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What has gone wrong with the Atlanta Dream?

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What has gone wrong with the Atlanta Dream?


The Atlanta Dream have had an all around unfortunate and largely disappointing season. It’s hard to sugarcoat the ugly reality of how the past couple of months have gone — a span in which the Dream are 7-17 and are currently on the outside looking in with regards to the playoffs.

The bottom four teams in the 12-team WNBA do get the benefit of a weighted lottery draw at the number one pick in 2025 draft. However, as a result of the 2023 Allisha Gray trade with the Wings, the Dream owe Dallas their unprotected first-round pick next summer.

Of course, Gray has become a two-time All-Star, so that’s not to say the team would like a do over there, but there won’t be any significant ‘golden parachute’ for missing the playoffs this time around.

For a season when hype has surrounded both the team and the league as a whole, the play of the hometown team may have begun to turn off onlookers to the women’s game in Atlanta. It’s clear the entire organization is committed to winning now and in the future, and their record isn’t a reflection of that lack of commitment, but there may only be 16 games left to prove that to the fans in 2024.

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There are two very obvious reasons for the lackluster play of the hometown team, and they go hand in hand in some respect: the injuries and the offense.

Injuries

This one is pretty straightforward: the Dream have been struck by the injury bug. Bad. Arguably two of their three most important offensive players have missed significant time, and the direct replacements are just unable to produce at the needed level.

Rhyne Howard is currently in Paris with Team USA Basketball helping to bring home gold as part of the 3×3 women’s Olympic team, but she suffered a fluke ankle injury on June 19 in a game against the Minnesota Lynx, and due to this she missed a crucial 10-game stretch — a stretch in which the team went 1-9.

Howard’s importance to the team hardly can’t be overstated: she was named an All-Star in her first two seasons in the league, is the offensive focal point, and is the one who has the ball in her hands when the clock runs down. Her combination of scoring (15.4 points per game) and passing (3.4 assists per game) in her overall creation package is rare for a big guard, and that absence was felt as the Dream sagged to a 1-11 close to the pre-All-Star Break/Olympic portion of the season.

Jordin Canada, the nominal starting point guard, has only play four of a possible 24 games before the break mostly due to a right hand injury suffered in the offseason. In the four games she suited up — all without Howard — she was able to zip the ball around and juice the offense up to the needed standard.

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She likes to take a backseat scoring the ball (8.8 points per game) in exchange for ball distribution (6.0 assists per game, a mark that would rank sixth in the league if she qualified). Canada can operate in open space or in tight spaces, and is equally sharp at running a pick-and-roll or finding players cross-court popping open for three.

Here’s an ad hoc pick-and-roll where Canada draws a second defender and dumps it off for an easy score.

Canada can push the pace if necessary and find teammates on the break like below.

And one more example, this one threading the needle to create an easy shot for Haley Jones.

Unfortunately, just as she was getting back into the rhythm of basketball, the point guard suffered a broken finger in a game against the New York Liberty on June 30 and missed the final six games before the break. In Canada’s absence has been a mix of Haley Jones, Crystal Dangerfield and Destanni Henderson, but none of them provide the dribble penetration or court vision Canada brings to the table.

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In total, the Dream have yet to have all of Howard, Canada, and Allisha Gray on the court for a single minute through the first 24 games of the season — and that clearly is not a recipe for success.

Offense

The performance of the offense can’t be completely separated from the many issues on the injury front. But as it stands now, the offense is sitting in 12th place, making that the side of the ball the singularly glaring reason for the poor record so far. Their 96.2 offensive rating is the same distance from 11th place (the Chicago Sky at 99.8) as the Sky are to the sixth place Indiana Fever (103.4).

In a similar vein, the team has the worst effective field goal percentage (eFG%) in the league at a brutal 45.1, more than four percentage points than even league average. The only team in their vicinity is the Chicago Sky, who have the benefit of Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso to rebound a significant portion of their team’s own misses.

So yeah, it’s been bad.

The shotmaking, and especially so in the three-point shooting, has been a clear issue.

