The San Diego State Aztecs (29-6) battle the Alabama Crimson Tide (31-5) Friday in a Candy 16 battle at KFC Yum! Middle . Tip in Loisville is ready for six:30 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s traces across the San Diego State vs. Alabama odds as we make our professional faculty basketball picks, predictions and greatest bets.
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The Crimson Tide, the event’s No. 1 general seed, didn’t cowl a 24-point unfold in beating No. 16 Texas A&M-CC 96-75 within the 1st spherical. Alabama then buried Maryland 73-51 and coated as an 8-point favourite. The Tide is is 4-1 towards the unfold (ATS) in its 5 postseason video games and 1-4 O/U in these battles.
The Fifth-seeded Aztecs took down No. 11 Charleston 63-57, masking a 5.5-spread on a last-second foul shot, after which beat 12-seed Furman 75-52 as a 4.5-point favourite. San Diego State is 4-1 ATS in its 5 postseason video games and 0-5 O/U. Its power is protection, rating sixth within the nation in Kenpom’s adjusted defensive score metric.
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San Diego State vs. Alabama odds
Supplied by Tipico Sportsbook; entry USA TODAY Sports activities Scores and Sports activities Betting Odds hub for a full checklist. Strains final up to date at 12:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): San Diego State +270 (wager $100 to win $270) | Alabama -330 (wager $330 to win $100)
- Towards the unfold (ATS): San Diego State +7.5 (-110) | Alabama -7.5 (-110)
- Over/Underneath (O/U): 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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San Diego State vs. Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 70, San Diego State 64
Moneyline
PASS.
I don’t hate a sprinkle on SDSU (+270) given the worth, however the Crimson Tide have proven few flaws and certain made that moneyline worth for the No. 5 seed inferior to it appears.
Towards the unfold
LEAN SAN DIEGO STATE +7.5 (-110).
The Aztecs have coated 4 straight video games and gained 12 of their final 13.
Whereas SDSU didn’t have many high quality non-conference wins, it has dominated its competitors in event play. Its protection has been on full show, holding its opponent to below 60 in 4 straight postseason video games.
Alabama’s power can be protection, though they rank 18th in adjusted offensive score. Each groups being robust on the defensive finish ought to lead to neither workforce actually pulling away. The Crimson Tide are simply 6-8-1 ATS in non-conference play this season as nicely.
Given the strengths for each groups and the Aztecs doubtless being a robust public fade, again SAN DIEGO STATE +7.5 (-110).
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Over/Underneath
BET UNDER 137.5 (-110).
Each groups rank within the top-6 defenses in adjusted defensive score per Kenpom.
One concern is Alabama’s tempo, but it surely has performed groups like Mississippi State and Missouri in postseason play, each rating outdoors the highest 100 in adjusted tempo, and each video games went Underneath the projected complete.
SDSU ranks 263rd in tempo, so it gained’t up the tempo on this sport. Alabama has gone Underneath in 4 of its final 5 whereas SDSU had gone Underneath in 10 straight video games. Again the UNDER 137.5 (-110).
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