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A lot has happened in this race since I went on paternity leave in May, but in many ways, a lot has stayed the same.
Lieutenant Governor Sabina Matos and former state Representative Aaron Regunberg continue to be considered the frontrunners, while the campaigns of state Senator Sandra Cano and former White House aide Gabe Amo are rounding into shape. You have to assume Don Carlson is somewhere in the mix as well because he’s planning to spend hundreds of thousands of dollars of his own money over the next month.
A big question I’ll be thinking about heading into the Sept. 5 primary is the number of votes it will take to win the race. If 40,000 people vote, there’s a chance that 8,000 votes (20 percent) could be enough to pull it out.
All races favor the best organized candidates, but the math game here is especially important.
The ballot signature scandal has undoubtedly been crushing for Matos, but she is still the only statewide officeholder in the field, and she has the building trades boosting her bid.
Regunberg is in a good place because his base is on the vote-rich East Side of Providence, and he’s making the case to anyone who will listen that he’s the most progressive candidate with an actual chance to win.
Cano has won a couple of key union endorsements, and she should perform well in Pawtucket.
For first-timers like Amo and Carlson, it’s still unclear exactly where they’ll find enough votes to pull it off, but they both have the resources to make their case.
For everyone else in the race, finding a way to crack the top five would likely be a huge accomplishment.
We’ll have the contest open until Sept. 4 at 11:59 p.m., so make sure you tell your friends. Once again, you can submit your entry here.
This story first appeared in Rhode Map, our free newsletter about Rhode Island that also contains information about local events, links to interesting stories, and more. If you’d like to receive it via email Monday through Friday, you can sign up here.
Dan McGowan can be reached at dan.mcgowan@globe.com. Follow him @danmcgowan.
Rhode Island FC closing out its inaugural season with a celebration.
The Eastern Conference Champions hosting a block party at The Guild in Pawtucket Monday.
After a postseason run to the USL Championship Final, the club meeting with its fans to top off Year #1 for the organization.
Real Estate
The median sales price for a single-family home in Rhode Island hit $485,000 in October, a 11.5 percent year-over-year jump, the state realtors association reported on Nov. 21.
Rhode Island saw more sales (up 5 .4 percent) and more homes to choose from (inventory was up 4.9 percent), but first-time home buyers are having to do battle with shoppers armed with cash or equity.
“We’re seeing homeowners who are tapping into their equity and 401K and competing for properties with first-time home buyers without those luxuries. Many are cash buyers who are downsizing or buying a second home,” Chris Whitten, 2025 president of the Rhode Island Association of Realtors, said in a news release. “It’s tough for younger buyers to compete with that. Down-payment assistance programs help slightly, but lack of inventory, higher prices, and interest rates are still the biggest pain points preventing our younger generations from starting to build equity through homeownership.”
On Nov. 21, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage hit its highest level since July, 6.84 percent, sapping the buyer power of prospective shoppers.
But the condo market offers buyers hope. The median sales price of $355,000 in October reflects a $25,000 drop in costs compared to October 2023. This led to a 15.1 percent hike in sales, the association reported.
There are more condos on the market as well, which helps to temper competition. The state saw a 37.3 percent increase in inventory, but it’s not enough to meet demand.
“At the current rate of sales, all the condominiums available for sale in Rhode Island would be sold in just over two months if no new listings went on the market,” Whitten said. “The condo market is attractive to first-time buyers due to its lower price point, but more development is the key to help get younger generations into homeownership.
“The net worth of a homeowner is $415,000 compared to $10,000 for a renter,” he added. “In the coming legislative session, RI Realtors will be focused on working closely with legislators who are willing to help remove barriers to building and enable the creation of more homes here in the Ocean State.”
The supply of single-family listings rose as well, by 4.9 percent for a 2.1-month supply. Most economists agree that a healthy market has at least a five-month supply.
Buyers may also turn to multifamily homes to pay their mortgage. Closed sales in that market were up 17.2 percent last month, with a 16.06 percent increase in the median price to $560,000, the association reported.
The typical multifamily home spent 26 days on the market before selling, while condos took 33 days and single-family homes were snapped up after 31.
Single-family properties in Kent County — home to Coventry, East Greenwich, West Greenwich, Warwick, and West Warwick — saw the biggest increase in prices, nearly 17 percent. Prices dropped in Providence County, home to the capital city, fell 6.03 percent.
Get the latest news on buying, selling, renting, home design, and more.
Looking ahead: Cold from Plains to Northeast; Thanksgiving storms
The Plains and Northeast regions of the U.S. could shiver from cold weather and multiple parts of the nation could have a stormy Thanksgiving.
It’s the week of Thanksgiving and that means people are going to be traveling all over the country.
But will the weather in Rhode Island put a hamper on those who are making their way to other destinations in the country?
AAA projects a record 71.7 million people will travel by car for Thanksgiving nationwide, which represents an additional 1.3 million travelers on the road compared to last year.
Other means of travel are expected to increase this year as well.
So how will the weather affect things? Here’s what to know.
The weather isn’t looking ideal for travelers – particularly on Thanksgiving Day.
Meteorologist Candice Hrencecin of the National Weather Service branch in Norton told USA Network on Monday, Nov. 25 that there’s a chance of rain starting Tuesday.
“It won’t be anything crazy,” she said.
But she added that there’s a weather system coming in Thursday that could produce snow in some parts of Rhode Island, noting there are no predicted amounts yet, adding meteorologists are still trying to figure out the timing of the storm.
“It seems like it will be mostly rain around here but it could be worse than that,” Hrencecin said, adding snow could be a factor. She explained the weather models on this storm make it tough to predict.
If there were snow, Hrencecin said it would be in the higher elevations of the state, such as the northwest corner.
While it’s not going to be freezing, it also won’t be warm on Thanksgiving. In Rhode Island, high temperatures are expected to be in the low 50s on Thursday.
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