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The Dream are shooting a league-worst 24% from the corner — the shortest three-point shot and one that’s almost always an easier catch-and-shoot attempt — despite attempting the third-highest rate of their threes from there (22% of three-point attempts).

Overall, they take the second-fewest shots in the league from three as a percentage of their field goal attempts. Instead, their shot diet is very heavy on inefficient mid-range shots — by far taking the most in the WNBA from 10-feet out the the three-point line. This accounts for 27% of their attempts, a rate even higher when in the halfcourt offense.

Coach Tanisha Wright has the team set up to run a motion offense, where most of the separation comes from running around screens off-ball (usually set by bigs at the elbow or in the paint). A staple set is to run a ‘floppy action’ with two perimeter players finding space to curl into an elbow touch. This means having two bigs who can set screens in the paint is key for the guards and wings find space to receive the ball.

But while Tina Charles has made a strong return from a season away from the game, Cheyenne Parker-Tyus has unfortunately been unable to reprise her All-Star season from a year ago.

This, in part, prompted Wright to move Parker-Tyus to the bench for Nia Coffey after attempting to start ‘CPT’ with Charles in a double big lineup to begin the season. But the lack of spacing — as well as a lack in defensive range — quickly seemed destined to fail.

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These kinds of possessions happened too often in the first half of the season: Haley Jones drives in transition with Tina Charles trailing in filling the lane as well. Parker-Tyus, just a 26% three-point shooter, is caught between getting to her reliable spot in the post and spacing the floor, and so she puts up an early long two.

Most of Atlanta’s bigs have flashed touch from long range, but often from a step or two inside the three-point arc. Parker-Tyus, Charles, Naz Hillmon have all shown consistency in spotting up for long twos, but in today’s game of basketball, that extra point behind the line is key.

And certainly that trio of bigs is comfortable scoring from the post. But having a post up-heavy offense with two starting-caliber bigs that aren’t super comfortable passing out of double teams (without even mentioning the lack of spacing around them) has hampered the offense in a major way — as I outlined above.

This is a tough attempt from Charles, the queen of tough attempts throughout the season. DeWanna Bonner help pushes Charles into a baseline fadeway over the concrete base of Alyssa Thomas.

So to recap, the motion offense by design has produced a lot of spot up attempts from long two. And the offense is being ran without the projected starter at point guard for the vast majority of the season. And the spacing from the usual benefit of the corner three has completely abandoned the team.

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All of these things and more have added up to an anemic offense thus far.

With the hopeful return of healthy players after the break, and a little more urgency in firing threes after the promotion of 3-and-D specialist Nia Coffey to the starting lineup — as the return of sharpshooting guard Maya Caldwell — there’s hope the Dream can put up more points in the games ahead. But the team remains behind the 8-ball in terms of making the playoffs, three games back of the Sky for eighth place.

They have 16 games left to play in 2024. The question is now: can they salvage what’s left of the season?

*all stats per Basketball-Reference



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Atlanta, GA

Atlanta poised for MLS Cup run after upset of Messi, Miami

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Atlanta poised for MLS Cup run after upset of Messi, Miami


It is a gloomy morning in Atlanta, but for Brad Guzan, it feels like a warm, sunny day. The veteran Atlanta United goalkeeper could have been planning his offseason, gone fishin’ for a few weeks while he waited for news of what the team will look like in 2025. Instead, he’s in his normal routine. He’s working. He’s preparing for a match. And he’s happy.

“It feels that much better when you’re training with a real purpose, hopefully for MLS Cup,” Guzan said to ESPN.

His stops on Lionel Messi, Luis Suárez and the rest of Inter Miami’s superstar squad earned him the right to keep working. Atlanta won the second two matches of a three-game series in Round One of the MLS Cup playoffs.

Even in the first game, the 40-year-old Guzan looked like a goalkeeper in top form. He made eight saves in the defeat, then one in the home victory and nine in the critical clincher, a 3-2 win at Chase Stadium in Fort Lauderdale that vanquished one of the best MLS teams of all time and sent Atlanta into the next round.

