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Georgia Is A Clear Title Favorite — But The Odds Haven’t Mattered To TCU Yet

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Georgia Is A Clear Title Favorite — But The Odds Haven’t Mattered To TCU Yet


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Within the tightest pair of semifinals within the historical past of the School Soccer Playoff, each the most important favourite and the most important lengthy shot within the subject superior. Distinction, then, could be an applicable descriptor for the nationwide remaining between the TCU Horned Frogs and Georgia Bulldogs at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, on Monday.

No. 3 TCU opened the New Yr’s Eve slate with, within the phrases of coach Sonny Dykes, “a hell of a soccer sport.” The Horned Frogs’ shootout victory over No. 2 Michigan marked the third occasion within the playoff period of a group taking at the very least 7.5 factors to not solely cowl, however win outright.1 The “smash fest” forecast by Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy by no means materialized in Glendale, Arizona. As a substitute, the Horned Frogs’ 3-3-5 defensive system tamed the nation’s preeminent offensive line and stoned the Michigan floor assault a season-high 12 instances at or behind the road of scrimmage. After every week of far too many broadcast conversations about “physicality,” Michigan was held to 65 yards after contact, practically 30 fewer than it had amassed in every other sport all season. McCarthy, who had thrown two interceptions over the earlier seven video games mixed, had two passes returned for touchdowns within the Fiesta Bowl. Not that it was a nice-and-neat efficiency — it by no means is with TCU. The chaos-smitten Horned Frogs withstood a late landing barrage to develop into the primary group in at the very least 18 years to permit greater than 31 second-half factors to a top-five opponent and nonetheless win.

It was the newest sudden chapter for TCU, which 14 months in the past parted methods with Gary Patterson, the winningest coach in program historical past — a person who was honored with a statue on campus throughout his tenure — because it completed 3-6 in convention play for the second time in three seasons. Dykes, Patterson’s successor, didn’t inherit a program with championship aspirations of any type: TCU was given 200-1 playoff odds2 and was picked to complete seventh within the Large 12 within the preseason media ballot. Irrespective of: The Air Raid acolyte has already delivered one of the spectacular one-year turnarounds in current reminiscence, bringing the Horned Frogs to inside a sport of their first nationwide title for the reason that knitted uniform was phased out. 

Within the New Yr’s Eve nightcap, an eerily timed subject aim try pulled vast within the remaining seconds to cement a 1-point win for top-ranked Georgia over No. 4 Ohio State. With poise befitting the defending nationwide champions, the Bulldogs twice rallied from 14-point deficits to advance to a 3rd nationwide remaining up to now six seasons. Since 2004, groups that entered the fourth quarter trailing top-four opponents by two touchdowns — as Georgia did within the Peach Bowl — had misplaced 516 of a doable 522 video games. However mature quarterback play from Stetson Bennett IV guided the Bulldogs to 3 scoring drives over the ultimate 11 minutes, together with a go-ahead 10-yard landing go to receiver Adonai Mitchell with 54 seconds remaining. Mortality was a singular search for the Bulldogs, who’ve skilled simply three single-digit outcomes up to now 29 video games.3

Georgia’s return to the nationwide remaining doesn’t come as a lot of a shock to those that have watched the Bulldogs disassemble opponents this season. In the meantime, not even probably the most loyal followers in Fort Value might have envisioned TCU on the summit.4 However all the identical, TCU is one win away from a storybook ending not like something produced within the fashionable period.

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Story of the nationwide championship tape

Effectivity scores (and nationwide rankings) for Georgia and Texas Christian heading into the 2023 School Soccer Playoff championship sport

Crew Eff. Rk Eff. Rk Eff. Rk Eff. Rk
Georgia 89.4 4 86.9 2 45.9 84 92.5 1
TCU 81.6 9 72.7 19 54.6 49 82.7 7

Source: ESPN.com

After all, it stands to motive that the most important lengthy shot to a lot as seem within the playoff (a lot much less win it) would have only a few on-paper benefits over a titan. In accordance with ESPN’s effectivity scores, Georgia has the extra environment friendly offense and protection, with TCU solely holding the sting in particular groups. There’s a motive the Bulldogs are 70 % favorites in our forecast mannequin.

