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NOAA's Long-Range Winter Forecast Details Louisiana's Odds for Icy Weather

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NOAA's Long-Range Winter Forecast Details Louisiana's Odds for Icy Weather


LAFAYETTE, La. (KPEL News) – After an excruciatingly hot summer, some folks in Louisiana are hoping for a cooler winter to try and take the edge off. Some (especially students throughout the state) might even be hoping for some snow days this year.

However, the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) long-range forecast does not offer much to anyone hoping for a lot of cold and ice.

NOAA released its forecast last week, and it looks like the warm summer months will lead to warmer-than-usual winter months and fewer chances for frozen weather.

“The September-October-November (SON) 2024 temperature outlook favors above-normal temperatures across a majority of the contiguous U.S. with the largest probabilities (exceeding 60%) forecast for New England and parts of the Southwest,” NOAA said in an update issued on August 15. “Increased below-normal temperature probabilities are forecast for southwestern Alaska, while above-normal temperatures are more likely across northern Alaska.”

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On top of that, NOAA says that “La Niña is favored to develop during September-October-November,” with a roughly 70 percent chance of that forecast happening.

How Cold Will It Be?

We don’t have exact temperatures, but NOAA is predicting that temperatures will be higher than average this winter across the southwest and along the southern border.

In other words, you might not need the heavy winterwear quite so much this year.

And if you’re looking for a snow day, there’s a chance you’ll be disappointed.

According to the NOAA forecast, the chances of precipitation across the southwest and even across the southern part of the country into southern California will be experiencing less precipitation than normal – likely due to the impacts of the La Niña system expected to develop.

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The fall forecast from The Old Farmer’s Almanac, which is renowned for its long-range forecasts, cites “near-normal” temperatures for Louisiana

This means that temperatures will be in the lower 70s by the time we get to November, which will be a significant cool-off from September (upper 80s) and October (mid-70s).

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But after that comes winter, and the first frost of the season is expected to hit Louisiana around the time November is ending and December is coming around.

While that first frost is comforting, it doesn’t mean a very icy winter is in the cards.


READ MORE: Farmer’s Almanac Predicts the First Frost Dates of 2024 for Louisiana


Here’s the list of first frost dates for Louisiana, so you can see how quickly we’ll start getting that cooler weather.

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• Lafayette, La. – November 26, 2024

• Alexandria, La. – November 18, 2024

• Baton Rouge, La. – November 17, 2024

• Lake Charles, La. – November 28, 2024

• Monroe, La. – November 8, 2024

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• Natchitoches, La. – November 21, 2024

• New Orleans, La. – December 19, 2024

• Ruston, La. – November 8, 2024

• Shreveport, La. – November 16, 2024

The Top 9 States Louisiana ISN’T Moving To

Gallery Credit: Joe Cunningham

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Louisiana shooter Shamar Elkins made chilling remarks about ‘demons’ weeks before killing his 7 kids and their cousin

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Louisiana shooter Shamar Elkins made chilling remarks about ‘demons’ weeks before killing his 7 kids and their cousin


The deranged Army vet dad who gunned down his seven children and their cousin confessed he was drowning in “dark thoughts” and told his stepdad that some people “don’t come back from their demons” just weeks before the heinous killings, according to a report.

Shamar Elkins, 31, killed eight children — five girls and three boys ages 3 to 11 — and seriously wounded two women believed to be his wife and girlfriend when he went on a shooting rampage through Shreveport following an argument with his spouse around 6 a.m. Sunday.

Shamar Elkins, 31, told family he was drowning in “dark thoughts” just weeks before he gunned down his seven children and their cousin. Facebook/Shamar Elkins

Just weeks ago, on Easter Sunday, Elkins called his mother, Mahelia Elkins, and his stepfather, Marcus Jackson, and chillingly told them he was drowning in “dark thoughts,” wanted to end his life, and that his wife, Shaneiqua Pugh, wanted a divorce, the New York Times reported.

“I told him, ‘You can beat stuff, man. I don’t care what you’re going through, you can beat it,’” Jackson told the publication. “Then I remember him telling me: ‘Some people don’t come back from their demons.’”

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Mahelia Elkins said she was unclear what problems her son and his wife, who were married in 2024 and had four kids together, were dealing with, the Times reported.

