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Mississippi State basketball vs Alabama: Prediction, picks, injury updates and odds

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Mississippi State basketball vs Alabama: Prediction, picks, injury updates and odds


STARKVILLE — KeShawn Murphy missed an open layup that would’ve given Mississippi State basketball the lead versus Alabama with under 20 seconds remaining. That was the last time the Bulldogs and Crimson Tide played each other in January at Humphrey Coliseum. Alabama won 88-84.

No. 23 MSU (19-8, 7-7 SEC) has a chance to draw revenge against No. 4 Alabama (22-5, 11-3) this time on the road at Coleman Coliseum on Tuesday (8 p.m., ESPN2).

Alabama has been a thorn for Mississippi State. Bulldogs coach Chris Jans hasn’t beaten Alabama, which has seven consecutive games in the series. MSU hasn’t won in Tuscaloosa since 2016, including a 32-point loss last season.

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Here’s what to know about the matchup.

What’s changed with Alabama

Not much is different with Alabama since it last played Mississippi State. It’s 4-2 since then, but the losses are to Auburn and Missouri, both ranked teams. 

Alabama beat Kentucky 96-83 at home on Saturday. Its NCAA NET ranking has stayed put at No. 6 ever since it beat MSU. 

The strength of Alabama under coach Nate Oats is always its offense, which hasn’t scored below 80 points in 10 consecutive games. The Crimson Tide average 90.8 points per game, No. 1 in the country. It has reached 100 points seven times this season, all in regulation.

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Alabama is also leading the country with 43.8 rebounds per game and a 74.9 adjusted tempo, an estimate of how many possessions a team will have per 40 minutes of game time, according to KenPom. 

Guard Mark Sears is second in the SEC with 18.9 points per game. Guard Chris Youngblood torched the Bulldogs the last time they played with seven 3-pointers and 23 points. Alabama shot 15-for-31 from 3-point distance in the game. 

Mississippi State has played well on the road until Saturday’s Oklahoma loss

Mississippi State dropped to 10-3 away from Humphrey Coliseum after Saturday’s 93-87 loss at Oklahoma. Previously, its only two true road losses were to Auburn and Tennessee. 

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The Bulldogs led by three points at halftime but allowed 59 points in the second half, the most in Jans’ three seasons. 

Mississippi State vs Alabama odds

BetMGM has not yet posted betting lines for this game.

Mississippi State vs Alabama injury updates

Mississippi State guard Kanye Clary is out for the season. Alabama had three players out on Saturday: Latrell Washington Jr., Derrion Reid and Houston Mallette.

How to watch Mississippi State vs Alabama: Time, TV channel, live stream

Mississippi State vs Alabama will air on ESPN2. Tipoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. Streaming is available via FUBO.

Mississippi State vs Alabama predictions, picks

Alabama 88, Mississippi State 75: The Bulldogs just can’t seem to solve Alabama. It’s hard to see them keeping up offensively, especially after the feeble defensive second half against Oklahoma.

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Sam Sklar is the Mississippi State beat reporter for the Clarion Ledger. Email him at ssklar@gannett.com and follow him on X @sklarsam_.

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Why Jeff Lebby said Kamario Taylor is focus of Mississippi State 2026 roster rebuild

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Why Jeff Lebby said Kamario Taylor is focus of Mississippi State 2026 roster rebuild


STARKVILLE — Kamario Taylor stepped to his left in the pocket, then the Mississippi State football quarterback side-stepped to his right to make three Ole Miss defenders whiff on a sack.

He dashed up field with just one more defender to beat. Taylor juked him, scoring a 35-yard rushing touchdown.

That’s the player MSU coach Jeff Lebby said is the center of the 2026 roster rebuild on Nov. 28.

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It was after Taylor made his first career start in the Egg Bowl. Although it didn’t lead to a win, the 38-19 loss for the Bulldogs (5-7, 1-7 SEC) to No. 6 Ole Miss (11-1, 10-1) showed a potential future star for MSU at quarterback.

