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Study: Will Aaron Rodgers Fix Pittsburgh's Red Zone Offense?

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Study: Will Aaron Rodgers Fix Pittsburgh's Red Zone Offense?


Continuing to evaluate new Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers, today’s topic is red zone passing. It’s a shortened area of the field where accuracy is extremely important to convert the opportunity with a trip to the end zone.

The goal is to see what Rodgers offered last season in comparison to the top 25 QBs in red zone attempts. What could that mean for 2025?

For starters, Rodgers had 83 attempts inside the 20, fifth-most in the NFL. So, there were ample opportunities compared to his peers. In comparison, 2024 Steelers starter Russell Wilson had 45 attempts inside the 20, but missed the first six games of the season.

That would extrapolate to roughly 70 red zone passing attempts in a full 17 game season, still shy of Rodgers in as many games played. The hope is that Rodgers brings more red zone trips to Pittsburgh, increasing the ultimate goal of scoring more points.

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With opportunities laid out, let’s look into performance. Here are completion rates to gauge accuracy in the toughest areas of the field. Included are inside the 20 and inside the 10 completion rates:

Neither qualifying QB was ideal in the red zone last season. Wilson and Rodgers had similar inside the 20 completion rates (51.1, 50.6), landing in the bottom five ranks. Rodgers’ 50.6 percent was third-worst and isn’t comforting to the hope of an improved Steelers red zone offense.

While still under the mean, Rodgers did find more success inside the 10, where the blades of grass are minimal. His 47.5 completion rate inside the 10 ranked 18th, a five-spot improvement from inside the 20. This, along with six of the last 10 seasons being above 50 percent in both, point to his ability to potentially look better in 2025.

This includes a recent four-year stretch from 2019-2022 prior to his Achilles injury early in 2023. Some speculate that factor makes his pre-injury stats irrelevant, but to ignore the resume entirely is extreme. Yes, his 2024 season with the Jets was largely disappointing, but the potential for a turnaround is there.

I also wanted to provide red zone touchdown rates (the percentage of pass attempts that were TDs), in the same inside the 20 and 10 scenarios:

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Unfortunately, it’s the same area of the chart for the players in our sights. Rodgers did have the better marks of the two, starting with a 22.9 red zone TD rate (16th), and 35 percent inside the 10 (15th). Similar rankings that didn’t feature the jump on the scoreboard that his completion rate did.

More specifically, Rodgers had 19 inside the 20 TDs compared to two interceptions, and 14 inside the 20 touchdowns with just one INT. Both TD totals tied for ninth last season, but the touchdown rates on the visual emphasizes less expected production given his playing time.

While this is true, Rodgers had better marks than Pittsburgh in 2024. Wilson had a 22.2 inside the 20 TD rate, tying for 19th, a few spots below Rodgers. The bigger gap once again was inside the 10, where Wilson was 27.8 percent and third-worst, with Rodgers landing nine spots higher.

The fact that Rodgers was clearly better inside the 10, in the tightest of windows, has me optimistic that he could provide an improved red zone offense for the 2025 Pittsburgh Steelers. Adding to this feeling is seeing the majority of his red zone production during his last decade in the NFL being above the line.

The 2024 season was less than ideal for both Pittsburgh and Rodgers. But the new pairing looks to right the ship on the scoreboard, impacted greatly by red zone success. Rodgers has certainly proven capable, and here’s to hoping that’s in store this year.

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New Steelers Coach Mike McCarthy Wants Aaron Rodgers Back in Pittsburgh

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New Steelers Coach Mike McCarthy Wants Aaron Rodgers Back in Pittsburgh


Mike McCarthy is wasting no time in trying to lure Aaron Rodgers back to the Pittsburgh Steelers for another season.

The new Pittsburgh Steelers head coach not only made his pitch for Rodgers to return for the 2026 season, but McCarthy also revealed that he’s been in contact with the quarterback, he shared at his introductory press conference on Tuesday.

“Definitely. I don’t see why you wouldn’t,” McCarthy told reporters. “I have spoken to Aaron, and so that’s really where we are there. I was able to sit back and watch the games. I watched most of the Pittsburgh games on TV, and I thought he was a great asset for the team.”