In 5 video games in opposition to top-25 defenses this season,5 Georgia’s offense has scored 20 touchdowns, 11 of which got here within the two most up-to-date outings. Bennett, a Heisman finalist, is protected by projected first-round left sort out prospect Broderick Jones and throws to the very best pair of tight ends within the nation: Mackey Award winner Brock Bowers and doable first-round decide Darnell Washington.6 In whole, that is arguably Georgia’s finest offense within the playoff period. 

Is that this UGA’s finest offensive group of the playoff period?

Yearly offensive metrics for the Georgia Bulldogs, 2014-2022

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Season Offensive Effectivity Factors/Drive Adjusted QBR EPA/Play
2022 89.4 3.28 85.5 0.27
2021 88.4 3.07 86.4 0.22
2020 73.9 2.53 77.9 0.11
2019 69.4 2.47 76.3 0.11
2018 88.9 3.18 85.2 0.25
2017 85.9 2.79 84.9 0.18
2016 46.3 1.74 55.4 0.00
2015 54.8 1.87 61.9 0.01
2014 87.8 3.10 82.4 0.23

Source: ESPN Stats & Info Group

Dykes’ offense at TCU is led by Heisman runner-up Max Duggan at QB and Quentin Johnston, maybe the very best vast receiver prospect within the nation, catching passes. In 5 video games in opposition to top-25 defenses,7 the Horned Frogs produced 21 offensive touchdowns, with a lot of the fireworks reserved for the video games’ remaining half-hour. Solely Michigan and Ohio State averaged extra second-half factors than TCU (20.3), which at instances appeared to imagine first-half deficits had been a requirement. With a dual-threat maestro in Duggan,8 stability is important to the TCU offense. Dykes’ offense was thrown off-kilter when all-conference working again Kendre Miller left within the first half in opposition to Michigan resulting from a knee damage. It stays to be seen if Miller will probably be wholesome sufficient to play within the nationwide remaining, which might be a major loss for an offense that ranked within the high 25 in EPA per rush this season.

Defensively, that is Georgia’s fourth-best unit within the playoff period by defensive effectivity, an absurd testomony to the machine-like system refined in Athens by coach Kirby Sensible. Final season, the Bulldogs had a file 5 defensive gamers chosen within the first spherical of the NFL draft. This season, they reloaded and as soon as once more set the usual within the SEC. That stated, the tooth of the Georgia protection struggled to include Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud within the semifinal and is coming off a efficiency by which it allowed the very best adjusted completion charge (77.1 %) and third-lowest sort out charge (81 %) of the season. It won’t be a lot simpler for Georgia to get dwelling in opposition to TCU, which saved Duggan upright for practically your complete sport in opposition to a Michigan entrance line that completed the common season tied for second within the Large Ten in sacks, whereas the Horned Frogs gashed the Wolverines for 263 yards speeding. 

The welcome mat is seldom rolled out for first-time playoff individuals. Three of the 4 most up-to-date novices9 every misplaced by greater than 20 factors. Beneath a first-year coach, as a consultant of a convention that was 0-4 within the playoff period, TCU performed its semifinal with home cash and cashed in. The reward is almost each doable drawback in a matchup with Georgia, which gained its eightieth sport underneath Sensible on Saturday. Oddsmakers are effectively conscious: The Bulldogs opened as 13.5-point favorites with an opportunity to develop into the third group within the playoff period to go 15-0 and win the nationwide championship.10 However that line is on-brand for the Horned Frogs, an missed, undervalued curler coaster of a group that overtly acknowledges the haves-and-have-nots dynamic within the sport with an acceptance of its conventional place among the many latter. A contrast-laden nationwide remaining could be on faucet to resolve the championship, however the underdog could have one final trick left up its sleeve for the grand finale.

