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What to expect in the latest Pennsylvania House special election

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What to expect in the latest Pennsylvania House special election


HARRISBURG, PA – MARCH 21: Airplane flys over PA State Capitol Building with a banner reading “SEN. TOOMEY DO YOUR JOB! #FILLTHESEAT” during National Day Of Action calling on Senate Republicans to “Do Your Job” and uphold their constitutional obligat

Control of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives hangs in the balance in a special election on Tuesday in the Philadelphia suburbs. If that sounds vaguely familiar, it’s because it’s the fourth time in a year that a vacancy has put the majority up for grabs in the evenly-divided lower chamber.

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Voters in the 140th state House district in Bucks County, sandwiched between Philadelphia and New Jersey, will pick a replacement for former Democratic state Rep. John Galloway, who was elected to a judgeship last year. Galloway’s departure once again deadlocked the chamber at 101-101.

The candidates vying to hand their party the critical 102nd seat for control of the House are Democrat Jim Prokopiak and Republican Candace Cabanas. Prokopiak, an attorney from Levittown, has served on the Pennsbury School Board since his election in 2021. He previously served on the Falls Township Board of Supervisors. Cabanas of Fairless Hills is a political newcomer who has worked in the home health care and hospitality industries.

In the 2022 midterm election, Democrats won a majority in the Pennsylvania House for the first time since 2010, but Republicans occupied more seats by the time the term began in January because of three vacancies that were created after the election. Democrats regained the majority last February after winning special elections to fill the three vacancies. Two additional vacancies forced another round of special elections in May where Democrats restored their slim 102-101 majority. Democrats beat back a third challenge to their majority in September after Democratic state Rep. Sara Innamorato resigned to focus on her successful bid for Allegheny County Executive.

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Here’s a look at what to expect on election night:

SPECIAL ELECTION DAY

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The special election for Pennsylvania state House District 140 will be held Tuesday. Polls close at 8 p.m. ET.

WHAT’S ON THE BALLOT

The Associated Press will provide coverage for one contest in the commonwealth: the special election for Pennsylvania state House District 140. Two candidates are listed on the ballot: Cabanas and Prokopiak.

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WHO GETS TO VOTE

Any voter registered in Pennsylvania state House District 140 may participate in the special election.

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DECISION NOTES

Pennsylvania state House District 140 is located in the southeasternmost corner of Bucks County, bounded to the east and south by the Delaware River and jabbing like a sharp elbow into the side of New Jersey, near Trenton. Democrats have fared well here in the highest-profile races of the last few years. District voters preferred President Joe Biden over former President Donald Trump in 2020, 55% to 44%. They delivered even bigger margins to Democrats in 2022. U.S. Sen. John Fetterman defeated Republican Mehmet Oz, 56% to 40%, and Gov. Josh Shapiro beat Republican Doug Mastriano by nearly 30 percentage points, carrying all 33 precincts along the way. Galloway, the former incumbent, was unopposed in his final campaign here.

Races further down the ballot do offer some clues as to how a Republican could prevail in the district, although probably on a smaller scale given the area’s voting history. Fourth-term Republican U.S. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick carried District 140 in 2022, 51% to 48%, winning 24 of 33 precincts over his Democratic opponent. It was a narrower outcome than the 55% to 45% win he scored in his congressional district overall. His best areas, the lower portion of Middletown Township and parts of neighboring Falls Township, form what might pass as the district’s Republican base, although Democrats Fetterman and Shapiro almost completely swept the area in their races.

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Lower Middletown Township is the most Republican-voting region of the district. It is represented in the state Senate by Republican Frank Farry, who carried nine of the 10 precincts in House District 140 that overlap with his own state Senate district. One of those precincts, known as “Middletown Township Lower #3,” has the distinction of being the only precinct in the district that Dr. Oz carried in his failed U.S. Senate bid.

On Tuesday night, if initial returns don’t show Republican Cabanas dominating all of Middletown as well as peeling off a significant portion of the Falls Township precincts where Fetterman and Shapiro won with their smallest margins, then there is essentially no path for her to win.

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The AP does not make projections and will declare a winner only when it’s determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidates to close the gap. If a race has not been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, such as candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear that it has not yet declared a winner and explain why.

WHAT DO TURNOUT AND ADVANCE VOTE LOOK LIKE

As of Feb. 1, there were 41,190 voters registered in District 140. Of those, 50% were Democrats, 33% were Republicans and 13% were independents. Turnout in District 140’s general election in 2022 was 19,130 voters, or about 45% of registered voters at the time.

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As of Thursday, 2,983 ballots were cast before Election Day, about 79% from Democrats and about 13% from Republicans. By comparison, 5,170 pre-Election Day ballots were cast in the 2022 general election in District 140, about 27% of the total vote.

HOW LONG DOES VOTE COUNTING USUALLY TAKE

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The AP did not tabulate the District 140 race in the 2022 general election because the Democratic incumbent ran unopposed. However, in the three neighboring districts, all of comparable size to District 140 and also located within Bucks County, the first votes were reported at about 11:42 p.m. ET, with election night tabulation ending at about 1:14 a.m. ET. At the time tabulation stopped for the night, 89% of the vote had been tabulated in District 31 to the northwest, 97% had been tabulated in District 141 to the southwest and 93% had been tabulated in District 142 to the west.



