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Trump suggests he could win 50% of Jewish vote in presidential election showdown against Harris

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Trump suggests he could win 50% of Jewish vote in presidential election showdown against Harris

LAS VEGAS, NV – Former President Trump suggested that he could win up to half of the Jewish vote in the 2024 election as he criticized Jewish Americans who don’t support him in his showdown with Vice President Kamala Harris.

“We’re probably around the 50 percent mark,” Trump said on Thursday in live-streamed comments as he addressed the Republican Jewish Coalition’s annual leadership meeting in Las Vegas, Nevada.

And the former president and GOP nominee claimed, without evidence, that Israel “will no longer exist” if Harris wins the White House in November’s election.

Trump addressed the group of Republican Jewish leaders, donors, and activists, days after the bodies of six Israeli hostages, including Israeli American Hersh Goldberg-Polin, were recovered in Gaza. The hostages were taken by Hamas last October during an attack on Israel that ignited the eleven-month-long war in Gaza.

TRUMP AND HARRIS ON COLLISION COURSE AS 2024 CAMPAIGN ENTERS FINAL STRETCH

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Former President Trump, the GOP presidential nominee, gives live-streamed comments to the Republican Jewish Coalition’s annual leadership meeting, in Las Vegas, Nevada on Sept. 5, 2024 (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

The Harris campaign, responding to Trump’s address, pointed to the former president’s past criticism of Israeli leader Benjamin Netanyahu for congratulating Biden on his 2020 election victory over Trump.

“Donald Trump has made it obvious he would turn on Israel in a moment if it suited his personal interests, and in fact he has done so in the past,” Harris national security spokesperson Morgan Finkelstein wrote in a statement. “Meanwhile, the Vice President has been incredibly clear: She has been a lifelong supporter of the State of Israel as a secure, democratic homeland for the Jewish people.”

ELECTION SEASON STARTS A LOT EARLIER THAN YOU THINK

While supportive of Israel’s right to defend itself, President Biden’s relationship with Netanyahu has grown increasingly strained during the current war. On Monday, the president said he didn’t think the Israeli leader was doing enough to help foster a hostage deal with Hamas.

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The vice president has aimed to balance her support for Israel – which she spotlighted last month during her address at the Democratic National Convention – with her acknowledgment of the high civilian death toll caused by Israel’s military offensive in Gaza. While Republicans are unified in support of Israel, many progressives in the Democratic Party have been vocal in their criticism of Israel’s war with Hamas.

Kamala Harris reacts

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks onstage during the first day of the Democratic National Convention at the United Center on August 19, 2024 in Chicago, Illinois.   (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Trump, who has repeatedly questioned how Jewish Americans could vote for the Democrats, reiterated “I don’t understand how anybody can support them — and I say it constantly — if you had them to support and you were Jewish, you have to have your head examined.”

“Who are the 50 percent of Jewish people that are voting for these people that hate Israel and don’t like the Jewish people?” Trump asked as he once again charged that the Democrats “have been very bad to you.”

NEW FOX NEWS POLL NUMBERS IN 4 KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES

Ari Fleischer, a Republican Jewish Coalition board member, spotlighted the rising Jewish support for GOP presidential candidates as he spoke with reporters following Trump’s speech.

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Fleischer, a longtime Republican strategist, former White House press secretary and Fox News contributor, said that former President George H.W. Bush won 11% of the Jewish vote in 1992, but that his boss, former President George W. Bush, won 25% of the Jewish vote in his 2004 re-election. Trump won approximately 30% of the Jewish vote four years ago.

Trump on a screen

GOP presidential nominee former President Trump, takes aim at Vice President Kamala Harris as he speaks in a livestreamed address to the Republican Jewish Coalition’s annual leadership meeting, on Sept. 5, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada  (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

Fleischer wouldn’t predict what percentage of the Jewish vote Trump would capture this year, but said it could near 50% in some battleground states, as they consider casting Republican ballots.

“The ears of the Jewish community are open this cycle more than previously, because of the events around the world and what we see in America,” Fleischer said. “It’s one thing for it to be theoretical, it’s now physical. It’s palpable on the American street.”