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Guzan and Atlanta United now are preparing for the Eastern Conference semifinal against Orlando City, three steps away from lifting MLS Cup.

“We’re probably not as shocked as people on the outside that we’re in this position,” Guzan said.

Not as shocked, but maybe still a bit surprised. After all, Inter Miami didn’t just have a lot of stars. The team put together the best-ever MLS regular season, earning 74 points to set a record for most points in a campaign.

And Atlanta United didn’t just have a rocky season. They fired manager Gonzalo Pineda after winning just four of their first 16 matches. They fired technical director Carlos Bocanegra after the summer transfer window. Even before Bocanegra’s departure, the team had started to strip the roster for parts, preparing for a winter overhaul with a new general manager and a new coach giving their input about the right players to bring to the club.

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Standout attacking midfielder Thiago Almada left for Botafogo for what the club said was a league-record fee. Consistent forward Giorgos Giakoumakis joined Liga MX side Cruz Azul. Atlanta also let go of homegrown product Caleb Wiley, who moved to Chelsea.

The Five Stripes received $42 million in combined transfer fees for the trio. The soccer-valuation site Transfermarkt assesses what’s left of Atlanta United’s squad at little more than $36 million.

The team wasn’t left entirely to fend for itself. Russian forward Aleksei Miranchuk arrived from Serie A and was an important part of Atlanta’s three playoff wins so far. They also added left back Pedro Amador, who has impressed and registered four assists in the playoffs.

Incoming players must beat out the existing players, though, something Guzan knows well. After an inconsistent 2023, the team signed Josh Cohen, a goalkeeper with UEFA Champions League experience after several seasons starting at Maccabi Haifa. Yet, Guzan kept the No. 1 job despite competition from the younger player.

“I’ve always said I don’t need an external motivator for me to go into work and train and ultimately go into games,” Guzan said. “I’m my biggest critic. I fully expect a club of Atlanta United’s level to bring in players to challenge at all positions — not just goalkeeper — and I’m not naive to think I’m going to play forever. But I do think I’m able to offer something to the group that is beneficial.

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“Obviously, last year wasn’t ideal from an individual standpoint, so it was a moment I wanted to try and rectify.”

Guzan should be able to consider it forgiven by Atlanta’s passionate fan base, one that has come to expect success since the team won MLS Cup in 2018, its second season in existence.

Since then, expectant fans have largely been disappointed. Atlanta returned to the Eastern Conference final in 2019 but hadn’t won a playoff series until their upset of Miami this month.

This year didn’t look like it would be the year that changed that, but the team started gathering momentum late in the year under interim manager Rob Valentino. They lost just once in their last six and secured victories over the New York Red Bulls and Orlando City in the last two weeks of the season to reach the postseason. Once there, they fought CF Montreal to a 2-2 draw with Guzan making a save in the penalty shootout to set up the first-round showdown with Inter Miami.

A May win in Fort Lauderdale, plus a September draw with the Herons in Atlanta helped boost belief that the Five Stripes could hang with the top seed.

“They had a great season, they set the point record and obviously have big-name players, but we went into it with confidence,” Guzan said.

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Some of that confidence came from Guzan. A goalkeeper who has been in big moments for the U.S. national team and with Aston Villa in the Premier League, it was evident early on in the series that Guzan wasn’t going to go quietly in the series. From the saves he made to the viral moment in which he ended up stuck in the net after a shove while Miami tried to chase the match, Guzan set the tone for the rest of the Atlanta team.

“I think he has an intense focus, almost a look in his eyes that ‘this is go time,’” Valentino told ESPN. “When the team can see something like that, I think it’s infectious.

“He makes a save, and he’s got some aura about him almost. It bleeds through the team. His voice alone is something the team feeds off of, and he’s been huge in this run of games.”

As the lowest seed left in the playoffs, Atlanta United now go on the road again to face Orlando City. The team will need to look to Guzan’s example — plus get performances from field players like the ones they got against Miami — if the journey will continue. Yet, there once again is internal belief that they can secure an upset.

