Connect with us

Alabama

ESPN predicts every game outcome on Alabama 2024 schedule

Published

on

ESPN predicts every game outcome on Alabama 2024 schedule


The Kalen DeBoer era will officially kick off when the Alabama Crimson Tide take the field against Western Kentucky in their season opener on Aug. 31.

The much-anticipated debut for the first-year Alabama head coach comes after he took Washington to the national championship game this past season. Replacing Nick Saban is a tall task for any coach, but DeBoer’s past success speaks for itself with only 12 losses on his head coaching record. Still, many are curious to see how Alabama fares during his first season leading the program.

Before his inaugural season as the Crimson Tide head coach, ESPN analystics has predicted the outcome of every Alabama game this season, via its matchup predictor.

Aug. 31: Alabama vs. Western Kentucky – 97.4% chance of win

Head coach Kalen DeBoer (Courtesy of UA Athletics)

DeBoer’s first mission as Crimson Tide head coach will be to topple the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers inside Bryant-Denny Stadium in front of what is likely to be a curious Crimson Tide fanbase. ESPN is predicting a win heavily in Alabama’s favor, as they’re 31-point betting favorites, per ESPN Bet.

Advertisement

He only gets one shot at a first impression — we’ll see if he can make the most of it.

Sept 7: Alabama vs. South Florida – 96.2% chance of win

Alabama vs. South Florida
Alabama vs. South Florida (Nathan Ray Seebeck / USA TODAY Sports)

Last season’s matchup against USF was a bit of a fever dream. Now Notre Dame walk-on wide receiver Tyler Buchner started at quarterback for the Crimson Tide defeated the Bulls 17-3 on neutral territory.

2024’s edition of this matchup will happen on the Crimson Tide’s home turf. This time, the final score is not expected to be so close according to the matchup predictor.

Sept. 14: Alabama at Wisconsin – 81.3% chance of win

Oregon B1G Schedule
(Photo by: Tom Hauck/Getty Images)

DeBoer’s first road trip as Alabama’s head coach, the Crimson Tide are still heavily favored in front of a crowd packed full of Wisconsin faithful.

Alabama hasn’t played in Camp Randall Stadium since November of 1928. However, the Tide won the most recent bout in Sept. 2015, which saw the Badgers fall 35-17 in Dallas as Derrick Henry rushed for 147 yards and three touchdowns.

Sept. 28: Alabama vs. Georgia – 40.9% chance of win

Alabama vs. Georgia
Alabama vs. Georgia

Arguably the biggest blockbuster game of the regular season, preseason No. 5 Alabama will take on preseason No. 1 Georgia in Tuscaloosa for the first time since 2020. This matchup will not only have implications for the SEC Championship race, but could play a hand in the how the playoff committee handles the CFP seedings.

Alabama is 23-13-4 all-time against the Bulldogs at home and have won seven on the last eight games in the rivalry overall. This is the only game that ESPN’s matchup predictor does not favor the Tide.

Oct. 5: Alabama at Vanderbilt – 89.8% chance of win

Vanderbilt warms up before a game against Alabama A&M at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023.

According to ESPN’s matchup predictor, Alabama’s game against Vanderbilt in October is the easiest road game on their schedule, giving the Crimson Tide a near 90 percent chance to defeat the Commodores at home.

Alabama hasn’t lost to Vanderbilt since 1984.

Advertisement

Oct. 12: Alabama vs. South Carolina – 86.2% chance of win

new-alabama-crimson-tide-head-coach-kalen-deboer-describes-enviroment-he-wants
Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News / USA TODAY NETWORK

The midway point in the season, DeBoer should be settled into his role by this point. How his team performs remains to be seen — but a strong performance against South Carolina could set the Crimson Tide up nicely for the upcoming rough patch in their schedule.

However, Alabama can’t get caught looking ahead at what’s next. Any matchup against an SEC opponent could be considered a trap game down the stretch.

