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Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 8

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Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 8


Photo By – Imagn Images. South Alabama running back Keenan Phillips (21) breaks a tackle.

Two Sun Belt teams looking for a win collide tonight as the Arkansas State Red Wolves visit the South Alabama Jaguars.

The Red Wolves broke a four-game losing streak with a win over Texas State last time out, while South Alabama fell to Troy, marking its fifth loss in a row.

My Arkansas State vs. South Alabama predictions don’t expect much scoring from either side.

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Find out more in my college football picks for Tuesday, October 14. 

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, with the game airing on ESPN2.

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Arkansas State vs South Alabama prediction

Arkansas State vs South Alabama best bet: Under 59.5 (-105)

I understand the thinking that two of the worst defenses in the Sun Belt colliding could allow for a ton of points — they each give up an identical 31.7 points per game — but the Arkansas State Red Wolves can’t hold up their end of the offensive bargain.

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Arkansas State has seen the Under cash in four straight, and only once in that stretch were they able to touch the 60-point plateau, that being a 31-30 win over Texas State last time out.

The Red Wolves are scoring 23.3 points per game (11th in Sun Belt) and are next to last in rushing, averaging just 119 yards per game. It makes their pass offense — fifth in the conference — too predictable, even with a Top-5 ranking in the Sun Belt.

It won’t help that the South Alabama Jaguars are third in the conference in pass defense and a Top-60 team in the nation, allowing 169.2 passing yards.

South Alabama has a 4-2-0 Over record through its first six games of the season, but none of the last four games have gone higher than 58 points.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama same-game parlay

Arkansas State QB Jaylen Raynor has only passed for more than his 250.5-yard line twice this season, but he should remember last year’s performance against South Alabama.

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He went 30-for-39 for 345 yards and a TD, only the fourth time he’s hit the 300-yard passing plateau in a game since the start of last year.

Those numbers came in an 18-16 win, so he can pass big while the score stays low.

Bishop Davenport has only topped 200 yards passing once in a game this season, so his 196.5 passing line is a fair number.

It’s a line he’s passed just twice in six games this season. His dual play has been more on the run side of late, running for at least 59 yards in three of the last five, including a season-high 72 yards on 15 carries and a TD.

South Alabama should find success against this poor Red Wolves’ run defense, keeping the ball on the ground more than airing it out.

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Arkansas State vs South Alabama SGP

  • Under 59.5
  • Jaylen Raynor Over 250.5 passing yards
  • Bishop Davenport Under 196.5 passing yards

Our deep-ball SGP: Threading the needle

Chauncey Cobb has alternated between big games and sub-par efforts, and he’s coming off a seven-catch, 39-yard effort against Texas State. This was after a 126-yard game against ULM. It’s been like this all year, so a bigger effort is in store against South Alabama.

Meanwhile, Kentrel Bullock leads the Jaguars with five TDs on the season, though he’s coming off a scoreless Saturday against Troy. He has yet to go back-to-back games without a major this season.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama SGP

  • Under 59.5
  • Jaylen Raynor Over 250.5 passing yards
  • Bishop Davenport Under 196.5 passing yards
  • Chauncey Cobb Over 63.5 receiving yards
  • Kentrel Bullock anytime TD

Arkansas State vs South Alabama game predictions

Arkansas State vs South Alabama moneyline prediction

I don’t advise taking the moneyline on either school, as they have three wins between them in 12 games, and any scenario is in play.

Arkansas State just knocked off Texas State, the highest-scoring team with the top running attack in the Sun Belt. And yet, it’s getting +200 odds for an outright win against a team that’s lost five straight?

There are too many variables for my liking in picking a winner straight-up here. If pressed, I lean toward South Alabama.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama spread prediction

I’d recommend steering clear of this spread, because a bevy of factors can come into play when you’re wagering on teams that are likely already out of the college football postseason picture.

However, if I were forced to wager on this, I’d be looking at the Red Wolves’ inability to cover on the road as a major factor, as they are currently 0-3-0 against the spread in away games.

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South Alabama is 0-3-0 ATS as a betting favorite, but they do have the better offensive options in both the passing and rushing games. 