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Josh Shapiro has a full-circle moment at Pennsylvania Society dinner in NYC, and David L. Cohen is honored

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Josh Shapiro has a full-circle moment at Pennsylvania Society dinner in NYC, and David L. Cohen is honored


NEW YORK — The first time Gov. Josh Shapiro attended the glitzy Pennsylvania Society dinner in midtown Manhattan, he was a young lawmaker invited by David L. Cohen.

Fifteen years later, Shapiro again sat front and center with Cohen, on Saturday night in New York City’s Waldorf Astoria hotel. The governor and the former U.S. ambassador to Canada celebrated Cohen’s receipt of a gold medal award, which has typically been given to the likes of former presidents, prominent philanthropists, and influential businesspeople.

“I still remember that feeling of sitting here, in this storied hotel, inspired not just by this grand, historic room, but most especially by the people in it. I just felt honored to be here,” Shapiro recalled in his remarks Saturday night to the 127th annual Pennsylvania Society dinner. “We’ve come full circle.”

The Pennsylvania Society, which began in the Waldorf Astoria in 1899 by wealthy Pennsylvania natives who were living in New York and hoping to effect change in their home state, returned Saturday to the iconic hotel for the first time in eight years to honor Cohen for his lifetime of achievement and contributions to Pennsylvania.

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The $1,000-per-plate dinner closed out the Pennsylvania Society weekend in New York City, where the state’s political elite — local lawmakers, federal officials, university presidents, and top executives — travel to party, fundraise, and schmooze across Midtown Manhattan, with the goal of making Pennsylvania better.

Each of the approximately 800 attendees at Saturday night’s dinner was served filet mignon as their entree and a cherry French pastry for dessert. The candlelit tables in the grand ballroom had an elaborate calla lily centerpiece — a flower often symbolizing resurrection or rebirth, as the society had its homecoming after years away while the hotel was closed for renovations.

Shapiro, who has delivered remarks to the Pennsylvania Society dinner each year of his first term as governor, focused on the polarization of the moment. He said the antidote that Pennsylvanians want is for top officials to work together and show the good that government can achieve to make people’s lives better.

“Let us be inspired by that spirit and take the bonds we form tonight back home to our cities, towns, and farmlands, and continue to find ways to come together, make progress, and create hope,” Shapiro said.

Shapiro also thanked the members of the society for their support after an attempt on his life by a man who later pleaded guilty to setting fires in the governor’s residence on Passover while he and his family slept inside.

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» READ MORE: Cody Balmer, who set fire to Gov. Josh Shapiro’s mansion, pleads guilty to attempted murder

Cohen was honored as a Philadelphia stalwart whose long career includes stints as an executive at Comcast, chair of the University of Pennsylvania’s board of trustees, and five years as Ed Rendell’s chief of staff during his mayorship.

He was recognized in a prerecorded video featuring praise from former U.S. Sens. Pat Toomey and Bob Casey, former U.S. Ambassador to Germany and former University of Pennsylvania president Amy Gutmann, Rendell, and others the 70-year-old Cohen has worked with throughout his career.

Rendell attended the dinner with his ex-wife and federal appellate court Judge Marjorie “Midge” Rendell. In his prerecorded remarks, Ed Rendell credited Cohen as the true governor and mayor of Philadelphia for all of his work behind the scenes.

Cohen, who continues his work to promote the relationship between the United States and Canada since his return to Philadelphia this year, began his remarks following his introduction with a joke: “It’s sort of nice to hear a preview of your obituary,” he said with a laugh.

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Cohen gave an impassioned speech defending democracy and recognizing America’s position in the world, even as polarization reaches a fever pitch in the country. He credited the society as a place where America’s founding tenets are achieved.

“These Pennsylvania Society principles represent what the United States is supposed to stand for as a country, a promoter and defender of democratic values, values that have special residence in Philadelphia and Pennsylvania, where our country was born almost 250 years ago,” Cohen said.

And Cohen had a dispatch from his years as an ambassador, followed by a call to action: “From our comfortable perch in Pennsylvania, I don’t think we always appreciate what we have here in the United States and the critical role that America plays on the global stage in promoting democracy.”



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Powerball winners sold in Pennsylvania as jackpot reaches 6th highest

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Powerball winners sold in Pennsylvania as jackpot reaches 6th highest


(WTAJ) — A $2 million Powerball ticket was sold in Pennsylvania as the jackpot broke $1 billion, making it the 6th largest to date. A Pennsylvania player matched all five white balls drawn Saturday, Dec. 13, but missed the Powerball. They also had Power Play active, making their million-dollar ticket worth $2 million. Another three […]



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Large fire damages apartment building in Lehigh County, Pennsylvania

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Large fire damages apartment building in Lehigh County, Pennsylvania



A large fire ripped through an apartment building in Lehigh County, Pennsylvania Saturday night.

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The fire broke out just after 8:15 p.m. at One Maryland Circle apartments in Whitehall Township, Lehigh County.

Video obtained by CBS News Philadelphia shows firefighters battling heavy flames in an apartment unit, with thick smoke pouring from the building. The footage also shows noticeable damage to the building from the fire.

Firefighters battle flames in an apartment building in Whitehall Township, Pa.

CBS News Philadelphia

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The cause of the fire is unknown, and it is unclear if anyone was displaced or injured.

This is a developing story. Check back for updates.



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