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Opinion: Are wildfires caused by climate change or something else? The question is flawed

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Opinion: Are wildfires caused by climate change or something else? The question is flawed

To be a first responder at this stage in the climate crisis is to face an escalation of violence. For many wildland firefighters, the unprecedented scenes from the last couple of weeks in Los Angeles — dozens dead, tens of thousands without homes, hundreds of thousands more displaced — will appear part of a familiar pattern.

The national conversation, predictably, has followed a pattern as well: Republicans try to dismiss or play down the role of fossil-fuel-driven climate change, and everyone else has to decide whether to ignore them or argue.

How we frame this pattern of violence matters because it directs the focus of our solutions and the fight for accountability. Scientists will spend the next months and years quantifying the exact degree to which this particular disaster can be attributed to climate change. This research is important, but don’t let it distract from the reality facing our state: 18 of the 20 largest wildfires in California’s history have burned since 2000. This wasn’t because of forest management or zoning policy, which have seen some improvements. What’s causing disastrous fires is our changing climate.

Since 1988, when scientists told Congress that fossil fuels would drive catastrophic changes in our climate, humanity has burned more carbon than was emitted over the entire span of human civilization preceding that year, spanning 10,000 years. During those same decades, when we should have been phasing out fossil fuels, the industry leveraged its relationship with the Republican Party to continue raking in record profits — approximately $3.2 billion per day. The fossil fuel industry, once again wielding its power now that President Trump has retaken office, pushed us into this new age of combustion.

As a firefighter, I first encountered this climate violence in 2020, when a record heatwave caused the Dolan fire in Big Sur to double in size overnight. The fire overtook 15 of my colleagues, injuring several. The tragedy barely made the news because the rest of the state was also burning like never before — 4 million acres up in smoke.

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“This is what climate chaos looks like,” wrote Los Angeles Times columnist Sammy Roth this month. Warmer air means drier, more flammable vegetation. More frequent heat waves and droughts add to the combustible potential. Climate change increases the probability extreme events will layer on top of each other, creating the sorts of unprecedented conditions that caused Los Angeles to burn. These conditions doubled in California between 1980 and 2020.

For those of us who live in proximity to wildfires, this won’t come as a surprise. In 2021, just months after my colleagues got burned in the Dolan fire, another record heat wave settled on the West Coast. It caused explosive fires — my boss, a veteran of over 20 years, said possibly the most extreme he had ever seen. It was still spring. I collapsed from heat exhaustion as we fought to defend a town.

I was luckier than many. Hundreds died. As my body collapsed, the heat was causing utility lines to melt and roads to warp along the West Coast. In cities, medical personnel ran low on cooling supplies, so they resorted to filling body bags meant for cadavers with ice, then zipping unconscious victims of heatstroke inside. When people collapsed on sidewalks, they suffered third-degree burns. In hospital records, the thermometers designed to read the body temperatures of patients mostly came out at 107 degrees, which was mysterious until doctors realized that the instruments were not designed to go any higher. Atmospheric scientists faced a similar problem: Their instruments weren’t calibrated to monitor the temperatures in which we were firefighting.

And yet, despite the increasing regularity of these disasters, the same stale arguments from prominent Republicans continue to blame anything but climate change. The critiques of forest management from former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and from his successor representing Bakersfield, Vince Fong, might seem like tame attempts at misdirection compared with Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s bizarre claims about Jewish space lasers or Elon Musk’s scapegoating of diversity initiatives. But all these arguments ultimately serve the same purpose: to deflect attention from fossil fuels and delay science-backed climate action by distorting the conversation about energy policy and climate disasters.

The right-wing blame game forces us into a false debate: whether disasters like wildfires are caused by climate change or some other factor. This leads people to feel they must select climate change from a list of culprits.

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In 2021, as my crew worked to defend giant sequoias from the most destructive wildfire the trees had encountered in millennia, a fellow firefighter said to me: “Sure, climate change is real, but you can’t blame it all on that. There’s other s— happening too.”

By letting the right wing control the narrative in this way, we fuel a fundamental misunderstanding of how climate change works. It’s not a single factor to weigh against others. It’s an intensifier — a force that amplifies and worsens existing conditions. Climate change increases the probability that extreme conditions will compound and become unprecedented. Probabilities may seem abstract, but think of it like Russian roulette: Our lives are at stake, and the fossil fuel industry keeps adding bullets to the cylinder.