Oct. 19: Alabama at Tennessee – 58% chance of win

Tennessee Football (Field Storming vs. Alabama - 2022)
Jamar Coach | USA TODAY NETWORK

DeBoer might not have been around for 2022’s loss to Tennessee inside Neyland Stadium, but he doesn’t want Alabama fans to relive it, either. The 52-49 loss, which resulted in uprooted goal poasts during the postgame field-storming, was Nick Saban’s final trip to Knoxville.

Alabama bounced back last season to dispatch of the Vols last year 34-20 and have won 16 of the last 17 matchups in the rivalry.

Oct. 26: Alabama vs. Missouri – 70% chance of win

joel-klatt-believes-missouri-sec-championship-appearence-win-over-alabama
Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Missouri‘s Luther Burden might be the most dynamic offensive weapon the Crimson Tide are scheduled to face this season. Proving to be an elite performer at the wide receiver position, Alabama defensive backs may have their work cut out for them. Afterall, Missouri won 11 games last season and capped it with a bowl win over Ohio State.

If the Crimson Tide aren’t careful, Eli Drinkwitz and company could make a massive statement in Tuscaloosa come late October as ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Alabama a 70% chance of winning the game at home — the lowest mark at home since Georgia.

Nov. 9: Alabama at LSU – 63.3% chance of win

LSU
Nov 4, 2023; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) stiff arms LSU Tigers safety Major Burns (8) as he runs the ball at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN’s matchup predictor predicts this game to be similar to the Tennessee road game, but gives Alabama a slight edge with a 63.3% chance of leaving Death Valley with a win.

LSU also knocked off Alabama during that 2022 season, which the Crimson Tide avenged last year as well. Still, coming off a tough stretch of schedule LSU could give Alabama all they can handle on the road.

Nov. 16: Alabama vs. Mercer – 99% chance of win

Alabama QB Jalen Milroe
Jalen Milroe (John David Mercer / USA TODAY Sports)

Coming off consecutive matchups against Tennessee, Missouri and LSU, Alabama gets to enjoy a home game against Mercer. This is the game they’re most likely to win this season, according to ESPN’s percentage data.

Two weeks before the Iron Bowl — this one could get ugly.

Advertisement

Nov. 23: Alabama at Oklahoma – 51.2% chance of win

Oklahoma-SEC
© BRYAN TERRY/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK

Alabama will play Oklahoma in Norman for the first time since 1970 later this year. ESPN analytics believe the Crimson Tide will narrowly escape with a victory in this season’s matchup.

How Texas and OU will adapt to their new SEC environment in year one remains to be seen — but a matchup against Alabama at home in Novemeber is the ultimate way to test yourself against a team that is expected to be one of the best the conference has to offer. Despite this, Alabama is the favorite, even if by a couple of percentage points.

Nov. 30: Alabama vs. Auburn – 80.1% chance of win

The Iron Bowl gave college football fans one of its most memorable moments of the 2023 season when Jalen Milroe hit Isaiah Bond in the back of the end zone for the game-winning touchdown on the road, stunning the Auburn fans inside Jordan-Hare Satdium.

This time around, they’re in Tuscaloosa where the Crimson Tide are heavily favored against their in-state rival as DeBoer and company look to ride into the postseason on a high note.



Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Alabama

Scarbinsky: To even the score, Alabama has to believe it’s a better team than Oklahoma

Published

on

Scarbinsky: To even the score, Alabama has to believe it’s a better team than Oklahoma


This is an opinion column.

Alabama has been here before.

Not this Alabama quarterback or this Alabama coach or this Alabama team, but that script “A” brand. Those crimson helmets. That championship DNA.

Questioned. Doubted. Defeated in the regular season in its own sandbox by a team it would be forced to meet again in the postseason in that team’s back yard.