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“Ultimately, what I’ve been telling the group is that it doesn’t matter what anybody said on the outside — good or bad,” Valentino said. “It wasn’t me fostering [confidence], it was us fostering it together and having internal belief in ourselves and what we can do on the field. The way we operate on a day-to-day basis? People can’t see that.”

While very few people expected Atlanta to get to that point, and even some on the inside had to be doubting their chances, the team feels they now have a clear goal — one that they are three wins away from securing.

“It has to be MLS Cup,” Guzan said. “It’s about trophies. It’s about winning, especially at this point in the season.”

It’s a goal that would keep him working well into December, keep the cold winter feeling plenty pleasant and would continue to shock just about everyone, maybe even Atlanta United themselves.



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Atlanta, GA

Report says Atlanta rental prices down 8.1% versus last year

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Report says Atlanta rental prices down 8.1% versus last year


A new report on national and metro-specific rental prices showed that the costs to rent a one or two-bedroom apartment across the United States remains in flux.

However, while national rent prices on one-bedroom apartments was mostly unchanged, two-bedroom prices had started to drop. In Atlanta, the report from Zumper said prices for the metro had fallen 8.1% since this time last year.

In October, one-bedroom apartments in Atlanta had a median price of $1,600, while two-bedrooms had a median cost of $2,030.

Zumper said that makes Atlanta the 27th most expensive rental market in the country, on a ranking of the top 100 most expensive markets. Month-over-month, Zumper said rent prices in Atlanta for a one-bedroom apartment were unchanged, but had fallen by 6.4% compared to last year.

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When it comes to two-bedroom apartments, costs fell 2.3% in the past month and 8.1% compared to the year before.

Among state-level rents, Georgia was 2.8% higher than the national median, according to Zumper’s report and middle-of-the-pack for the seven swing states closely watched during the 2024 general election.

“Our rental data shows that 4 of the 7 key swing states, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, all experienced annual rent price growth rates that were larger than the national median of 2.3%,” Zumper said.

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Atlanta and Augusta were the only two cities in Georgia from Zumper’s top 100. Rental prices in Augusta were up across the board, as much as 28% for a two-bedroom apartment.

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Atlanta, GA

Thiare and Atlanta United visit Orlando City

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Thiare and Atlanta United visit Orlando City


Associated Press

Atlanta United FC (10-14-10, ninth in the Eastern Conference during the regular season) vs. Orlando City SC (15-12-7, fourth in the Conference during the regular season)

Orlando, Florida; Sunday, 3:30 p.m. EST

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BETMGM SPORTSBOOK LINE: Orlando City SC -152, Atlanta United FC +368; over/under is 2.5 goals

BOTTOM LINE: Jamal Thiare leads Atlanta United into a matchup with Orlando City after scoring two goals against Inter Miami.

Orlando is 12-10-7 against Eastern Conference opponents. Orlando is 10-1-0 when it scores three or more goals.

United is 13-10-7 against Eastern Conference opponents. United is seventh in the Eastern Conference with 167 shots on goal, averaging 4.9 per game.

The teams meet Sunday for the third time this season. United won the last meeting 2-1.

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TOP PERFORMERS: Facundo Torres has 16 goals and four assists for Orlando. Ramiro Enrique has four goals and two assists over the last 10 games.

Saba Lobzhanidze has 10 goals and four assists for United. Thiare has three goals over the past 10 games.

LAST 10 GAMES: Orlando: 6-2-2, averaging 2.0 goals, 5.2 shots on goal and 5.1 corner kicks per game while allowing 1.0 goal per game.

United: 4-2-4, averaging 1.8 goals, 4.1 shots on goal and 4.9 corner kicks per game while allowing 1.6 goals per game.

NOT EXPECTED TO PLAY: Orlando: Mason Stajduhar (injured).

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United: Edwin Mosquera (injured), Brooks Lennon (injured), Quentin Westberg (injured).

___

The Associated Press created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.




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