Take a look at our newest school soccer predictions.

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OnPolitics: Trump and Biden’s debate is in Atlanta, Georgia. Here’s why that matters

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OnPolitics: Trump and Biden’s debate is in Atlanta, Georgia. Here’s why that matters


Hey OnPolitics readers! After it appeared voters wouldn’t get the chance to see the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates square off this year, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump agreed to two debates last week.

The first debate will take place June 27 in Atlanta − welcome news for the city, which was one of three finalists bidding to host the 2024 Democratic National Convention, USA TODAY’s Melissa Cruz reported. It ultimately lost out to Chicago, but it wasn’t because of the lack of political drama in Georgia.

The debate’s location has history for Trump and will likely give him and Biden plenty to spar over.

❓What is Trump’s history with Fulton County, Georgia? The debate will be held at CNN’s studios, nestled in the center of Fulton County, which overlaps with Atlanta. The studios are less than a mile from the State Farm Arena, which served as a ballot processing site during the 2020 election. State Farm Arena quickly became the subject of conspiracy theories about illicit votes spread by Trump and his associates on social media in the hours following the election. 

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Prep for the polls: See who is running for president and compare where they stand on key issues in our Voter Guide

Prep for the polls: See who is running for president and compare where they stand on key issues in our Voter Guide

🏢Fulton County courthouse: After an investigation by the Fulton County District Attorney’s Office, Trump became the first former president to be indicted on felony charges in Georgia. He and 18 allies were charged with trying to interfere with the 2020 presidential election in Georgia after pressuring state officials to overturn the results.

🎯Georgia’s potential as a swing state: Biden was certified as the first Democrat to win Georgia in almost three decades, defeating Trump by nearly 12,000 votes. Georgia will remain a crucial swing state for the candidates in the 2024 election. Both Trump and Biden have made multiple stops in the Peach State during their reelection campaigns, showing how vital these votes are to the candidates.

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Read more: The June 27 Biden-Trump debate will be in Atlanta, a city rich with political drama

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Georgia Lottery compliance inspector arrested by GBI

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Georgia Lottery compliance inspector arrested by GBI


An employee of the Georgia Lottery Corporation was recently arrested by the Georgia Bureau of Investigation.

Michael Kessler, 62, was employed as a compliance inspector.

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Georgia Lottery reportedly received allegations that Kessler was accepting bribes from store owners and asked the GBI to investigate immediately.

On May 13, the GBI executed a search warrant of Kessler’s home in Rockedale County.

Kessler was booked into the Rockdale County Jail and then taken to the Henry County Jail.

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This investigation is active and ongoing. The Georgia Lottery has been working with the GBI to provide any support needed for the investigation. Anyone with information is encouraged to contact the GBI Office of Special Investigations and Commercial Gambling Unit at 404-270-8491. Anonymous tips can also be submitted by calling 1-800-597-TIPS (8477), online at https://gbi.georgia.gov/submit-tips-online, or by downloading the See Something, Send Something mobile app.



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Georgia Statute of Limitations Not Automatically Tolled in Negligent Security Cases

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Georgia Statute of Limitations Not Automatically Tolled in Negligent Security Cases


Insurers covering property in Georgia could be on the hook for personal injuries occurring on the premises if the property owners and property managers do not fulfill their duty to exercise ordinary care in keeping their premises and approaches safe, pursuant to the state’s premises liability law, O.C.G.A. § 51-3-1. In 2023, the Georgia Supreme Court ruled in Georgia CVS Pharmacy, LLC v. Carmichael that this duty extends to exercising ordinary care to protect invitees from reasonably foreseeable and preventable criminal acts.

For personal injury claims, the statute of limitations in Georgia is two years. The two-year statute of limitations is measured from the date of injury, and a lawsuit filed after the expiration of the statute of limitations is subject to dismissal.