Advertisement

Except the players and coaches who made up the 2011 Alabama football team didn’t question or doubt themselves after the Game of the Century went the wrong way. They didn’t feel defeated by LSU 9, Alabama 6 in Bryant-Denny Stadium.

When the polls and computers combined to put them in the BCS Championship Game in New Orleans, they didn’t look at it as if they were forced to play LSU again even though pundits were already talking about those Tigers as one of the greatest teams in college football history.

Just the opposite. Alabama felt fortunate. Confident. Almost arrogant. AJ McCarron, Trent Richardson and the rest learned something about themselves and their opponent on Nov. 5, 2011. The scoreboard said Alabama was the loser in that No. 1 vs. No. 2 showdown. Their hearts and minds told them they were the better team.

Given a second chance, they proved it. They shut down LSU, shut up the critics and locked down another national championship. Alabama 21, LSU 0 told the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth. The better team lived in Tuscaloosa.

That team believed it but needed a second chance to validate it. This team should feel the same way when it gets on the plane to kick off the 2025 College Football Playoff on Friday night.

Advertisement

Round 2 of Alabama vs. Oklahoma is not the second coming of the Jan. 9, 2012 Game of the Century Part Deaux, but it is a reasonable facsimile. When their heads hit the pillow on the night of Nov. 15, after Oklahoma 23, Alabama 21, Kalen DeBoer and company had every reason to believe the scoreboard showed some facts without telling the truth.

Alabama ran 24 more plays and gained 194 more yards that day. Alabama possessed the ball 8 minutes and 56 seconds longer. Each team faced 13 third downs. Alabama converted five of them, two more than Oklahoma. Alabama committed three fewer penalties.

There was a serious disconnect between the box score and the final score until you looked at the turnovers. Alabama committed three of them, Oklahoma not one. The Sooners turned those turnovers into 17 points. Ballgame.

It’s one thing to feel like you gave your best effort but lost to a better team. It’s far more maddening to know in your gut that you were your own worst enemy.

Ty Simpson was better than John Mateer that day except for the killer interception that turned a promising drive into an 87-yard pick-six. Alabama’s underappreciated defense was better than Oklahoma’s celebrated unit except for the sudden change after Ryan Williams fumbled a punt and OU scored a touchdown two plays later.

Advertisement

The field tilted decisively toward the Sooners only on special teams, but it was more than enough to give them the signature victory they lacked.

To supplement the punt coverage punchout, the nation’s best kicker, OU’s Tate Sandell, went 3 for 3 on field goals, including a 52-yard laser. Alabama’s Conor Talty had his only attempt partially blocked but it might not have mattered, and rather than writing his name in crimson flame, he torched his rep by berating his snapper in plain sight.

One play made here or there or a single mistake erased, and Alabama wins the game. Will the Crimson Tide make the same mistakes twice? They didn’t in January of 2012, the last time an Alabama team got a do-over after a defeat against the same opponent in the same season.

Don’t misunderstand. This 2025 Alabama team is not that 2011 team, but there is one striking similarity. This team is better than it showed on that unseasonably warm Tuscaloosa afternoon in mid-November. This team, pound for pound and player for player, is better than Oklahoma.

All this team has to do now is prove it, in the box score and on the scoreboard. Kadyn Proctor, Bray Hubbard and the rest have to get in OU’s face in OU’s house, make their mark and leave no doubt.

Advertisement

No one has to believe it but them.



Source link

Continue Reading

Alabama

How to Watch Alabama Basketball vs USF, Preview and Open Thread

Published

on

How to Watch Alabama Basketball vs USF, Preview and Open Thread


Nate Oats’ squad will try to rebound from a disastrous second half in the last outing against top-ranked Arizona. It was the first time this season that the Tide looked truly overmatched in a game and should be instructive in terms of which areas need addressed.

The problem is that the biggest issue, rebounding the ball and keeping opponents off the offensive glass in particular, may not be something that they can solve for with the current roster, against better teams anyway.

