Kentucky
FIU vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 8
Yonke’s prediction: Even if the Hilltoppers are expected to win, be wary of them covering this 7.5-point spread.
Photo By – Imagn Images. Florida International Panthers running back Kejon Owens (5) breaks a tackle.
Week 8 kicks off tonight as the Florida International Panthers look for their first league win against a tough Western Kentucky Hilltoppers team.
The Panthers hope to lean on their ground game in what’s an advantageous matchup on paper, hoping to keep things within striking distance.
See why I fancy the underdog with my Florida International vs. Western Kentucky predictions and college football picks for Tuesday, October 14.
Kickoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, with the game airing on ESPNU.
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FIU vs Western Kentucky prediction
FIU vs Western Kentucky best bet: FIU +7.5 (-108)
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have been the better team this season, but that doesn’t mean they’re going to win by more than 7.5 points on Tuesday night. The records indicate that — WKU is 5-1, whereas the Florida International Panthers are 2-3 — and so does the spread.
Still, WKU hasn’t dominated teams. The Hilltoppers have won their last two games by an average of 4.0 points. They did beat a terrible Nevada team by 15 points, but were blown out 21-45 by Toledo before that.
WKU has one of the best passing attacks in the Group of Five, led by quarterback Maverick McIvor (284 passing ypg). FIU’s defensive strength lies in its secondary, which held each of its first four opponents to below 6.8 yards per pass attempt.
The lone demerit on the schedule was a big one, when UConn threw for 377 yards and four scores, but the Panthers were without two starters (Brian Blades II and Shamir Sterlin), who are expected back in Week 8.
FIU runs the ball well (48th in EPA per rush, 11th in rushing explosiveness) and should exploit a porous WKU rush defense (123rd in PFF’s rush defense grade, 124th in tackling).
FIU vs Western Kentucky same-game parlay
Matthew Henry is WKU’s go-to receiver, leading all pass catchers in snaps played, targets (34), and receiving yards (377). He’s recorded 172 receiving yards over his last two games and will be relied upon to lead the charge again in Week 8.
FIU should be able to find success on the ground against a WKU defense that has already surrendered 1,175 rushing yards, and the Panthers aren’t exactly trustworthy on defense lately after surrendering 37.8 ppg in their last four contests.
FIU vs Western Kentucky SGP
- FIU +7.5
- Over 57.5
- Matthew Henry Over 63.5 receiving yards
Our deep-ball SGP: Panthers pounce!
FIU’s best chance is to establish the running game early, keeping things close in the first half.
WKU has the best passing attack in CUSA and should have more successful days than not in conference play, especially when playing at home against a reeling FIU defense.
FIU vs Western Kentucky SGP
- FIU +7.5
- Over 57.5
- Matthew Henry Over 63.5 receiving yards
- Macerick McIvor Over 290.5 passing yards
- FIU first half +6.5
- FIU second quarter +2.5
FIU vs Western Kentucky game predictions
FIU vs Western Kentucky moneyline prediction
Western Kentucky will move to 6-1 on the season with a victory at home against an FIU team program that’s dropped 10 consecutive road games.
FIU vs Western Kentucky spread prediction
FIU will cover the spread thanks to the favorable schematic advantages, leaning on a strong running game and a defense that’s better than it has shown lately, ranking 45th in success rate.
FIU vs Western Kentucky Over/Under prediction
This game will go Over the total as FIU’s rushing attack and WKU’s passing attack both find success.
FIU vs Western Kentucky odds
- Spread: FIU +7.5 | Western Kentucky -7.5
- Moneyline: FIU +250 | Western Kentucky -310
- Over/Under: Over 57.5 | Under 57.5
FIU vs Western Kentucky trend to know
FIU is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as an underdog. Find more college football betting trends for FIU vs Western Kentucky.
How to watch FIU vs Western Kentucky
| Location | Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY |
| Date | Tuesday, October 14, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPNU |
FIU vs Western Kentucky latest injuries
FIU vs Western Kentucky weather
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Asia Boone will return to Kentucky for senior year
Kentucky women’s basketball guard Asia Boone will be returning to Kentucky for her senior season, she announced.