He added that “what’s changed in this cycle is this palpable sense of fear because of what’s happening in America, because of what’s happening on campuses, because of what happened in Israel on October 7, and every day since…the American Jewry has never had their ears more open to potentially voting Republican than in this cycle.”

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Republican Jewish Coalition CEO Matt Brooks told reporters that the group’s political arm has beefed up its data operations by building what he touted as “the only real viable voter file of Jewish voters in the country” to turnout the vote.

“We have quietly been building under the radar over the last several years. We have been putting staff and deploying resources,” Brooks shared. “So we now have staff in Nevada, we have paid staff in Georgia, we have paid staff in Michigan, we have paid staff in Pennsylvania and in Arizona. And we have been doing this quietly since the last election, building up to this moment.”

Brooks said the group is spending millions of dollars on digital and TV ads, direct mail, phone calls and door knocking and other canvassing efforts to get out the vote – what he described as “the whole gamut.”

Miriam Anderson

Miriam Adelson, the billionaire GOP donor, speaks at the Republican Jewish Coalition’s annual leadership meeting, in Las Vegas, Nevada on Sept. 5, 2024.  (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

Trump was introduced at the gathering by Miriam Adelson, the billionaire Republican megadonor, who along with her late husband, casino magnate Sheldon Adelson were major backers of the Republican Jewish Coalition.

Adelson, who is currently helping bankroll a super PAC that supports Trump, called him “our best friend” and added that she’s “eagerly awaiting for him to enter the White House and to save the Jewish people.”

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Stefanik files ethics complaint against Trump trial judge alleging Harris campaign paid his daughter’s company

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Stefanik files ethics complaint against Trump trial judge alleging Harris campaign paid his daughter’s company

Rep. Elise Stefanik has filed an ethics complaint against New York Supreme Court Justice Juan Merchan “for his illegal conflict of interest in the sham Manhattan trial against President Trump,” alleging the Harris campaign has a “newly active financial relationship” with a company led in part by his daughter.

The filing with the New York State Commission on Judicial Conduct came on the same day that Merchan decided to postpone Trump’s sentencing in New York v. Trump until after the November presidential election.  

Trump was found guilty in an unprecedented criminal trial on all 34 counts of falsifying business records in the first degree, following a six-week trial stemming from Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s investigation.  

However, Stefanik, R-N.Y., is now asking the Commission to launch a “fresh inquiry concerning Justice Merchan’s conflict and take any appropriate action resulting from it.” 

JUDGE MERCHAN DELAYS TRUMP SENTENCING UNTIL AFTER ELECTION 

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Rep. Elise Stefanik, R-N.Y., has filed an ethics complaint against Judge Juan Merchan. (Leon Neal/Getty Images/AP/Seth Wenig)

“On August 20, 2024, Vice President Harris’s campaign submitted its first Federal Election Commission (FEC) report that documented expenses and donations through July 31, 2024. In the report… a July 30, 2024, disbursement appears in the amount of $468.00 from Vice President Harris’s campaign to Authentic Campaigns Inc. (Authentic) for web hosting services,” Stefanik wrote in her complaint. “This indicates that one of the very first things that Harris did upon taking over the Biden campaign infrastructure is to hire this firm, Authentic. 

READ THE LETTER BELOW. APP USERS: CLICK HERE

“Authentic is a digital consulting and marketing firm that services Democrat candidates. Loren Merchan, Justice Merchan’s daughter, is its president,” Stefanik added. “Vice President Harris changed web hosting companies from AWS to Authentic immediately after becoming the presumptive Democrat presidential nominee. 

“This is merely the beginning of a new contract with a new campaign, regardless of the amount reimbursed. Sure, there’s an immediate benefit, but this is a play at a potential larger benefit for Authentic and Merchan down the road,” Stefanik said in her complaint. 