This isn’t only true with wildfires. Climate change now operates in the background of most disasters: famines and floods, human displacement, the spread of infectious diseases, armed conflicts. When we talk about climate change as just one variable, we empower right-wing narratives that blame disasters on everything but fossil fuel policies, allowing policymakers to sidestep the climate action we need.

Climate change is embedded in every variable. The real question isn’t whether wildfires are caused by climate change, poor forestry or reckless development; it’s how climate change interacts with other factors. And no disaster mitigation technique will succeed if we keep burning fossil fuels at our current rate.

By understanding the ubiquitous role of climate change, we can design solutions that tackle it and the local conditions that amplify its impacts. In California, for instance, this means transitioning off fossil fuels, encouraging more prescribed burns and hardening homes against fire. Just as disasters arise from the interplay of these factors, solutions must address them together.

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You don’t have to engage in a debate about how much of a role climate change played in recent fires. Change the subject: How much environmental, economic and humanitarian violence are we willing to endure? Because, in the words of Peter Kalmus, a climate scientist who fled Los Angeles: “How bad things get depends on how long we let the fossil fuel industry call the shots.”

Jordan Thomas, author of the forthcoming “When It All Burns,” is a former wildland firefighter and a doctoral candidate in anthropology at UC Santa Barbara, where he researches the cultural forces that shape wildfire.

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Rubio sanctions Cuban groups with ties to US nonprofit network funded by communist donor Neville Roy Singham

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Rubio sanctions Cuban groups with ties to US nonprofit network funded by communist donor Neville Roy Singham

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Secretary of State Marco Rubio put U.S. organizations on notice: they can no longer do business with a key Cuban organization that has spent over six decades – since the launch of Fidel Castro’s communist revolution in 1959 – cultivating relationships with U.S. activists and groups, many of them now funded by communist American tycoon Neville Roy Singham.

The sanctions target the Cuban Institute of Friendship with the Peoples, known by its Spanish acronym ICAP, an organization founded by Castro in 1960 to spread Marxist ideology and support for Cuba. Long ago, U.S. officials and intelligence assessments concluded ICAP is a key component of Cuba’s intelligence apparatus.

“For decades, Cuba has been the world capital for radical left-wing terrorism,” Rubio said. “The regime in Havana has recruited, trained and backed violent Marxist and third-worldist movements across our hemisphere and beyond.”

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Marco Rubio moves to put sanctions on a group that Fidel Castro established in 1960 to spread Cuba’s communist influence in the world. (Sven Creutzmann/Mambo Photography/Getty Images; Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Earlier this year, ICAP worked with U.S. nonprofits, including the People’s Forum, Progressive International and CodePink, to organize a March “convoy” that included controversial Marxist streamer Hasan Piker landing in Cuba to support Cuba’s communist party.

The trip has since attracted federal scrutiny, with CodePink co-founder Medea Benjamin confirming she received questions from federal officials about the trip, investigating whether she violated sanctions.

Late last month, Fox News Digital published a three-part series, reporting that federal investigators are examining Cuba’s alleged malign foreign influence operation in the U.S., investigating a network of 145 groups with collective revenues of about $1 billion, promoting Cuba’s agenda and communist ideology.

“Today, we are targeting the network that enables and funds Cuba’s subversive and radical operations,” Rubio said.

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The groups working closely with ICAP include the People’s Forum, CodePink, BreakThrough News and Tricontinental, funded by Singham, a Marxist tech tycoon living in Shanghai. As reported, Singham has pumped $285 million into nonprofits since 2017 that have built very close relationships with ICAP and the communist government of Cuba.

Singham is married to CodePink co-founder Jodie Evans.

INSIDE CUBA’S FOREIGN INFLUENCE CAMPAIGN: FROM THE VENCEREMOS BRIGADE OF THE 1960S TO SATURDAY IN A UNION HALL

ICAP is today led by Fernando González Llort, one of five former Cuban intelligence officers, known as the “Cuban Five,” convicted in the U.S. years ago on espionage-related charges and released after spending time in jail. 

Critics say ICAP acts as a gateway for revolutionaries from around the world to get embedded in the propaganda, organizing tactics and strategic goals of the Communist Party of Cuba. ICAP has denied wrongdoing and says it’s a civil society organization.