Boone, who was a two-time All-Conference USA player at Liberty before arriving at Kentucky, averaged 10.1 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game this season. She was originally the team’s sixth man and at times, served as the backup point guard to Tonie Morgan, but she earned a starting role later in the season as she started in 19 of Kentucky’s 36 games.
The 5-foot-8 guard is the second confirmed returner for the 2026-27 squad, joining All-SEC First Team center Clara Strack, who will also be a senior this upcoming season.
She was one of two players this season who broke Rhyne Howard’s program record for threes made in a single season. Amelia Hassett finished the year with 99 threes made, setting the new program record, but Boone was just behind her with 96 made threes on 263 attempts (36.5%).
Boone’s highest-scoring game of the season was against Morgan State, when she had 21 points on 8-10 (5-7 3PT). She had 18 points in Kentucky’s win at LSU on New Year’s Day and topped that with a 19-point effort against Texas A&M on Feb. 12.
Want more Kentucky WBB Coverage? Join KSR+
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Kentucky
Where Kentucky turns following Donnie Freeman’s commitment to St. John’s
Kentucky quickly made its move on Syracuse star transfer Donnie Freeman in the portal, making immediate contact and hopping on a Zoom call before getting a visit scheduled for the following week. The Wildcats emerged as the likely landing spot, fighting off Alabama and UConn for his services — only for St. John’s and Tennessee to throw their hats into the ring and make their own late pushes going into the weekend.
There was serious optimism in Lexington that Mark Pope had batted down those Hail Mary throws by the Red Storm and Volunteers with a potential public commitment coming Sunday, only for the afternoon to turn into evening without a peep. Then came the late-night chatter that Rick Pitino had tossed another deep ball toward the end zone, an offer Freeman couldn’t refuse to ultimately land his services as the No. 19 overall player and No. 5 power forward in the On3 Industry Transfer Portal Rankings. Kentucky had its chance to keep the bidding war alive and potentially flip the momentum back, but the fat lady has officially sung.
That’s a tricky predicament for Pope and the Wildcats, who already passed on Colorado transfer and Florida State pledge Sebastian Rancik to continue their pursuit of Freeman. That came after Magoon Gwath (DePaul) and DeSean Goode (Miami (FL)), two other confirmed targets, committed elsewhere, along with the departures of Mo Dioubate (LSU) and Andrija Jelavic (Ohio State) from Pope’s second roster in Lexington.
So, uh, who is left for the Wildcats? Let’s separate the potential candidates into four categories.
“Gotta make Brad Stevens say no”
Two absolute gems remain at the position and could make all of the Pope Whiff doomers stop in their tracks: Iowa State’s Milan Momcilovic and Santa Clara’s Allen Graves. You know both names because Kentucky played each of them in the NCAA Tournament, the former knocking the Wildcats out in the Round of 32 and the latter nearly doing so with a dagger in the final seconds of regulation — only to be topped by Otega Oweh’s half-court miracle at the buzzer.
They’re ranked No. 1 and No. 3 at the position, respectively, and are obvious home-run hits if UK can make contact. The issue? Despite entering the portal, they prefer to keep their names in the draft and will likely do so with first-round guarantees. A return to college isn’t impossible for either — Graves sits at No. 32 in ESPN’s latest draft rankings while Momcilovic comes in at No. 43 — but you won’t even get a meeting without $5M as a starting point, with the bidding likely finishing at or near the $6M mark. Are you ready to back up the Brinks truck? That’s the only option if you want the prized forwards.
Trending the wrong way — quickly
Now, if you’re looking for better value, Saint Mary’s Paulius Murauskas and Iowa’s Alvaro Folgueiras are both technically available, sitting at No. 2 and 11 at the position, respectively. Kentucky has had exploratory conversations with both players — the latter was seen as a serious target this time last offseason, as well — and the talent is there. Murauskas averaged 18.4 PPG and 7.6 RPG on 48/33/84 splits with the Gaels this season and earned All-WCC honors in each of the last two years. That would do the trick. Folgueiras averaged 8.4 PPG, 3.6 RPG and 2.2 APG for the Hawkeyes, but is most famous for hitting the game-winning three to beat Florida in the NCAA Tournament. Maybe not a can’t-miss superstar, but pretty darn solid for a pivot.