JUDGE MERCHAN SUED FOR FINANCIAL DISCLOSURES AMID CONCERNS OF DAUGHTER’S DEMOCRAT WORK

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Trump in NY Court

Former President Trump appears in Manhattan Criminal Court for his hush money trial on May 30 in New York City. Sentencing in that case, in which Trump was found guilty, has been delayed until November. (Steven Hirsch/Getty Images)

Stefanik continued by saying that the code of conduct “dictates that a judge must recuse from a case where a relative up to and including the sixth degree has a financial interest in the outcome of the case.” 

“Ms. Merchan is related to Justice Merchan in the first degree. Authentic has a newly active financial relationship with Vice President Harris’s campaign,” Stefanik concluded.  

Kamala Harris

Stefanik says Authentic, a company run by Merchan’s daughter, “has a newly active financial relationship with Vice President Harris’s campaign.” (Reuters)

 

The Harris campaign and the New York State Commission on Judicial Conduct did not immediately respond Saturday to a request for comment from Fox News Digital. 

Fox News’ Brooke Singman contributed to this report. 

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Trump Claims Harris’s Rallies Are Smaller. We Counted.

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Trump Claims Harris’s Rallies Are Smaller. We Counted.

Kalina Borkiewicz, Malika Khurana, Karthik Patanjali and Bedel Saget

The sizable support Vice President Kamala Harris has generated at her rallies has rattled former President Donald J. Trump, who has emphasized, and frequently exaggerated, his crowd sizes for years. He has said, often repeating falsehoods, that his crowds are much larger than Ms. Harris’s, and the Harris campaign has returned with their own jabs about the enthusiasm of Trump rallygoers.

We attended six rallies — every campaign event that the candidates held within a three-week period in August — across six states, taking photographs and capturing video and 360-degree footage, to analyze which claims on crowd sizes hold weight. The analysis found that, despite Mr. Trump’s claims, both candidates draw comparably big audiences.

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On a Friday night, Mr. Trump drew 11,500 people to the Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Here’s what it looked like:

Photographs and composite by Kalina Borkiewicz and Karthik Patanjali

On a Tuesday night during the weeklong Democratic National Convention in late August, Ms. Harris drew 12,800 to a campaign event at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wis. Here’s a scene from that rally:

Photographs and composite by Malika Khurana and Bedel Saget

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The four other campaign events that The Times attended were similarly packed, with audience members generally filling up the space designated for the event. The rallies took place at venues with maximum capacities ranging from 6,800 to 19,300 people, though in some cases sections of seating were cordoned off, and additional seating or standing-only areas were added.

Wilkes-Barre, Pa., Aug. 17

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Justin Sullivan/Getty Images (Las Vegas), Christian Monterrosa/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images (Savannah), Michael Ciaglo/Getty Images (Bozeman), Doug Mills/The New York Times (Wilkes-Barre)

For each of the six events, The Times counted the number of people visible in footage taken just after each candidate began their speech, also accounting for people in dimly lit and obscured areas. This number does not represent the people that may have left early, before the footage was captured, or arrived late.

Crowd size estimates at campaign events

Harris

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Sat., Aug. 10 Las Vegas 6,200
Tue., Aug. 20 Milwaukee, Wis. 12,800
Thu., Aug. 29 Savannah, Ga. 6,200

Trump

Fri., Aug. 9 Bozeman, Mont. 4,300
Sat., Aug. 17 Wilkes-Barre, Pa. 5,900
Fri., Aug. 23 Glendale, Ariz. 11,500

Experts say that crowd sizes at rallies do not have a direct relationship to winning or losing an election. For one, event organizers may strategically choose venues with a small capacity, like college campus buildings where only a few hundred can attend. The day of the week and time of day can also affect the size of the crowd and when people decide to arrive or leave.

Still, crowd sizes have been a sensitive subject for Mr. Trump throughout his political career, his fixation intensifying as of late as enthusiasm has ballooned for the new Democratic ticket. Mr. Trump falsely claimed that photographs of the crowds at Ms. Harris’s events are doctored using A.I.

In response, the Harris campaign posted a video compilation of moments during Mr. Trump’s rallies in which audience members are seen yawning, and also wrote in a separate post on Truth Social that members of Mr. Trump’s audience left the event in Pennsylvania early, “leaving even more empty seats.”

The Times found that people did leave early from two of three of Mr. Trump’s events, including while he was delivering his speech.