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ICAP was one of five entities that Rubio designated as off-limits under sanctions authorities established by President Donald Trump’s Cuba executive order. The sanctions also target Cuba’s Ministry of the Revolutionary Armed Forces (MINFAR), the Committees for the Defense of the Revolution (CDR), Minera La Victoria S.A. and the state-run tourism company Amistur Cuba S.A., which has arranged trips to Cuba with U.S. nonprofits in the Singham network.

Experts said the move signals that the Trump administration is focused not only on the Cuban government but also on U.S. institutions that U.S. officials believe help project Cuban influence internationally.

A declassified CIA report from the Cold War era, “Cuba: Castro’s Propaganda Apparatus and Foreign Policy,” described Cuba’s international propaganda and influence activities as a central component of Castro’s foreign policy strategy. The report named ICAP among organizations that act as important instruments for cultivating sympathetic political movements abroad and extending Cuban influence beyond the island.

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One of the most notable examples was the Venceremos Brigade, a Cuba solidarity program established in 1969 that brought generations of American activists to the island through exchanges organized with Cuban authorities and institutions including ICAP.

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The program became one of the most visible pipelines connecting American activists to the Cuban revolutionary government.

Today, the Venceremos Brigade operates as a fiscally-sponsored project of the People’s Forum.

Lawmakers and federal authorities are examining whether organizations funded by Singham have acted on behalf of foreign interests without properly registering and have helped amplify messaging favorable to the Chinese Communist Party and the Communist Party of Cuba.

Cuba’s President Miguel Diaz-Canel (C) listens to Progressive International’s general coordinator, David Adler, during an event at the Cuban Institute for Friendship with the Peoples (ICAP) in Havana, on March 21, 2026. (Ernesto Mastrascusa/AFP via Getty Images)

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During the recent convoy in March, Progressive International co-founder David Adler appeared alongside Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel and ICAP President González at an official event hosted by ICAP.

Years ago, Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass participated in Venceremos Brigade trips, a connection that her mayoral candidate Spencer Pratt resurfaced during her campaign. Bass has denied any wrongdoing.

Supporters of such exchanges describe them as educational and humanitarian programs intended to foster international understanding. Critics argue they function as political influence operations designed to build support for the Cuban regime and its ideological objectives.

The Cuban government condemned Rubio’s sanctions shortly after the announcement.

President Miguel Díaz-Canel accused the United States of escalating economic pressure against Cuba and attempting to intensify tensions between the two countries.

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Hasan Piker, a Democratic Socialists of America member, and CodePink co-founder Jodie Evans meet in Havana, Cuba, as part of a “United Front” supporting the communist regime. (CodePink via Storyful)

“The Treasury Department has added new names of Cuban leaders, organizations and companies to an illegitimate sanctions list,” Díaz-Canel wrote on social media. “They are aimed at reinforcing the blockade measures and the scenario of conflict between Cuba and the United States.”

Rubio’s warning extended beyond the sanctioned entities.

The action signals that the administration is increasingly focused on the networks, partnerships and influence channels that U.S. officials believe have helped advance Cuban interests abroad long after the Cold War officially ended.

“Anyone providing services to these sanctioned actors is at risk of sanctions themselves,” he said. “Foreign banks and other companies that provide services to these entities should freeze those activities.”

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Fox News Digital’s Reagan Schroeder contributed to this report.

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Commentary: No, Mr. Hilton, our elections are not ‘a joke.’ It’s time for you to stand up to Trump

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Commentary: No, Mr. Hilton, our elections are not ‘a joke.’ It’s time for you to stand up to Trump

Well, that didn’t take long.

A day after California’s primary election, President Trump took to social media with baseless claims of election fraud — predictable, but also dangerous.

“Look what’s happening in California, the Dumocrats, right before our very eyes, are stealing the Vote,” Trump wrote in one post.

“There’s BIG cheating by the Dumocrats in California,” he wrote in another, apparently enamored of his latest juvenile slur.

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Never mind that his candidate, Steve Hilton, is in the lead — for now anyway.

California has once again become the main dish on Trump’s buffet of bull-hockey as he continues to undermine democracy and consolidate authoritarian power, using this disingenuous and patently untrue narrative that American elections are rigged by shadowy Democratic forces working in collusion with illegal immigrants.

