Alabama
ESPN predicts every game outcome on Alabama 2024 schedule
The Kalen DeBoer era will officially kick off when the Alabama Crimson Tide take the field against Western Kentucky in their season opener on Aug. 31.
The much-anticipated debut for the first-year Alabama head coach comes after he took Washington to the national championship game this past season. Replacing Nick Saban is a tall task for any coach, but DeBoer’s past success speaks for itself with only 12 losses on his head coaching record. Still, many are curious to see how Alabama fares during his first season leading the program.
Before his inaugural season as the Crimson Tide head coach, ESPN analystics has predicted the outcome of every Alabama game this season, via its matchup predictor.
Aug. 31: Alabama vs. Western Kentucky – 97.4% chance of win
DeBoer’s first mission as Crimson Tide head coach will be to topple the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers inside Bryant-Denny Stadium in front of what is likely to be a curious Crimson Tide fanbase. ESPN is predicting a win heavily in Alabama’s favor, as they’re 31-point betting favorites, per ESPN Bet.
He only gets one shot at a first impression — we’ll see if he can make the most of it.
Sept 7: Alabama vs. South Florida – 96.2% chance of win
Last season’s matchup against USF was a bit of a fever dream. Now Notre Dame walk-on wide receiver Tyler Buchner started at quarterback for the Crimson Tide defeated the Bulls 17-3 on neutral territory.
2024’s edition of this matchup will happen on the Crimson Tide’s home turf. This time, the final score is not expected to be so close according to the matchup predictor.
Sept. 14: Alabama at Wisconsin – 81.3% chance of win
DeBoer’s first road trip as Alabama’s head coach, the Crimson Tide are still heavily favored in front of a crowd packed full of Wisconsin faithful.
Alabama hasn’t played in Camp Randall Stadium since November of 1928. However, the Tide won the most recent bout in Sept. 2015, which saw the Badgers fall 35-17 in Dallas as Derrick Henry rushed for 147 yards and three touchdowns.
Sept. 28: Alabama vs. Georgia – 40.9% chance of win
Arguably the biggest blockbuster game of the regular season, preseason No. 5 Alabama will take on preseason No. 1 Georgia in Tuscaloosa for the first time since 2020. This matchup will not only have implications for the SEC Championship race, but could play a hand in the how the playoff committee handles the CFP seedings.
Alabama is 23-13-4 all-time against the Bulldogs at home and have won seven on the last eight games in the rivalry overall. This is the only game that ESPN’s matchup predictor does not favor the Tide.
Oct. 5: Alabama at Vanderbilt – 89.8% chance of win
According to ESPN’s matchup predictor, Alabama’s game against Vanderbilt in October is the easiest road game on their schedule, giving the Crimson Tide a near 90 percent chance to defeat the Commodores at home.
Alabama hasn’t lost to Vanderbilt since 1984.
Oct. 12: Alabama vs. South Carolina – 86.2% chance of win
The midway point in the season, DeBoer should be settled into his role by this point. How his team performs remains to be seen — but a strong performance against South Carolina could set the Crimson Tide up nicely for the upcoming rough patch in their schedule.
However, Alabama can’t get caught looking ahead at what’s next. Any matchup against an SEC opponent could be considered a trap game down the stretch.
Oct. 19: Alabama at Tennessee – 58% chance of win
DeBoer might not have been around for 2022’s loss to Tennessee inside Neyland Stadium, but he doesn’t want Alabama fans to relive it, either. The 52-49 loss, which resulted in uprooted goal poasts during the postgame field-storming, was Nick Saban’s final trip to Knoxville.
Alabama bounced back last season to dispatch of the Vols last year 34-20 and have won 16 of the last 17 matchups in the rivalry.
Oct. 26: Alabama vs. Missouri – 70% chance of win
Missouri‘s Luther Burden might be the most dynamic offensive weapon the Crimson Tide are scheduled to face this season. Proving to be an elite performer at the wide receiver position, Alabama defensive backs may have their work cut out for them. Afterall, Missouri won 11 games last season and capped it with a bowl win over Ohio State.
If the Crimson Tide aren’t careful, Eli Drinkwitz and company could make a massive statement in Tuscaloosa come late October as ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Alabama a 70% chance of winning the game at home — the lowest mark at home since Georgia.
Nov. 9: Alabama at LSU – 63.3% chance of win
ESPN’s matchup predictor predicts this game to be similar to the Tennessee road game, but gives Alabama a slight edge with a 63.3% chance of leaving Death Valley with a win.
LSU also knocked off Alabama during that 2022 season, which the Crimson Tide avenged last year as well. Still, coming off a tough stretch of schedule LSU could give Alabama all they can handle on the road.
Nov. 16: Alabama vs. Mercer – 99% chance of win
Coming off consecutive matchups against Tennessee, Missouri and LSU, Alabama gets to enjoy a home game against Mercer. This is the game they’re most likely to win this season, according to ESPN’s percentage data.
Two weeks before the Iron Bowl — this one could get ugly.
Nov. 23: Alabama at Oklahoma – 51.2% chance of win
Alabama will play Oklahoma in Norman for the first time since 1970 later this year. ESPN analytics believe the Crimson Tide will narrowly escape with a victory in this season’s matchup.
How Texas and OU will adapt to their new SEC environment in year one remains to be seen — but a matchup against Alabama at home in Novemeber is the ultimate way to test yourself against a team that is expected to be one of the best the conference has to offer. Despite this, Alabama is the favorite, even if by a couple of percentage points.