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Photographs taken over the course of Mr. Trump’s rallies show where people left their seats. Below is a series of photographs from his Aug. 17 rally in Wilkes-Barre, Pa., taken at 13 minutes and just over 1 hour into his speech.

Examples of crowd thinning during Trump’s speech in Wilkes-Barre, Pa.

Malika Khurana and Karthik Patanjali

And this shows where seats emptied out an hour into Mr. Trump’s speech at the Aug. 23 rally in Glendale, Ariz.

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Examples of crowd thinning during Trump’s speech in Glendale, Ariz.

Kalina Borkiewicz and Karthik Patanjali

The longer duration of a Trump event compared with a Harris one may have contributed to a greater number of early exits. Trump rallygoers typically arrived earlier in the day, and opening speeches tended to start earlier and last longer. Of the six rallies The Times attended, Mr. Trump spoke for four times as long as Ms. Harris.

How long the rallies lasted

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Note: The start time for each rally is determined by when the doors were scheduled to open.

The New York Times

Despite the limited connection between crowd size and election outcomes, the very public sparring between the two campaigns over the metric indicates that it at the very least carries some political significance.

Large, enthusiastic crowds can also help energize the candidate themselves as they give their speech, said Todd Belt, the director of the Political Management program at George Washington University. It can also contribute to a “bandwagon effect,” showing those who aren’t there in person that the enthusiasm for a candidate is real.

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“Even though I do believe these kinds of events don’t change people’s minds, what it does is it makes people feel like you’re not alone,” said Betsy Reiser, 62, an attendee at a rally for Harris in Savannah, Ga. “It is very important to feel like you belong.”

The Times took 360-degree photographs at two-minute intervals and panoramic photographs at 15-minute intervals at the rallies, from the time doors opened through the end of the events. To establish the estimated crowd size, The Times manually counted individuals in a single photographic panorama shortly before or during the candidate’s speech, when crowd density was expected to be highest. The count was then rounded to the nearest hundred.

Note: Green dots represent the people Times reporters manually counted in the arena.

Graphic by Kalina Borkiewicz, photograph and composite by Malika Khurana and Bedel Saget

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Areas that were obstructed from the view of our cameras were photographed and analyzed separately, then combined with the main count where needed. Photographs were compiled into a single composite image that shows a 360-degree view of the arena. Photograph timestamps, cross-referenced with official campaign information and recorded broadcasts, were used to determine speaking time.

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Conservative economists pour cold water on Harris' new small-business tax proposal

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Conservative economists pour cold water on Harris' new small-business tax proposal

Conservative economists are pouring cold water on Vice President Kamala Harris’ new proposal aimed at reducing startup costs for new small businesses as part of her “Opportunity Economy” economic platform.

Harris unveiled new small-business tax proposals last week aimed at reducing the cost burden related to starting a new business. Among the proposals was a substantial increase in the standard tax deduction for small-business startup costs, from $5,000 to $50,000. “It’s essentially a tax cut for starting a small business,” the vice president said during a stump speech announcing the new proposal. “We’re going to help more small businesses and innovators get off the ground.”

Meanwhile, Harris has simultaneously expressed support for raising marginal tax rates for both corporations and individuals, which conservative economists argued would work to diminish the benefit received by the tenfold increase in the startup deduction. 

“She wants to increase taxes on all kinds of income, on all classifications of income, so no matter how the small business is ultimately structured, they will still be paying more,” conservative economist E.J. Antoni told Fox News Digital. “Now, is that going to be diminished by this increase in the tax deduction? Absolutely. But, then, why are you doing both? That doesn’t make any sense.”

NEW YORK REPUBLICAN WRANGLES WITH CNN HOST HITTING TRUMP’S ECONOMIC POLICIES

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Under the Trump administration, standard deductions were increased while marginal tax rates were lowered, Antoni pointed out. Additionally, under former President Trump’s tax cut measures, small business owners were allowed to claim a deduction for their “qualified business income.” It will ultimately be up to Congress to decide whether to keep any of Trump’s expiring tax cuts.