Tonight the Tide will host a South Florida squad that shouldn’t be much trouble if Alabama plays to its potential. The Bulls have rebounded the ball reasonably well, albeit against a relatively weak schedule, averaging 15.5 offensive boards per game. Guard Joseph Pinion is a name to watch. He leads the Bulls in scoring and shoots 38% from three, and also averages better than two steals per contest.

The Bulls generally run a four guard look with Izayiah Nelson and Daimion Collins rotating down low. Nelson has been particularly effective on the glass, averaging more than nine boards a game in only 24 minutes.

Advertisement

The Bulls are coached by longtime Oats assistant Bryan Hodgson, in his first season at South Florida after two at Arkansas State. Stylistically, expect something of a mirror image in this one.

What: South Florida at Alabama

How to Watch: ESPN+ or ESPN app

Use this as your open thread.



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Alabama

The Alabama Position Group Kalen DeBoer Has Sat in ‘Every Meeting’ With This Week

Published

on

The Alabama Position Group Kalen DeBoer Has Sat in ‘Every Meeting’ With This Week


The first sentence that Alabama head coach Kalen DeBoer said during Monday’s press conference: “Just got off the practice field. Having coached those receivers a little bit more and help out, I’m a little more winded than normal.”

Former Alabama head coach Nick Saban often worked closely with the defensive backs, as he was one at Kent State in the early 1970s. Meanwhile, DeBoer was a wide receiver at Sioux Falls from 1993-1996, as he set school records for receptions (234), receiving yards (3,400) and touchdowns (33), while earning All-American honors.

As Alabama enters the postseason with a trip to Norman on Friday to face Oklahoma in the first round of the College Football Playoff, DeBoer said on Wednesday that he’s recently worked very closely with the Crimson Tide wide receivers.

Advertisement

“I like the attention to detail these guys [have] and the questions they’re asking,” DeBoer said. “I get in that room every once in a while but I’ve been in it more, pretty much every meeting here the last week. Just really like the way they’re trying to be dialed in. I just think they’re really working together well to add to what we’ve done before.

Advertisement

Alabama’s wide receivers room underwent a massive change a few weeks ago, as JaMarcus Shephard took the open head coaching job at Oregon State. DeBoer previously said that the coaching staff had a “celebration” for Shephard and that they’re “really excited for him.”

After taking the Oregon State position, Shephard remained at Alabama to coach the Iron Bowl and SEC Championship. The Crimson Tide reportedly hired Derrick Nix on Tuesday to fill Shephard’s role, but DeBoer was “not ready to talk about that” on Wednesday.

Alabama hired former New England Patriots wide receivers coach Tyler Hughes to its coaching staff as an analyst in February, and DeBoer’s been impressed with his efforts lately.

“Tyler Hughes is a guy that’s been in our program, he was with us a few years ago when we were at Washington,” DeBoer said. “He’s been back and forth between the Patriots in different capacities, and last year he was the wide receivers coach there.

Advertisement

“From a fundamental and teaching standpoint, he understands that position. Has done it at the highest level, and then understands our offensive system. He’s been a critical piece to our success for a couple years now.

Advertisement

“He’s done a great job filling in and really working with that group each and every day, in the meetings, on the side just to get them up to speed on what the game plan is all about. We got, at this point, guys that understand what it takes. We’ve got good leadership in that group. Guys that care. Guys that can make plays. So it’s certainly a unified effort, which is great to see.”

Alabama’s offense has been a bit stagnant lately and not as explosive as it was during the first few weeks of the season. Finding ways to get these wide receivers open quicker for quarterback Ty Simpson to easily find and connect with them will be a major key to success.

Alabama’s first-round matchup against Oklahoma is set to kick off on Friday at 7 p.m. CT in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium on ESPN and ABC.

Read More:

Advertisement

Subscribe to BamaCentral’s Free Newsletter



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending