competition.
With all that being said, here are predictions for North Carolina’s starting lineup against Georgetown on Sunday.
Caleb Wilson
Stat line prediction: 20 points, 11 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals, and 1 block
The aforementioned player who struggled on Tuesday against Kentucky was Wilson. The freshman forward went 5-of-19 from the field, failing to gain a rhythm offensively.
That should not be the case for Wilson on Sunday, as Georgetown lacks size in the perimeter, which should allow Wilson to dominate in the paint. Expect the projected top-five pick in the upcoming NBA Draft to bounce back in a major way.
Henri Veesaar
Stat line prediction: 19 points, 12 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 blocks
Over the past 2 games, Veesaar has been the Tar Heels’ most consistent player. During that span, the former Arizona center is averaging 15 points and eight rebounds per game while shooting 67 percent from the field.
The third-year center was the main catalyst in North Carolina’s win over Kentucky, shooting 8-of-12 from the field while totaling 17 points and 10 rebounds. He was the Tar Heels’ most effective and efficient player on both ends of the court on Tuesday night.
Veesaar should have no problem replicating those types of numbers against Georgetown.
Luka Bogavac
Stat line prediction: 10 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 assists
Bogavac has shot 40 percent or worse from the field in the last four games. However, volume will propel him to hit the double-digit mark in points against the Hoyas.
The 6-foot-5, 216-pound guard will operate predominantly as a catch-and-shoot weapon while sprinkling in some production within the perimeter in the mid-range game.
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GRANITE FALLS, N.C. (WTVD) — A state trooper responding to a crash had some harrowing moments as he encountered an armed man, the North Carolina State Highway Patrol said Saturday evening.
The trooper responded just after 4:20 p.m. to a crash on Grace Chapel Road in Granite Falls, which is in Caldwell County. Before the trooper got there, first responders at the scene reported that a man involved in the crash had a handgun.
When Senior Trooper William Miller arrived, the man would not comply with commands and kept flashing a handgun. Miller fired a duty-issued weapon, striking the man. After securing the suspect, first responders began rendering aid. The man was taken in the ambulance but died a short time later.
The trooper was unharmed. The suspect was later identified as Scott Patrick Seagle, 48, of Hickory.
Miller is a five-year veteran of the State Highway Patrol and is assigned to Troop F, District 3 (Caldwell County). As is standard, Miller will be placed on administrative duty. The North Carolina State Bureau of Investigation (SBI) is conducting an independent investigation of the incident.
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This was one of the most disappointing developments in college football this season, with the North Carolina Tar Heels failing to qualify for bowl eligibility. In Bill Belichick’s first season as the head coach, the team finished with a 4-8 record and 14th in the ACC.
Handing over the keys to the 73-year-old head coach was supposed to offer prosperity. Instead, Belichick’s arrival brought off-field distractions and disappointing performances on a weekly basis.
That being said, North Carolina’s offseason has been productive, landing 39 commits on National Signing Day, including 10 four-star recruits and 29 three-star recruits. There have been several departures in the transfer portal, but the talent assembled for 2026 should open up opportunities for multiple players to break out next season.
Jordan Shipp
The second-year receiver is the most obvious candidate for a breakout campaign in 2026. The Tar Heels landed four-star quarterback Travis Burgess in this year’s class, and there is a legitimate possibility the incoming freshman signal-caller beats out Gio Lopez for the starting position.
No other player would benefit more from a quarterback change than Shipp, who secured 60 receptions for 671 yards and six touchdowns in 2025. That production is not terrible, but with Shipp’s abilities, he should be producing much more than that.
With the inevitable quarterback change, Shipp could be closer to 900-1,000 receiving yards in 2026.
Travis Burgess
Burgess was mentioned earlier in correlation with Shipp’s potential uptick in production next season, but the incoming quarterback also has an opportunity to hit the ground running in his collegiate career.
The 6-foot-5, 200-pound quarterback possesses the tools to be a game-changing quarterback for North Carolina. Shipp is a great receiver to have when arriving at a program with high aspirations. Additionally, the Tar Heels landed the 10th-overall ranked wide receiver in the class in Keeyun Chapman, who figures to be an immediate-impact player for North Carolina.
Shipp and Chapman could form one of the most electrifying wide receiver tandems in the country next season and will make Burgess’ life much easier when he takes over as the starting quarterback.
Keeyun Chapman
Chapman will seemingly slide in as the WR2 behind Shipp. With multiple wide receivers leaving the program due to graduating or the transfer portal, Chapman has the ability to make an immediate impact on the Tar Heels’ offense.
As mentioned, Chapman was the 10th-best receiver in the recruiting class. His ability to create yards after the catch will open up the offense, which will benefit both Chapman and Shipp to reach their full potential.
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