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College Football Odds: Mississippi State over/under win total prediction

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College Football Odds: Mississippi State over/under win total prediction


Last year, it was an eight-win regular season under the late Mike Leach for Mississippi State Football. Now Zach Arnett takes over, hoping to continue the momentum Coach Leach started. It is time to continue our college football odds series with a Mississippi State football over/under win total prediction and pick.

Last year was a great year on the field, but a difficult year off the field for the Mississippi State Bulldogs. On the field, it was eight wins including an upset of Texas A&M and over their rival Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl on the road. They capped off the season with a 19-10 ReliaQuest Bowl victory that saw a touchdown on the last play of the game. Off the field, tragedy started in October, as freshman offensive lineman Samuel Westmoreland passed away. Then in December, head coach Mike Leach died and Zach Arnett was promoted to lead the team.

Now Zach Arnett will lead for a full season and hope to continue to positive momentum of the program. Will Rogers is back for the Bulldogs, as are his top-four wide receivers. Both featured running backs return for an offense that was solid last year. The Bulldogs lose a lot on defense though. Emmanuel Forbes and Cameron Young are off to the NFL, leaving huge holes in a defense that was not always the best.

Here are the College Football Odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

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College Football Odds: Over/Under Win Total Odds

Over 6.5 wins: +115

Under 6.5 wins: -135

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Why Mississippi State Can Win 6.5 Games 

Despite winning eight games in the regular season last year, the Bulldogs are projected to win less this year. Part of that is the schedule they face. According to ESPN FPI, they face the 23rd hardest schedule in the nation this year. To get to the over 6.5 win total, it will take a perfect non-conference schedule, while also pulling a few upsets.

To open the season, Mississippi State football hosts Southeastern Louisiana. That should be a win, but then an improved Arizona squad will be coming to town. The Bulldogs should be favored in the game, but this is not a spot they can slip up. Later in the season, they face Western Michigan and Southern Miss, both of which should also have Mississippi State as favorites. With a 4-0 non-conference schedule, the Bulldogs will be in a position where they only need three wins in conference play to get the over.

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There are three games in which the Bulldogs may be favored to win. They are South Carolina, Arkansas, and Auburn. The problem is that all three games are on the road this year. Two of the three teams currently rank below Mississippi in FPI, while Arkansas is slightly above. Winning on the road is difficult in the SEC, but for the over to hit, the Bulldogs must win two of those games. Their other game on the road is Texas A&M. They pulled the upset last year, and with it being later in the season, if the season has already gone south for Jimbo Fisher’s squad, they may be able to do it again, but that is unlikely.

The home slat is very difficult for the Bulldogs this year. Their first two conference home games are LSU and Alabama, most likely both losses. They get Kentucky and Ole Miss at home. They might be favored or just slight underdogs to Kentucky, but they will not be against Ole Miss. With this schedule, win number seven may come down to the Egg Bowl.

Why Mississippi State Can Not Win 6.5 Games

The schedule for Mississippi State football is brutal and cannot have a slip-up if they are to cover 6.5 wins. Zach Arnett is a first-time head coach, and before 2020 had not even coached at the power five level. Mississippi State is also sitting 91st in returning production. Mississippi State ranked 40th in the NCAA in opposing scoring, but they return only 43% of their production on defense last year. With a quarterback in Will Rogers that is prone to mistakes, they have to be able to defend.

When looking at the schedule, finding seven wins is difficult. The non-conference schedule should provide three, but Arizona has improved every year under Jedd Fisch. Arizona improved overall via recruiting and the transfer portal and should not be taken lightly. With that being an early season game with a new head coach, it is a spot primed for an upset. At a 3-1 record, Mississippi State would need to win four SEC games to hit seven.

There are not four SEC games to win though. The Bulldogs will be heavy underdogs to LSU and Alabama. LSU is returning a ton of production and Brian Kelly has done a great job recruiting. Alabama is still coached by Nick Saban, and as long as he is running the program, that is a loss for Mississippi State football. Texas A&M should be better than last year, and as for as much hate that Jimbo Fisher gets, he is a solid coach. That is a loss. Speaking of solid coaches, Hugh Freeze is one of them and he is inheriting a lot of talent at Auburn. Ole Miss will be roaring for revenge for last year’s Egg Bowl and is ahead of Mississippi State in terms of returning production this year. That there gives the Bulldogs five SEC losses.

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Final Mississippi State Over/Under Win Total Prediction & Pick

Mississippi State football is looking to take a step forward. At the same time, so is just about every other program in the SEC. Week one should provide a win, but Arizona will challenge the Bulldogs. Even with a win against Arizona, they will lose to LSU and Alabama in two of the next three weeks. After the Western Michigan game, Mississippi State will sit at 4-2. With much of the remaining schedule on the road, the Bulldogs will lose to Arkansas, Auburn, Kentucky, and Texas A&M before getting their next victory over Southern Miss. This means the Egg Bowl is just a fight for bowl eligibility and not to his the over. Mississippi State finishes a disappointing 5-7 on the year.

Final Mississippi State Over/Under Win Total Prediction & Pick: Under 6.5 (-135) 



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Missouri Baseball Drops Game One 4-3 Against No. 16 Mississippi State

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Missouri Baseball Drops Game One 4-3 Against No. 16 Mississippi State


The long ball was not enough to push the Missouri Tigers to a win against the No. 16 Mississippi State Bulldogs.

