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LSU Tigers vs. South Alabama: Expert College Football Model Prediction

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LSU Tigers vs. South Alabama: Expert College Football Model Prediction


Brian Kelly and the No. 14 ranked LSU Tigers return to Death Valley on Saturday night with the program preparing for a non-conference clash against South Alabama.

The Jaguars head to town led by a fiery offensive duo of Gio Lopez and Fluff Bothwell propelling the program to a hot start this season.

A scoring tandem that has elevated South Alabama to one of the top offenses in the country, they’ll put LSU to the test in a Week 5 battle.

Here’s how to watch, the betting lines and an expert score prediction via the SP+ Model:

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Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024
Time: 6:45 p.m. CT
TV Channel: SEC Network
City: Baton Rouge, La.
Venue: Tiger Stadium

LSU: -21.5 (-110)
South Alabama: +21.5 (-110)

LSU to Win: – -1650
South Alabama to Win: +950

Over 65.5 Points: -110
Under 65.5 Points: -110

*All odds via DraftKings*

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We turned to the SP+ Prediction Model to give a better understanding of where the Tigers stand heading into this weekend against South Alabama.

The simulation favors Brian Kelly and the LSU Tigers to come out on top over South Alabama in Week 5, as expected.

SP+ logged a prediction that LSU will defeat the Jaguars by a projected score of 42-23 and win the game by an expected 18.7 points.

The expert model gives the Bayou Bengals an 88% chance to come out on top over the Jaguars in Death Valley.

What is SP+? It is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

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The SP+ model is 105-91-1 against the spread with a 53.6 win percentage on the year with the latest round of predictions coming out this week.

First-place votes in parentheses

  1. Texas (44)
  2. Georgia (13)
  3. Ohio State (5)
  4. Alabama
  5. Tennessee
  6. Ole Miss
  7. Miami
  8. Oregon
  9. Penn State
  10. Utah
  11. Missouri
  12. Michigan
  13. USC
  14. LSU
  15. Louisville
  16. Notre Dame
  17. Clemson
  18. Iowa State
  19. Illinois
  20. Oklahoma State
  21. Oklahoma
  22. BYU
  23. Kansas State
  24. Texas A&M
  25. Boise State

Instant Takeaways: No. 16 LSU Takes Down UCLA 34-17 in Big-Time Victory

What’s Next for LSU Without Harold Perkins?

Nick Saban Calls LSU Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier a “Sleeper” Ahead of 2024 Season

Follow Zack Nagy on Twitter: @znagy20 and LSU Tigers On SI: @LSUTigersSI for all coverage surrounding the LSU program.

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Alabama

Former Alabama QB Ruled Out Ahead of Week 17: Roll Call, Dec. 28, 2024

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Former Alabama QB Ruled Out Ahead of Week 17: Roll Call, Dec. 28, 2024


Former Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Hurts is set to miss the Philadelphia Eagles Week 17 games against the Dallas Cowboys as he’s been ruled out with a concussion. Hurts left the Eagles Week 16 game after taking a blow to the head.

The Eagles are still in the hunt for the top overall seed in the NFC but trail the Detroit Lions by a game.

Several former Alabama players are listed as questionable entering the weekend’s action. Former defensive lineman Jonathan Allen, Anfernee Jennings, A’Shan Robinson and Quinnen Williams are all in the grey area along with Miami Dolphins offensive stars Jaylen Waddle and Tua Tagovailoa.

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Thursday night former Alabama guard Collin Sexton recorded his first double-double of the season. He scored 19 points and got 11 assists for the Utah Jazz in a 122-120 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers.

December 28, 1985: Freshman running back Gene Jelks and junior linebacker Cornelius Bennett were named game MVPs after Alabama’s 24-3 victory over Southern California in the Aloha Bowl. A 1-yard run by Craig Turner, a 24-yard pass from Mike Shula to Clay Whitehurst and a 14-yard end around by Al Bell accounted for the Crimson Tide touchdowns.

“We had great respect for Alabama, especially its defense, we knew they were a formidable opponent. But in retrospect, I think they were a lot stronger than a lot of our people thought.”

– Dennis Erickson after the 1993 Sugar Bow





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Davis Warren previews Alabama matchup: 'We plan on winning this game'

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Davis Warren previews Alabama matchup: 'We plan on winning this game'


Michigan has arrived in Tampa, Florida, for its New Year’s Eve kick against the Alabama Crimson Tide in what will be a rematch of last season’s epic Rose Bowl showdown, a game the Wolverines won, 27-20, in overtime.