Nov. 30: Alabama vs. Auburn – 80.1% chance of win
The Iron Bowl gave college football fans one of its most memorable moments of the 2023 season when Jalen Milroe hit Isaiah Bond in the back of the end zone for the game-winning touchdown on the road, stunning the Auburn fans inside Jordan-Hare Satdium.
This time around, they’re in Tuscaloosa where the Crimson Tide are heavily favored against their in-state rival as DeBoer and company look to ride into the postseason on a high note.
TUSCALOOSA, Ala. — Alabama basketball beat South Carolina 89-75 at home on Saturday night.
But if you backtrack a bit, it’s been quite the last few weeks for the Crimson Tide. Despite being the only team in the country to make each of the last two NCAA Tournament Elite Eights, Alabama found itself ninth in the conference standings after falling to Florida on Feb. 1. UA was removed from the AP Top 25 for the first time since Jan. 22, 2024, ending a 42-week streak of being on the prestigious list.
Due to its 4-4 record against the conference at the time, head coach Nate Oats considered the Texas A&M game on Feb. 4 as a “tipping point” for the rest of the season, and the Tide prevailed.
Since the win over the Aggies, Alabama has beaten Auburn, Ole Miss and now South Carolina — leading to what is now tied for the fourth-best record in the conference. The Crimson Tide has been on the right side of the tipping point, and it is finding its rhythm more and more with each win during the streak.
The Crimson Tide’s victory over the Gamecocks was led by the guards. Oats has stated numerous times that Labaron Philon Jr. and Aden Holloway have the potential to be the “best backcourt in the country,” and they’ve played pivotal roles throughout the streak. The duo combined for 39 points on Saturday night, as Holloway led UA with 20 and Philon was tied as the runner-up with 19.
Philon scored the same number of points as fellow guard Latrell Wrightsell Jr., who has come up big for the Tide in each of the last two games. Against Ole Miss, Wrightsell had 18 of his 21 points in the second half on Wrightsell 7 of 13 from deep. He’s come off the bench in each of his last two games, as he’s emerged as a tremendous sixth-man option.
The Crimson Tide has turned things around after a worrisome first half of SEC play, as it has a decent chance to return to the AP Top 25 on Monday. But perhaps more importantly, Alabama has six more games in the regular season, with No. 21 Arkansas being the only currently ranked opponent. Capitalizing against unranked opponents will be a necessity for the rest of the way.
Watch the above video as BamaCentral’s Katie Windham and Hunter De Siver provide thoughts and takeaways from the Alabama men’s basketball team’s 89-75 home win over South Carolina on Saturday night.
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TUSCALOOSA, Ala. — The biggest upset in the nation on Opening Day of the 2026 NCAA Baseball season happened in Sewell-Thomas Stadium, where an Alabama team that was the subject of national hype and discourse was stunned at home by Washington State.
The Cougars, picked to finish eighth in the nine-team Mountain West Conference, looked like the more poised team from the first pitch, scoring two runs in the top of the first and never looking back en route to an 8-4 victory.
“I didn’t think we played soft, I thought they just got bigger hits than we did,” Alabama head coach Rob Vaughn said. “I knew we were going to get a tough team, and they flat out beat us tonight.”
Alabama’s pitching, the subject of much preseason scrutiny, looked flat. Starter Tyler Fay gave up five earned runs in 3.2 innings of work, and relievers JT Blackwood and Austin Morris did not fare much better, each allowing an earned run in a combined 3.1 innings.
“He did some good things. I thought he really threw the ball well in some spots,” Vaughn said of Fay’s performance. “His real one mistake was the cutter that stayed out of the plate for a homer to right. At the end of the day, he executed at a really high level. He had some things not bounce his way, and we couldn’t get him the support offensively that he needed.”
The Cougars hit two home runs in the win, the aforementioned bomb off of Fay and a fifth-inning blast off of Blackwood. Washington State delivered in the game’s biggest moments while Alabama folded, stranding 11 runners on base in the loss.
“We threw a lot of jabs tonight and couldn’t throw a haymaker,” Vaughn said. “We just got beaten in the zone too much… Sometimes you wake up, and you lose. We did not do enough things right tonight.”
Despite a slow start, Alabama had a golden opportunity to get back in the game in the fifth inning. Trailing 7-1, Bryce Fowler, Justin Lebron and Johnny Lemm all walked to load the bases with one out. While Jason Torres would also walk to bring in one run, Luke Vaughn, Justin Osterhouse and Peyton Steele all struck out swinging to end a game-altering opportunity.
“That was the difference in this game,” Vaughn said. “We were 0-for-4 with runners in scoring position and two outs. We were 1-for-3 with a runner on third and less than two outs… they were better.”
Alabama is now in a vastly different position than last year, when the Crimson Tide started 16-0 and climbed into the national polls before losing a game.
“We won like 20 straight, we were ranked, and everything was awesome, but at the end of the day, we were two-and-out in the regional,” Vaughn said. “So at the end of the day, I’d rather learn some things. And I, by no means, ever want to lose on opening night. But we did. So now we have a choice. So, what’s our mentality going to be? What’s our preparation going to be? How are we going to attack it?
“That’s what I really want to see from this group. Their preparation has been so outstanding the past four weeks. Does this make them start to doubt? Does this make them start to question? Does this make them be like, ‘Oh my gosh am I good enough…’ Interested to see the response. I feel very strongly that I know what that response will look like. But I’m excited to get out on the field tomorrow and compete.”
Zane Adams takes the mound for the Crimson Tide tomorrow as Alabama looks to tie the series up. First pitch is currently set for 2 p.m., but we could see changes to the schedule, as anticipated rain on Sunday has created the possibility of a doubleheader on Saturday.
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