Arkansas State vs South Alabama Over/Under prediction

While neither defense is inspiring, the offenses aren’t good enough to capitalize, so the Under remains the play here and as our best bet.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama odds

  • Spread: Arkansas State +6.5 (+100) | South Alabama -6.5 (-122)
  • Moneyline: Arkansas State +205 | South Alabama -250
  • Over/Under: Over 59.5 (-115) | Under 59.5 (-105)

Arkansas State vs South Alabama trend to know

The Jaguars have won five of the last six head-to-head meetings. Find more college football betting trends for Arkansas State vs South Alabama.

How to watch Arkansas State vs South Alabama

Location Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
Date Tuesday, October 14, 2025
Kickoff 7:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Arkansas State vs South Alabama latest injuries

Arkansas State vs South Alabama weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Arkansas’ primary runoff elections

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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Arkansas’ primary runoff elections


WASHINGTON — Two Arkansas Republicans with competing visions on how best to implement President Donald Trump’s agenda to overhaul elections and voting will vie for their party’s nomination for the state’s top elections job on Tuesday.

U.S. Army veteran Bryan Norris and state Sen. Kim Hammer were the top two vote-getters in the March 3 GOP primary for Arkansas Secretary of State, but both candidates fell far short of the majority vote needed to avoid Tuesday’s primary runoff election.

The winner will face Democrat Kelly Grappe, who ran unopposed for her nomination.

The duties of the Arkansas Secretary of State include overseeing state business filings and maintaining the state capitol building and its grounds, but the office is probably best known for its administration of federal, state and district elections in Arkansas.

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Both Norris and Hammer have touted their support of Trump’s election agenda, but the two disagree on some key points of election administration. For example, Norris supports hand-counting ballots in elections without the use of automated tabulation equipment. Hammer authored a 2023 law that requires hand-counted ballots to be compatible with state tabulation equipment and requires counties that hand-count ballots to bear any associated costs.

The call to fully hand-count ballots has been a popular refrain among many Trump supporters since the president’s failed attempts to overturn the 2020 election. But some attempts at full hand-counts since then have shown the process to be time-consuming, expensive and prone to human error.

Hammer has endorsements from much of the state’s Republican Party establishment, including U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton, Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Lt. Gov. Leslie Rutledge, Attorney General Tim Griffin and outgoing Secretary of State Cole Jester. Norris’ backers include former national security adviser Michael Flynn and MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell, both prominent 2020 election deniers and Trump allies.

In his endorsement of Hammer, Jester called on Norris to drop out of the race over the candidate’s past confrontational and expletive-laden social media posts. In an interview with KATV, Norris acknowledged using “some salty language from time to time” but added, “you’re never going to hear me talk or speak that way again.”

Norris edged Hammer in the competitive three-way primary with both candidates receiving about 34% of the vote. Miller County Judge Cathy Hardin Harrison received about 32% of the vote.

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Just more than half the primary vote was cast in counties Trump carried with 70% or more of the vote in 2024. Norris performed slightly better than Harrison and Hammer in these areas, while Hammer slightly outperformed the others in the rest of the state.

Pulaski, Benton and Washington counties are the biggest population centers in the state, and they contributed the most votes in the March 3 primary. Pulaski is home to Little Rock and is where former Vice President Kamala Harris posted her best performance in the state in the 2024 presidential election. Although Pulaski is Arkansas’ most populous county, Benton tends to have more influence in Republican contests, as was the case on March 3.

Regardless of who wins, the eventual Republican nominee will have an advantage heading into the general election. It’s been 20 years since Arkansas elected a Democrat as secretary of state and no Democrat has won statewide office since 2010.

Some Arkansas voters in a handful of districts across the state will also choose nominees for state Senate and House. Republicans hold lopsided majorities in both chambers.

The Associated Press does not make projections and will declare a winner only when it’s determined there is no scenario that would allow a trailing candidate to close the gap. If a race has not been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, such as candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear that it has not yet declared a winner and explain why.

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Arkansas does not have automatic recounts, but candidates may request and pay for one, with the costs refunded if the outcome changes. The AP may declare a winner in a race that is subject to a recount if it can determine the lead is too large for a recount or legal challenge to change the outcome.

Here are some of the key facts about the election and data points the AP Decision Team will monitor as the votes are tallied:

When do polls close?

Polls close at 7:30 p.m. local time, which is 8:30 p.m. ET.

What’s on the ballot?

The AP will provide vote results and declare winners in the Republican primary runoffs for secretary of state and state House Districts 5, 6, 46, 52, and 92, as well as the Democratic primary runoffs for state Senate District 15 and state House District 35.