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Rodgers, 42, hasn’t said yet if he’ll play again in 2026. Shortly after he signed with the Steelers this past offseason, he indicated that the 2025 season would be his last. But he said following the Steelers’ playoff loss to the Houston Texans that he was “not going to make any emotional decisions” regarding his future in that moment.

“I’m disappointed,” he said. “Obviously, it was such a fun year. A lot of adversity but a lot of fun.”

Of course, McCarthy coached Rodgers when he was the head coach of the Packers, working alongside the quarterback for 13 seasons. The duo won a Super Bowl together during that time, with Rodgers emerging as one of the game’s top quarterbacks and winning multiple MVP awards. 

While McCarthy has made it clear he’d like Rodgers to return as the Steelers’ quarterback, he said he’ll also give him the space he needs to make a decision. 

“I think when players are up that stage of their career, they need to step away and decompress,” McCarthy said. “I think that’s very important.

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“The game is so emotional, what these men commit to, and what they put into it. I think that time away is important.”

Rodgers had a respectable season with the Steelers in 2025 following a disappointing two-year stint with the New York Jets. He completed 65.7% of his passes for 3,322 yards, 24 touchdowns and seven interceptions to go with a 94.8 passer rating, helping Pittsburgh go 10-7 and win the AFC North. 

Even if Rodgers returns, though, questions still remain at quarterback for the Steelers. They don’t have a clear longterm solution at the position, with veteran backup Mason Rudolph and sixth-round rookie Will Howard being the only other quarterbacks on their roster. 

However, McCarthy seemed bullish about the options the Steelers have in their quarterback room. 

“I’m really excited about Will Howard,” he said. “I think he’s someone that I thought really came on there at Ohio State. I’m anxious to work with him. 

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“It’d be great to have Aaron back, but with Will and Mason, I’m really, I’m really, really excited to get started with those guys.” 



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Extremely cold temperatures will be in place for the Pittsburgh area through the end of the week

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Extremely cold temperatures will be in place for the Pittsburgh area through the end of the week


Extremely cold temperatures will be in place for the Pittsburgh area through the end of the week.

Any Alert Days Ahead?  Tuesday is a First Alert Weather Day due to wind chills potentially dipping to 25 degrees below zero. Friday and Saturday are likely First Alert Weather Days due to extreme cold. 

Aware: Extreme cold warning in effect through 11 a.m. today, A cold weather advisory is in effect from 7 p.m. today through 11 a.m. on Wednesday.

There will be little escaping the cold over the next week, while outside, temperatures most mornings dip to 0° or below. 

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Highs are only expected to hit the mid-teens. When it gets this cold, we see a slew of cold-weather warnings and advisories being issued. For a general rule of thumb, warnings are always worse than advisories. So even without knowing why they are issued, you should think an Extreme Cold Warning is worse than a Cold Weather Advisory.

Extreme Cold Warnings are issued when wind chill values dip below twenty below zero. At these temperatures, you are looking at frostbite setting in 30 minutes or less. A Cold Weather Advisory is issued when wind chill values dip to lower than ten below zero but not more than twenty below zero. 

KDKA Weather Center

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So knowing that, we will likely see Cold Weather Advisories also issued for Wednesday evening to Thursday morning with morning temperatures near 0° and wind chills between -10° to -20°.  Thursday evening to Friday morning, along with Friday evening to Saturday morning will likely see Extreme Cold Warnings issued with morning temperatures falling to around -5° on Friday morning and -8° on Saturday.  It won’t take too much of a wind to get to the warning criteria on those days.  If you must work outside for any long period, please take precautions against frostbite, including layering and covering up, along with making sure your skin isn’t dry. 

At least there are no days when we are expecting to see several inches of snow incoming.  We do have a chance for snow tonight, with our best chance coming after 5 this evening, with upslope snow showers possible for the rest of the evening. Snow totals will be an inch or less. Besides that, I don’t have anything more than an isolated snow chance through next Monday. 

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KDKA Weather Center


The snow is going to be here for a while, with data showing very few hours above 32° over the next two weeks.

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Cold weather Tuesday prompts more closures, opens warming centers in Pittsburgh

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Cold weather Tuesday prompts more closures, opens warming centers in Pittsburgh






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