“As we continue to build it the right way and build these pieces of the roster around (Taylor) that’s going to be really important,” Lebby said. “I think we got somebody that’s going to catch a snap every single down and is going to be an elite player in this conference and in America.

“So building it the right way around him, creating stability for him will be huge. We’ve got to go get the pieces up front, offensively, and that will be a huge point of emphasis as we ready for the portal piece of it.”

Evaluating Kamario Taylor’s first Mississippi State start

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The Egg Bowl wasn’t the first extended playing time this season for Taylor, a four-star freshman from Noxubee County.

He replaced starter Blake Shapen twice in the final month of the season because of injuries. Taylor played in all but two games, mainly for his running ability.

The 6-foot-4, 200-pound Taylor led MSU to a 97-yard opening drive touchdown against Ole Miss. He scored on a 22-yard rushing touchdown. The offense struggled after that though, scoring six points until Taylor’s 35-yard rushing touchdown in the fourth quarter.

“I feel like I could’ve executed a lot better,” Taylor said. “We left some stuff on the field. I wish I could get some plays back. Going into this, Coach Lebby made sure I was confident and Blake was very supportive of me, helping me learn like where they are going and what they’re trying to do to try to mess with me. He was very supportive, so I went into the game very confident.”

Taylor completed 15 of 31 passes for 178 yards and one interception on a pass that was tipped twice, one play after Taylor ran for a 39-yard gain. He rushed for 173 yards and two touchdowns, the first MSU quarterback since Garrett Schrader in 2019 to have over 100 rushing yards in a game.

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It wasn’t perfect, as demonstrated by his completion percentage below 50%. Taylor will have to keep improving his accuracy. But the play-making ability was evident as he eluded tackles. The debut start was enough to give hope for Mississippi State in 2026.

“Moving forward, we are going to do some special things at Davis Wade,” Taylor said. “We trust Coach Lebby 100%. We know he’s going to put us in the right positions, so we just got to execute.”

Sam Sklar is the Mississippi State beat reporter for The Clarion Ledger. Email him at ssklar@usatodayco.com and follow him on X @sklarsam_.



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The good, bad and ugly of Mississippi State football’s 2025 season

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The good, bad and ugly of Mississippi State football’s 2025 season


Mississippi State’s 38-19 loss to No. 7 Ole Miss in Friday’s Egg Bowl didn’t completely end its season.

At 5-7, if there aren’t enough six-win teams to fill out the schedule of bowl games, the Bulldogs could be invited to a bowl game.

However, it’s not very likely to happen and Friday is most likely the end of Mississippi State’s 2025 season.

It was a disappointing season, but there were some good things that should give the Bulldogs, and their fans hope for an even better 2026 season.

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Before we get too far into offseason storylines, let’s take a look back at the season and identify the good, bad and ugly things from Mississippi State’s season.

Big Passing Plays

Brenen Thompson and Anthony Evans III were two of the best transfer portal additions the Bulldogs made last offseason. A highlight reel play was always a possibility whenever they touched the ball.

Thompson was especially great. He had a team-high six touchdown receptions and 948 receiving yards. Most of this touchdown catches came on gains of at least 20 yards.

The explosive passing game was fun to see when it was working and showed some potential for what a Jeff Lebby offense can look like in Starkville.

Kamario Taylor

The true freshman quarterback is going to be main source of hope for Mississippi State fans. He was used sparingly until the Egg Bowl when he made his first start.

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Against the Rebels, Taylor ran for 173 yards and two touchdowns, while also completing 15-of-31 passes for 178 yards and an interception (that wasn’t really his fault).

Taylor’s the highest-rated high school quarterback to ever sign with Mississippi State and he showed flashes of greatness.

Offensive line play

One of the biggest reasons the Bulldogs won only two games was the play of its offensive line. They had rushers averaging just 3.9 yards per carry and gave up 38 sacks.

Mississippi State’s 2025 offensive line gave up 40 sacks.