That last part is called the Great Replacement Theory, the idea that “elites” are replacing white people — and white voters — with Black and brown immigrants in a bid to destroy white culture. It’s at the heart of Trump’s voter fraud allegations.

The twist this time is that Hilton, the man who wants to represent all Californians, seems to be jumping on the election fraud conspiracy train with the president. I get it, there’s the MAGA base to feed, and it’s a base that feasts on outrage and fakery. Serving up resentment glazed with lies and propaganda has been the MAGA playbook for years under Trump, a strategy that no one can deny has been heartbreakingly effective.

But Hilton is a smart man and must certainly know that voter fraud is rare, to the point of being inconsequential to election outcomes. Hilton by his own admission understands voting patterns, and that in this cycle, Republicans have voted early and often by mail, despite Trump’s claims that all vote-by-mail should be suspect. So Hilton understands that early votes have skewed his way, and that later vote tallies will likely favor Democrats.

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And Hilton is definitely intelligent enough to expect that in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans nearly three to one, he will not keep the top spot in this primary, and a slim chance remains that he will not make it into the top two. That’s just simple math.

So if Hilton truly seeks to represent this state as its top elected executive, now is the time to renounce election fraud myths and stand up to Trump’s lies. If Hilton can’t say that he believes our recent election was free and fair, then he has no business being our governor.

Unfortunately, that doesn’t seem to be the path he’s taking, even as it seems increasingly likely that he will advance to the general election.

This week, speaking with far-right podcaster and former Turning Point USA creative director Benny Johnson (who was allegedly duped into working for a Russian influence operation), Hilton said that while “so far we’re not seeing any signs” of cheating, “we’re going to be all over it. We’re not going to let them do that.”

Hilton was responding to a question from Johnson on whether Hilton will sue over “cheating.”

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On a post-election appearance with Laura Ingraham, the conservative Fox News host who has repeatedly promoted the Great Replacement Theory, Hilton delved into more conspiracy.

“Just to really underline the point that you made about the corruption,” he told Ingraham an anecdote about supposed fraud in a previous election cycle when a “whistleblower” at the post office told him that they were instructed that a handwritten postmark was acceptable when sorting ballots to deliver to the county registrar.

“It’s just unbelievable, and of course, that’s why so many people don’t believe the results, but it just undermines confidence,” he told Ingraham, certainly knowing that the post office forwarding a ballot on to a county registrar in no way means it will be certified or counted. Would we really want the USPS deciding which ballots to deliver? Disingenuous on Hilton’s part at best.

“The whole thing is a joke,” Hilton went on to say of California elections, which of course, is absurd.

Thursday, when I asked Hilton’s team to speak with him about his views on voter fraud, they sent back a response that focused on the slowness of the California vote count; voter rolls Hilton has described as “wildly inaccurate,” which is a wildly inaccurate claim; and two instances of actual fraud with voter registration — not examples of votes that were counted.

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To be sure, all those items are important. Any malfeasance should be punished, and the system should always strive to improve.

But how hard is it to simply be against fraud, while accurately acknowledging that it is rare and our current system provides accurate results?

I am against voter registration fraud. I am against vote fraud. I am absolutely pro-democracy, including policies such as mail-in voting that increase participation.

I do not believe that there is widespread fraud in the California primary, or in American elections in general, because the evidence does not support that conspiracy. I do not believe that Democrats are running a decades-long, nationwide conspiracy to replace white voters with votes from Black and brown undocumented immigrants, because that is both false and racist.

Pretty basic stuff, and statements in line with the values and common sense of the majority of Californians Hilton says he will represent.

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If Hilton can’t come out and clearly say that Trump is wrong — about fraud and about the Great Replacement Theory — can he really be trusted to represent the values of the Golden State?

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Video: Jan. 6 Rioter Hired by Pentagon

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Video: Jan. 6 Rioter Hired by Pentagon

new video loaded: Jan. 6 Rioter Hired by Pentagon

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Jan. 6 Rioter Hired by Pentagon

Elias Irizarry, who pleaded guilty to climbing through a broken window at the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, now works for an office responsible for uncovering and defending against terrorism plots at the Pentagon.

“Full pardon or commutation?” “Full pardon.”

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Elias Irizarry, who pleaded guilty to climbing through a broken window at the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, now works for an office responsible for uncovering and defending against terrorism plots at the Pentagon.

By Alisa Shodiyev Kaff

June 4, 2026

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