The Wolverines held their first practice of the trip on Friday after arriving the day after Christmas. Excitement surrounding Michigan’s borderline elite recruiting class is certainly palpable — five-star QB Bryce Underwood is leading the way in that regard — but the team is still preparing for a battle against Alabama.

Before practice began on Friday, key players of the Michigan offense met with reporters to discuss the ReliaQuest Bowl. Starting quarterback Davis Warren talked about the transition from Michigan’s 13-10 win over Ohio State to now preparing for the game against the Crimson Tide.

“You get those couple weeks between Ohio (State) and this game, and you get a chance to reflect a little bit on the season, but I think we’ve taken it in stride and taken it as a real opportunity to get better at football and thinking about things you did during the year, things you did well, things you can improve on, and how you can work on them over these next two to three weeks of practice that we’ve had. … That’s been the goal — just getting better at football and preparing for our opponent while doing it,” Warren said.

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Notably, Warren began the year as the starter, but lost his job to Alex Orji after throwing three interceptions against Arkansas State in Week 3. But after experiments with Orji and Jack Tuttle failed, Warren was reinserted as a starter ahead of the Michigan State game.

Warren finished out the regular season strong, capping it off with an emphatic 13-10 win over Ohio State in Columbus.

Still, though, this season marks the first time in four years that the Wolverines are not playing for a national title, and with a star-studded recruiting class coming in, it’s hard for fans not to look ahead to 2025.

But ignoring what fans might be thinking about, Warren says the team isn’t looking past Alabama at all.

“I don’t think we’re overlooking (the game) at all. … As a group, we’re focused on winning this football game,” Warren said. “Michigan needs us to win this game, we want to win this game and we plan on winning this game. So, I know we’re going to take that approach. It’s a really good opportunity for all of us. Man, we’re going to fight tooth and nail to go get a win.”

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Michigan will practice on Saturday and Sunday ahead of the 2024 ReliaQuest Bowl, which will kick off at Noon ET on Tuesday, Dec. 31.

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Follow our staff on Twitter: @JoshHenschke, @Berry_Seth14, @TrevorMcCue, @DennisFithian, @BrockHeilig, @JimScarcelli, @Jerry_Diorio

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Michigan vs. Alabama: Players arrive in Bay Area ahead of NYE bowl game

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Michigan vs. Alabama: Players arrive in Bay Area ahead of NYE bowl game


Thousands in Tampa Bay will ring in the new year differently: the ReliaQuest Bowl game at Raymond James Stadium at noon on Dec. 31st. 

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The Michigan Wolverines will face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide, and both teams arrived in Tampa on Thursday night, welcomed by fans. 

The Alabama football team arriving in Tampa ahead of the ReliaQuest Bowl.

“These are two marquee teams with great college traditions. We are expecting very good crowds, and the Tampa Bay area is great at hospitality,’ said Greg Orchard, the Board of Directors Chairman for the Reliaquest Bowl. “We are excited to be really entertaining fans, teams, and the administration of both schools that are gonna be here.”                

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READ: Siesta Key area business are open for business after hurricanes

Fans showed up at the hotels of each team to wish them well as they arrived on Thursday. 

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“It would be very nice to meet the coach. We are very impressed with him and have been fans forever,” said Tammy and Mark Germain, Michigan fans. “I am so excited. We had no idea they’d be here, and we have never been to a game, so we are going to the game, our first actual game.” 

“Although it’s not in the playoffs, I do hope it is a very intense game,” said Marco Pratico, an Alabama fan. “It brings more viewers to Tampa; these two teams were in the Rose Bowl, too, so it’s great to have two high-level teams in Tampa.”

Michigan football team arriving in Tampa ahead of ReliaQuest Bowl.

The Michigan football team arriving in Tampa ahead of the ReliaQuest Bowl.

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READ: Holiday shopping up in Tampa Bay

This will also have a huge economic impact on businesses, hotels, and restaurants, and it is expected to bring in over a billion dollars to the Tampa Bay area. 

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“It’s a huge deal for Tampa, with the TV exposure — ESPN at noon on New Year’s Eve — and the exposure of fans coming to the Tampa Bay area and seeing that, yes, we are open after the hurricanes we’ve had.” 

Both teams will enjoy sunshine-filled festivities before the game next week. 

“Well, the teams are here to play football, so there are a few practice sessions, but there will also be a day for them at Busch Gardens and a beach day on Sunday, where thousands of the fans will be at Clearwater Beach, and hopefully they can enjoy warmer weather than Michigan.”

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