Injuries certainly played a role in the season. Blake Steen played just one game and Albert Reese IV missed multiple games.

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But it’s concerning how the offensive line didn’t improve from last season despite bringing in a new offensive line coach.

It should’ve been a red flag when Mississippi State signed several offensive lineman after spring practices. Why wasn’t the need identified during the winter transfer portal window?

Run defense and pass rush

Opponents averaged nearly 190 rushing yards a game against Mississippi State’s defense. That’s a slight improvement on last season that had an average north of 200.

But anyone that saw the Bulldogs’ defense in the last few weeks saw teams run the ball at-will. Missouri’s Ahmad Hardy ran for 300 yards.

As for the pass rush, consider this: Will Whitson played a game and a half and finished second on the team in sacks, just a half sack behind the leader Nic Mitchell.

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Mississippi State recorded 20 sacks this season, which doubled last season’s total.

But the improvements weren’t enough and serious, major changes need to be made on the defensive side.



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Why Jeff Lebby turned to Kamario Taylor, benched Blake Shapen for Egg Bowl

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Why Jeff Lebby turned to Kamario Taylor, benched Blake Shapen for Egg Bowl


STARKVILLE — Mississippi State football coach Jeff Lebby said he thought hard about the team’s quarterback situation the day after its 49-27 loss to Missouri on Nov. 15.

Then he made the decision that many fans had been wanting. He benched quarterback Blake Shapen for freshman Kamario Taylor.

The Bulldogs kept the decision under wraps until Taylor trotted onto the field as the starter in the 2025 Egg Bowl. It was his first career start as MSU (5-7, 1-7 SEC) lost 38-19 to No. 6 Ole Miss (11-1, 7-1) at Davis Wade Stadium on Nov. 28.

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Shapen had been Mississippi State’s quarterback in all of the other games.

“Really, really hard decision for me,” Lebby said. “As we got back from Missouri, thought about it nonstop on Sunday. For me, as hard as it was to make, the results hadn’t been what we needed. For us, I felt like things had not been great for us up front. Who’s the guy that has the ability to make a couple of plays when things aren’t perfect?

“(Taylor) had done some good things, and I felt like it was the right time. For me, it was incredibly hard because of my love for Blake, his toughness and how he has led and continued to be exactly who he’s supposed to be. For me, really hard, but beginning of last week we made that decision.”

Taylor, a former four-star recruit from Noxubee County, led MSU on an opening-drive touchdown, but the offense was inconsistent for the rest of the game until a second touchdown in the fourth quarter.

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The 6-foot-4, 200-pound Taylor completed 15 of 31 pass attempts for 178 yards and one interception that tipped off the hands of two players. Where he was most impactful though was as a runner with 173 yards and two touchdowns.

“I was kind of nervous when he announced it,” Taylor said. “He didn’t announce it to the whole team, but he just told me. He asked me if I was nervous, and I told him nah, I wasn’t. But like, I was nervous.

“I knew that God gave me this ability to go showcase the things he allows me to do. I was pretty confident, but I was nervous, especially playing in a big game like that.”

How Blake Shapen handled getting benched for Kamario Taylor

Shapen not playing in the Egg Bowl meant the graduate senior’s career ended with a benching.

He played four seasons at Baylor before transferring to MSU in 2024. Shapen was the starter last season too, until suffering a season-ending fractured shoulder blade in Week 4.

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“I’m sure really hard,” Lebby said. “Incredibly hard. Blake’s poured a lot into this and he’s been an unbelievably consistent person inside our building for two years. And he’s been through a lot.

“For him not to have the ability to go do it today is hard for him. And it’s hard for me because of who he’s been, his toughness and how he has absolutely laid it on the line for me and this university. It’s really hard for him and hate that this was the end for him.”

Sam Sklar is the Mississippi State beat reporter for The Clarion Ledger. Email him at ssklar@usatodayco.com and follow him on X @sklarsam_.

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