Trump spoke at the Economic Club of New York on Thursday, during which he laid out plans like lowering the corporate tax rate from its current 21% to 15%. Trump’s first-term tax cuts reduced it previously from 35%.

“Harris wants to do the opposite [of Trump],” Antoni said. “She wants to increase the deduction, but then increase the marginal tax rates.”

The economy consistently ranks as the most important issue for voters heading into a presidential election.

PENNSYLVANIANS SOUND OFF ON WHERE THEY BELIEVE HARRIS STANDS ON KEY ISSUES

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Robert Wolfe, a Harris supporter and former chairman of UBS Americas, a global wealth management firm, pointed out that the tax rate increase for individuals will only impact those making more than $400,000.

“We want small businesses being built,” Wolfe said. “And we know that the ramp-up phase takes time, and so the idea that we wouldn’t applaud small businesses and entrepreneurs getting tax credits doesn’t make sense to me.”

Richard Stern, director of the Grover M. Hermann Center for the Federal Budget at The Heritage Foundation, said that under current tax laws, new business owners can already deduct most early-stage expenses, like payroll and equipment costs. Startup expenses, meanwhile, are defined under the tax code as those costs incurred prior to a business being registered with the federal government, which, according to Stern, are typically pretty minimal. 

“Harris’ new tax deduction for small businesses isn’t a subsidy for starting a business per se,” he said. “It’s only useful if you actually spend $50K on pre-business expenses. So, this is disproportionately a subsidy for larger starting businesses.” 

Stern also agreed with Antoni’s take that Harris is essentially giving to small businesses with one hand, while taking from them with the other. 

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Antoni, meanwhile, suggested that whoever is formulating economic policy for the Harris campaign is “building the train as it goes down the tracks.”

“It really seems like there were no policy proposals thought out ahead of time, and they are just throwing these things together,” he said.

CRITICS BLAST HARRIS’ GRASP OF INFLATION, ATTACK ON BUSINESS AHEAD OF POLICY SPEECH: ‘LUNATIC BEHAVIOR’

Kamala Harris 'Bidenomics graphic

Vice President Kamala Harris helped create President Biden’s economic strategy known as “Bidenomics.” (Getty Images)

While right-wing economic experts argue Harris’ latest tax proposal would be diminished by her plans to raise taxes in other areas and do little to help inexperienced business owners start their first company, Roger Hochschild, a Harris supporter and former CEO at Discover Financial Services, says the move will be “critical to driving further economic growth.”

“I think she is very clear in her support of small businesses and acknowledging that they are the backbone of the economy,” Hochschild said. 

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Rhett Buttle, a former 2020 Biden campaign adviser, echoed that sentiment. He said the increased tax deduction proves Harris’ “deep commitment” to entrepreneurs, according to NBC News. 

“There are broad strokes here to people from all walks of life,” he said. “Small business and entrepreneurship tends to be a great unifier in a world where people have starkly different political divisions,” Buttle said.

In addition to Harris’ new tax proposals for small businesses, she also laid out her plan this week for taxing capital gains. She wants to increase it to 33%, whereas Biden reportedly wants the current rate, which is at 23.8%, to be nearly doubled, according to The Wall Street Journal.

LIBERAL WASHINGTON POST EDITORIAL BOARD HAS SCATHING TAKE ON HARRIS’ ECONOMIC PLAN: ‘POPULIST GIMMICKS’

restaurant worker holds up a receipt with a note that reads "Vote Trump No Tax on Tip," signed by former President Trump

A restaurant worker holds up a receipt with a note that reads “Vote Trump No Tax on Tip,” signed by former President Trump at a Philadelphia sandwich shop.

Fox News Digital reached out to the Harris campaign for comment on the criticisms about her small-business tax proposal, but was only directed to a social media post of a small business owner speaking at a Harris campaign rally.

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“Do you think that your small business is better off now, than it was under the Trump administration?” NBC’s Gabe Gutierrez asked the entrepreneur.

“Oh, without a doubt,” the business owner, Brad Smith, responded. “And I think the reason is everything to do with optimism — if you’re a doom-and-gloom candidate, or president, you are not going to start a business.”

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