However, in negligent security cases, sometimes the statute of limitations is extended if there is a criminal prosecution. O.C.G.A. § 9-3-99, the statute that governs the tolling of limitations for tort actions while criminal prosecution is pending, provides in full:

The running of the period of limitations with respect to any cause of action in tort that may be brought by the victim of an alleged crime which arises out of the facts and circumstances relating to the commission of such alleged crime committed in this state shall be tolled from the date of the commission of the alleged crime or the act giving rise to such action in tort until the prosecution of such crime or act has become final or otherwise terminated, provided that such time does not exceed six years, except as otherwise provided in Code Section 9-3-33.1.

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In short, if there is a criminal prosecution related to the underlying criminal act that forms the basis of a plaintiff’s lawsuit, the statute of limitations can have up to an additional six years added, meaning that a plaintiff could file their lawsuit as late as eight years after the actual incident occurred.

However, the tolling of the statute of limitations is not absolute. According to case law, a plaintiff who seeks to take advantage of the statute of limitations tolling bears the burden of establishing that they are entitled to such tolling.

Which Plaintiffs are Entitled to Tolling?

In determining whether a plaintiff is entitled to tolling of the statute of limitations, a claim analyst can check to see if the following facts are true:

  • The underlying crime that forms the basis of the plaintiff’s lawsuit was charged by law enforcement.
  • If the victim was an adult when the crime happened, the underlying crime occurred no more than eight years before the complaint was filed.
  • If the victim was a minor when the crime happened, the complaint either was filed not more than two years after they turned 18, or if the criminal prosecution is still pending, was filed not more than two years plus the remaining time of the criminal investigation, not to exceed an additional six years after they turn 18.
  • The time between the final resolution of the criminal prosecution and the filing of the complaint is no more than two years.
  • The plaintiff is not the one charged with the crime.
  • The plaintiff is not a family member of the victim of the crime bringing a wrongful death claim.
  • The plaintiff did not engage in mutual combat.

If all of the foregoing statements are not true, a plaintiff’s claim might not be entitled to tolling under the statute of limitations and could be subject to dismissal.

Why Is This Significant?

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To be entitled to tolling of the statute of limitations, a plaintiff must demonstrate that there was a criminal prosecution and the prosecution is either still pending or ended so recently that the statute of limitations did not expire prior to the filing of the lawsuit, and that the plaintiff meets the definition of a victim under the statute. Accordingly, the plaintiff must be the actual person injured or the estate of the person injured, and the plaintiff cannot have been charged with the alleged crime or have been engaged in mutual combat.

The application of this rule is of particular interest in cases where there is a potential defense based on the plaintiff engaging in mutual combat. A plaintiff who engaged in mutual combat is also not a victim under the statute O.C.G.A. § 17-14-2(b), which provides in pertinent part that a “‘[v]ictim’ shall not include any person who is concerned in the commission of such unlawful act.” O.C.G.A. § 16-2-20 has been interpreted to define those “concerned in the commission of an unlawful act” to include individuals engaged in or assisting in acts of mutual combat.

A motion for summary judgment on a statute of limitations defense still requires issues of disputed fact to be viewed in the light most favorable to the nonmovant. However, a plaintiff may not survive summary judgment merely on speculation or the contents of their pleadings. Where a plaintiff wishes to take advantage of statute of limitations tolling and there is a legitimate mutual combat defense, the plaintiff must present some evidence that they did not engage in mutual combat. This burden can be almost impossible for an estate to satisfy, as the estate was not present at the time of the incident and generally lacks first-hand knowledge of precisely what happened.

Being aware of when the statute of limitations is tolled and when it is not tolled may assist in dismissing many claims that plaintiffs might assume are tolled.

John “Jack” McCall is a civil defense attorney at Swift, Currie, McGhee & Hiers LLP in Atlanta, Georgia. His practice focuses on the defense of premises liability claims, including cases involving slip and falls, defective construction, elevator malfunction and negligent security.

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Read more on the Carmichael case and other negligent security/premises liability cases.

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