A three homer game gave the Tigers all of their runs and pushed them to a close game, but they couldn’t complete the comeback. Missouri dropped their third SEC game in a row, this one a 4-3 loss to Mississippi State. This loss officially eliminates the Tigers from a trip to Hoover for the SEC Tournament.

A solo home run in the second inning and a triple followed by a groundout in the third put Missouri down by two. Missouri would already have to fight from behind if they wanted a chance in the game.

The Tigers comeback was already mounting in the fourth inning when they brought themselves within one run. A solo shot from junior first baseman Danny Corona kicked off the scoring for Missouri.

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Mississippi State wasn’t going to make it easy on the Tigers, however. They got one run back in the fifth inning with a solo shot of their own to bring the difference back to two runs.

But Missouri didn’t seem content with that. They kicked off the sixth inning with back-to-back solo home runs from senior third baseman Trevor Austin and sophomore centerfielder Jackson Lovich. Despite being down initially, the Tigers had came back to tie the game and give themselves a chance.

But it didn’t last for long. Mississippi State retook the lead in the bottom half of the sixth after a walk, stolen base and a double pushed a runner across. This ended up being the deciding run for the game, as Missouri’s offense failed to bring another run across.

Missouri decided to send out junior right-hander Kaden Jacobi for his first start of his career in this game. He would do it against the No. 16 team in the country. Considering his opponents, he had quite a good start. He tossed three innings, giving up two runs on three hits. His main struggle came with the extra-base hits, such as the home run in the second inning and the triple in the third.

Jacobi was relieved by senior left-hander Ian Lohse in the fourth. He needed to keep the Tigers in the game and keep the Bulldogs from scoring, but gave up the go-ahead run in the sixth. Lohse threw three innings himself, with two runs on two hits. Junior Victor Quinn entered in the seventh.

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Missouri attempted to put graduate Jacob Peaden into the game to pitch in the seventh inning, but he was removed by the umpires after one pitch. It was said that Peaden could not pitch since he was not on the 27-man roster for the weekend. Another oddity for the Tigers squad was Lovich donning number 29 on his jersey, which belongs to junior Cameron Benson, instead of his usual 18.

Missouri’s record drops to 22-31 on the season and 8-20 in SEC play, while Mississippi State improves to 35-18 and 16-12. The Tigers will take the field for game two at 6 p.m. CT on Friday.



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MDOT eyeing new idea to improve traffic at Madison Co. intersection

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MDOT eyeing new idea to improve traffic at Madison Co. intersection


MADISON COUNTY, Miss. (WLBT) – A design feature other states have used to help alleviate traffic concerns at busy intersections could soon be used in Madison County.

The feature is called a “Green T,” and engineers are drawing up plans to incorporate one at Mississippi 463 and Stribling Road.

Central District Transportation Commissioner Willie Simmons discussed plans at a recent Madison County Board of Supervisors meeting.

He said design work was underway but didn’t say when plans would be completed or how much the work would cost.

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“Hopefully, we will be able to put that in place and it will give you some relief, but it’s not going to give you the relief that you need,” he said. “We just keep looking at ways to be able to enhance [463] but widening is not an option at this point.”

With a Green T, the intersection would be redesigned to better accommodate vehicles turning on and off Stribling Road, while also allowing a continuous flow of southbound traffic on 463.

“We looked at other states and they seem to help flow traffic in a situation like that. So, we’re going to try that in Madison,” he said. “That’s the first one we’re going to put in the state.”

Click here to see a video from the Indiana Department of Transportation showing how the intersections work.

This Indiana Department of Transportation video shows how a Green T intersection works

463 is one of the busiest east-west corridors in Madison County, with about 4,700 vehicles traveling it each day near Stribling Road, according to the Mississippi Department of Transportation’s website.

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A traffic study released by Kiser Traffic and Engineering in October 2023 showed both Stribling Road and Stribling Road Extension were over capacity, with the roads averaging 12,000 and 8,600 vehicles a day respectively.

State and county officials have been grappling with how to address traffic congestion in those areas for years.

Kiser’s report last year recommended widening Stribling to five lanes. Simmons believes the congestion will be alleviated once the Reunion Interchange is completed, giving residents another way to get to the interstate.

Simmons, meanwhile, says widening 463, a state highway, is off the table. “The closeness of homes and businesses that are located right next to the right-of-way, we don’t have any way of expanding it other than to buy up a lot of property and have folks move,” Simmons said. “That would not be a good play for us.”

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Your Mississippi forecast for Thursday, May 16 – SuperTalk Mississippi

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Your Mississippi forecast for Thursday, May 16 – SuperTalk Mississippi



Photo courtesy of TeleSouth Communications Inc.

Northern Mississippi

It will be sunny today with highs in the upper 80s. Tonight will be mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms and lows in the mid to upper 60s.

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Central Mississippi

Expect to see patchy fog in the morning. Today will be sunny with a slight chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms and highs in the upper 80s. Tonight will be mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall is possible after midnight. Lows will be in the mid to upper 60s.

Southern Mississippi

You may see patchy fog this morning. Today will be sunny with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and highs near 90. Tonight will be mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall possible after midnight. Lows will be in the upper 60s.

Severe weather is possible tonight

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There’s a chance of severe weather that could result in widespread flash flooding in parts of Mississippi tonight and into Friday. According to the National Weather Service in Jackson, damaging winds and hail are possible, and tornadoes can’t be ruled out.

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Copyright 2024 SuperTalk Mississippi Media. All rights reserved.





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