But a relative of one of the wounded women said the couple was in the middle of separation proceedings and was due in court on Monday.

They had been arguing about their relationship coming to an end when Elkins — who was later killed by cops — opened fire, Crystal Brown told the Associated Press.

The killer father worked at UPS and served with the Louisiana Army National Guard from August 2013 to August 2020 as a signal support system specialist and fire support specialist, according to the Times.

A UPS coworker described Elkins as a devoted dad, but said he often seemed stressed and would pull his hair out, creating a lasting bald spot, the publication reported.

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Elkins worked at UPS and served with the Louisiana Army National Guard from August 2013 to August 2020 as a signal support system specialist and fire support specialist. Facebook/Shamar Elkins

Elkins’ mother noted that she had reconnected with her son more than a decade ago after leaving him to be raised by a family friend, Betty Walker. She had Elkins when she was a teenager and struggling with a crack cocaine addiction.

Walker said that she did not witness the shootings on Sunday morning but knew that Elkins shot his wife several times in the head and stomach, the paper reported.

She last saw the deranged father when his family came over for dinner just last weekend — but noted he did not appear off at the time.

“I was getting up this morning to make myself some coffee, and I got the call,” Walker recalled. “My babies — my babies are gone.”

Elkins also had two previous convictions, including for driving while intoxicated in 2016 and for the illegal use of weapons in 2019, the outlet said.

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In March 2019, a police report detailed that the National Guard vet had pulled a 9 millimeter handgun from his waistband and shot at a vehicle five times after a driver pulled a handgun on him — with one of the bullets being discovered near a school where children were playing.

Most of the victims were shot in the head while they slept. AP

The victims killed by Elkins have been identified as Jayla Elkins, 3; Shayla Elkins, 5; Kayla Pugh, 6; Layla Pugh, 7; Markaydon Pugh, 10; Sariahh Snow, 11; Khedarrion Snow, 6; and Braylon Snow, 5. Seven of the eight were his own children, and the eighth was their cousin. They were all found dead inside their home in Shreveport.

Most of the victims were shot in the head while they slept, Shreveport Police Department spokesman Christopher Bordelon told NBC News.

One child was killed on the roof while trying to escape, police said.

Elkins, who was later killed by police during an attempted carjacking, also shot and wounded two women — the mothers of his children — during his murderous rage.

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He shot his wife in the face at the home with the eight kids, Bordelon told the outlet. The other injured victim is believed to be Elkins’ girlfriend, who was shot in a separate house nearby, the police spokesperson added.

Elkins shared four of the slain children with his wife and three with the other injured woman, according to Brown.

If you or someone you know is affected by any of the issues raised in this story, call the National Domestic Violence Hotline at 1.800.799.SAFE (7233) or text START to 88788.



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At least 8 children killed in shooting in Louisiana, US

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At least 8 children killed in shooting in Louisiana, US


Yasin Gungor

19 April 2026Update: 19 April 2026

At least eight children were killed and two others were wounded in a shooting in the US state of Louisiana, local police said Sunday.

Shreveport Police Department spokesperson Christopher Bordelon said officers responded to the shooting just after 6 am (1100GMT), following a domestic disturbance call.

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The age of the deceased ranged from one to 14 years, he said, adding that the incident involved at least 10 individuals across four separate locations.

The suspect attempted to flee by carjacking a vehicle and driving to neighboring Bossier City, where police located and shot him dead.

Bordelon said Shreveport police officers pursued the suspect’s vehicle into Bossier, where three officers discharged their firearms, killing him. He said investigators believe the suspect was the only person who opened fire at the locations.

Shreveport Mayor Tom Arceneaux described the attack as “maybe the worst tragic situation we’ve ever had,” adding: “It’s a terrible morning.”

No immediate information was available about the condition of the injured.

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‘Growth pays for growth’: Entergy’s Fair Share Plus model to save Louisiana customers $2.8 billion

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‘Growth pays for growth’: Entergy’s Fair Share Plus model to save Louisiana customers .8 billion


As Louisiana becomes a destination for multibillion-dollar technological investments in the rapidly-expanding data center sector, leaders, including President Trump and Governor Landry, have developed strategies to support that growth without



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