Who gets to vote?

Voters do not need to have voted in the March 3 primary to participate in the March 31 runoff. But primary voters may only vote in the runoff of the same party as they did in the primary. In other words, Republican primary voters may not vote in a Democratic primary runoff or vice versa. Voters in the non-partisan primary may vote in either party’s runoff.

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For voters who did not participate in a party primary, Arkansas Democrats allow any registered voter to vote in Democratic contests, while Republicans bar registered Democrats from voting in Republican contests.

What do turnout and advance vote look like?

There were about 1.8 million registered voters in Arkansas as of the March 3 primary.

More than 266,000 voters participated in the Republican primary for secretary of state. The state Senate District 15 Democratic primary had about 9,300 total votes, while five of the six state House Districts forced to a runoff each had total votes of between 4,400 and 5,200 total votes. The lone exception was the Democratic primary for state House District 35, which had about 1,700 total votes.

In the 2022 primaries for statewide offices, about 52% of Democratic voters and 42% of Republican voters cast their ballots for governor before Election Day.

More than 13,000 statewide Republican runoff ballots had already been cast as of Thursday.

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How long does vote-counting usually take?

In the GOP U.S. Senate primary on March 3, the AP first reported results at 8:32 p.m. ET, or two minutes after polls closed. The last vote update of the night was at 2:04 a.m. ET with more than 99% of total votes counted.

When are early and absentee votes released?

County elections officials throughout the state have said they tend to release all or nearly all results from early and absentee voting in the first vote update of the night, before any in-person Election Day results are released.

Are we there yet?

As of Tuesday, there will be 217 days until the 2026 midterm elections.



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Men’s Tennis Goes 1-1 in Texas on Sunday

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Men’s Tennis Goes 1-1 in Texas on Sunday


The No. 36 Arkansas men’s tennis team had a pair of matches in Austin on Sunday to close out a Texas road trip and the Hogs went 1-1 in the outings.

The Razorbacks (15-10, 3-8) started the day with a 4-0 loss to No. 3 Texas (18-6, 9-2). The Longhorns’ Kalin Ivanovski and Abel Forger defeated No. 64 Connor Smillie and Jakub Vrba 6-3 to start doubles. No. 23 Sebastian Gorzny and Lucas Marionneau then took down Brendan Boland and Dmitry Kopilevich 6-1, and Texas claimed the doubles point.

In singles, No. 90 Abel Forger quickly won over Arsène Pogault on court four at 6-1, 6-1. Oliver Ojakaar made it 3-0 Texas with a 6-4, 6-1 takedown of Gabriel Elicha Navas, and Lucas Marionneau sealed the sweep for the home team with a 6-3, 6-3 victory over Brendan Boland.

Against the University of Incarnate Word (10-3, 2-0) later in the day, two of Arkansas’ doubles pairings won: Vrba and Smillie 7-5 over Santiago Flyckt and Marcel Moralles and Boland and Kopilevich 6-3 over Alexandre Chauvel and Alejandro Hernandez. Lukas Palovic and Eric Padgham were also up 6-5 over Augustin Salazar and Emilio Vila.

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The Hogs continued to dominate in singles as No. 18 Vrba defeated Vila 6-4, 6-3, Kopilevich won 6-1, 6-1 over Salazar and Smillie took down Christian Cuellar 6-0, 6-4 for a 4-0 clean sweep to close out the day.

The Razorbacks return to action at home on Thursday, April 2 with an SEC matchup against Mississippi State at 5:30 p.m.

For the latest information on all things Arkansas Men’s Tennis, follow the Hogs on social media by liking us on Facebook (Arkansas Razorback Men’s Tennis) and following us on Twitter and Instagram (@RazorbackMTennis).



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Arkansas Storm Team Forecast: Midweek Rain Chances

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Arkansas Storm Team Forecast: Midweek Rain Chances


We’ve got clouds to start out this Sunday with temperatures on the cool side. Once clouds exit, which should be later this afternoon, temperatures will warm into the 70s.

We’ll be back into the 80s both tomorrow and Tuesday. Dry conditions will continue through the next couple of days with a high wildfire danger persisting statewide.

Rain chances return midweek, with Wednesday through Friday bringing what could be a meaningful rainfall. Rainfall amounts are still uncertain, but we’re getting closer to pinpointing that. Stay tuned for updates!

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