But, heavy emphasis on technically available — because they both have On3 RPM picks in favor of other schools. Murauskas is projected to follow his former St. Mary’s coach, Randy Bennett, to Arizona State, while Folgueiras is expected to land at *sigh* Louisville. They haven’t made public commitments, but the clock is ticking and Pope would have to make up a lot of ground in a hurry.
Both are highly unlikely to wear the blue and white.
Realistic, but not a needle-mover
If you’re looking for somebody solid to join the fold, James Madison’s Justin McBride is the perfect candidate. Standing 6-7, 240 pounds following previous stops at Oklahoma State and Nevada, the versatile forward earned Third Team All-Sun Belt honors, averaging 15.3 PPG, 5.6 RPG and 1.5 APG on 49/40/78 splits as a junior in Harrisonburg. Before that, he averaged 7.8 PPG and 4.2 RPG as a sophomore with the Wolfpack and 2.5 PPG and 1.5 RPG as a freshman with the Cowboys.
Finding his fourth home in four years, McBride is scheduled to visit Lexington this week, he tells Jacob Polacheck of KSR+. That comes after a Zoom meeting with the staff last week.
He’s productive with experience as a journeyman, finally tapping into his potential as a former top-125 recruit out of high school after seeing his role increase as a junior. There is a lot to like there, but the idea was for the Plano, TX native to serve as a complementary plug-and-play backup, staggering minutes with the go-to starter. You absolutely take him, but with the idea that you still need much more.
Potential wildcards
No. 1 recruit Tyran Stokes is trending heavily toward Kansas — and he’s also more of a jumbo wing capable of playing 1-4 more than a true power forward — but the conversation starts there in terms of obvious names to upgrade talent on a roster desperate for upgrades. Whatever it takes if you’re Pope, no matter how unlikely.
The Wildcats have also been involved with No. 15 overall prospect Miikka Muurinen, who is undeniably talented, but there are maturity questions. North Carolina and Arkansas are among those to poke around, but there is a risk factor to keep in mind before automatically connecting those dots.
Pope went overseas to find Jelavic, so maybe that’s the path? It’s possible, but easier said than done when looking for obvious star talent. That was supposed to be the 6-11 forward, coming in with multiple years of eligibility and committing to Kentucky after a single conversation — exactly what you’d want when going down that road. The Wildcats weren’t able to see that process through and there is no guarantee the next international find won’t have similar year-one hiccups.
You also can’t rule out that another wave of portal announcements won’t come over the next 24 hours before things close tomorrow at midnight. Auburn’s Sebastian Williams-Adams is an intriguing option that popped up Monday, making himself available following a successful rookie season on the Plains. He started in 21 of 36 games for the Tigers, averaging 6.8 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 27.2 minutes per contest as a former four-star prospect out of high school.
You’re hoping and praying at that point that something presents itself that fits and elevates Kentucky’s ceiling in 2026-27. Odds are good — and someone will want to take the big pile of cash in Lexington — but no guarantees beyond the options already in front of us.
One thing we know for sure? Kentucky’s starting power forward will not be Donnie Freeman, and the search continues for Mark Pope.
Kentucky
Kentucky will get a visit from a forward with three-point upside
Over the weekend, it was reported that the Kentucky Wildcats and coach Mark Pope had interest in former James Madison forward Justin McBride. Now, per Jacob Polacheck of Kentucky Sports Radio, McBride will take a visit to Lexington.
The report states that McBride will visit with Kentucky on Wednesday, Apr. 22. He had previously stated that he wanted to visit, but had to clear up some transcript issues first. It appears that things are worked out there now.
McBride is a 6’8″, 230 lb forward who has versatility. He averaged 15.3 points and 5.6 rebounds last season, but also made 40% of his three-point attempts, making him the kind of stretch big Pope likes to use. He could start, or be a valuable player off the bench.
Pope needs some recruiting wins, and he needs some depth for next year’s team. Right now, there are still more questions than answers, and Big Blue Nation is getting restless. We will update this story after his visit and more news becomes available.
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